observ pořadí realGDP 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1950Q2 2 1658.8 1950Q3 3 1723 1950Q4 4 1753.9 1951Q1 5 1773.5 1951Q2 6 1803.7 1951Q3 7 1839.8 1951Q4 8 1843.3 1952Q1 9 1864.7 1952Q2 10 1866.2 1952Q3 11 1878 1952Q4 12 1940.2 1953Q1 13 1976 1953Q2 14 1992.2 1953Q3 15 1979.5 1953Q4 16 1947.8 1954Q1 17 1938.1 1954Q2 18 1941 1954Q3 19 1962 1954Q4 20 2000.9 1955Q1 21 2058.1 1955Q2 22 2091 1955Q3 23 2118.9 1955Q4 24 2130.1 1956Q1 25 2121 1956Q2 26 2137.7 1956Q3 27 2135.3 1956Q4 28 2170.4 1957Q1 29 2182.7 1957Q2 30 2177.7 1957Q3 31 2198.9 1957Q4 32 2176 1958Q1 33 2117.4 1958Q2 34 2129.7 1958Q3 35 2177.5 1958Q4 36 2226.5 1959Q1 37 2273 1959Q2 38 2332.4 1959Q3 39 2331.4 1959Q4 40 2339.1 1960Q1 41 2391 1960Q2 42 2379.2 1960Q3 43 2383.6 1960Q4 44 2352.9 1961Q1 45 2366.5 1961Q2 46 2410.8 1961Q3 47 2450.4 1961Q4 48 2500.4 1962Q1 49 2544 1962Q2 50 2571.5 1962Q3 51 2596.8 1962Q4 52 2603.3 1963Q1 53 2634.1 1963Q2 54 2668.4 1963Q3 55 2719.6 1963Q4 56 2739.4 1964Q1 57 2800.5 1964Q2 58 2833.8 1964Q3 59 2872 1964Q4 60 2879.5 1965Q1 61 2950.1 1965Q2 62 2989.9 1965Q3 63 3050.7 1965Q4 64 3123.6 1966Q1 65 3201.1 1966Q2 66 3213.2 1966Q3 67 3233.6 1966Q4 68 3261.8 1967Q1 69 3291.8 1967Q2 70 3289.7 1967Q3 71 3313.5 1967Q4 72 3338.3 1968Q1 73 3406.2 1968Q2 74 3464.8 1968Q3 75 3489.2 1968Q4 76 3504.1 1969Q1 77 3558.3 1969Q2 78 3567.6 1969Q3 79 3588.3 1969Q4 80 3571.4 1970Q1 81 3566.5 1970Q2 82 3573.9 1970Q3 83 3605.2 1970Q4 84 3566.5 1971Q1 85 3666.1 1971Q2 86 3686.2 1971Q3 87 3714.5 1971Q4 88 3723.8 1972Q1 89 3796.9 1972Q2 90 3883.8 1972Q3 91 3922.3 1972Q4 92 3990.5 1973Q1 93 4092.3 1973Q2 94 4133.3 1973Q3 95 4117 1973Q4 96 4151.1 1974Q1 97 4119.3 1974Q2 98 4130.4 1974Q3 99 4084.5 1974Q4 100 4062 1975Q1 101 4010 1975Q2 102 4045.2 1975Q3 103 4115.4 1975Q4 104 4167.2 1976Q1 105 4266.1 1976Q2 106 4301.5 1976Q3 107 4321.9 1976Q4 108 4357.4 1977Q1 109 4410.5 1977Q2 110 4489.8 1977Q3 111 4570.6 1977Q4 112 4576.1 1978Q1 113 4588.9 1978Q2 114 4765.7 1978Q3 115 4811.7 1978Q4 116 4876 1979Q1 117 4888.3 1979Q2 118 4891.4 1979Q3 119 4926.2 1979Q4 120 4942.6 1980Q1 121 4958.9 1980Q2 122 4857.8 1980Q3 123 4850.3 1980Q4 124 4936.6 1981Q1 125 5032.5 1981Q2 126 4997.3 1981Q3 127 5056.8 1981Q4 128 4997.1 1982Q1 129 4914.3 1982Q2 130 4935.5 1982Q3 131 4912.1 1982Q4 132 4915.6 1983Q1 133 4972.4 1983Q2 134 5089.8 1983Q3 135 5180.4 1983Q4 136 5286.8 1984Q1 137 5402.3 1984Q2 138 5493.8 1984Q3 139 5541.3 1984Q4 140 5583.1 1985Q1 141 5629.7 1985Q2 142 5673.8 1985Q3 143 5758.6 1985Q4 144 5806 1986Q1 145 5858.9 1986Q2 146 5883.3 1986Q3 147 5937.9 1986Q4 148 5969.5 1987Q1 149 6013.3 1987Q2 150 6077.2 1987Q3 151 6128.1 1987Q4 152 6234.4 1988Q1 153 6275.9 1988Q2 154 6349.8 1988Q3 155 6382.3 1988Q4 156 6465.2 1989Q1 157 6543.8 1989Q2 158 6579.4 1989Q3 159 6610.6 1989Q4 160 6633.5 1990Q1 161 6716.3 1990Q2 162 6731.7 1990Q3 163 6719.4 1990Q4 164 6664.2 1991Q1 165 6631.4 1991Q2 166 6668.5 1991Q3 167 6684.9 1991Q4 168 6720.9 1992Q1 169 6783.3 1992Q2 170 6846.8 1992Q3 171 6899.7 1992Q4 172 6990.6 1993Q1 173 6988.7 1993Q2 174 7031.2 1993Q3 175 7062 1993Q4 176 7168.7 1994Q1 177 7229.4 1994Q2 178 7330.2 1994Q3 179 7370.2 1994Q4 180 7461.1 1995Q1 181 7488.7 1995Q2 182 7503.3 1995Q3 183 7561.4 1995Q4 184 7621.9 1996Q1 185 7676.4 1996Q2 186 7802.9 1996Q3 187 7841.9 1996Q4 188 7931.3 1997Q1 189 8016.4 1997Q2 190 8131.9 1997Q3 191 8216.6 1997Q4 192 8272.9 1998Q1 193 8396.3 1998Q2 194 8442.9 1998Q3 195 8528.5 1998Q4 196 8667.9 1999Q1 197 8733.5 1999Q2 198 8771.2 1999Q3 199 8871.5 1999Q4 200 9049.9 2000Q1 201 9102.5 2000Q2 202 9229.4 2000Q3 203 9260.1 2000Q4 204 9303.9 ##### Sheet/List 2 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí GDPUSA=yt t2 t*yt skutečnost vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 MAPE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1 1610.5 1610.5 986.2 624.3 624.3446915 389806.2938 0.3877 0.480883766 2593710.25 972502.29 1950Q2 2 1658.8 4 3317.6 1658.8 1021.4 637.4 637.4083341 406289.3844 0.3843 0.475643845 2751617.44 1043240.94 1950Q3 3 1723 9 5169 1723 1056.6 666.4 666.3719767 444051.6113 0.3868 0.479468455 2968729.00 1116462.78 1950Q4 4 1753.9 16 7015.6 1753.9 1091.9 662.0 662.0356192 438291.1611 0.3775 0.465277887 3076165.21 1192167.83 1951Q1 5 1773.5 25 8867.5 1773.5 1127.1 646.4 646.3992618 417832.0056 0.3645 0.445700267 3145302.25 1270356.07 1951Q2 6 1803.7 36 10822.2 1803.7 1162.3 641.4 641.3629044 411346.3751 0.3556 0.432471263 3253333.69 1351027.52 1951Q3 7 1839.8 49 12878.6 1839.8 1197.6 642.2 642.2265469 412454.9376 0.3491 0.422882834 3384864.04 1434182.18 1951Q4 8 1843.3 64 14746.4 1843.3 1232.8 610.5 610.4901895 372698.2715 0.3312 0.396923535 3397754.89 1519820.03 1952Q1 9 1864.7 81 16782.3 1864.7 1268.0 596.7 596.653832 355995.7953 0.3200 0.380914252 3477106.09 1607941.08 1952Q2 10 1866.2 100 18662 1866.2 1303.3 562.9 562.9174746 316876.0832 0.3016 0.355210966 3482702.44 1698545.34 1952Q3 11 1878 121 20658 1878 1338.5 539.5 539.4811172 291039.8758 0.2873 0.335444085 3526884.00 1791632.80 1952Q4 12 1940.2 144 23282.4 1940.2 1373.8 566.4 566.4447597 320859.6658 0.2920 0.341854201 3764376.04 1887203.46 1953Q1 13 1976 169 25688 1976 1409.0 567.0 567.0084023 321498.5283 0.2869 0.335013182 3904576.00 1985257.32 1953Q2 14 1992.2 196 27890.8 1992.2 1444.2 548.0 547.9720449 300273.362 0.2751 0.31891956 3968860.84 2085794.39 1953Q3 15 1979.5 225 29692.5 1979.5 1479.5 500.0 500.0356874 250035.6887 0.2526 0.289124514 3918420.25 2188814.65 1953Q4 16 1947.8 256 31164.8 1947.8 1514.7 433.1 433.09933 187575.0296 0.2224 0.25016563 3793924.84 2294318.12 1954Q1 17 1938.1 289 32947.7 1938.1 1549.9 388.2 388.1629726 150670.4933 0.2003 0.222568149 3756231.61 2402304.79 1954Q2 18 1941 324 34938 1941 1585.2 355.8 355.8266151 126612.58 0.1833 0.20182026 3767481.00 2512774.66 1954Q3 19 1962 361 37278 1962 1620.4 341.6 341.5902577 116683.9041 0.1741 0.190704181 3849444.00 2625727.73 1954Q4 20 2000.9 400 40018 2000.9 1655.6 345.3 345.2539002 119200.2556 0.1725 0.188841541 4003600.81 2741164.01 1955Q1 21 2058.1 441 43220.1 2058.1 1690.9 367.2 367.2175428 134848.7237 0.1784 0.195902513 4235775.61 2859083.48 1955Q2 22 2091 484 46002 2091 1726.1 364.9 364.8811854 133138.2794 0.1745 0.191181466 4372281.00 2979486.16 1955Q3 23 2118.9 529 48734.7 2118.9 1761.4 357.5 357.5448279 127838.304 0.1687 0.184289338 4489737.21 3102372.04 1955Q4 24 2130.1 576 51122.4 2130.1 1796.6 333.5 333.5084705 111227.8999 0.1566 0.169867415 4537326.01 3227741.12 1956Q1 25 2121 625 53025 2121 1831.8 289.2 289.1721131 83620.51098 0.1363 0.146311512 4498641.00 3355593.41 1956Q2 26 2137.7 676 55580.2 2137.7 1867.1 270.6 270.6357556 73243.71223 0.1266 0.135156898 4569761.29 3485928.89 1956Q3 27 2135.3 729 57653.1 2135.3 1902.3 233.0 232.9993982 54288.71956 0.1091 0.115414783 4559506.09 3618747.58 1956Q4 28 2170.4 784 60771.2 2170.4 1937.5 232.9 232.8630408 54225.19575 0.1073 0.113372256 4710636.16 3754049.47 1957Q1 29 2182.7 841 63298.3 2182.7 1972.8 209.9 209.9266833 44069.21237 0.0962 0.101036232 4764179.29 3891834.56 1957Q2 30 2177.7 900 65331 2177.7 2008.0 169.7 169.6903259 28794.8067 0.0779 0.081080791 4742377.29 4032102.85 1957Q3 31 2198.9 961 68165.9 2198.9 2043.2 155.7 155.6539685 24228.15789 0.0708 0.07338454 4835161.21 4174854.35 1957Q4 32 2176 1024 69632 2176 2078.5 97.5 97.51761101 9509.684458 0.0448 0.045842292 4734976.00 4320089.04 1958Q1 33 2117.4 1089 69874.2 2117.4 2113.7 3.7 3.681253578 13.55162791 0.0017 0.001740085 4483382.76 4467806.94 1958Q2 34 2129.7 1156 72409.8 2129.7 2149.0 -19.3 19.25510386 370.7590246 0.0090 0.00900054 4535622.09 4618008.04 1958Q3 35 2177.5 1225 76212.5 2177.5 2184.2 -6.7 6.691461294 44.77565425 0.0031 0.003068287 4741506.25 4770692.34 1958Q4 36 2226.5 1296 80154 2226.5 2219.4 7.1 7.072181269 50.01574791 0.0032 0.00318142 4957302.25 4925859.84 1959Q1 37 2273 1369 84101 2273 2254.7 18.3 18.33582383 336.2024356 0.0081 0.008099463 5166529.00 5083510.55 1959Q2 38 2332.4 1444 88631.2 2332.4 2289.9 42.5 42.4994664 1806.204644 0.0182 0.018388881 5440089.76 5243644.45 1959Q3 39 2331.4 1521 90924.6 2331.4 2325.1 6.3 6.263108961 39.22653386 0.0027 0.002690029 5435425.96 5406261.56 1959Q4 40 2339.1 1600 93564 2339.1 2360.4 -21.3 21.27324848 452.5511007 0.0091 0.009053461 5471388.81 5571361.87 1960Q1 41 2391 1681 98031 2391 2395.6 -4.6 4.609605911 21.24846666 0.0019 0.001926042 5716881.00 5738945.38 1960Q2 42 2379.2 1764 99926.4 2379.2 2430.8 -51.6 51.64596335 2667.30553 0.0217 0.021474208 5660592.64 5909012.10 1960Q3 43 2383.6 1849 102494.8 2383.6 2466.1 -82.5 82.48232078 6803.333242 0.0346 0.034015556 5681548.96 6081562.01 1960Q4 44 2352.9 1936 103527.6 2352.9 2501.3 -148.4 148.4186782 22028.10404 0.0631 0.061150388 5536138.41 6256595.13 1961Q1 45 2366.5 2025 106492.5 2366.5 2536.6 -170.1 170.0550357 28918.71515 0.0719 0.06936697 5600322.25 6434111.45 1961Q2 46 2410.8 2116 110896.8 2410.8 2571.8 -161.0 160.9913931 25918.22865 0.0668 0.064621551 5811956.64 6614110.97 1961Q3 47 2450.4 2209 115168.8 2450.4 2607.0 -156.6 156.6277505 24532.25224 0.0639 0.061939689 6004460.16 6796593.69 1961Q4 48 2500.4 2304 120019.2 2500.4 2642.3 -141.9 141.864108 20125.42513 0.0567 0.055171446 6252000.16 6981559.62 1962Q1 49 2544 2401 124656 2544 2677.5 -133.5 133.5004654 17822.37426 0.0525 0.051134905 6471936.00 7169008.74 1962Q2 50 2571.5 2500 128575 2571.5 2712.7 -141.2 141.2368228 19947.84013 0.0549 0.053455902 6612612.25 7358941.07 1962Q3 51 2596.8 2601 132436.8 2596.8 2748.0 -151.2 151.1731803 22853.33043 0.0582 0.056568605 6743370.24 7551356.60 1962Q4 52 2603.3 2704 135371.6 2603.3 2783.2 -179.9 179.9095377 32367.44176 0.0691 0.066800044 6777170.89 7746255.33 1963Q1 53 2634.1 2809 139607.3 2634.1 2818.4 -184.3 184.3458951 33983.40906 0.0700 0.067618283 6938482.81 7943637.26 1963Q2 54 2668.4 2916 144093.6 2668.4 2853.7 -185.3 185.2822526 34329.51312 0.0694 0.067105937 7120358.56 8143502.40 1963Q3 55 2719.6 3025 149578 2719.6 2888.9 -169.3 169.31861 28668.7917 0.0623 0.060379085 7396224.16 8345850.74 1963Q4 56 2739.4 3136 153406.4 2739.4 2924.2 -184.8 184.7549675 34134.398 0.0674 0.065243462 7504312.36 8550682.27 1964Q1 57 2800.5 3249 159628.5 2800.5 2959.4 -158.9 158.8913249 25246.45313 0.0567 0.05517164 7842800.25 8757997.01 1964Q2 58 2833.8 3364 164360.4 2833.8 2994.6 -160.8 160.8276823 25865.5434 0.0568 0.05518733 8030422.44 8967794.96 1964Q3 59 2872 3481 169448 2872 3029.9 -157.9 157.8640398 24921.05505 0.0550 0.053496332 8248384.00 9180076.10 1964Q4 60 2879.5 3600 172770 2879.5 3065.1 -185.6 185.6003972 34447.50744 0.0645 0.062443355 8291520.25 9394840.44 1965Q1 61 2950.1 3721 179956.1 2950.1 3100.3 -150.2 150.2367546 22571.08244 0.0509 0.049661458 8703090.01 9612087.99 1965Q2 62 2989.9 3844 185373.8 2989.9 3135.6 -145.7 145.6731121 21220.65558 0.0487 0.047563057 8939502.01 9831818.74 1965Q3 63 3050.7 3969 192194.1 3050.7 3170.8 -120.1 120.1094695 14426.28467 0.0394 0.038611038 9306770.49 10054032.69 1965Q4 64 3123.6 4096 199910.4 3123.6 3206.0 -82.4 82.44582694 6797.31438 0.0264 0.026050692 9756876.96 10278729.84 1966Q1 65 3201.1 4225 208071.5 3201.1 3241.3 -40.2 40.18218438 1614.607941 0.0126 0.012474325 10247041.21 10505910.20 1966Q2 66 3213.2 4356 212071.2 3213.2 3276.5 -63.3 63.31854182 4009.237738 0.0197 0.019513494 10324654.24 10735573.75 1966Q3 67 3233.6 4489 216651.2 3233.6 3311.8 -78.2 78.15489925 6108.188277 0.0242 0.023881027 10456168.96 10967720.51 1966Q4 68 3261.8 4624 221802.4 3261.8 3347.0 -85.2 85.19125669 7257.550216 0.0261 0.025781192 10639339.24 11202350.47 1967Q1 69 3291.8 4761 227134.2 3291.8 3382.2 -90.4 90.42761412 8177.153396 0.0275 0.027098364 10835947.24 11439463.63 1967Q2 70 3289.7 4900 230279 3289.7 3417.5 -127.8 127.7639716 16323.63243 0.0388 0.038097763 10822126.09 11679060.00 1967Q3 71 3313.5 5041 235258.5 3313.5 3452.7 -139.2 139.200329 19376.73159 0.0420 0.04114579 10979282.25 11921139.56 1967Q4 72 3338.3 5184 240357.6 3338.3 3487.9 -149.6 149.6366864 22391.13793 0.0448 0.043841634 11144246.89 12165702.33 1968Q1 73 3406.2 5329 248652.6 3406.2 3523.2 -117.0 116.9730439 13682.69299 0.0343 0.033761509 11602198.44 12412748.30 1968Q2 74 3464.8 5476 256395.2 3464.8 3558.4 -93.6 93.6094013 8762.720013 0.0270 0.026657158 12004839.04 12662277.47 1968Q3 75 3489.2 5625 261690 3489.2 3593.6 -104.4 104.4457587 10908.91652 0.0299 0.029492597 12174516.64 12914289.84 1968Q4 76 3504.1 5776 266311.6 3504.1 3628.9 -124.8 124.7821162 15570.57652 0.0356 0.034987363 12278716.81 13168785.41 1969Q1 77 3558.3 5929 273989.1 3558.3 3664.1 -105.8 105.8184736 11197.54936 0.0297 0.029302781 12661498.89 13425764.19 1969Q2 78 3567.6 6084 278272.8 3567.6 3699.4 -131.8 131.754831 17359.3355 0.0369 0.03626136 12727769.76 13685226.17 1969Q3 79 3588.3 6241 283475.7 3588.3 3734.6 -146.3 146.2911885 21401.11183 0.0408 0.039954489 12875896.89 13947171.35 1969Q4 80 3571.4 6400 285712 3571.4 3769.8 -198.4 198.4275459 39373.49098 0.0556 0.05405841 12754897.96 14211599.73 1970Q1 81 3566.5 6561 288886.5 3566.5 3805.1 -238.6 238.5639034 56912.73599 0.0669 0.064725452 12719922.25 14478511.31 1970Q2 82 3573.9 6724 293059.8 3573.9 3840.3 -266.4 266.4002608 70969.09895 0.0745 0.07186217 12772761.21 14747906.09 1970Q3 83 3605.2 6889 299231.6 3605.2 3875.5 -270.3 270.3366182 73081.88716 0.0750 0.072275401 12997467.04 15019784.08 1970Q4 84 3566.5 7056 299586 3566.5 3910.8 -344.3 344.2729757 118523.8818 0.0965 0.09208517 12719922.25 15294145.27 1971Q1 85 3666.1 7225 311618.5 3666.1 3946.0 -279.9 279.9093331 78349.23476 0.0764 0.073543172 13440289.21 15570989.66 1971Q2 86 3686.2 7396 317013.2 3686.2 3981.2 -295.0 295.0456905 87051.95951 0.0800 0.076960621 13588070.44 15850317.25 1971Q3 87 3714.5 7569 323161.5 3714.5 4016.5 -302.0 301.982048 91193.1573 0.0813 0.078122558 13797510.25 16132128.04 1971Q4 88 3723.8 7744 327694.4 3723.8 4051.7 -327.9 327.9184054 107530.4806 0.0881 0.084346378 13866686.44 16416422.04 1972Q1 89 3796.9 7921 337924.1 3796.9 4087.0 -290.1 290.0547628 84131.76545 0.0764 0.073581965 14416449.61 16703199.23 1972Q2 90 3883.8 8100 349542 3883.8 4122.2 -238.4 238.3911203 56830.32623 0.0614 0.059553181 15083902.44 16992459.63 1972Q3 91 3922.3 8281 356929.3 3922.3 4157.4 -235.1 235.1274777 55284.93078 0.0599 0.058201834 15384437.29 17284203.23 1972Q4 92 3990.5 8464 367126 3990.5 4192.7 -202.2 202.1638352 40870.21624 0.0507 0.0494097 15924090.25 17578430.03 1973Q1 93 4092.3 8649 380583.9 4092.3 4227.9 -135.6 135.6001926 18387.41223 0.0331 0.032595416 16746919.29 17875140.04 1973Q2 94 4133.3 8836 388530.2 4133.3 4263.1 -129.8 129.83655 16857.52972 0.0314 0.030926584 17084168.89 18174333.24 1973Q3 95 4117 9025 391115 4117 4298.4 -181.4 181.3729075 32896.13156 0.0441 0.043105139 16949689.00 18476009.65 1973Q4 96 4151.1 9216 398505.6 4151.1 4333.6 -182.5 182.5092649 33309.63177 0.0440 0.043020747 17231631.21 18780169.26 1974Q1 97 4119.3 9409 399572.1 4119.3 4368.8 -249.5 249.5456223 62273.01763 0.0606 0.058798619 16968632.49 19086812.07 1974Q2 98 4130.4 9604 404779.2 4130.4 4404.1 -273.7 273.6819798 74901.82605 0.0663 0.064135581 17060204.16 19395938.08 1974Q3 99 4084.5 9801 404365.5 4084.5 4439.3 -354.8 354.8183372 125896.0524 0.0869 0.083253379 16683140.25 19707547.30 1974Q4 100 4062 10000 406200 4062 4474.6 -412.6 412.5546946 170201.3761 0.1016 0.096656019 16499844.00 20021639.72 1975Q1 101 4010 10201 405010 4010 4509.8 -499.8 499.7910521 249791.0957 0.1246 0.117324721 16080100.00 20338215.33 1975Q2 102 4045.2 10404 412610.4 4045.2 4545.0 -499.8 499.8274095 249827.4393 0.1236 0.116371171 16363643.04 20657274.15 1975Q3 103 4115.4 10609 423886.2 4115.4 4580.3 -464.9 464.863767 216098.3218 0.1130 0.106918524 16936517.16 20978816.17 1975Q4 104 4167.2 10816 433388.8 4167.2 4615.5 -448.3 448.3001244 200973.0015 0.1076 0.102087084 17365555.84 21302841.40 1976Q1 105 4266.1 11025 447940.5 4266.1 4650.7 -384.6 384.6364818 147945.2232 0.0902 0.08627196 18199609.21 21629349.82 1976Q2 106 4301.5 11236 455959 4301.5 4686.0 -384.5 384.4728393 147819.3641 0.0894 0.085557497 18502902.25 21958341.45 1976Q3 107 4321.9 11449 462443.3 4321.9 4721.2 -399.3 399.3091967 159447.8346 0.0924 0.088312369 18678819.61 22289816.28 1976Q4 108 4357.4 11664 470599.2 4357.4 4756.4 -399.0 399.0455541 159237.3543 0.0916 0.087569084 18986934.76 22623774.31 1977Q1 109 4410.5 11881 480744.5 4410.5 4791.7 -381.2 381.1819116 145299.6497 0.0864 0.082845985 19452510.25 22960215.54 1977Q2 110 4489.8 12100 493878 4489.8 4826.9 -337.1 337.118269 113648.7273 0.0751 0.072368458 20158304.04 23299139.98 1977Q3 111 4570.6 12321 507336.6 4570.6 4862.2 -291.6 291.5546264 85004.1002 0.0638 0.061817494 20890384.36 23640547.61 1977Q4 112 4576.1 12544 512523.2 4576.1 4897.4 -321.3 321.2909839 103227.8963 0.0702 0.06782948 20940691.21 23984438.45 1978Q1 113 4588.9 12769 518545.7 4588.9 4932.6 -343.7 343.7273413 118148.4852 0.0749 0.072200043 21058003.21 24330812.49 1978Q2 114 4765.7 12996 543289.8 4765.7 4967.9 -202.2 202.1636988 40870.16109 0.0424 0.041539503 22711896.49 24679669.73 1978Q3 115 4811.7 13225 553345.5 4811.7 5003.1 -191.4 191.4000562 36633.98151 0.0398 0.039002334 23152456.89 25031010.17 1978Q4 116 4876 13456 565616 4876 5038.3 -162.3 162.3364136 26353.11119 0.0333 0.032747812 23775376.00 25384833.82 1979Q1 117 4888.3 13689 571931.1 4888.3 5073.6 -185.3 185.2727711 34325.9997 0.0379 0.037196374 23895476.89 25741140.66 1979Q2 118 4891.4 13924 577185.2 4891.4 5108.8 -217.4 217.4091285 47266.72915 0.0444 0.043480916 23925793.96 26099930.71 1979Q3 119 4926.2 14161 586217.8 4926.2 5144.0 -217.8 217.8454859 47456.65574 0.0442 0.043265179 24267446.44 26461203.96 1979Q4 120 4942.6 14400 593112 4942.6 5179.3 -236.7 236.6818434 56018.29498 0.0479 0.046766372 24429294.76 26824960.41 1980Q1 121 4958.9 14641 600026.9 4958.9 5214.5 -255.6 255.6182008 65340.66458 0.0515 0.050252176 24590689.21 27191200.07 1980Q2 122 4857.8 14884 592651.6 4857.8 5249.8 -392.0 391.9545582 153628.3757 0.0807 0.077556753 23598220.84 27559922.92 1980Q3 123 4850.3 15129 596586.9 4850.3 5285.0 -434.7 434.6909157 188956.1922 0.0896 0.085777689 23525410.09 27931128.98 1980Q4 124 4936.6 15376 612138.4 4936.6 5320.2 -383.6 383.6272731 147169.8847 0.0777 0.074804277 24370019.56 28304818.24 1981Q1 125 5032.5 15625 629062.5 5032.5 5355.5 -323.0 322.9636305 104305.5067 0.0642 0.062180355 25326056.25 28680990.70 1981Q2 126 4997.3 15876 629659.8 4997.3 5390.7 -393.4 393.399988 154763.5505 0.0787 0.075741238 24973007.29 29059646.36 1981Q3 127 5056.8 16129 642213.6 5056.8 5425.9 -369.1 369.1363454 136261.6415 0.0730 0.070427479 25571226.24 29440785.22 1981Q4 128 4997.1 16384 639628.8 4997.1 5461.2 -464.1 464.0727029 215363.4735 0.0929 0.088747486 24971008.41 29824407.29 1982Q1 129 4914.3 16641 633944.7 4914.3 5496.4 -582.1 582.1090603 338850.9581 0.1185 0.111828898 24150344.49 30210512.56 1982Q2 130 4935.5 16900 641615 4935.5 5531.6 -596.1 596.1454177 355389.3591 0.1208 0.113907927 24359160.25 30599101.03 1982Q3 131 4912.1 17161 643485.1 4912.1 5566.9 -654.8 654.7817752 428739.1731 0.1333 0.124970496 24128726.41 30990172.70 1982Q4 132 4915.6 17424 648859.2 4915.6 5602.1 -686.5 686.5181326 471307.1464 0.1397 0.130545071 24163123.36 31383727.57 1983Q1 133 4972.4 17689 661329.2 4972.4 5637.4 -665.0 664.95449 442164.4738 0.1337 0.125347762 24724761.76 31779765.65 1983Q2 134 5089.8 17956 682033.2 5089.8 5672.6 -582.8 582.7908475 339645.1719 0.1145 0.108301372 25906064.04 32178286.92 1983Q3 135 5180.4 18225 699354 5180.4 5707.8 -527.4 527.4272049 278179.4565 0.1018 0.096880272 26836544.16 32579291.40 1983Q4 136 5286.8 18496 719004.8 5286.8 5743.1 -456.3 456.2635623 208176.4383 0.0863 0.082732404 27950254.24 32982779.08 1984Q1 137 5402.3 18769 740115.1 5402.3 5778.3 -376.0 375.9999198 141375.9397 0.0696 0.067259346 29184845.29 33388749.96 1984Q2 138 5493.8 19044 758144.4 5493.8 5813.5 -319.7 319.7362772 102231.287 0.0582 0.056553775 30181838.44 33797204.05 1984Q3 139 5541.3 19321 770240.7 5541.3 5848.8 -307.5 307.4726347 94539.42106 0.0555 0.053989583 30706005.69 34208141.33 1984Q4 140 5583.1 19600 781634 5583.1 5884.0 -300.9 300.9089921 90546.22152 0.0539 0.052482102 31171005.61 34621561.82 1985Q1 141 5629.7 19881 793787.7 5629.7 5919.2 -289.5 289.5453495 83836.50943 0.0514 0.050142301 31693522.09 35037465.51 1985Q2 142 5673.8 20164 805679.6 5673.8 5954.5 -280.7 280.681707 78782.22062 0.0495 0.048275698 32192006.44 35455852.40 1985Q3 143 5758.6 20449 823479.8 5758.6 5989.7 -231.1 231.1180644 53415.55969 0.0401 0.039344877 33161473.96 35876722.49 1985Q4 144 5806 20736 836064 5806 6025.0 -219.0 218.9544218 47941.03884 0.0377 0.037013822 33709636.00 36300075.79 1986Q1 145 5858.9 21025 849540.5 5858.9 6060.2 -201.3 201.2907793 40517.97782 0.0344 0.033776197 34326709.21 36725912.28 1986Q2 146 5883.3 21316 858961.8 5883.3 6095.4 -212.1 212.1271367 44997.92213 0.0361 0.035417308 34613218.89 37154231.98 1986Q3 147 5937.9 21609 872871.3 5937.9 6130.7 -192.8 192.7634941 37157.76467 0.0325 0.031944729 35258656.41 37585034.88 1986Q4 148 5969.5 21904 883486 5969.5 6165.9 -196.4 196.3998516 38572.9017 0.0329 0.032368089 35634930.25 38018320.98 1987Q1 149 6013.3 22201 895981.7 6013.3 6201.1 -187.8 187.836209 35282.44142 0.0312 0.030756427 36159776.89 38454090.28 1987Q2 150 6077.2 22500 911580 6077.2 6236.4 -159.2 159.1725665 25335.90591 0.0262 0.02585319 36932359.84 38892342.79 1987Q3 151 6128.1 22801 925343.1 6128.1 6271.6 -143.5 143.5089239 20594.81124 0.0234 0.023147144 37553609.61 39333078.49 1987Q4 152 6234.4 23104 947628.8 6234.4 6306.8 -72.4 72.44528133 5248.318786 0.0116 0.011553124 38867743.36 39776297.40 1988Q1 153 6275.9 23409 960212.7 6275.9 6342.1 -66.2 66.18163876 4380.009309 0.0105 0.010490052 39386920.81 40221999.51 1988Q2 154 6349.8 23716 977869.2 6349.8 6377.3 -27.5 27.5179962 757.2401147 0.0043 0.004324309 40319960.04 40670184.82 1988Q3 155 6382.3 24025 989256.5 6382.3 6412.6 -30.3 30.25435363 915.3259138 0.0047 0.004729144 40733753.29 41120853.34 1988Q4 156 6465.2 24336 1008571.2 6465.2 6447.8 17.4 17.40928893 303.083341 0.0027 0.002696399 41798811.04 41574005.05 1989Q1 157 6543.8 24649 1027376.6 6543.8 6483.0 60.8 60.77293149 3693.349202 0.0093 0.009330427 42821318.44 42029639.97 1989Q2 158 6579.4 24964 1039545.2 6579.4 6518.3 61.1 61.13657406 3737.680688 0.0093 0.009335493 43288504.36 42487758.09 1989Q3 159 6610.6 25281 1051085.4 6610.6 6553.5 57.1 57.10021662 3260.434738 0.0086 0.008675142 43700032.36 42948359.41 1989Q4 160 6633.5 25600 1061360 6633.5 6588.7 44.8 44.76385919 2003.803089 0.0067 0.006770997 44003322.25 43411443.93 1990Q1 161 6716.3 25921 1081324.3 6716.3 6624.0 92.3 92.32750175 8524.367579 0.0137 0.013841921 45108685.69 43877011.66 1990Q2 162 6731.7 26244 1090535.4 6731.7 6659.2 72.5 72.49114431 5254.966004 0.0108 0.010826919 45315784.89 44345062.58 1990Q3 163 6719.4 26569 1095262.2 6719.4 6694.4 25.0 24.95478688 622.7413881 0.0037 0.003720751 45150336.36 44815596.71 1990Q4 164 6664.2 26896 1092928.8 6664.2 6729.7 -65.5 65.48157056 4287.836083 0.0098 0.009777833 44411561.64 45288614.04 1991Q1 165 6631.4 27225 1094181 6631.4 6764.9 -133.5 133.517928 17827.0371 0.0201 0.019933526 43975465.96 45764114.57 1991Q2 166 6668.5 27556 1106971 6668.5 6800.2 -131.7 131.6542854 17332.85087 0.0197 0.019549731 44468892.25 46242098.31 1991Q3 167 6684.9 27889 1116378.3 6684.9 6835.4 -150.5 150.4906429 22647.43359 0.0225 0.022261451 44687888.01 46722565.24 1991Q4 168 6720.9 28224 1129111.2 6720.9 6870.6 -149.7 149.7270003 22418.17462 0.0223 0.022032403 45170496.81 47205515.38 1992Q1 169 6783.3 28561 1146377.7 6783.3 6905.9 -122.6 122.5633577 15021.77666 0.0181 0.017906625 46013158.89 47690948.72 1992Q2 170 6846.8 28900 1163956 6846.8 6941.1 -94.3 94.29971518 8892.436282 0.0138 0.013678619 46878670.24 48178865.26 1992Q3 171 6899.7 29241 1179848.7 6899.7 6976.3 -76.6 76.63607261 5873.087625 0.0111 0.011045816 47605860.09 48669265.00 1992Q4 172 6990.6 29584 1202383.2 6990.6 7011.6 -21.0 20.97243005 439.8428221 0.0030 0.002995597 48868488.36 49162147.94 1993Q1 173 6988.7 29929 1209045.1 6988.7 7046.8 -58.1 58.10878748 3376.631183 0.0083 0.008280254 48841927.69 49657514.09 1993Q2 174 7031.2 30276 1223428.8 7031.2 7082.0 -50.8 50.84514492 2585.228762 0.0072 0.007205309 49437773.44 50155363.43 1993Q3 175 7062 30625 1235850 7062 7117.3 -55.3 55.28150236 3056.044503 0.0078 0.007797504 49871844.00 50655695.98 1993Q4 176 7168.7 30976 1261691.2 7168.7 7152.5 16.2 16.18214021 261.8616617 0.0023 0.002259883 51390259.69 51158511.73 1994Q1 177 7229.4 31329 1279603.8 7229.4 7187.8 41.6 41.64578277 1734.371223 0.0058 0.005777254 52264224.36 51663810.69 1994Q2 178 7330.2 31684 1304775.6 7330.2 7223.0 107.2 107.2094253 11493.86088 0.0146 0.01473346 53731832.04 52171592.84 1994Q3 179 7370.2 32041 1319265.8 7370.2 7258.2 112.0 111.9730679 12537.96793 0.0152 0.015308969 54319848.04 52681858.20 1994Q4 180 7461.1 32400 1342998 7461.1 7293.5 167.6 167.6367105 28102.06669 0.0225 0.022723371 55668013.21 53194606.76 1995Q1 181 7488.7 32761 1355454.7 7488.7 7328.7 160.0 160.000353 25600.11297 0.0214 0.02159628 56080627.69 53709838.52 1995Q2 182 7503.3 33124 1365600.6 7503.3 7363.9 139.4 139.3639956 19422.32327 0.0186 0.018747802 56299510.89 54227553.48 1995Q3 183 7561.4 33489 1383736.2 7561.4 7399.2 162.2 162.2276382 26317.80658 0.0215 0.021687357 57174769.96 54747751.64 1995Q4 184 7621.9 33856 1402429.6 7621.9 7434.4 187.5 187.4912807 35152.98035 0.0246 0.024905345 58093359.61 55270433.01 1996Q1 185 7676.4 34225 1420134 7676.4 7469.6 206.8 206.7549233 42747.5983 0.0269 0.027301506 58927116.96 55795597.57 1996Q2 186 7802.9 34596 1451339.4 7802.9 7504.9 298.0 298.0185658 88815.06559 0.0382 0.038936872 60885248.41 56323245.34 1996Q3 187 7841.9 34969 1466435.3 7841.9 7540.1 301.8 301.7822084 91072.50131 0.0385 0.039238312 61495395.61 56853376.31 1996Q4 188 7931.3 35344 1491084.4 7931.3 7575.4 355.9 355.945851 126697.4488 0.0449 0.045908788 62905519.69 57385990.48 1997Q1 189 8016.4 35721 1515099.6 8016.4 7610.6 405.8 405.8094935 164681.345 0.0506 0.051936999 64262668.96 57921087.86 1997Q2 190 8131.9 36100 1545061 8131.9 7645.8 486.1 486.0731361 236267.0936 0.0598 0.061615103 66127797.61 58458668.43 1997Q3 191 8216.6 36481 1569370.6 8216.6 7681.1 535.5 535.5367787 286799.6413 0.0652 0.067373018 67512515.56 58998732.21 1997Q4 192 8272.9 36864 1588396.8 8272.9 7716.3 556.6 556.6004212 309804.0289 0.0673 0.069622049 68440874.41 59541279.19 1998Q1 193 8396.3 37249 1620485.9 8396.3 7751.5 644.8 644.7640638 415720.698 0.0768 0.079857644 70497853.69 60086309.37 1998Q2 194 8442.9 37636 1637922.6 8442.9 7786.8 656.1 656.1277064 430503.567 0.0777 0.080855324 71282560.41 60633822.75 1998Q3 195 8528.5 38025 1663057.5 8528.5 7822.0 706.5 706.4913489 499130.0261 0.0828 0.086418272 72735312.25 61183819.34 1998Q4 196 8667.9 38416 1698908.4 8667.9 7857.2 810.7 810.6549915 657161.5152 0.0935 0.098111695 75132490.41 61736299.12 1999Q1 197 8733.5 38809 1720499.5 8733.5 7892.5 841.0 841.018634 707312.3428 0.0963 0.101169202 76274022.25 62291262.11 1999Q2 198 8771.2 39204 1736697.6 8771.2 7927.7 843.5 843.4822766 711462.351 0.0962 0.101022388 76933949.44 62848708.30 1999Q3 199 8871.5 39601 1765428.5 8871.5 7963.0 908.5 908.5459192 825455.6872 0.1024 0.107938863 78703512.25 63408637.69 1999Q4 200 9049.9 40000 1809980 9049.9 7998.2 1051.7 1051.709562 1106093.002 0.1162 0.123381509 81900690.01 63971050.29 2000Q1 201 9102.5 40401 1829602.5 9102.5 8033.4 1069.1 1069.073204 1142917.516 0.1174 0.12477565 82855506.25 64535946.08 2000Q2 202 9229.4 40804 1864338.8 9229.4 8068.7 1160.7 1160.736847 1347310.028 0.1258 0.134204256 85181824.36 65103325.08 2000Q3 203 9260.1 41209 1879800.3 9260.1 8103.9 1156.2 1156.200489 1336799.572 0.1249 0.13317214 85749452.01 65673187.28 2000Q4 204 9303.9 41616 1897995.6 9303.9 8139.1 1164.8 1164.764132 1356675.483 0.1252 0.133550621 86562555.21 66245532.68 sumace 20910 930779.7 2850730 120333056.5 930779.7 930779.7 7.5579E-10 59438.652 28797095.07 16.28503354 17.33020777 5153991741 5125194646 (SE) SAE SSE X¨X= 204 20910 THEILovoU 0.03743 3.7049E-12 291.366 141162.231 7.983 8.495 20910 2850730 ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE 375.716 det (X¨X) 144320820 RMSE (X¨X)-1 0.019752729 -0.000144886 -0.000144886 1.41352E-06 X'y= 930779.7 120333056.5 b0 950.918951 950.919 gretl b1 35.23635744 35.2364 ##### Sheet/List 3 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí GDPUSA=yt t2 t3 t4 t*yt t2*yt skutečnost vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 APE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1 1 1 1610.5 1610.5 1610.5 1648.4 -37.9 37.89 1435.79 0.024 0.023 2593710.25 2717195.50 1950Q2 2 1658.8 4 8 16 3317.6 6635.2 1658.8 1664.1 -5.3 5.25 27.61 0.003 0.003 2751617.44 2769077.91 1950Q3 3 1723 9 27 81 5169 15507 1723 1679.9 43.1 43.09 1856.63 0.025 0.025 2968729.00 2822102.05 1950Q4 4 1753.9 16 64 256 7015.6 28062.4 1753.9 1696.0 57.9 57.94 3356.84 0.033 0.034 3076165.21 2876286.36 1951Q1 5 1773.5 25 125 625 8867.5 44337.5 1773.5 1712.2 61.3 61.29 3756.95 0.035 0.035 3145302.25 2931649.51 1951Q2 6 1803.7 36 216 1296 10822.2 64933.2 1803.7 1728.6 75.1 75.06 5633.39 0.042 0.042 3253333.69 2988210.39 1951Q3 7 1839.8 49 343 2401 12878.6 90150.2 1839.8 1745.3 94.5 94.52 8934.80 0.051 0.053 3384864.04 3045988.10 1951Q4 8 1843.3 64 512 4096 14746.4 117971.2 1843.3 1762.1 81.2 81.20 6593.18 0.044 0.045 3397754.89 3105002.00 1952Q1 9 1864.7 81 729 6561 16782.3 151040.7 1864.7 1779.1 85.6 85.58 7323.76 0.046 0.047 3477106.09 3165271.64 1952Q2 10 1866.2 100 1000 10000 18662 186620 1866.2 1796.3 69.9 69.87 4881.22 0.037 0.038 3482702.44 3226816.81 1952Q3 11 1878 121 1331 14641 20658 227238 1878 1813.7 64.3 64.26 4129.18 0.034 0.035 3526884.00 3289657.54 1952Q4 12 1940.2 144 1728 20736 23282.4 279388.8 1940.2 1831.3 108.9 108.86 11850.03 0.056 0.058 3764376.04 3353814.05 1953Q1 13 1976 169 2197 28561 25688 333944 1976 1849.1 126.9 126.86 16094.28 0.064 0.066 3904576.00 3419306.81 1953Q2 14 1992.2 196 2744 38416 27890.8 390471.2 1992.2 1867.1 125.1 125.07 15643.70 0.063 0.065 3968860.84 3486156.53 1953Q3 15 1979.5 225 3375 50625 29692.5 445387.5 1979.5 1885.3 94.2 94.19 8872.24 0.048 0.049 3918420.25 3554384.10 1953Q4 16 1947.8 256 4096 65536 31164.8 498636.8 1947.8 1903.7 44.1 44.12 1946.27 0.023 0.023 3793924.84 3624010.69 1954Q1 17 1938.1 289 4913 83521 32947.7 560110.9 1938.1 1922.3 15.8 15.85 251.12 0.008 0.008 3756231.61 3695057.64 1954Q2 18 1941 324 5832 104976 34938 628884 1941 1941.0 0.0 0.02 0.00 0.000 0.000 3767481.00 3767546.56 1954Q3 19 1962 361 6859 130321 37278 708282 1962 1960.0 2.0 2.03 4.10 0.001 0.001 3849444.00 3841499.26 1954Q4 20 2000.9 400 8000 160000 40018 800360 2000.9 1979.1 21.8 21.77 474.13 0.011 0.011 4003600.81 3916937.79 1955Q1 21 2058.1 441 9261 194481 43220.1 907622.1 2058.1 1998.5 59.6 59.63 3555.67 0.029 0.029 4235775.61 3993884.42 1955Q2 22 2091 484 10648 234256 46002 1012044 2091 2018.0 73.0 72.99 5327.64 0.035 0.036 4372281.00 4072361.63 1955Q3 23 2118.9 529 12167 279841 48734.7 1120898.1 2118.9 2037.7 81.2 81.16 6586.63 0.038 0.039 4489737.21 4152392.15 1955Q4 24 2130.1 576 13824 331776 51122.4 1226937.6 2130.1 2057.7 72.4 72.43 5246.35 0.034 0.035 4537326.01 4233998.93 1956Q1 25 2121 625 15625 390625 53025 1325625 2121 2077.8 43.2 43.21 1867.23 0.020 0.021 4498641.00 4317205.13 1956Q2 26 2137.7 676 17576 456976 55580.2 1445085.2 2137.7 2098.1 39.6 39.60 1567.96 0.019 0.019 4569761.29 4402034.15 1956Q3 27 2135.3 729 19683 531441 57653.1 1556633.7 2135.3 2118.6 16.7 16.69 278.55 0.008 0.008 4559506.09 4488509.60 1956Q4 28 2170.4 784 21952 614656 60771.2 1701593.6 2170.4 2139.3 31.1 31.09 966.47 0.014 0.014 4710636.16 4576655.34 1957Q1 29 2182.7 841 24389 707281 63298.3 1835650.7 2182.7 2160.2 22.5 22.49 505.92 0.010 0.010 4764179.29 4666495.44 1957Q2 30 2177.7 900 27000 810000 65331 1959930 2177.7 2181.3 -3.6 3.60 12.93 0.002 0.002 4742377.29 4758054.20 1957Q3 31 2198.9 961 29791 923521 68165.9 2113142.9 2198.9 2202.6 -3.7 3.68 13.54 0.002 0.002 4835161.21 4851356.13 1957Q4 32 2176 1024 32768 1048576 69632 2228224 2176 2224.1 -48.1 48.06 2309.40 0.022 0.022 4734976.00 4946425.98 1958Q1 33 2117.4 1089 35937 1185921 69874.2 2305848.6 2117.4 2245.7 -128.3 128.33 16467.76 0.061 0.059 4483382.76 5043288.73 1958Q2 34 2129.7 1156 39304 1336336 72409.8 2461933.2 2129.7 2267.6 -137.9 137.89 19013.97 0.065 0.063 4535622.09 5141969.57 1958Q3 35 2177.5 1225 42875 1500625 76212.5 2667437.5 2177.5 2289.6 -112.1 112.15 12577.47 0.052 0.050 4741506.25 5242493.93 1958Q4 36 2226.5 1296 46656 1679616 80154 2885544 2226.5 2311.9 -85.4 85.40 7293.38 0.038 0.038 4957302.25 5344887.46 1959Q1 37 2273 1369 50653 1874161 84101 3111737 2273 2334.3 -61.3 61.35 3763.46 0.027 0.027 5166529.00 5449176.02 1959Q2 38 2332.4 1444 54872 2085136 88631.2 3367985.6 2332.4 2357.0 -24.6 24.59 604.50 0.011 0.010 5440089.76 5555385.73 1959Q3 39 2331.4 1521 59319 2313441 90924.6 3546059.4 2331.4 2379.8 -48.4 48.42 2344.49 0.021 0.021 5435425.96 5663542.90 1959Q4 40 2339.1 1600 64000 2560000 93564 3742560 2339.1 2402.8 -63.7 63.75 4063.69 0.027 0.027 5471388.81 5773674.09 1960Q1 41 2391 1681 68921 2825761 98031 4019271 2391 2426.1 -35.1 35.07 1229.77 0.015 0.015 5716881.00 5885806.07 1960Q2 42 2379.2 1764 74088 3111696 99926.4 4196908.8 2379.2 2449.5 -70.3 70.28 4939.67 0.030 0.029 5660592.64 5999965.84 1960Q3 43 2383.6 1849 79507 3418801 102494.8 4407276.4 2383.6 2473.1 -89.5 89.49 8008.69 0.038 0.037 5681548.96 6116180.63 1960Q4 44 2352.9 1936 85184 3748096 103527.6 4555214.4 2352.9 2496.9 -144.0 143.99 20734.17 0.061 0.059 5536138.41 6234477.89 1961Q1 45 2366.5 2025 91125 4100625 106492.5 4792162.5 2366.5 2520.9 -154.4 154.39 23836.20 0.065 0.063 5600322.25 6354885.29 1961Q2 46 2410.8 2116 97336 4477456 110896.8 5101252.8 2410.8 2545.1 -134.3 134.28 18031.04 0.056 0.054 5811956.64 6477430.75 1961Q3 47 2450.4 2209 103823 4879681 115168.8 5412933.6 2450.4 2569.5 -119.1 119.06 14176.10 0.049 0.047 6004460.16 6602142.38 1961Q4 48 2500.4 2304 110592 5308416 120019.2 5760921.6 2500.4 2594.0 -93.6 93.64 8768.63 0.037 0.037 6252000.16 6729048.54 1962Q1 49 2544 2401 117649 5764801 124656 6108144 2544 2618.8 -74.8 74.81 5596.88 0.029 0.029 6471936.00 6858177.80 1962Q2 50 2571.5 2500 125000 6250000 128575 6428750 2571.5 2643.8 -72.3 72.28 5224.02 0.028 0.028 6612612.25 6989558.98 1962Q3 51 2596.8 2601 132651 6765201 132436.8 6754276.8 2596.8 2668.9 -72.1 72.14 5203.65 0.028 0.027 6743370.24 7123221.10 1962Q4 52 2603.3 2704 140608 7311616 135371.6 7039323.2 2603.3 2694.3 -91.0 90.99 8279.00 0.035 0.034 6777170.89 7259193.41 1963Q1 53 2634.1 2809 148877 7890481 139607.3 7399186.9 2634.1 2719.8 -85.7 85.74 7350.58 0.033 0.032 6938482.81 7397505.40 1963Q2 54 2668.4 2916 157464 8503056 144093.6 7781054.4 2668.4 2745.6 -77.2 77.18 5956.11 0.029 0.029 7120358.56 7538186.76 1963Q3 55 2719.6 3025 166375 9150625 149578 8226790 2719.6 2771.5 -51.9 51.91 2694.64 0.019 0.019 7396224.16 7681267.44 1963Q4 56 2739.4 3136 175616 9834496 153406.4 8590758.4 2739.4 2797.6 -58.2 58.24 3391.65 0.021 0.021 7504312.36 7826777.58 1964Q1 57 2800.5 3249 185193 10556001 159628.5 9098824.5 2800.5 2824.0 -23.5 23.46 550.35 0.008 0.008 7842800.25 7974747.57 1964Q2 58 2833.8 3364 195112 11316496 164360.4 164360.4 2833.8 2850.5 -16.7 16.68 278.06 0.006 0.006 8030422.44 8125208.01 1964Q3 59 2872 3481 205379 12117361 169448 169448 2872 2877.2 -5.2 5.18 26.88 0.002 0.002 8248384.00 8278189.73 1964Q4 60 2879.5 3600 216000 12960000 172770 172770 2879.5 2904.1 -24.6 24.59 604.54 0.009 0.009 8291520.25 8433723.80 1965Q1 61 2950.1 3721 226981 13845841 179956.1 10977322.1 2950.1 2931.2 18.9 18.92 357.80 0.006 0.006 8703090.01 8591841.49 1965Q2 62 2989.9 3844 238328 14776336 185373.8 11493175.6 2989.9 2958.5 31.4 31.43 987.53 0.011 0.011 8939502.01 8752574.31 1965Q3 63 3050.7 3969 250047 15752961 192194.1 12108228.3 3050.7 2986.0 64.7 64.74 4191.34 0.021 0.021 9306770.49 8915954.00 1965Q4 64 3123.6 4096 262144 16777216 199910.4 12794265.6 3123.6 3013.6 110.0 109.96 12091.70 0.035 0.036 9756876.96 9082012.51 1966Q1 65 3201.1 4225 274625 17850625 208071.5 13524647.5 3201.1 3041.5 159.6 159.59 25469.02 0.050 0.051 10247041.21 9250782.02 1966Q2 66 3213.2 4356 287496 18974736 212071.2 13996699.2 3213.2 3069.6 143.6 143.62 20627.94 0.045 0.046 10324654.24 9422294.96 1966Q3 67 3233.6 4489 300763 20151121 216651.2 14515630.4 3233.6 3097.8 135.8 135.76 18432.04 0.042 0.043 10456168.96 9596583.94 1966Q4 68 3261.8 4624 314432 21381376 221802.4 15082563.2 3261.8 3126.3 135.5 135.51 18363.28 0.042 0.042 10639339.24 9773681.83 1967Q1 69 3291.8 4761 328509 22667121 227134.2 15672259.8 3291.8 3154.9 136.9 136.86 18731.73 0.042 0.042 10835947.24 9953621.72 1967Q2 70 3289.7 4900 343000 24010000 230279 16119530 3289.7 3183.8 105.9 105.92 11219.65 0.032 0.033 10822126.09 10136436.92 1967Q3 71 3313.5 5041 357911 25411681 235258.5 16703353.5 3313.5 3212.8 100.7 100.69 10138.07 0.030 0.031 10979282.25 10322160.96 1967Q4 72 3338.3 5184 373248 26873856 240357.6 17305747.2 3338.3 3242.0 96.3 96.26 9265.86 0.029 0.029 11144246.89 10510827.60 1968Q1 73 3406.2 5329 389017 28398241 248652.6 18151639.8 3406.2 3271.5 134.7 134.74 18154.03 0.040 0.040 11602198.44 10702470.83 1968Q2 74 3464.8 5476 405224 29986576 256395.2 18973244.8 3464.8 3301.1 163.7 163.72 26804.45 0.047 0.048 12004839.04 10897124.86 1968Q3 75 3489.2 5625 421875 31640625 261690 19626750 3489.2 3330.9 158.3 158.31 25062.25 0.045 0.046 12174516.64 11094824.14 1968Q4 76 3504.1 5776 438976 33362176 266311.6 20239681.6 3504.1 3360.9 143.2 143.21 20508.18 0.041 0.042 12278716.81 11295603.31 1969Q1 77 3558.3 5929 456533 35153041 273989.1 21097160.7 3558.3 3391.1 167.2 167.21 27958.89 0.047 0.048 12661498.89 11499497.27 1969Q2 78 3567.6 6084 474552 37015056 278272.8 21705278.4 3567.6 3421.5 146.1 146.12 21350.38 0.041 0.042 12727769.76 11706541.14 1969Q3 79 3588.3 6241 493039 38950081 283475.7 22394580.3 3588.3 3452.1 136.2 136.23 18559.29 0.038 0.039 12875896.89 11916770.24 1969Q4 80 3571.4 6400 512000 40960000 285712 22856960 3571.4 3482.8 88.6 88.55 7841.71 0.025 0.025 12754897.96 12130220.16 1970Q1 81 3566.5 6561 531441 43046721 288886.5 23399806.5 3566.5 3513.8 52.7 52.68 2775.25 0.015 0.015 12719922.25 12346926.66 1970Q2 82 3573.9 6724 551368 45212176 293059.8 24030903.6 3573.9 3545.0 28.9 28.91 836.02 0.008 0.008 12772761.21 12566925.78 1970Q3 83 3605.2 6889 571787 47458321 299231.6 24836222.8 3605.2 3576.3 28.9 28.85 832.53 0.008 0.008 12997467.04 12790253.74 1970Q4 84 3566.5 7056 592704 49787136 299586 25165224 3566.5 3607.9 -41.4 41.40 1714.01 0.012 0.012 12719922.25 13016947.02 1971Q1 85 3666.1 7225 614125 52200625 311618.5 26487572.5 3666.1 3639.6 26.5 26.45 699.67 0.007 0.007 13440289.21 13247042.31 1971Q2 86 3686.2 7396 636056 54700816 317013.2 27263135.2 3686.2 3671.6 14.6 14.61 213.44 0.004 0.004 13588070.44 13480576.51 1971Q3 87 3714.5 7569 658503 57289761 323161.5 28115050.5 3714.5 3703.7 10.8 10.77 116.08 0.003 0.003 13797510.25 13717586.78 1971Q4 88 3723.8 7744 681472 59969536 327694.4 28837107.2 3723.8 3736.1 -12.3 12.26 150.20 0.003 0.003 13866686.44 13958110.47 1972Q1 89 3796.9 7921 704969 62742241 337924.1 30075244.9 3796.9 3768.6 28.3 28.32 802.10 0.007 0.007 14416449.61 14202185.19 1972Q2 90 3883.8 8100 729000 65610000 349542 31458780 3883.8 3801.3 82.5 82.50 6806.96 0.021 0.021 15083902.44 14449848.75 1972Q3 91 3922.3 8281 753571 68574961 356929.3 32480566.3 3922.3 3834.2 88.1 88.09 7760.47 0.022 0.023 15384437.29 14701139.19 1972Q4 92 3990.5 8464 778688 71639296 367126 33775592 3990.5 3867.3 123.2 123.19 15175.52 0.031 0.031 15924090.25 14956094.77 1973Q1 93 4092.3 8649 804357 74805201 380583.9 35394302.7 4092.3 3900.6 191.7 191.69 36745.27 0.047 0.048 16746919.29 15214754.00 1973Q2 94 4133.3 8836 830584 78074896 388530.2 36521838.8 4133.3 3934.1 199.2 199.20 39679.99 0.048 0.049 17084168.89 15477155.60 1973Q3 95 4117 9025 857375 81450625 391115 37155925 4117 3967.8 149.2 149.21 22264.34 0.036 0.037 16949689.00 15743338.49 1973Q4 96 4151.1 9216 884736 84934656 398505.6 38256537.6 4151.1 4001.7 149.4 149.43 22330.11 0.036 0.037 17231631.21 16013341.86 1974Q1 97 4119.3 9409 912673 88529281 399572.1 38758493.7 4119.3 4035.7 83.6 83.56 6982.11 0.020 0.020 16968632.49 16287205.11 1974Q2 98 4130.4 9604 941192 92236816 404779.2 39668361.6 4130.4 4070.0 60.4 60.39 3647.15 0.015 0.015 17060204.16 16564967.84 1974Q3 99 4084.5 9801 970299 96059601 404365.5 40032184.5 4084.5 4104.5 -20.0 19.97 398.78 0.005 0.005 16683140.25 16846669.91 1974Q4 100 4062 10000 1000000 100000000 406200 40620000 4062 4139.1 -77.1 77.12 5948.18 0.019 0.019 16499844.00 17132351.38 1975Q1 101 4010 10201 1030301 104060401 405010 40906010 4010 4174.0 -164.0 163.97 26887.22 0.041 0.040 16080100.00 17422052.56 1975Q2 102 4045.2 10404 1061208 108243216 412610.4 42086260.8 4045.2 4209.0 -163.8 163.82 26835.61 0.040 0.040 16363643.04 17715813.96 1975Q3 103 4115.4 10609 1092727 112550881 423886.2 43660278.6 4115.4 4244.3 -128.9 128.85 16602.88 0.031 0.031 16936517.16 18013676.33 1975Q4 104 4167.2 10816 1124864 116985856 433388.8 45072435.2 4167.2 4279.7 -112.5 112.48 12652.27 0.027 0.027 17365555.84 18315680.64 1976Q1 105 4266.1 11025 1157625 121550625 447940.5 47033752.5 4266.1 4315.3 -49.2 49.21 2421.26 0.012 0.011 18199609.21 18621868.09 1976Q2 106 4301.5 11236 1191016 126247696 455959 48331654 4301.5 4351.1 -49.6 49.62 2462.54 0.012 0.011 18502902.25 18932280.11 1976Q3 107 4321.9 11449 1225043 131079601 462443.3 49481433.1 4321.9 4387.1 -65.2 65.24 4255.68 0.015 0.015 18678819.61 19246958.34 1976Q4 108 4357.4 11664 1259712 136048896 470599.2 50824713.6 4357.4 4423.3 -65.9 65.94 4348.20 0.015 0.015 18986934.76 19565944.66 1977Q1 109 4410.5 11881 1295029 141158161 480744.5 52401150.5 4410.5 4459.7 -49.2 49.24 2424.58 0.011 0.011 19452510.25 19889281.15 1977Q2 110 4489.8 12100 1331000 146410000 493878 54326580 4489.8 4496.3 -6.5 6.53 42.68 0.001 0.001 20158304.04 20217010.16 1977Q3 111 4570.6 12321 1367631 151807041 507336.6 56314362.6 4570.6 4533.1 37.5 37.48 1404.77 0.008 0.008 20890384.36 20549174.23 1977Q4 112 4576.1 12544 1404928 157351936 512523.2 57402598.4 4576.1 4570.1 6.0 6.00 36.00 0.001 0.001 20940691.21 20885816.12 1978Q1 113 4588.9 12769 1442897 163047361 518545.7 58595664.1 4588.9 4607.3 -18.4 18.37 337.62 0.004 0.004 21058003.21 21226978.86 1978Q2 114 4765.7 12996 1481544 168896016 543289.8 61935037.2 4765.7 4644.6 121.1 121.06 14654.87 0.025 0.026 22711896.49 21572705.65 1978Q3 115 4811.7 13225 1520875 174900625 553345.5 63634732.5 4811.7 4682.2 129.5 129.50 16769.06 0.027 0.027 23152456.89 21923039.94 1978Q4 116 4876 13456 1560896 181063936 565616 65611456 4876 4720.0 156.0 156.04 24348.38 0.032 0.033 23775376.00 22278025.43 1979Q1 117 4888.3 13689 1601613 187388721 571931.1 66915938.7 4888.3 4757.9 130.4 130.39 17001.59 0.027 0.027 23895476.89 22637706.00 1979Q2 118 4891.4 13924 1643032 193877776 577185.2 68107853.6 4891.4 4796.1 95.3 95.35 9091.02 0.019 0.020 23925793.96 23002125.79 1979Q3 119 4926.2 14161 1685159 200533921 586217.8 69759918.2 4926.2 4834.4 91.8 91.81 8429.03 0.019 0.019 24267446.44 23371329.15 1979Q4 120 4942.6 14400 1728000 207360000 593112 71173440 4942.6 4872.9 69.7 69.68 4855.14 0.014 0.014 24429294.76 23745360.65 1980Q1 121 4958.9 14641 1771561 214358881 600026.9 72603254.9 4958.9 4911.6 47.3 47.25 2232.95 0.010 0.010 24590689.21 24124265.10 1980Q2 122 4857.8 14884 1815848 221533456 592651.6 72303495.2 4857.8 4950.6 -92.8 92.76 8605.23 0.019 0.019 23598220.84 24508087.52 1980Q3 123 4850.3 15129 1860867 228886641 596586.9 73380188.7 4850.3 4989.7 -139.4 139.38 19425.85 0.029 0.028 23525410.09 24896873.17 1980Q4 124 4936.6 15376 1906624 236421376 612138.4 75905161.6 4936.6 5029.0 -92.4 92.38 8534.57 0.019 0.019 24370019.56 25290667.54 1981Q1 125 5032.5 15625 1953125 244140625 629062.5 78632812.5 5032.5 5068.5 -36.0 35.98 1294.75 0.007 0.007 25326056.25 25689516.31 1981Q2 126 4997.3 15876 2000376 252047376 629659.8 79337134.8 4997.3 5108.2 -110.9 110.88 12293.56 0.022 0.022 24973007.29 26093465.43 1981Q3 127 5056.8 16129 2048383 260144641 642213.6 81561127.2 5056.8 5148.1 -91.3 91.26 8329.08 0.018 0.018 25571226.24 26502561.05 1981Q4 128 4997.1 16384 2097152 268435456 639628.8 81872486.4 4997.1 5188.1 -191.0 191.05 36498.23 0.038 0.038 24971008.41 26916849.55 1982Q1 129 4914.3 16641 2146689 276922881 633944.7 81778866.3 4914.3 5228.4 -314.1 314.12 98671.48 0.064 0.062 24150344.49 27336377.53 1982Q2 130 4935.5 16900 2197000 285610000 641615 83409950 4935.5 5268.9 -333.4 333.39 111148.26 0.068 0.065 24359160.25 27761191.82 1982Q3 131 4912.1 17161 2248091 294499921 643485.1 84296548.1 4912.1 5309.6 -397.5 397.45 157967.87 0.081 0.078 24128726.41 28191339.49 1982Q4 132 4915.6 17424 2299968 303595776 648859.2 85649414.4 4915.6 5350.4 -434.8 434.81 189058.16 0.088 0.085 24163123.36 28626867.81 1983Q1 133 4972.4 17689 2352637 312900721 661329.2 87956783.6 4972.4 5391.5 -419.1 419.06 175609.99 0.084 0.081 24724761.76 29067824.30 1983Q2 134 5089.8 17956 2406104 322417936 682033.2 91392448.8 5089.8 5432.7 -342.9 342.90 117582.14 0.067 0.065 25906064.04 29514256.67 1983Q3 135 5180.4 18225 2460375 332150625 699354 94412790 5180.4 5474.1 -293.7 293.74 86283.41 0.057 0.055 26836544.16 29966212.90 1983Q4 136 5286.8 18496 2515456 342102016 719004.8 97784652.8 5286.8 5515.8 -229.0 228.97 52428.19 0.043 0.042 27950254.24 30423741.16 1984Q1 137 5402.3 18769 2571353 352275361 740115.1 101395768.7 5402.3 5557.6 -155.3 155.30 24117.31 0.029 0.028 29184845.29 30886889.87 1984Q2 138 5493.8 19044 2628072 362673936 758144.4 104623927.2 5493.8 5599.6 -105.8 105.82 11197.18 0.019 0.019 30181838.44 31355707.65 1984Q3 139 5541.3 19321 2685619 373301041 770240.7 107063457.3 5541.3 5641.8 -100.5 100.53 10106.24 0.018 0.018 30706005.69 31830243.37 1984Q4 140 5583.1 19600 2744000 384160000 781634 109428760 5583.1 5684.2 -101.1 101.14 10228.62 0.018 0.018 31171005.61 32310546.11 1985Q1 141 5629.7 19881 2803221 395254161 793787.7 111924065.7 5629.7 5726.8 -97.1 97.14 9435.65 0.017 0.017 31693522.09 32796665.18 1985Q2 142 5673.8 20164 2863288 406586896 805679.6 114406503.2 5673.8 5769.6 -95.8 95.83 9183.72 0.017 0.017 32192006.44 33288650.12 1985Q3 143 5758.6 20449 2924207 418161601 823479.8 117757611.4 5758.6 5812.6 -54.0 54.02 2918.15 0.009 0.009 33161473.96 33786550.68 1985Q4 144 5806 20736 2985984 429981696 836064 120393216 5806 5855.8 -49.8 49.80 2480.24 0.009 0.009 33709636.00 34290416.85 1986Q1 145 5858.9 21025 3048625 442050625 849540.5 123183372.5 5858.9 5899.2 -40.3 40.28 1622.30 0.007 0.007 34326709.21 34800298.85 1986Q2 146 5883.3 21316 3112136 454371856 858961.8 125408422.8 5883.3 5942.7 -59.4 59.45 3534.00 0.010 0.010 34613218.89 35316247.11 1986Q3 147 5937.9 21609 3176523 466948881 872871.3 128312081.1 5937.9 5986.5 -48.6 48.61 2363.02 0.008 0.008 35258656.41 35838312.29 1986Q4 148 5969.5 21904 3241792 479785216 883486 130755928 5969.5 6030.5 -61.0 60.97 3717.11 0.010 0.010 35634930.25 36366545.28 1987Q1 149 6013.3 22201 3307949 492884401 895981.7 133501273.3 6013.3 6074.6 -61.3 61.32 3760.03 0.010 0.010 36159776.89 36900997.20 1987Q2 150 6077.2 22500 3375000 506250000 911580 136737000 6077.2 6119.0 -41.8 41.76 1744.22 0.007 0.007 36932359.84 37441719.37 1987Q3 151 6128.1 22801 3442951 519885601 925343.1 139726808.1 6128.1 6163.5 -35.4 35.40 1253.34 0.006 0.006 37553609.61 37988763.36 1987Q4 152 6234.4 23104 3511808 533794816 947628.8 144039577.6 6234.4 6208.2 26.2 26.17 684.61 0.004 0.004 38867743.36 38542180.97 1988Q1 153 6275.9 23409 3581577 547981281 960212.7 146912543.1 6275.9 6253.2 22.7 22.74 517.06 0.004 0.004 39386920.81 39102024.21 1988Q2 154 6349.8 23716 3652264 562448656 977869.2 150591856.8 6349.8 6298.3 51.5 51.52 2654.19 0.008 0.008 40319960.04 39668345.31 1988Q3 155 6382.3 24025 3723875 577200625 989256.5 153334757.5 6382.3 6343.6 38.7 38.71 1498.08 0.006 0.006 40733753.29 40241196.74 1988Q4 156 6465.2 24336 3796416 592240896 1008571.2 157337107.2 6465.2 6389.1 76.1 76.10 5790.82 0.012 0.012 41798811.04 40820631.19 1989Q1 157 6543.8 24649 3869893 607573201 1027376.6 161298126.2 6543.8 6434.8 109.0 109.00 11880.14 0.017 0.017 42821318.44 41406701.58 1989Q2 158 6579.4 24964 3944312 623201296 1039545.2 164248141.6 6579.4 6480.7 98.7 98.70 9741.86 0.015 0.015 43288504.36 41999461.04 1989Q3 159 6610.6 25281 4019679 639128961 1051085.4 167122578.6 6610.6 6526.8 83.8 83.81 7024.43 0.013 0.013 43700032.36 42598962.95 1989Q4 160 6633.5 25600 4096000 655360000 1061360 169817600 6633.5 6573.1 60.4 60.43 3651.68 0.009 0.009 44003322.25 43205260.89 1990Q1 161 6716.3 25921 4173281 671898241 1081324.3 174093212.3 6716.3 6619.5 96.8 96.75 9361.05 0.014 0.015 45108685.69 43818408.68 1990Q2 162 6731.7 26244 4251528 688747536 1090535.4 176666734.8 6731.7 6666.2 65.5 65.48 4287.91 0.010 0.010 45315784.89 44438460.36 1990Q3 163 6719.4 26569 4330747 705911761 1095262.2 178527738.6 6719.4 6713.1 6.3 6.32 39.92 0.001 0.001 45150336.36 45065470.21 1990Q4 164 6664.2 26896 4410944 723394816 1092928.8 179240323.2 6664.2 6760.1 -95.9 95.94 9204.48 0.014 0.014 44411561.64 45699492.71 1991Q1 165 6631.4 27225 4492125 741200625 1094181 180539865 6631.4 6807.4 -176.0 175.99 30973.10 0.027 0.026 43975465.96 46340582.57 1991Q2 166 6668.5 27556 4574296 759333136 1106971 183757186 6668.5 6854.8 -186.3 186.34 34721.60 0.028 0.028 44468892.25 46988794.76 1991Q3 167 6684.9 27889 4657463 777796321 1116378.3 186435176.1 6684.9 6902.5 -217.6 217.58 47339.62 0.033 0.032 44687888.01 47644184.43 1991Q4 168 6720.9 28224 4741632 796594176 1129111.2 189690681.6 6720.9 6950.3 -229.4 229.41 52628.88 0.034 0.034 45170496.81 48306806.97 1992Q1 169 6783.3 28561 4826809 815730721 1146377.7 193737831.3 6783.3 6998.3 -215.0 215.04 46240.83 0.032 0.031 46013158.89 48976718.01 1992Q2 170 6846.8 28900 4913000 835210000 1163956 197872520 6846.8 7046.6 -199.8 199.76 39903.08 0.029 0.029 46878670.24 49653973.40 1992Q3 171 6899.7 29241 5000211 855036081 1179848.7 201754127.7 6899.7 7095.0 -195.3 195.27 38131.20 0.028 0.028 47605860.09 50338629.20 1992Q4 172 6990.6 29584 5088448 875213056 1202383.2 206809910.4 6990.6 7143.6 -153.0 152.98 23403.02 0.022 0.022 48868488.36 51030741.70 1993Q1 173 6988.7 29929 5177717 895745041 1209045.1 209164802.3 6988.7 7192.4 -203.7 203.68 41486.60 0.029 0.029 48841927.69 51730367.44 1993Q2 174 7031.2 30276 5268024 916636176 1223428.8 212876611.2 7031.2 7241.4 -210.2 210.18 44175.02 0.030 0.029 49437773.44 52437563.15 1993Q3 175 7062 30625 5359375 937890625 1235850 216273750 7062 7290.6 -228.6 228.57 52243.46 0.032 0.032 49871844.00 53152385.80 1993Q4 176 7168.7 30976 5451776 959512576 1261691.2 222057651.2 7168.7 7340.0 -171.3 171.25 29327.18 0.024 0.024 51390259.69 53874892.60 1994Q1 177 7229.4 31329 5545233 981506241 1279603.8 226489872.6 7229.4 7389.5 -160.1 160.13 25641.34 0.022 0.022 52264224.36 54605140.97 1994Q2 178 7330.2 31684 5639752 1003875856 1304775.6 232250056.8 7330.2 7439.3 -109.1 109.10 11902.87 0.015 0.015 53731832.04 55343188.55 1994Q3 179 7370.2 32041 5735339 1026625681 1319265.8 236148578.2 7370.2 7489.3 -119.1 119.07 14176.52 0.016 0.016 54319848.04 56089093.21 1994Q4 180 7461.1 32400 5832000 1049760000 1342998 241739640 7461.1 7539.4 -78.3 78.32 6134.64 0.010 0.010 55668013.21 56842913.06 1995Q1 181 7488.7 32761 5929741 1073283121 1355454.7 245337300.7 7488.7 7589.8 -101.1 101.08 10216.45 0.013 0.013 56080627.69 57604706.42 1995Q2 182 7503.3 33124 6028568 1097199376 1365600.6 248539309.2 7503.3 7640.3 -137.0 137.02 18775.24 0.018 0.018 56299510.89 58374531.84 1995Q3 183 7561.4 33489 6128487 1121513121 1383736.2 253223724.6 7561.4 7691.1 -129.7 129.66 16812.46 0.017 0.017 57174769.96 59152448.09 1995Q4 184 7621.9 33856 6229504 1146228736 1402429.6 258047046.4 7621.9 7742.0 -120.1 120.10 14423.24 0.016 0.016 58093359.61 59938514.17 1996Q1 185 7676.4 34225 6331625 1171350625 1420134 262724790 7676.4 7793.1 -116.7 116.72 13624.61 0.015 0.015 58927116.96 60732789.30 1996Q2 186 7802.9 34596 6434856 1196883216 1451339.4 269949128.4 7802.9 7844.4 -41.5 41.55 1726.07 0.005 0.005 60885248.41 61535332.95 1996Q3 187 7841.9 34969 6539203 1222830961 1466435.3 274223401.1 7841.9 7896.0 -54.1 54.06 2922.62 0.007 0.007 61495395.61 62346204.77 1996Q4 188 7931.3 35344 6644672 1249198336 1491084.4 280323867.2 7931.3 7947.7 -16.4 16.37 267.99 0.002 0.002 62905519.69 63165464.68 1997Q1 189 8016.4 35721 6751269 1275989841 1515099.6 286353824.4 8016.4 7999.6 16.8 16.83 283.14 0.002 0.002 64262668.96 63993172.80 1997Q2 190 8131.9 36100 6859000 1303210000 1545061 293561590 8131.9 8051.7 80.2 80.23 6436.86 0.010 0.010 66127797.61 64829389.48 1997Q3 191 8216.6 36481 6967871 1330863361 1569370.6 299749784.6 8216.6 8104.0 112.6 112.64 12687.66 0.014 0.014 67512515.56 65674175.30 1997Q4 192 8272.9 36864 7077888 1358954496 1588396.8 304972185.6 8272.9 8156.4 116.5 116.46 13561.82 0.014 0.014 68440874.41 66527591.06 1998Q1 193 8396.3 37249 7189057 1387488001 1620485.9 312753778.7 8396.3 8209.1 187.2 187.18 35035.29 0.022 0.023 70497853.69 67389697.79 1998Q2 194 8442.9 37636 7301384 1416468496 1637922.6 317756984.4 8442.9 8262.0 180.9 180.91 32726.72 0.021 0.022 71282560.41 68260556.75 1998Q3 195 8528.5 38025 7414875 1445900625 1663057.5 324296212.5 8528.5 8315.1 213.4 213.44 45556.46 0.025 0.025 72735312.25 69140229.40 1998Q4 196 8667.9 38416 7529536 1475789056 1698908.4 332986046.4 8667.9 8368.3 299.6 299.58 89748.25 0.035 0.035 75132490.41 70028777.46 1999Q1 197 8733.5 38809 7645373 1506138481 1720499.5 338938401.5 8733.5 8421.8 311.7 311.73 97173.63 0.036 0.036 76274022.25 70926262.85 1999Q2 198 8771.2 39204 7762392 1536953616 1736697.6 343866124.8 8771.2 8475.4 295.8 295.78 87485.68 0.034 0.034 76933949.44 71832747.73 1999Q3 199 8871.5 39601 7880599 1568239201 1765428.5 351320271.5 8871.5 8529.3 342.2 342.24 117127.48 0.039 0.039 78703512.25 72748294.47 1999Q4 200 9049.9 40000 8000000 1600000000 1809980 361996000 9049.9 8583.3 466.6 466.60 217719.54 0.052 0.053 81900690.01 73672965.69 2000Q1 201 9102.5 40401 8120601 1632240801 1829602.5 367750102.5 9102.5 8637.5 465.0 464.98 216202.50 0.051 0.052 82855506.25 74606824.22 2000Q2 202 9229.4 40804 8242408 1664966416 1864338.8 376596437.6 9229.4 8691.9 537.5 537.45 288856.32 0.058 0.060 85181824.36 75549933.10 2000Q3 203 9260.1 41209 8365427 1698181681 1879800.3 381599460.9 9260.1 8746.6 513.5 513.54 263720.76 0.055 0.057 85749452.01 76502355.62 2000Q4 204 9303.9 41616 8489664 1731891456 1897995.6 387191102.4 9303.9 8801.4 502.5 502.53 252534.04 0.054 0.056 86562555.21 77464155.29 sumace 20910 930779.7 2850730 437228100 71529947014 120333056.5 18307309272 930779.7 930779.7 -1.0581E-08 23136.883 4674181.522 5.298 5.297802679 5153991741 5143621876 (SE) SAE SSE THEILovoU 0.01507 0.0000E+00 113.416 22912.655 2.5972 2.5970 ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE 151.369 RMSE X¨X= 204 20910 2850730 adj(X¨X)= 1.27442E+16 2.49272E+14 1.01578E+12 20910 2850730 437228100 2.49272E+14 6.46545E+12 29585768100 2850730 437228100 71529947014 1.01578E+12 29585768100 144320820 det (X¨X) 2.8324E+17 (X¨X)-1 0.044994133 -0.000880072 3.58628E-06 -0.000880072 2.28267E-05 -1.04455E-07 3.58628E-06 -1.04455E-07 5.09535E-10 X'y = 930779.7 120333056.5 18307309272 b0 1632.922725 1738.32 gretl b1 15.37216985 12.3023 b2 0.096898476 0.111874 ##### Sheet/List 4 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí GDPUSA=yt t2 t3 t4 t*yt t2*yt skutečnost vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 MAPE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1 1 1 1610.5 1610.5 1610.5 1585.9 24.570 24.570 603.680 0.015 0.015 2593710.25 2515174.28 1950Q2 2 1658.8 4 8 16 3317.6 6635.2 1658.8 1608.3 50.490 50.490 2549.200 0.030 0.031 2751617.44 2586662.33 1950Q3 3 1723 9 27 81 5169 15507 1723 1630.7 92.327 92.327 8524.221 0.054 0.055 2968729.00 2659095.39 1950Q4 4 1753.9 16 64 256 7015.6 28062.4 1753.9 1653.0 100.879 100.879 10176.535 0.058 0.059 3076165.21 2732479.04 1951Q1 5 1773.5 25 125 625 8867.5 44337.5 1773.5 1675.4 98.144 98.144 9632.151 0.055 0.057 3145302.25 2806819.33 1951Q2 6 1803.7 36 216 1296 10822.2 64933.2 1803.7 1697.7 106.018 106.018 11239.909 0.059 0.061 3253333.69 2882122.69 1951Q3 7 1839.8 49 343 2401 12878.6 90150.2 1839.8 1720.0 119.801 119.801 14352.316 0.065 0.067 3384864.04 2958396.03 1951Q4 8 1843.3 64 512 4096 14746.4 117971.2 1843.3 1742.3 100.989 100.989 10198.834 0.055 0.056 3397754.89 3035646.66 1952Q1 9 1864.7 81 729 6561 16782.3 151040.7 1864.7 1764.6 100.080 100.080 10016.087 0.054 0.055 3477106.09 3113882.33 1952Q2 10 1866.2 100 1000 10000 18662 186620 1866.2 1786.9 79.272 79.272 6284.071 0.042 0.043 3482702.44 3193111.20 1952Q3 11 1878 121 1331 14641 20658 227238 1878 1809.2 68.762 68.762 4728.223 0.037 0.037 3526884.00 3273341.88 1952Q4 12 1940.2 144 1728 20736 23282.4 279388.8 1940.2 1831.6 108.648 108.648 11804.348 0.056 0.058 3764376.04 3354583.40 1953Q1 13 1976 169 2197 28561 25688 333944 1976 1853.9 122.127 122.127 14914.997 0.062 0.064 3904576.00 3436845.21 1953Q2 14 1992.2 196 2744 38416 27890.8 390471.2 1992.2 1876.2 115.997 115.997 13455.334 0.058 0.060 3968860.84 3520137.22 1953Q3 15 1979.5 225 3375 50625 29692.5 445387.5 1979.5 1898.5 80.956 80.956 6553.857 0.041 0.042 3918420.25 3604469.71 1953Q4 16 1947.8 256 4096 65536 31164.8 498636.8 1947.8 1920.9 26.901 26.901 723.657 0.014 0.014 3793924.84 3689853.46 1954Q1 17 1938.1 289 4913 83521 32947.7 560110.9 1938.1 1943.3 -5.170 5.170 26.732 0.003 0.003 3756231.61 3776299.63 1954Q2 18 1941 324 5832 104976 34938 628884 1941 1965.7 -24.660 24.660 608.123 0.013 0.013 3767481.00 3863819.82 1954Q3 19 1962 361 6859 130321 37278 708282 1962 1988.1 -26.071 26.071 679.694 0.013 0.013 3849444.00 3952426.08 1954Q4 20 2000.9 400 8000 160000 40018 800360 2000.9 2010.5 -9.605 9.605 92.258 0.005 0.005 4003600.81 4042130.87 1955Q1 21 2058.1 441 9261 194481 43220.1 907622.1 2058.1 2033.0 25.135 25.135 631.763 0.012 0.012 4235775.61 4132947.10 1955Q2 22 2091 484 10648 234256 46002 1012044 2091 2055.5 35.547 35.547 1263.570 0.017 0.017 4372281.00 4224888.12 1955Q3 23 2118.9 529 12167 279841 48734.7 1120898.1 2118.9 2078.0 40.928 40.928 1675.100 0.019 0.020 4489737.21 4317967.69 1955Q4 24 2130.1 576 13824 331776 51122.4 1226937.6 2130.1 2100.5 29.576 29.576 874.755 0.014 0.014 4537326.01 4412200.03 1956Q1 25 2121 625 15625 390625 53025 1325625 2121 2123.1 -2.111 2.111 4.456 0.001 0.001 4498641.00 4507599.79 1956Q2 26 2137.7 676 17576 456976 55580.2 1445085.2 2137.7 2145.7 -8.036 8.036 64.574 0.004 0.004 4569761.29 4604182.06 1956Q3 27 2135.3 729 19683 531441 57653.1 1556633.7 2135.3 2168.4 -33.101 33.101 1095.668 0.016 0.015 4559506.09 4701962.39 1956Q4 28 2170.4 784 21952 614656 60771.2 1701593.6 2170.4 2191.1 -20.709 20.709 428.845 0.010 0.009 4710636.16 4800956.74 1957Q1 29 2182.7 841 24389 707281 63298.3 1835650.7 2182.7 2213.9 -31.161 31.161 971.022 0.014 0.014 4764179.29 4901181.55 1957Q2 30 2177.7 900 27000 810000 65331 1959930 2177.7 2236.7 -58.961 58.961 3476.433 0.027 0.027 4742377.29 5002653.69 1957Q3 31 2198.9 961 29791 923521 68165.9 2113142.9 2198.9 2259.5 -60.611 60.611 3673.708 0.028 0.027 4835161.21 5105390.49 1957Q4 32 2176 1024 32768 1048576 69632 2228224 2176 2282.4 -106.413 106.413 11323.755 0.049 0.048 4734976.00 5209409.72 1958Q1 33 2117.4 1089 35937 1185921 69874.2 2305848.6 2117.4 2305.4 -187.970 187.970 35332.622 0.089 0.085 4483382.76 5314729.62 1958Q2 34 2129.7 1156 39304 1336336 72409.8 2461933.2 2129.7 2328.4 -198.683 198.683 39475.062 0.093 0.089 4535622.09 5421368.89 1958Q3 35 2177.5 1225 42875 1500625 76212.5 2667437.5 2177.5 2351.5 -173.956 173.956 30260.789 0.080 0.077 4741506.25 5529346.66 1958Q4 36 2226.5 1296 46656 1679616 80154 2885544 2226.5 2374.6 -148.091 148.091 21930.954 0.067 0.064 4957302.25 5638682.57 1959Q1 37 2273 1369 50653 1874161 84101 3111737 2273 2397.8 -124.790 124.790 15572.534 0.055 0.053 5166529.00 5749396.70 1959Q2 38 2332.4 1444 54872 2085136 88631.2 3367985.6 2332.4 2421.1 -88.655 88.655 7859.792 0.038 0.037 5440089.76 5861509.58 1959Q3 39 2331.4 1521 59319 2313441 90924.6 3546059.4 2331.4 2444.4 -112.990 112.990 12766.730 0.048 0.047 5435425.96 5975042.26 1959Q4 40 2339.1 1600 64000 2560000 93564 3742560 2339.1 2467.8 -128.696 128.696 16562.615 0.055 0.054 5471388.81 6090016.23 1960Q1 41 2391 1681 68921 2825761 98031 4019271 2391 2491.3 -100.275 100.275 10055.170 0.042 0.041 5716881.00 6206453.47 1960Q2 42 2379.2 1764 74088 3111696 99926.4 4196908.8 2379.2 2514.8 -135.631 135.631 18395.848 0.057 0.055 5660592.64 6324376.44 1960Q3 43 2383.6 1849 79507 3418801 102494.8 4407276.4 2383.6 2538.5 -154.866 154.866 23983.384 0.065 0.063 5681548.96 6443808.09 1960Q4 44 2352.9 1936 85184 3748096 103527.6 4555214.4 2352.9 2562.2 -209.281 209.281 43798.569 0.089 0.085 5536138.41 6564771.87 1961Q1 45 2366.5 2025 91125 4100625 106492.5 4792162.5 2366.5 2586.0 -219.480 219.480 48171.397 0.093 0.089 5600322.25 6687291.70 1961Q2 46 2410.8 2116 97336 4477456 110896.8 5101252.8 2410.8 2609.9 -199.064 199.064 39626.622 0.083 0.079 5811956.64 6811392.01 1961Q3 47 2450.4 2209 103823 4879681 115168.8 5412933.6 2450.4 2633.8 -183.437 183.437 33649.160 0.075 0.072 6004460.16 6937097.73 1961Q4 48 2500.4 2304 110592 5308416 120019.2 5760921.6 2500.4 2657.9 -157.500 157.500 24806.363 0.063 0.061 6252000.16 7064434.31 1962Q1 49 2544 2401 117649 5764801 124656 6108144 2544 2682.1 -138.057 138.057 19059.629 0.054 0.053 6471936.00 7193427.70 1962Q2 50 2571.5 2500 125000 6250000 128575 6428750 2571.5 2706.3 -134.808 134.808 18173.264 0.052 0.051 6612612.25 7324104.34 1962Q3 51 2596.8 2601 132651 6765201 132436.8 6754276.8 2596.8 2730.7 -133.858 133.858 17917.872 0.052 0.050 6743370.24 7456491.24 1962Q4 52 2603.3 2704 140608 7311616 135371.6 7039323.2 2603.3 2755.1 -151.807 151.807 23045.437 0.058 0.057 6777170.89 7590615.89 1963Q1 53 2634.1 2809 148877 7890481 139607.3 7399186.9 2634.1 2779.7 -145.559 145.559 21187.536 0.055 0.054 6938482.81 7726506.32 1963Q2 54 2668.4 2916 157464 8503056 144093.6 7781054.4 2668.4 2804.3 -135.917 135.917 18473.299 0.051 0.050 7120358.56 7864191.12 1963Q3 55 2719.6 3025 166375 9150625 149578 8226790 2719.6 2829.1 -109.481 109.481 11986.092 0.040 0.039 7396224.16 8003699.37 1963Q4 56 2739.4 3136 175616 9834496 153406.4 8590758.4 2739.4 2854.0 -114.555 114.555 13122.912 0.042 0.041 7504312.36 8145060.74 1964Q1 57 2800.5 3249 185193 10556001 159628.5 9098824.5 2800.5 2878.9 -78.442 78.442 6153.103 0.028 0.028 7842800.25 8288305.42 1964Q2 58 2833.8 3364 195112 11316496 164360.4 164360.4 2833.8 2904.0 -70.243 70.243 4934.041 0.025 0.024 8030422.44 8433464.17 1964Q3 59 2872 3481 205379 12117361 169448 169448 2872 2929.3 -57.261 57.261 3278.789 0.020 0.020 8248384.00 8580568.29 1964Q4 60 2879.5 3600 216000 12960000 172770 172770 2879.5 2954.6 -75.098 75.098 5639.718 0.026 0.026 8291520.25 8729649.67 1965Q1 61 2950.1 3721 226981 13845841 179956.1 10977322.1 2950.1 2980.1 -29.957 29.957 897.432 0.010 0.010 8703090.01 8880740.75 1965Q2 62 2989.9 3844 238328 14776336 185373.8 11493175.6 2989.9 3005.6 -15.740 15.740 247.762 0.005 0.005 8939502.01 9033874.57 1965Q3 63 3050.7 3969 250047 15752961 192194.1 12108228.3 3050.7 3031.4 19.350 19.350 374.410 0.006 0.006 9306770.49 9189084.71 1965Q4 64 3123.6 4096 262144 16777216 199910.4 12794265.6 3123.6 3057.2 66.411 66.411 4410.403 0.021 0.021 9756876.96 9346405.39 1966Q1 65 3201.1 4225 274625 17850625 208071.5 13524647.5 3201.1 3083.2 117.941 117.941 13910.004 0.037 0.038 10247041.21 9505871.39 1966Q2 66 3213.2 4356 287496 18974736 212071.2 13996699.2 3213.2 3109.3 103.937 103.937 10802.843 0.032 0.033 10324654.24 9667518.10 1966Q3 67 3233.6 4489 300763 20151121 216651.2 14515630.4 3233.6 3135.5 98.097 98.097 9622.945 0.030 0.031 10456168.96 9831381.52 1966Q4 68 3261.8 4624 314432 21381376 221802.4 15082563.2 3261.8 3161.9 99.918 99.918 9983.592 0.031 0.031 10639339.24 9997498.26 1967Q1 69 3291.8 4761 328509 22667121 227134.2 15672259.8 3291.8 3188.4 103.398 103.398 10691.203 0.031 0.032 10835947.24 10165905.56 1967Q2 70 3289.7 4900 343000 24010000 230279 16119530 3289.7 3215.1 74.635 74.635 5570.422 0.023 0.023 10822126.09 10336641.27 1967Q3 71 3313.5 5041 357911 25411681 235258.5 16703353.5 3313.5 3241.9 71.626 71.626 5130.353 0.022 0.022 10979282.25 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3588.3 3461.9 126.421 126.421 15982.228 0.035 0.036 12875896.89 11984607.35 1969Q4 80 3571.4 6400 512000 40960000 285712 22856960 3571.4 3490.1 81.292 81.292 6608.423 0.023 0.023 12754897.96 12180852.40 1970Q1 81 3566.5 6561 531441 43046721 288886.5 23399806.5 3566.5 3518.5 47.994 47.994 2303.407 0.013 0.014 12719922.25 12379885.73 1970Q2 82 3573.9 6724 551368 45212176 293059.8 24030903.6 3573.9 3547.1 26.823 26.823 719.488 0.008 0.008 12772761.21 12581753.28 1970Q3 83 3605.2 6889 571787 47458321 299231.6 24836222.8 3605.2 3575.8 29.378 29.378 863.077 0.008 0.008 12997467.04 12786501.73 1970Q4 84 3566.5 7056 592704 49787136 299586 25165224 3566.5 3604.7 -38.244 38.244 1462.595 0.011 0.011 12719922.25 12994178.48 1971Q1 85 3666.1 7225 614125 52200625 311618.5 26487572.5 3666.1 3633.8 32.255 32.255 1040.366 0.009 0.009 13440289.21 13204831.67 1971Q2 86 3686.2 7396 636056 54700816 317013.2 27263135.2 3686.2 3663.1 23.072 23.072 532.295 0.006 0.006 13588070.44 13418510.21 1971Q3 87 3714.5 7569 658503 57289761 323161.5 28115050.5 3714.5 3692.6 21.904 21.904 479.794 0.006 0.006 13797510.25 13635263.75 1971Q4 88 3723.8 7744 681472 59969536 327694.4 28837107.2 3723.8 3722.2 1.550 1.550 2.403 0.000 0.000 13866686.44 13855142.71 1972Q1 89 3796.9 7921 704969 62742241 337924.1 30075244.9 3796.9 3752.1 44.807 44.807 2007.710 0.012 0.012 14416449.61 14078198.29 1972Q2 90 3883.8 8100 729000 65610000 349542 31458780 3883.8 3782.1 101.673 101.673 10337.457 0.026 0.027 15083902.44 14304482.48 1972Q3 91 3922.3 8281 753571 68574961 356929.3 32480566.3 3922.3 3812.4 109.945 109.945 12087.978 0.028 0.028 15384437.29 14534048.05 1972Q4 92 3990.5 8464 778688 71639296 367126 33775592 3990.5 3842.8 147.721 147.721 21821.565 0.037 0.038 15924090.25 14766948.58 1973Q1 93 4092.3 8649 804357 74805201 380583.9 35394302.7 4092.3 3873.4 218.899 218.899 47916.593 0.053 0.055 16746919.29 15003238.48 1973Q2 94 4133.3 8836 830584 78074896 388530.2 36521838.8 4133.3 3904.2 229.075 229.075 52475.350 0.055 0.057 17084168.89 15242972.95 1973Q3 95 4117 9025 857375 81450625 391115 37155925 4117 3935.3 181.748 181.748 33032.347 0.044 0.045 16949689.00 15486208.05 1973Q4 96 4151.1 9216 884736 84934656 398505.6 38256537.6 4151.1 3966.5 184.615 184.615 34082.819 0.044 0.045 17231631.21 15733000.67 1974Q1 97 4119.3 9409 912673 88529281 399572.1 38758493.7 4119.3 3997.9 121.374 121.374 14731.762 0.029 0.030 16968632.49 15983408.55 1974Q2 98 4130.4 9604 941192 92236816 404779.2 39668361.6 4130.4 4029.6 100.823 100.823 10165.290 0.024 0.025 17060204.16 16237490.30 1974Q3 99 4084.5 9801 970299 96059601 404365.5 40032184.5 4084.5 4061.4 23.059 23.059 531.704 0.006 0.006 16683140.25 16495305.39 1974Q4 100 4062 10000 1000000 100000000 406200 40620000 4062 4093.5 -31.521 31.521 993.573 0.008 0.008 16499844.00 16756914.18 1975Q1 101 4010 10201 1030301 104060401 405010 40906010 4010 4125.8 -115.818 115.818 13413.914 0.029 0.028 16080100.00 17022377.92 1975Q2 102 4045.2 10404 1061208 108243216 412610.4 42086260.8 4045.2 4158.3 -113.136 113.136 12799.767 0.028 0.028 16363643.04 17291758.76 1975Q3 103 4115.4 10609 1092727 112550881 423886.2 43660278.6 4115.4 4191.1 -75.676 75.676 5726.888 0.018 0.018 16936517.16 17565119.77 1975Q4 104 4167.2 10816 1124864 116985856 433388.8 45072435.2 4167.2 4224.0 -56.841 56.841 3230.934 0.014 0.014 17365555.84 17842524.93 1976Q1 105 4266.1 11025 1157625 121550625 447940.5 47033752.5 4266.1 4257.2 8.866 8.866 78.610 0.002 0.002 18199609.21 18124039.18 1976Q2 106 4301.5 11236 1191016 126247696 455959 48331654 4301.5 4290.7 10.844 10.844 117.594 0.003 0.003 18502902.25 18409728.37 1976Q3 107 4321.9 11449 1225043 131079601 462443.3 49481433.1 4321.9 4324.3 -2.410 2.410 5.809 0.001 0.001 18678819.61 18699659.33 1976Q4 108 4357.4 11664 1259712 136048896 470599.2 50824713.6 4357.4 4358.2 -0.799 0.799 0.639 0.000 0.000 18986934.76 18993899.85 1977Q1 109 4410.5 11881 1295029 141158161 480744.5 52401150.5 4410.5 4392.3 18.175 18.175 330.331 0.004 0.004 19452510.25 19292518.70 1977Q2 110 4489.8 12100 1331000 146410000 493878 54326580 4489.8 4426.7 63.110 63.110 3982.854 0.014 0.014 20158304.04 19595585.65 1977Q3 111 4570.6 12321 1367631 151807041 507336.6 56314362.6 4570.6 4461.3 109.303 109.303 11947.133 0.024 0.024 20890384.36 19903171.44 1977Q4 112 4576.1 12544 1404928 157351936 512523.2 57402598.4 4576.1 4496.1 79.952 79.952 6392.304 0.017 0.018 20940691.21 20215347.86 1978Q1 113 4588.9 12769 1442897 163047361 518545.7 58595664.1 4588.9 4531.2 57.654 57.654 3324.017 0.013 0.013 21058003.21 20532187.70 1978Q2 114 4765.7 12996 1481544 168896016 543289.8 61935037.2 4765.7 4566.6 199.108 199.108 39643.895 0.042 0.043 22711896.49 20853764.80 1978Q3 115 4811.7 13225 1520875 174900625 553345.5 63634732.5 4811.7 4602.2 209.510 209.510 43894.384 0.044 0.045 23152456.89 21180154.03 1978Q4 116 4876 13456 1560896 181063936 565616 65611456 4876 4638.0 237.958 237.958 56624.126 0.049 0.050 23775376.00 21511431.34 1979Q1 117 4888.3 13689 1601613 187388721 571931.1 66915938.7 4888.3 4674.1 214.150 214.150 45860.428 0.044 0.045 23895476.89 21847673.74 1979Q2 118 4891.4 13924 1643032 193877776 577185.2 68107853.6 4891.4 4710.5 180.884 180.884 32719.085 0.037 0.038 23925793.96 22188959.32 1979Q3 119 4926.2 14161 1685159 200533921 586217.8 69759918.2 4926.2 4747.1 179.057 179.057 32061.386 0.036 0.037 24267446.44 22535367.29 1979Q4 120 4942.6 14400 1728000 207360000 593112 71173440 4942.6 4784.0 158.566 158.566 25143.288 0.032 0.033 24429294.76 22886977.95 1980Q1 121 4958.9 14641 1771561 214358881 600026.9 72603254.9 4958.9 4821.2 137.710 137.710 18964.053 0.028 0.028 24590689.21 23243872.71 1980Q2 122 4857.8 14884 1815848 221533456 592651.6 72303495.2 4857.8 4858.6 -0.814 0.814 0.663 0.000 0.000 23598220.84 23606134.15 1980Q3 123 4850.3 15129 1860867 228886641 596586.9 73380188.7 4850.3 4896.3 -46.009 46.009 2116.867 0.009 0.009 23525410.09 23973845.96 1980Q4 124 4936.6 15376 1906624 236421376 612138.4 75905161.6 4936.6 4934.3 2.323 2.323 5.395 0.000 0.000 24370019.56 24347093.02 1981Q1 125 5032.5 15625 1953125 244140625 629062.5 78632812.5 5032.5 4972.5 59.979 59.979 3597.525 0.012 0.012 25326056.25 24725961.37 1981Q2 126 4997.3 15876 2000376 252047376 629659.8 79337134.8 4997.3 5011.0 -13.742 13.742 188.832 0.003 0.003 24973007.29 25110538.22 1981Q3 127 5056.8 16129 2048383 260144641 642213.6 81561127.2 5056.8 5049.8 6.957 6.957 48.403 0.001 0.001 25571226.24 25500912.02 1981Q4 128 4997.1 16384 2097152 268435456 639628.8 81872486.4 4997.1 5088.9 -91.826 91.826 8432.096 0.018 0.018 24971008.41 25897172.39 1982Q1 129 4914.3 16641 2146689 276922881 633944.7 81778866.3 4914.3 5128.3 -213.995 213.995 45793.885 0.044 0.043 24150344.49 26299410.20 1982Q2 130 4935.5 16900 2197000 285610000 641615 83409950 4935.5 5168.0 -232.451 232.451 54033.468 0.047 0.046 24359160.25 26707717.56 1982Q3 131 4912.1 17161 2248091 294499921 643485.1 84296548.1 4912.1 5207.9 -295.797 295.797 87495.676 0.060 0.058 24128726.41 27122187.83 1982Q4 132 4915.6 17424 2299968 303595776 648859.2 85649414.4 4915.6 5248.1 -332.534 332.534 110579.187 0.068 0.065 24163123.36 27542915.63 1983Q1 133 4972.4 17689 2352637 312900721 661329.2 87956783.6 4972.4 5288.7 -316.267 316.267 100024.710 0.064 0.062 24724761.76 27969996.88 1983Q2 134 5089.8 17956 2406104 322417936 682033.2 91392448.8 5089.8 5329.5 -239.696 239.696 57454.225 0.047 0.046 25906064.04 28403528.78 1983Q3 135 5180.4 18225 2460375 332150625 699354 94412790 5180.4 5370.6 -190.225 190.225 36185.443 0.037 0.036 26836544.16 28843609.84 1983Q4 136 5286.8 18496 2515456 342102016 719004.8 97784652.8 5286.8 5412.1 -125.255 125.255 15688.828 0.024 0.023 27950254.24 29290339.90 1984Q1 137 5402.3 18769 2571353 352275361 740115.1 101395768.7 5402.3 5453.8 -51.490 51.490 2651.171 0.010 0.009 29184845.29 29743820.15 1984Q2 138 5493.8 19044 2628072 362673936 758144.4 104623927.2 5493.8 5495.8 -2.031 2.031 4.123 0.000 0.000 30181838.44 30204153.10 1984Q3 139 5541.3 19321 2685619 373301041 770240.7 107063457.3 5541.3 5538.2 3.120 3.120 9.732 0.001 0.001 30706005.69 30671442.67 1984Q4 140 5583.1 19600 2744000 384160000 781634 109428760 5583.1 5580.8 2.258 2.258 5.100 0.000 0.000 31171005.61 31145794.13 1985Q1 141 5629.7 19881 2803221 395254161 793787.7 111924065.7 5629.7 5623.8 5.883 5.883 34.613 0.001 0.001 31693522.09 31627314.15 1985Q2 142 5673.8 20164 2863288 406586896 805679.6 114406503.2 5673.8 5667.1 6.692 6.692 44.786 0.001 0.001 32192006.44 32116110.84 1985Q3 143 5758.6 20449 2924207 418161601 823479.8 117757611.4 5758.6 5710.7 47.883 47.883 2292.739 0.008 0.008 33161473.96 32612293.70 1985Q4 144 5806 20736 2985984 429981696 836064 120393216 5806 5754.6 51.352 51.352 2637.027 0.009 0.009 33709636.00 33115973.71 1986Q1 145 5858.9 21025 3048625 442050625 849540.5 123183372.5 5858.9 5798.9 59.998 59.998 3599.772 0.010 0.010 34326709.21 33627263.28 1986Q2 146 5883.3 21316 3112136 454371856 858961.8 125408422.8 5883.3 5843.5 39.818 39.818 1585.511 0.007 0.007 34613218.89 34146276.30 1986Q3 147 5937.9 21609 3176523 466948881 872871.3 128312081.1 5937.9 5888.4 49.511 49.511 2451.313 0.008 0.008 35258656.41 34673128.17 1986Q4 148 5969.5 21904 3241792 479785216 883486 130755928 5969.5 5933.6 35.872 35.872 1286.834 0.006 0.006 35634930.25 35207935.75 1987Q1 149 6013.3 22201 3307949 492884401 895981.7 133501273.3 6013.3 5979.2 34.101 34.101 1162.896 0.006 0.006 36159776.89 35750817.47 1987Q2 150 6077.2 22500 3375000 506250000 911580 136737000 6077.2 6025.1 52.095 52.095 2713.863 0.009 0.009 36932359.84 36301893.27 1987Q3 151 6128.1 22801 3442951 519885601 925343.1 139726808.1 6128.1 6071.3 56.751 56.751 3220.620 0.009 0.009 37553609.61 36861284.65 1987Q4 152 6234.4 23104 3511808 533794816 947628.8 144039577.6 6234.4 6117.9 116.466 116.466 13564.363 0.019 0.019 38867743.36 37429114.67 1988Q1 153 6275.9 23409 3581577 547981281 960212.7 146912543.1 6275.9 6164.9 111.039 111.039 12329.717 0.018 0.018 39386920.81 38005507.98 1988Q2 154 6349.8 23716 3652264 562448656 977869.2 150591856.8 6349.8 6212.1 137.667 137.667 18952.326 0.022 0.022 40319960.04 38590590.84 1988Q3 155 6382.3 24025 3723875 577200625 989256.5 153334757.5 6382.3 6259.8 122.548 122.548 15018.090 0.019 0.019 40733753.29 39184491.12 1988Q4 156 6465.2 24336 3796416 592240896 1008571.2 157337107.2 6465.2 6307.7 157.479 157.479 24799.783 0.024 0.025 41798811.04 39787338.32 1989Q1 157 6543.8 24649 3869893 607573201 1027376.6 161298126.2 6543.8 6356.0 187.758 187.758 35253.253 0.029 0.029 42821318.44 40399263.61 1989Q2 158 6579.4 24964 3944312 623201296 1039545.2 164248141.6 6579.4 6404.7 174.683 174.683 30514.152 0.027 0.027 43288504.36 41020399.80 1989Q3 159 6610.6 25281 4019679 639128961 1051085.4 167122578.6 6610.6 6453.7 156.851 156.851 24602.109 0.024 0.024 43700032.36 41650881.40 1989Q4 160 6633.5 25600 4096000 655360000 1061360 169817600 6633.5 6503.1 130.359 130.359 16993.433 0.020 0.020 44003322.25 42290844.63 1990Q1 161 6716.3 25921 4173281 671898241 1081324.3 174093212.3 6716.3 6552.9 163.405 163.405 26701.330 0.024 0.025 45108685.69 42940427.43 1990Q2 162 6731.7 26244 4251528 688747536 1090535.4 176666734.8 6731.7 6603.0 128.688 128.688 16560.563 0.019 0.019 45315784.89 43599769.45 1990Q3 163 6719.4 26569 4330747 705911761 1095262.2 178527738.6 6719.4 6653.5 65.904 65.904 4343.307 0.010 0.010 45150336.36 44269012.12 1990Q4 164 6664.2 26896 4410944 723394816 1092928.8 179240323.2 6664.2 6704.3 -40.149 40.149 1611.961 0.006 0.006 44411561.64 44948298.63 1991Q1 165 6631.4 27225 4492125 741200625 1094181 180539865 6631.4 6755.6 -124.174 124.174 15419.070 0.019 0.019 43975465.96 45637773.98 1991Q2 166 6668.5 27556 4574296 759333136 1106971 183757186 6668.5 6807.2 -138.672 138.672 19229.807 0.021 0.021 44468892.25 46337584.94 1991Q3 167 6684.9 27889 4657463 777796321 1116378.3 186435176.1 6684.9 6859.1 -174.246 174.246 30361.574 0.026 0.026 44687888.01 47047880.13 1991Q4 168 6720.9 28224 4741632 796594176 1129111.2 189690681.6 6720.9 6911.5 -190.598 190.598 36327.747 0.028 0.028 45170496.81 47768810.01 1992Q1 169 6783.3 28561 4826809 815730721 1146377.7 193737831.3 6783.3 6964.2 -180.932 180.932 32736.377 0.027 0.026 46013158.89 48500526.90 1992Q2 170 6846.8 28900 4913000 835210000 1163956 197872520 6846.8 7017.3 -170.549 170.549 29086.913 0.025 0.025 46878670.24 49243184.99 1992Q3 171 6899.7 29241 5000211 855036081 1179848.7 201754127.7 6899.7 7070.9 -171.151 171.151 29292.823 0.025 0.025 47605860.09 49996940.39 1992Q4 172 6990.6 29584 5088448 875213056 1202383.2 206809910.4 6990.6 7124.7 -134.142 134.142 17994.124 0.019 0.019 48868488.36 50761951.11 1993Q1 173 6988.7 29929 5177717 895745041 1209045.1 209164802.3 6988.7 7179.0 -190.323 190.323 36222.999 0.027 0.027 48841927.69 51538377.08 1993Q2 174 7031.2 30276 5268024 916636176 1223428.8 212876611.2 7031.2 7233.7 -202.498 202.498 41005.257 0.029 0.028 49437773.44 52326380.22 1993Q3 175 7062 30625 5359375 937890625 1235850 216273750 7062 7288.8 -226.767 226.767 51423.272 0.032 0.032 49871844.00 53126124.38 1993Q4 176 7168.7 30976 5451776 959512576 1261691.2 222057651.2 7168.7 7344.2 -175.534 175.534 30812.242 0.024 0.024 51390259.69 53937775.44 1994Q1 177 7229.4 31329 5545233 981506241 1279603.8 226489872.6 7229.4 7400.1 -170.701 170.701 29138.980 0.024 0.023 52264224.36 54761501.26 1994Q2 178 7330.2 31684 5639752 1003875856 1304775.6 232250056.8 7330.2 7456.4 -126.171 126.171 15919.176 0.017 0.017 53731832.04 55597471.75 1994Q3 179 7370.2 32041 5735339 1026625681 1319265.8 236148578.2 7370.2 7513.0 -142.846 142.846 20404.954 0.019 0.019 54319848.04 56445858.86 1994Q4 180 7461.1 32400 5832000 1049760000 1342998 241739640 7461.1 7570.1 -109.028 109.028 11887.086 0.015 0.015 55668013.21 57306836.60 1995Q1 181 7488.7 32761 5929741 1073283121 1355454.7 245337300.7 7488.7 7627.6 -138.920 138.920 19298.661 0.019 0.018 56080627.69 58180581.09 1995Q2 182 7503.3 33124 6028568 1097199376 1365600.6 248539309.2 7503.3 7685.5 -182.223 182.223 33205.381 0.024 0.024 56299510.89 59067270.52 1995Q3 183 7561.4 33489 6128487 1121513121 1383736.2 253223724.6 7561.4 7743.8 -182.442 182.442 33284.997 0.024 0.024 57174769.96 59967085.24 1995Q4 184 7621.9 33856 6229504 1146228736 1402429.6 258047046.4 7621.9 7802.6 -180.677 180.677 32644.176 0.024 0.023 58093359.61 60880207.74 1996Q1 185 7676.4 34225 6331625 1171350625 1420134 262724790 7676.4 7861.7 -185.332 185.332 34347.776 0.024 0.024 58927116.96 61806822.67 1996Q2 186 7802.9 34596 6434856 1196883216 1451339.4 269949128.4 7802.9 7921.3 -118.408 118.408 14020.401 0.015 0.015 60885248.41 62747116.85 1996Q3 187 7841.9 34969 6539203 1222830961 1466435.3 274223401.1 7841.9 7981.3 -139.408 139.408 19434.625 0.018 0.018 61495395.61 63701279.35 1996Q4 188 7931.3 35344 6644672 1249198336 1491084.4 280323867.2 7931.3 8041.7 -110.435 110.435 12195.884 0.014 0.014 62905519.69 64669501.42 1997Q1 189 8016.4 35721 6751269 1275989841 1515099.6 286353824.4 8016.4 8102.6 -86.191 86.191 7428.842 0.011 0.011 64262668.96 65651976.58 1997Q2 190 8131.9 36100 6859000 1303210000 1545061 293561590 8131.9 8163.9 -31.978 31.978 1022.579 0.004 0.004 66127797.61 66648900.64 1997Q3 191 8216.6 36481 6967871 1330863361 1569370.6 299749784.6 8216.6 8225.6 -8.999 8.999 80.974 0.001 0.001 67512515.56 67660471.64 1997Q4 192 8272.9 36864 7077888 1358954496 1588396.8 304972185.6 8272.9 8287.8 -14.855 14.855 220.684 0.002 0.002 68440874.41 68686889.99 1998Q1 193 8396.3 37249 7189057 1387488001 1620485.9 312753778.7 8396.3 8350.4 45.949 45.949 2111.329 0.005 0.005 70497853.69 69728358.39 1998Q2 194 8442.9 37636 7301384 1416468496 1637922.6 317756984.4 8442.9 8413.4 29.513 29.513 871.013 0.003 0.004 71282560.41 70785081.92 1998Q3 195 8528.5 38025 7414875 1445900625 1663057.5 324296212.5 8528.5 8476.9 51.633 51.633 2666.004 0.006 0.006 72735312.25 71857268.00 1998Q4 196 8667.9 38416 7529536 1475789056 1698908.4 332986046.4 8667.9 8540.8 127.108 127.108 16156.466 0.015 0.015 75132490.41 72945126.47 1999Q1 197 8733.5 38809 7645373 1506138481 1720499.5 338938401.5 8733.5 8605.2 128.335 128.335 16469.799 0.015 0.015 76274022.25 74048869.57 1999Q2 198 8771.2 39204 7762392 1536953616 1736697.6 343866124.8 8771.2 8670.0 101.211 101.211 10243.635 0.012 0.012 76933949.44 75168711.98 1999Q3 199 8871.5 39601 7880599 1568239201 1765428.5 351320271.5 8871.5 8735.3 136.234 136.234 18559.722 0.015 0.015 78703512.25 76304870.85 1999Q4 200 9049.9 40000 8000000 1600000000 1809980 361996000 9049.9 8801.0 248.902 248.902 61952.206 0.028 0.028 81900690.01 77457565.80 2000Q1 201 9102.5 40401 8120601 1632240801 1829602.5 367750102.5 9102.5 8867.2 235.312 235.312 55371.846 0.026 0.026 82855506.25 78627018.93 2000Q2 202 9229.4 40804 8242408 1664966416 1864338.8 376596437.6 9229.4 8933.8 295.562 295.562 87357.111 0.032 0.033 85181824.36 79813454.90 2000Q3 203 9260.1 41209 8365427 1698181681 1879800.3 381599460.9 9260.1 9000.9 259.150 259.150 67158.723 0.028 0.028 85749452.01 81017100.90 2000Q4 204 9303.9 41616 8489664 1731891456 1897995.6 387191102.4 9303.9 9068.5 235.373 235.373 55400.327 0.025 0.026 86562555.21 82238186.67 sumace 20910 930779.7 2850730 437228100 71529947014 120333056.5 18307309272 930779.7 930779.9325 -2.3247E-01 21871.139 3394514.926 5.600716248 5.580950469 5153991741 5150598752 (SE) SAE SSE b0 1563.53 spočteno GRETLem -1.1396E-03 107.211 16639.779 2.745 2.736 b1 22.4108 spočteno GRETLem ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE b2 -0.0111005 spočteno GRETLem THEILovoU 0.01283 128.995 b3 0.000399916 spočteno GRETLem RMSE ##### Sheet/List 5 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí GDPUSA=yt t2 t3 t4 t*yt t2*yt skutečnost vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 MAPE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1 1 1 1610.5 1610.5 1610.5 1788.5 -178.0 177.975 31675.000 0.111 0.105 2593710.25 3198641.81 1950Q2 2 1658.8 4 8 16 3317.6 6635.2 1658.8 1790.9 -132.1 132.100 17450.300 0.080 0.077 2751617.44 3207321.33 1950Q3 3 1723 9 27 81 5169 15507 1723 1794.2 -71.2 71.196 5068.893 0.041 0.040 2968729.00 3219139.84 1950Q4 4 1753.9 16 64 256 7015.6 28062.4 1753.9 1798.3 -44.4 44.446 1975.463 0.025 0.025 3076165.21 3234049.00 1951Q1 5 1773.5 25 125 625 8867.5 44337.5 1773.5 1803.3 -29.8 29.832 889.926 0.017 0.017 3145302.25 3252004.99 1951Q2 6 1803.7 36 216 1296 10822.2 64933.2 1803.7 1809.1 -5.4 5.435 29.536 0.003 0.003 3253333.69 3272968.29 1951Q3 7 1839.8 49 343 2401 12878.6 90150.2 1839.8 1815.7 24.1 24.062 578.995 0.013 0.013 3384864.04 3296903.36 1951Q4 8 1843.3 64 512 4096 14746.4 117971.2 1843.3 1823.1 20.2 20.177 407.101 0.011 0.011 3397754.89 3323778.39 1952Q1 9 1864.7 81 729 6561 16782.3 151040.7 1864.7 1831.3 33.4 33.426 1117.287 0.018 0.018 3477106.09 3353565.02 1952Q2 10 1866.2 100 1000 10000 18662 186620 1866.2 1840.2 26.0 26.027 677.384 0.014 0.014 3482702.44 3386238.11 1952Q3 11 1878 121 1331 14641 20658 227238 1878 1849.8 28.2 28.196 795.005 0.015 0.015 3526884.00 3421775.45 1952Q4 12 1940.2 144 1728 20736 23282.4 279388.8 1940.2 1860.1 80.1 80.050 6408.021 0.041 0.042 3764376.04 3460157.59 1953Q1 13 1976 169 2197 28561 25688 333944 1976 1871.2 104.8 104.806 10984.263 0.053 0.054 3904576.00 3501367.60 1953Q2 14 1992.2 196 2744 38416 27890.8 390471.2 1992.2 1882.9 109.3 109.279 11941.938 0.055 0.056 3968860.84 3545390.83 1953Q3 15 1979.5 225 3375 50625 29692.5 445387.5 1979.5 1895.3 84.2 84.186 7087.300 0.043 0.043 3918420.25 3592214.76 1953Q4 16 1947.8 256 4096 65536 31164.8 498636.8 1947.8 1908.4 39.4 39.442 1555.702 0.020 0.020 3793924.84 3641828.76 1954Q1 17 1938.1 289 4913 83521 32947.7 560110.9 1938.1 1922.0 16.1 16.064 258.039 0.008 0.008 3756231.61 3694223.95 1954Q2 18 1941 324 5832 104976 34938 628884 1941 1936.3 4.7 4.665 21.763 0.002 0.002 3767481.00 3749392.98 1954Q3 19 1962 361 6859 130321 37278 708282 1962 1951.2 10.8 10.762 115.820 0.005 0.006 3849444.00 3807329.91 1954Q4 20 2000.9 400 8000 160000 40018 800360 2000.9 1966.7 34.2 34.169 1167.534 0.017 0.017 4003600.81 3868030.04 1955Q1 21 2058.1 441 9261 194481 43220.1 907622.1 2058.1 1982.8 75.3 75.302 5670.321 0.037 0.037 4235775.61 3931489.75 1955Q2 22 2091 484 10648 234256 46002 1012044 2091 1999.4 91.6 91.573 8385.704 0.044 0.045 4372281.00 3997706.37 1955Q3 23 2118.9 529 12167 279841 48734.7 1120898.1 2118.9 2016.6 102.3 102.299 10465.163 0.048 0.049 4489737.21 4066678.05 1955Q4 24 2130.1 576 13824 331776 51122.4 1226937.6 2130.1 2034.3 95.8 95.793 9176.362 0.045 0.046 4537326.01 4138403.64 1956Q1 25 2121 625 15625 390625 53025 1325625 2121 2052.5 68.5 68.469 4688.036 0.032 0.033 4498641.00 4212882.54 1956Q2 26 2137.7 676 17576 456976 55580.2 1445085.2 2137.7 2071.3 66.4 66.441 4414.381 0.031 0.032 4569761.29 4290114.65 1956Q3 27 2135.3 729 19683 531441 57653.1 1556633.7 2135.3 2090.5 44.8 44.822 2008.970 0.021 0.021 4559506.09 4370100.22 1956Q4 28 2170.4 784 21952 614656 60771.2 1701593.6 2170.4 2110.2 60.2 60.225 3627.016 0.028 0.028 4710636.16 4452839.75 1957Q1 29 2182.7 841 24389 707281 63298.3 1835650.7 2182.7 2130.3 52.4 52.363 2741.927 0.024 0.024 4764179.29 4538333.96 1957Q2 30 2177.7 900 27000 810000 65331 1959930 2177.7 2150.9 26.8 26.751 715.591 0.012 0.012 4742377.29 4626583.62 1957Q3 31 2198.9 961 29791 923521 68165.9 2113142.9 2198.9 2172.0 26.9 26.899 723.541 0.012 0.012 4835161.21 4717589.57 1957Q4 32 2176 1024 32768 1048576 69632 2228224 2176 2193.5 -17.5 17.480 305.535 0.008 0.008 4734976.00 4811352.56 1958Q1 33 2117.4 1089 35937 1185921 69874.2 2305848.6 2117.4 2215.4 -98.0 97.972 9598.519 0.046 0.045 4483382.76 4907873.24 1958Q2 34 2129.7 1156 39304 1336336 72409.8 2461933.2 2129.7 2237.7 -108.0 107.967 11656.801 0.051 0.049 4535622.09 5007152.10 1958Q3 35 2177.5 1225 42875 1500625 76212.5 2667437.5 2177.5 2260.4 -82.9 82.852 6864.389 0.038 0.037 4741506.25 5109189.38 1958Q4 36 2226.5 1296 46656 1679616 80154 2885544 2226.5 2283.4 -56.9 56.915 3239.342 0.026 0.025 4957302.25 5213985.07 1959Q1 37 2273 1369 50653 1874161 84101 3111737 2273 2306.8 -33.8 33.846 1145.557 0.015 0.015 5166529.00 5321538.82 1959Q2 38 2332.4 1444 54872 2085136 88631.2 3367985.6 2332.4 2330.6 1.8 1.767 3.122 0.001 0.001 5440089.76 5431849.94 1959Q3 39 2331.4 1521 59319 2313441 90924.6 3546059.4 2331.4 2354.8 -23.4 23.365 545.915 0.010 0.010 5435425.96 5544917.36 1959Q4 40 2339.1 1600 64000 2560000 93564 3742560 2339.1 2379.2 -40.1 40.131 1610.488 0.017 0.017 5471388.81 5660739.58 1960Q1 41 2391 1681 68921 2825761 98031 4019271 2391 2404.0 -13.0 13.021 169.534 0.005 0.005 5716881.00 5779314.66 1960Q2 42 2379.2 1764 74088 3111696 99926.4 4196908.8 2379.2 2429.1 -49.9 49.923 2492.340 0.021 0.021 5660592.64 5900640.22 1960Q3 43 2383.6 1849 79507 3418801 102494.8 4407276.4 2383.6 2454.5 -70.9 70.929 5030.945 0.030 0.029 5681548.96 6024713.38 1960Q4 44 2352.9 1936 85184 3748096 103527.6 4555214.4 2352.9 2480.2 -127.3 127.328 16212.413 0.054 0.053 5536138.41 6151530.80 1961Q1 45 2366.5 2025 91125 4100625 106492.5 4792162.5 2366.5 2506.2 -139.7 139.710 19518.888 0.059 0.057 5600322.25 6281088.64 1961Q2 46 2410.8 2116 97336 4477456 110896.8 5101252.8 2410.8 2532.5 -121.7 121.666 14802.545 0.050 0.049 5811956.64 6413382.56 1961Q3 47 2450.4 2209 103823 4879681 115168.8 5412933.6 2450.4 2559.0 -108.6 108.586 11790.851 0.044 0.043 6004460.16 6548407.74 1961Q4 48 2500.4 2304 110592 5308416 120019.2 5760921.6 2500.4 2585.8 -85.4 85.361 7286.464 0.034 0.034 6252000.16 6686158.84 1962Q1 49 2544 2401 117649 5764801 124656 6108144 2544 2612.8 -68.8 68.782 4730.971 0.027 0.027 6471936.00 6826630.08 1962Q2 50 2571.5 2500 125000 6250000 128575 6428750 2571.5 2640.0 -68.5 68.541 4697.834 0.027 0.026 6612612.25 6969815.16 1962Q3 51 2596.8 2601 132651 6765201 132436.8 6754276.8 2596.8 2667.5 -70.7 70.728 5002.496 0.027 0.027 6743370.24 7115707.36 1962Q4 52 2603.3 2704 140608 7311616 135371.6 7039323.2 2603.3 2695.2 -91.9 91.936 8452.310 0.035 0.035 6777170.89 7264299.49 1963Q1 53 2634.1 2809 148877 7890481 139607.3 7399186.9 2634.1 2723.2 -89.1 89.057 7931.146 0.034 0.033 6938482.81 7415583.96 1963Q2 54 2668.4 2916 157464 8503056 144093.6 7781054.4 2668.4 2751.3 -82.9 82.882 6869.429 0.031 0.031 7120358.56 7569552.75 1963Q3 55 2719.6 3025 166375 9150625 149578 8226790 2719.6 2779.6 -60.0 60.004 3600.460 0.022 0.022 7396224.16 7726197.48 1963Q4 56 2739.4 3136 175616 9834496 153406.4 8590758.4 2739.4 2808.1 -68.7 68.715 4721.741 0.025 0.025 7504312.36 7885509.43 1964Q1 57 2800.5 3249 185193 10556001 159628.5 9098824.5 2800.5 2836.8 -36.3 36.308 1318.270 0.013 0.013 7842800.25 8047479.52 1964Q2 58 2833.8 3364 195112 11316496 164360.4 9532903.2 2833.8 2865.7 -31.9 31.876 1016.074 0.011 0.011 8030422.44 8212098.43 1964Q3 59 2872 3481 205379 12117361 169448 9997432 2872 2894.7 -22.7 22.712 515.827 0.008 0.008 8248384.00 8379356.55 1964Q4 60 2879.5 3600 216000 12960000 172770 10366200 2879.5 2923.9 -44.4 44.409 1972.163 0.015 0.015 8291520.25 8549244.07 1965Q1 61 2950.1 3721 226981 13845841 179956.1 10977322.1 2950.1 2953.3 -3.2 3.161 9.992 0.001 0.001 8703090.01 8721750.99 1965Q2 62 2989.9 3844 238328 14776336 185373.8 11493175.6 2989.9 2982.8 7.1 7.138 50.956 0.002 0.002 8939502.01 8896867.16 1965Q3 63 3050.7 3969 250047 15752961 192194.1 12108228.3 3050.7 3012.4 38.3 38.295 1466.526 0.013 0.013 9306770.49 9074582.35 1965Q4 64 3123.6 4096 262144 16777216 199910.4 12794265.6 3123.6 3042.2 81.4 81.416 6628.491 0.026 0.026 9756876.96 9254886.26 1966Q1 65 3201.1 4225 274625 17850625 208071.5 13524647.5 3201.1 3072.1 129.0 129.005 16642.252 0.040 0.041 10247041.21 9437768.58 1966Q2 66 3213.2 4356 287496 18974736 212071.2 13996699.2 3213.2 3102.1 111.1 111.069 12336.240 0.035 0.035 10324654.24 9623219.04 1966Q3 67 3233.6 4489 300763 20151121 216651.2 14515630.4 3233.6 3132.3 101.3 101.312 10264.143 0.031 0.032 10456168.96 9811227.44 1966Q4 68 3261.8 4624 314432 21381376 221802.4 15082563.2 3261.8 3162.6 99.2 99.240 9848.641 0.030 0.031 10639339.24 10001783.72 1967Q1 69 3291.8 4761 328509 22667121 227134.2 15672259.8 3291.8 3192.9 98.9 98.858 9772.923 0.030 0.030 10835947.24 10194878.00 1967Q2 70 3289.7 4900 343000 24010000 230279 16119530 3289.7 3223.4 66.3 66.270 4391.720 0.020 0.020 10822126.09 10390500.64 1967Q3 71 3313.5 5041 357911 25411681 235258.5 16703353.5 3313.5 3254.0 59.5 59.481 3537.941 0.018 0.018 10979282.25 10588642.28 1967Q4 72 3338.3 5184 373248 26873856 240357.6 17305747.2 3338.3 3284.7 53.6 53.594 2872.311 0.016 0.016 11144246.89 10789293.89 1968Q1 73 3406.2 5329 389017 28398241 248652.6 18151639.8 3406.2 3315.5 90.7 90.714 8229.045 0.027 0.027 11602198.44 10992446.85 1968Q2 74 3464.8 5476 405224 29986576 256395.2 18973244.8 3464.8 3346.4 118.4 118.445 14029.175 0.034 0.035 12004839.04 11198092.99 1968Q3 75 3489.2 5625 421875 31640625 261690 19626750 3489.2 3377.3 111.9 111.890 12519.313 0.032 0.033 12174516.64 11406224.63 1968Q4 76 3504.1 5776 438976 33362176 266311.6 20239681.6 3504.1 3408.3 95.8 95.752 9168.485 0.027 0.028 12278716.81 11616834.67 1969Q1 77 3558.3 5929 456533 35153041 273989.1 21097160.7 3558.3 3439.5 118.8 118.835 14121.856 0.033 0.034 12661498.89 11829916.63 1969Q2 78 3567.6 6084 474552 37015056 278272.8 21705278.4 3567.6 3470.7 96.9 96.942 9397.814 0.027 0.028 12727769.76 12045464.72 1969Q3 79 3588.3 6241 493039 38950081 283475.7 22394580.3 3588.3 3501.9 86.4 86.376 7460.760 0.024 0.024 12875896.89 12263473.85 1969Q4 80 3571.4 6400 512000 40960000 285712 22856960 3571.4 3533.3 38.1 38.138 1454.513 0.011 0.011 12754897.96 12483939.80 1970Q1 81 3566.5 6561 531441 43046721 288886.5 23399806.5 3566.5 3564.7 1.8 1.832 3.356 0.001 0.001 12719922.25 12706859.14 1970Q2 82 3573.9 6724 551368 45212176 293059.8 24030903.6 3573.9 3596.1 -22.2 22.241 494.658 0.006 0.006 12772761.21 12932229.42 1970Q3 83 3605.2 6889 571787 47458321 299231.6 24836222.8 3605.2 3627.7 -22.5 22.478 505.270 0.006 0.006 12997467.04 13160049.14 1970Q4 84 3566.5 7056 592704 49787136 299586 25165224 3566.5 3659.3 -92.8 92.778 8607.818 0.026 0.026 12719922.25 13390317.87 1971Q1 85 3666.1 7225 614125 52200625 311618.5 26487572.5 3666.1 3690.9 -24.8 24.840 617.013 0.007 0.007 13440289.21 13623036.28 1971Q2 86 3686.2 7396 636056 54700816 317013.2 27263135.2 3686.2 3722.7 -36.5 36.461 1329.417 0.010 0.010 13588070.44 13858206.21 1971Q3 87 3714.5 7569 658503 57289761 323161.5 28115050.5 3714.5 3754.4 -39.9 39.941 1595.321 0.011 0.011 13797510.25 14095830.75 1971Q4 88 3723.8 7744 681472 59969536 327694.4 28837107.2 3723.8 3786.3 -62.5 62.480 3903.718 0.017 0.017 13866686.44 14335914.28 1972Q1 89 3796.9 7921 704969 62742241 337924.1 30075244.9 3796.9 3818.2 -21.3 21.275 452.638 0.006 0.006 14416449.61 14578462.56 1972Q2 90 3883.8 8100 729000 65610000 349542 31458780 3883.8 3850.1 33.7 33.672 1133.829 0.009 0.009 15083902.44 14823482.77 1972Q3 91 3922.3 8281 753571 68574961 356929.3 32480566.3 3922.3 3882.1 40.2 40.164 1613.109 0.010 0.010 15384437.29 15070983.58 1972Q4 92 3990.5 8464 778688 71639296 367126 33775592 3990.5 3914.2 76.3 76.298 5821.425 0.019 0.019 15924090.25 15320975.25 1973Q1 93 4092.3 8649 804357 74805201 380583.9 35394302.7 4092.3 3946.3 146.0 145.976 21309.121 0.036 0.036 16746919.29 15573469.65 1973Q2 94 4133.3 8836 830584 78074896 388530.2 36521838.8 4133.3 3978.5 154.8 154.798 23962.336 0.037 0.038 17084168.89 15828480.33 1973Q3 95 4117 9025 857375 81450625 391115 37155925 4117 4010.7 106.3 106.262 11291.524 0.026 0.026 16949689.00 16086022.64 1973Q4 96 4151.1 9216 884736 84934656 398505.6 38256537.6 4151.1 4043.0 108.1 108.067 11678.533 0.026 0.026 17231631.21 16346113.72 1974Q1 97 4119.3 9409 912673 88529281 399572.1 38758493.7 4119.3 4075.4 43.9 43.914 1928.422 0.011 0.011 16968632.49 16608772.62 1974Q2 98 4130.4 9604 941192 92236816 404779.2 39668361.6 4130.4 4107.8 22.6 22.600 510.763 0.005 0.005 17060204.16 16874020.37 1974Q3 99 4084.5 9801 970299 96059601 404365.5 40032184.5 4084.5 4140.3 -55.8 55.775 3110.890 0.014 0.014 16683140.25 17141880.00 1974Q4 100 4062 10000 1000000 100000000 406200 40620000 4062 4172.8 -110.8 110.814 12279.743 0.027 0.027 16499844.00 17412376.68 1975Q1 101 4010 10201 1030301 104060401 405010 40906010 4010 4205.4 -195.4 195.418 38188.062 0.049 0.048 16080100.00 17685537.71 1975Q2 102 4045.2 10404 1061208 108243216 412610.4 42086260.8 4045.2 4238.1 -192.9 192.888 37205.906 0.048 0.047 16363643.04 17961392.65 1975Q3 103 4115.4 10609 1092727 112550881 423886.2 43660278.6 4115.4 4270.8 -155.4 155.428 24157.920 0.038 0.037 16936517.16 18239973.36 1975Q4 104 4167.2 10816 1124864 116985856 433388.8 45072435.2 4167.2 4303.6 -136.4 136.440 18615.774 0.033 0.032 17365555.84 18521314.10 1976Q1 105 4266.1 11025 1157625 121550625 447940.5 47033752.5 4266.1 4336.5 -70.4 70.425 4959.721 0.017 0.016 18199609.21 18805451.55 1976Q2 106 4301.5 11236 1191016 126247696 455959 48331654 4301.5 4369.5 -68.0 67.988 4622.361 0.016 0.016 18502902.25 19092424.94 1976Q3 107 4321.9 11449 1225043 131079601 462443.3 49481433.1 4321.9 4402.5 -80.6 80.631 6501.301 0.019 0.018 18678819.61 19382276.06 1976Q4 108 4357.4 11664 1259712 136048896 470599.2 50824713.6 4357.4 4435.7 -78.3 78.257 6124.094 0.018 0.018 18986934.76 19675049.40 1977Q1 109 4410.5 11881 1295029 141158161 480744.5 52401150.5 4410.5 4468.9 -58.4 58.369 3406.967 0.013 0.013 19452510.25 19970792.18 1977Q2 110 4489.8 12100 1331000 146410000 493878 54326580 4489.8 4502.2 -12.4 12.372 153.071 0.003 0.003 20158304.04 20269554.43 1977Q3 111 4570.6 12321 1367631 151807041 507336.6 56314362.6 4570.6 4535.6 35.0 35.031 1227.149 0.008 0.008 20890384.36 20571389.06 1977Q4 112 4576.1 12544 1404928 157351936 512523.2 57402598.4 4576.1 4569.1 7.0 7.035 49.496 0.002 0.002 20940691.21 20876351.97 1978Q1 113 4588.9 12769 1442897 163047361 518545.7 58595664.1 4588.9 4602.7 -13.8 13.762 189.406 0.003 0.003 21058003.21 21184502.08 1978Q2 114 4765.7 12996 1481544 168896016 543289.8 61935037.2 4765.7 4636.4 129.3 129.333 16726.956 0.027 0.028 22711896.49 21495901.43 1978Q3 115 4811.7 13225 1520875 174900625 553345.5 63634732.5 4811.7 4670.2 141.5 141.516 20026.879 0.029 0.030 23152456.89 21810615.28 1978Q4 116 4876 13456 1560896 181063936 565616 65611456 4876 4704.1 171.9 171.883 29543.934 0.035 0.036 23775376.00 22128712.15 1979Q1 117 4888.3 13689 1601613 187388721 571931.1 66915938.7 4888.3 4738.2 150.1 150.129 22538.732 0.031 0.031 23895476.89 22450263.93 1979Q2 118 4891.4 13924 1643032 193877776 577185.2 68107853.6 4891.4 4772.4 119.0 119.048 14172.369 0.024 0.025 23925793.96 22775345.93 1979Q3 119 4926.2 14161 1685159 200533921 586217.8 69759918.2 4926.2 4806.7 119.5 119.534 14288.403 0.024 0.025 24267446.44 23104037.01 1979Q4 120 4942.6 14400 1728000 207360000 593112 71173440 4942.6 4841.1 101.5 101.482 10298.678 0.021 0.021 24429294.76 23436419.62 1980Q1 121 4958.9 14641 1771561 214358881 600026.9 72603254.9 4958.9 4875.7 83.2 83.187 6920.032 0.017 0.017 24590689.21 23772579.92 1980Q2 122 4857.8 14884 1815848 221533456 592651.6 72303495.2 4857.8 4910.5 -52.7 52.659 2772.973 0.011 0.011 23598220.84 24112607.85 1980Q3 123 4850.3 15129 1860867 228886641 596586.9 73380188.7 4850.3 4945.4 -95.1 95.061 9036.628 0.020 0.019 23525410.09 24456597.21 1980Q4 124 4936.6 15376 1906624 236421376 612138.4 75905161.6 4936.6 4980.4 -43.8 43.826 1920.742 0.009 0.009 24370019.56 24804645.80 1981Q1 125 5032.5 15625 1953125 244140625 629062.5 78632812.5 5032.5 5015.7 16.8 16.839 283.551 0.003 0.003 25326056.25 25156855.42 1981Q2 126 4997.3 15876 2000376 252047376 629659.8 79337134.8 4997.3 5051.1 -53.8 53.772 2891.468 0.011 0.011 24973007.29 25513332.08 1981Q3 127 5056.8 16129 2048383 260144641 642213.6 81561127.2 5056.8 5086.7 -29.9 29.867 892.066 0.006 0.006 25571226.24 25874186.00 1981Q4 128 4997.1 16384 2097152 268435456 639628.8 81872486.4 4997.1 5122.5 -125.4 125.354 15713.547 0.025 0.025 24971008.41 26239531.77 1982Q1 129 4914.3 16641 2146689 276922881 633944.7 81778866.3 4914.3 5158.4 -244.1 244.139 59603.638 0.050 0.048 24150344.49 26609488.40 1982Q2 130 4935.5 16900 2197000 285610000 641615 83409950 4935.5 5194.6 -259.1 259.130 67148.290 0.053 0.051 24359160.25 26984179.49 1982Q3 131 4912.1 17161 2248091 294499921 643485.1 84296548.1 4912.1 5231.0 -318.9 318.936 101719.906 0.065 0.063 24128726.41 27363733.26 1982Q4 132 4915.6 17424 2299968 303595776 648859.2 85649414.4 4915.6 5267.7 -352.1 352.064 123948.974 0.072 0.069 24163123.36 27748282.73 1983Q1 133 4972.4 17689 2352637 312900721 661329.2 87956783.6 4972.4 5304.5 -332.1 332.123 110305.782 0.067 0.065 24724761.76 28137965.78 1983Q2 134 5089.8 17956 2406104 322417936 682033.2 91392448.8 5089.8 5341.6 -251.8 251.822 63414.304 0.049 0.048 25906064.04 28532925.26 1983Q3 135 5180.4 18225 2460375 332150625 699354 94412790 5180.4 5379.0 -198.6 198.569 39429.710 0.038 0.038 26836544.16 28933309.18 1983Q4 136 5286.8 18496 2515456 342102016 719004.8 97784652.8 5286.8 5416.6 -129.8 129.774 16841.215 0.025 0.024 27950254.24 29339270.72 1984Q1 137 5402.3 18769 2571353 352275361 740115.1 101395768.7 5402.3 5454.4 -52.1 52.145 2719.084 0.010 0.010 29184845.29 29750968.44 1984Q2 138 5493.8 19044 2628072 362673936 758144.4 104623927.2 5493.8 5492.6 1.2 1.208 1.459 0.000 0.000 30181838.44 30168566.37 1984Q3 139 5541.3 19321 2685619 373301041 770240.7 107063457.3 5541.3 5531.0 10.3 10.275 105.582 0.002 0.002 30706005.69 30592234.15 1984Q4 140 5583.1 19600 2744000 384160000 781634 109428760 5583.1 5569.8 13.3 13.347 178.146 0.002 0.002 31171005.61 31022147.14 1985Q1 141 5629.7 19881 2803221 395254161 793787.7 111924065.7 5629.7 5608.8 20.9 20.913 437.372 0.004 0.004 31693522.09 31458486.60 1985Q2 142 5673.8 20164 2863288 406586896 805679.6 114406503.2 5673.8 5648.1 25.7 25.664 658.643 0.005 0.005 32192006.44 31901439.76 1985Q3 143 5758.6 20449 2924207 418161601 823479.8 117757611.4 5758.6 5687.8 70.8 70.788 5011.007 0.012 0.012 33161473.96 32351200.06 1985Q4 144 5806 20736 2985984 429981696 836064 120393216 5806 5727.8 78.2 78.176 6111.495 0.013 0.014 33709636.00 32807967.22 1986Q1 145 5858.9 21025 3048625 442050625 849540.5 123183372.5 5858.9 5768.2 90.7 90.716 8229.381 0.015 0.016 34326709.21 33271947.41 1986Q2 146 5883.3 21316 3112136 454371856 858961.8 125408422.8 5883.3 5808.9 74.4 74.397 5534.922 0.013 0.013 34613218.89 33743353.44 1986Q3 147 5937.9 21609 3176523 466948881 872871.3 128312081.1 5937.9 5850.0 87.9 87.908 7727.839 0.015 0.015 35258656.41 34222404.89 1986Q4 148 5969.5 21904 3241792 479785216 883486 130755928 5969.5 5891.5 78.0 78.038 6089.880 0.013 0.013 35634930.25 34709328.26 1987Q1 149 6013.3 22201 3307949 492884401 895981.7 133501273.3 6013.3 5933.3 80.0 79.974 6395.844 0.013 0.013 36159776.89 35204357.19 1987Q2 150 6077.2 22500 3375000 506250000 911580 136737000 6077.2 5975.6 101.6 101.605 10323.627 0.017 0.017 36932359.84 35707732.62 1987Q3 151 6128.1 22801 3442951 519885601 925343.1 139726808.1 6128.1 6018.3 109.8 109.819 12060.272 0.018 0.018 37553609.61 36219702.93 1987Q4 152 6234.4 23104 3511808 533794816 947628.8 144039577.6 6234.4 6061.4 173.0 173.004 29930.306 0.028 0.028 38867743.36 36740524.19 1988Q1 153 6275.9 23409 3581577 547981281 960212.7 146912543.1 6275.9 6105.0 170.9 170.946 29222.620 0.027 0.028 39386920.81 37270460.30 1988Q2 154 6349.8 23716 3652264 562448656 977869.2 150591856.8 6349.8 6149.0 200.8 200.834 40334.284 0.032 0.032 40319960.04 37809783.23 1988Q3 155 6382.3 24025 3723875 577200625 989256.5 153334757.5 6382.3 6193.4 188.9 188.854 35665.839 0.030 0.030 40733753.29 38358773.18 1988Q4 156 6465.2 24336 3796416 592240896 1008571.2 157337107.2 6465.2 6238.4 226.8 226.793 51435.176 0.035 0.036 41798811.04 38917718.83 1989Q1 157 6543.8 24649 3869893 607573201 1027376.6 161298126.2 6543.8 6283.9 259.9 259.938 67567.933 0.040 0.041 42821318.44 39486917.54 1989Q2 158 6579.4 24964 3944312 623201296 1039545.2 164248141.6 6579.4 6329.8 249.6 249.576 62288.034 0.038 0.039 43288504.36 40066675.58 1989Q3 159 6610.6 25281 4019679 639128961 1051085.4 167122578.6 6610.6 6376.3 234.3 234.292 54892.572 0.035 0.036 43700032.36 40657308.32 1989Q4 160 6633.5 25600 4096000 655360000 1061360 169817600 6633.5 6423.3 210.2 210.172 44172.337 0.032 0.032 44003322.25 41259140.54 1990Q1 161 6716.3 25921 4173281 671898241 1081324.3 174093212.3 6716.3 6470.9 245.4 245.403 60222.685 0.037 0.037 45108685.69 41872506.61 1990Q2 162 6731.7 26244 4251528 688747536 1090535.4 176666734.8 6731.7 6519.0 212.7 212.670 45228.574 0.032 0.032 45315784.89 42497750.77 1990Q3 163 6719.4 26569 4330747 705911761 1095262.2 178527738.6 6719.4 6567.7 151.7 151.659 23000.325 0.023 0.023 45150336.36 43135227.37 1990Q4 164 6664.2 26896 4410944 723394816 1092928.8 179240323.2 6664.2 6617.0 47.2 47.154 2223.475 0.007 0.007 44411561.64 43785301.17 1991Q1 165 6631.4 27225 4492125 741200625 1094181 180539865 6631.4 6667.0 -35.6 35.559 1264.471 0.005 0.005 43975465.96 44448347.58 1991Q2 166 6668.5 27556 4574296 759333136 1106971 183757186 6668.5 6717.5 -49.0 48.996 2400.611 0.007 0.007 44468892.25 45124752.95 1991Q3 167 6684.9 27889 4657463 777796321 1116378.3 186435176.1 6684.9 6768.7 -83.8 83.772 7017.676 0.013 0.012 44687888.01 45814914.87 1991Q4 168 6720.9 28224 4741632 796594176 1129111.2 189690681.6 6720.9 6820.5 -99.6 99.602 9920.484 0.015 0.015 45170496.81 46519242.45 1992Q1 169 6783.3 28561 4826809 815730721 1146377.7 193737831.3 6783.3 6873.0 -89.7 89.702 8046.451 0.013 0.013 46013158.89 47238156.65 1992Q2 170 6846.8 28900 4913000 835210000 1163956 197872520 6846.8 6926.2 -79.4 79.389 6302.574 0.012 0.012 46878670.24 47972090.60 1992Q3 171 6899.7 29241 5000211 855036081 1179848.7 201754127.7 6899.7 6980.1 -80.4 80.378 6460.634 0.012 0.012 47605860.09 48721489.89 1992Q4 172 6990.6 29584 5088448 875213056 1202383.2 206809910.4 6990.6 7034.7 -44.1 44.086 1943.612 0.006 0.006 48868488.36 49486812.94 1993Q1 173 6988.7 29929 5177717 895745041 1209045.1 209164802.3 6988.7 7090.0 -101.3 101.330 10267.854 0.014 0.014 48841927.69 50268531.33 1993Q2 174 7031.2 30276 5268024 916636176 1223428.8 212876611.2 7031.2 7146.1 -114.9 114.927 13208.200 0.016 0.016 49437773.44 51067130.15 1993Q3 175 7062 30625 5359375 937890625 1235850 216273750 7062 7203.0 -141.0 140.993 19879.030 0.020 0.020 49871844.00 51883108.38 1993Q4 176 7168.7 30976 5451776 959512576 1261691.2 222057651.2 7168.7 7260.6 -91.9 91.946 8454.053 0.013 0.013 51390259.69 52716979.27 1994Q1 177 7229.4 31329 5545233 981506241 1279603.8 226489872.6 7229.4 7319.1 -89.7 89.703 8046.652 0.012 0.012 52264224.36 53569270.70 1994Q2 178 7330.2 31684 5639752 1003875856 1304775.6 232250056.8 7330.2 7378.4 -48.2 48.182 2321.535 0.007 0.007 53731832.04 54440525.58 1994Q3 179 7370.2 32041 5735339 1026625681 1319265.8 236148578.2 7370.2 7438.5 -68.3 68.301 4665.074 0.009 0.009 54319848.04 55331302.29 1994Q4 180 7461.1 32400 5832000 1049760000 1342998 241739640 7461.1 7499.5 -38.4 38.378 1472.895 0.005 0.005 55668013.21 56242175.07 1995Q1 181 7488.7 32761 5929741 1073283121 1355454.7 245337300.7 7488.7 7561.3 -72.6 72.632 5275.339 0.010 0.010 56080627.69 57173734.47 1995Q2 182 7503.3 33124 6028568 1097199376 1365600.6 248539309.2 7503.3 7624.1 -120.8 120.779 14587.680 0.016 0.016 56299510.89 58126587.76 1995Q3 183 7561.4 33489 6128487 1121513121 1383736.2 253223724.6 7561.4 7687.7 -126.3 126.341 15962.011 0.017 0.017 57174769.96 59101359.43 1995Q4 184 7621.9 33856 6229504 1146228736 1402429.6 258047046.4 7621.9 7752.3 -130.4 130.435 17013.183 0.017 0.017 58093359.61 60098691.63 1996Q1 185 7676.4 34225 6331625 1171350625 1420134 262724790 7676.4 7817.9 -141.5 141.480 20016.535 0.018 0.018 58927116.96 61119244.66 1996Q2 186 7802.9 34596 6434856 1196883216 1451339.4 269949128.4 7802.9 7884.4 -81.5 81.496 6641.569 0.010 0.010 60885248.41 62163697.44 1996Q3 187 7841.9 34969 6539203 1222830961 1466435.3 274223401.1 7841.9 7951.9 -110.0 110.002 12100.477 0.014 0.014 61495395.61 63232748.07 1996Q4 188 7931.3 35344 6644672 1249198336 1491084.4 280323867.2 7931.3 8020.4 -89.1 89.119 7942.122 0.011 0.011 62905519.69 64327114.30 1997Q1 189 8016.4 35721 6751269 1275989841 1515099.6 286353824.4 8016.4 8090.0 -73.6 73.565 5411.813 0.009 0.009 64262668.96 65447534.08 1997Q2 190 8131.9 36100 6859000 1303210000 1545061 293561590 8131.9 8160.6 -28.7 28.662 821.489 0.004 0.004 66127797.61 66594766.12 1997Q3 191 8216.6 36481 6967871 1330863361 1569370.6 299749784.6 8216.6 8232.2 -15.6 15.629 244.258 0.002 0.002 67512515.56 67769590.42 1997Q4 192 8272.9 36864 7077888 1358954496 1588396.8 304972185.6 8272.9 8305.0 -32.1 32.087 1029.575 0.004 0.004 68440874.41 68972808.91 1998Q1 193 8396.3 37249 7189057 1387488001 1620485.9 312753778.7 8396.3 8378.9 17.4 17.443 304.255 0.002 0.002 70497853.69 70205245.97 1998Q2 194 8442.9 37636 7301384 1416468496 1637922.6 317756984.4 8442.9 8453.9 -11.0 10.960 120.122 0.001 0.001 71282560.41 71467749.08 1998Q3 195 8528.5 38025 7414875 1445900625 1663057.5 324296212.5 8528.5 8530.0 -1.5 1.517 2.301 0.000 0.000 72735312.25 72761189.43 1998Q4 196 8667.9 38416 7529536 1475789056 1698908.4 332986046.4 8667.9 8607.3 60.6 60.551 3666.383 0.007 0.007 75132490.41 74086462.59 1999Q1 197 8733.5 38809 7645373 1506138481 1720499.5 338938401.5 8733.5 8685.9 47.6 47.621 2267.786 0.005 0.005 76274022.25 75444489.11 1999Q2 198 8771.2 39204 7762392 1536953616 1736697.6 343866124.8 8771.2 8765.6 5.6 5.573 31.059 0.001 0.001 76933949.44 76836215.22 1999Q3 199 8871.5 39601 7880599 1568239201 1765428.5 351320271.5 8871.5 8846.6 24.9 24.884 619.217 0.003 0.003 78703512.25 78262613.54 1999Q4 200 9049.9 40000 8000000 1600000000 1809980 361996000 9049.9 8928.9 121.0 121.032 14648.745 0.013 0.013 81900690.01 79724683.76 2000Q1 201 9102.5 40401 8120601 1632240801 1829602.5 367750102.5 9102.5 9012.4 90.1 90.094 8117.014 0.010 0.010 82855506.25 81223453.36 2000Q2 202 9229.4 40804 8242408 1664966416 1864338.8 376596437.6 9229.4 9097.3 132.1 132.149 17463.320 0.014 0.014 85181824.36 82759978.37 2000Q3 203 9260.1 41209 8365427 1698181681 1879800.3 381599460.9 9260.1 9183.4 76.7 76.672 5878.643 0.008 0.008 85749452.01 84335344.12 2000Q4 204 9303.9 41616 8489664 1731891456 1897995.6 387191102.4 9303.9 9271.0 32.9 32.942 1085.162 0.004 0.004 86562555.21 85950666.02 sumace 20910 930779.7 2850730 437228100 71529947014 120333056.5 18336699229 930779.7 930774.6238 5.0762E+00 17519.866 2368807.234 4.401343998 4.389631898 5153991741 5151551149 (SE) SAE SSE b0 1786.94 spočteno GRETLem 2.4883E-02 85.882 11611.800 2.158 2.152 b1 1.08344 spočteno GRETLem ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE b2 0.454395 spočteno GRETLem THEILovoU 0.01072 107.758 b3 -0.00312652 spočteno GRETLem RMSE b4 8.60E-06 spočteno GRETLem ##### Sheet/List 6 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí yt = GDPUSA lnt ln2t lnt*yt skutečnost vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 APE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 0.0000000 0.0000000 0 1610.5 -3254.753 4865.253 4865.253 23670686.181 3.021 1.479 2593710.25 10593416.71 1950Q2 2 1658.8 0.6931472 0.4804530 1149.792543 1658.8 -2004.976 3663.776 3663.776 13423257.364 2.209 5.292 2751617.44 4019930.28 1950Q3 3 1723 1.0986123 1.2069490 1892.908973 1723 -1273.904 2996.904 2996.904 8981433.332 1.739 3.337 2968729.00 1622831.29 1950Q4 4 1753.9 1.3862944 1.9218121 2431.42168 1753.9 -755.200 2509.100 2509.100 6295581.903 1.431 5.025 3076165.21 570326.77 1951Q1 5 1773.5 1.6094379 2.5902904 2854.338138 1773.5 -352.862 2126.362 2126.362 4521413.790 1.199 0.748 3145302.25 124511.33 1951Q2 6 1803.7 1.7917595 3.2104020 3231.796555 1803.7 -24.127 1827.827 1827.827 3340952.992 1.013 0.514 3253333.69 582.13 1951Q3 7 1839.8 1.9459101 3.7865663 3580.085492 1839.8 253.813 1585.987 1585.987 2515353.372 0.862 0.379 3384864.04 64421.26 1951Q4 8 1843.3 2.0794415 4.3240771 3833.034594 1843.3 494.577 1348.723 1348.723 1819054.427 0.732 0.288 3397754.89 244606.15 1952Q1 9 1864.7 2.1972246 4.8277958 4097.164669 1864.7 706.945 1157.755 1157.755 1340396.581 0.621 0.225 3477106.09 499771.27 1952Q2 10 1866.2 2.3025851 5.3018981 4297.084301 1866.2 896.915 969.285 969.285 939513.549 0.519 0.175 3482702.44 804456.39 1952Q3 11 1878 2.3978953 5.7499017 4503.247322 1878 1068.764 809.236 809.236 654863.535 0.431 0.137 3526884.00 1142255.65 1952Q4 12 1940.2 2.4849066 6.1747611 4821.215882 1940.2 1225.649 714.551 714.551 510582.897 0.368 0.113 3764376.04 1502215.87 1953Q1 13 1976 2.5649494 6.5789652 5068.33993 1976 1369.970 606.030 606.030 367272.502 0.307 0.091 3904576.00 1876817.48 1953Q2 14 1992.2 2.6390573 6.9646236 5257.530012 1992.2 1503.590 488.610 488.610 238739.732 0.245 0.070 3968860.84 2260782.89 1953Q3 15 1979.5 2.7080502 7.3335359 5360.585373 1979.5 1627.987 351.513 351.513 123561.142 0.178 0.049 3918420.25 2650342.82 1953Q4 16 1947.8 2.7725887 7.6872482 5400.448313 1947.8 1744.353 203.447 203.447 41390.559 0.104 0.028 3793924.84 3042768.44 1954Q1 17 1938.1 2.8332133 8.0270979 5491.050782 1938.1 1853.662 84.438 84.438 7129.723 0.044 0.011 3756231.61 3436063.97 1954Q2 18 1941 2.8903718 8.3542489 5610.211582 1941 1956.722 -15.722 15.722 247.168 0.008 0.002 3767481.00 3828759.37 1954Q3 19 1962 2.9444390 8.6697209 5776.989277 1962 2054.207 -92.207 92.207 8502.186 0.047 0.011 3849444.00 4219767.62 1954Q4 20 2000.9 2.9957323 8.9744119 5994.160706 2000.9 2146.691 -145.791 145.791 21255.159 0.073 0.018 4003600.81 4608284.35 1955Q1 21 2058.1 3.0445224 9.2691169 6265.931629 2058.1 2234.662 -176.562 176.562 31174.289 0.086 0.021 4235775.61 4993716.14 1955Q2 22 2091 3.0910425 9.5545434 6463.36977 2091 2318.540 -227.540 227.540 51774.529 0.109 0.026 4372281.00 5375628.52 1955Q3 23 2118.9 3.1354942 9.8313240 6643.798694 2118.9 2398.689 -279.789 279.789 78281.752 0.132 0.031 4489737.21 5753707.78 1955Q4 24 2130.1 3.1780538 10.1000261 6769.572464 2130.1 2475.426 -345.326 345.326 119249.856 0.162 0.037 4537326.01 6127732.52 1956Q1 25 2121 3.2188758 10.3611616 6827.235625 2121 2549.030 -428.030 428.030 183209.405 0.202 0.183 4498641.00 6497552.30 1956Q2 26 2137.7 3.2580965 10.6151931 6964.832969 2137.7 2619.746 -482.046 482.046 232368.775 0.225 0.203 4569761.29 6863071.43 1956Q3 27 2135.3 3.2958369 10.8625406 7037.60046 2135.3 2687.794 -552.494 552.494 305249.630 0.259 0.229 4559506.09 7224236.64 1956Q4 28 2170.4 3.3322045 11.1035869 7232.216669 2170.4 2753.367 -582.967 582.967 339850.011 0.269 0.237 4710636.16 7581027.42 1957Q1 29 2182.7 3.3672958 11.3386812 7349.796608 2182.7 2816.638 -633.938 633.938 401877.185 0.290 0.254 4764179.29 7933448.72 1957Q2 30 2177.7 3.4011974 11.5681436 7406.787538 2177.7 2877.764 -700.064 700.064 490089.481 0.321 0.277 4742377.29 8281525.14 1957Q3 31 2198.9 3.4339872 11.7922681 7550.994464 2198.9 2936.885 -737.985 737.985 544622.577 0.336 0.287 4835161.21 8625296.36 1957Q4 32 2176 3.4657359 12.0113253 7541.441324 2176 2994.130 -818.130 818.130 669336.474 0.376 0.316 4734976.00 8964813.64 1958Q1 33 2117.4 3.4965076 12.2255651 7403.505111 2117.4 3049.613 -932.213 932.213 869020.319 0.440 0.361 4483382.76 9300136.97 1958Q2 34 2129.7 3.5263605 12.4352185 7510.090009 2129.7 3103.439 -973.739 973.739 948167.392 0.457 0.372 4535622.09 9631332.84 1958Q3 35 2177.5 3.5553481 12.6404998 7741.770404 2177.5 3155.705 -978.205 978.205 956884.529 0.449 0.367 4741506.25 9958472.46 1958Q4 36 2226.5 3.5835189 12.8416080 7978.704916 2226.5 3206.498 -979.998 979.998 960396.369 0.440 0.361 4957302.25 10281630.37 1959Q1 37 2273 3.6109179 13.0387282 8207.616415 2273 3255.900 -982.900 982.900 966091.959 0.432 0.356 5166529.00 10600883.32 1959Q2 38 2332.4 3.6375862 13.2320331 8484.305959 2332.4 3303.984 -971.584 971.584 943975.195 0.417 0.345 5440089.76 10916309.34 1959Q3 39 2331.4 3.6635616 13.4216839 8541.227622 2331.4 3350.819 -1019.419 1019.419 1039214.827 0.437 0.359 5435425.96 11227987.08 1959Q4 40 2339.1 3.6888795 13.6078316 8628.657931 2339.1 3396.468 -1057.368 1057.368 1118027.195 0.452 0.369 5471388.81 11535995.22 1960Q1 41 2391 3.7135721 13.7906175 8879.150811 2391 3440.990 -1049.990 1049.990 1102478.955 0.439 0.360 5716881.00 11840412.03 1960Q2 42 2379.2 3.7376696 13.9701742 8892.663556 2379.2 3484.439 -1105.239 1105.239 1221553.210 0.465 0.377 5660592.64 12141315.03 1960Q3 43 2383.6 3.7612001 14.1466263 8965.196596 2383.6 3526.866 -1143.266 1143.266 1307056.147 0.480 0.387 5681548.96 12438780.70 1960Q4 44 2352.9 3.7841896 14.3200912 8903.81979 2352.9 3568.317 -1215.417 1215.417 1477237.832 0.517 0.411 5536138.41 12732884.30 1961Q1 45 2366.5 3.8066625 14.4906793 9008.466782 2366.5 3608.836 -1242.336 1242.336 1543399.569 0.525 0.416 5600322.25 13023699.69 1961Q2 46 2410.8 3.8286414 14.6584949 9230.088679 2410.8 3648.465 -1237.665 1237.665 1531815.456 0.513 0.409 5811956.64 13311299.22 1961Q3 47 2450.4 3.8501476 14.8236366 9434.401683 2450.4 3687.242 -1236.842 1236.842 1529778.161 0.505 0.403 6004460.16 13595753.65 1961Q4 48 2500.4 3.8712010 14.9861973 9679.551008 2500.4 3725.202 -1224.802 1224.802 1500140.640 0.490 0.393 6252000.16 13877132.07 1962Q1 49 2544 3.8918203 15.1462652 9900.790838 2544 3762.380 -1218.380 1218.380 1484449.382 0.479 0.386 6471936.00 14155501.90 1962Q2 50 2571.5 3.9120230 15.3039240 10059.76716 2571.5 3798.806 -1227.306 1227.306 1506280.602 0.477 0.385 6612612.25 14430928.84 1962Q3 51 2596.8 3.9318256 15.4592528 10210.1648 2596.8 3834.511 -1237.711 1237.711 1531929.250 0.477 0.385 6743370.24 14703476.87 1962Q4 52 2603.3 3.9512437 15.6123269 10286.27277 2603.3 3869.523 -1266.223 1266.223 1603320.700 0.486 0.391 6777170.89 14973208.29 1963Q1 53 2634.1 3.9702919 15.7632179 10458.14593 2634.1 3903.868 -1269.768 1269.768 1612310.230 0.482 0.388 6938482.81 15240183.69 1963Q2 54 2668.4 3.9889840 15.9119937 10644.20503 2668.4 3937.571 -1269.171 1269.171 1610793.936 0.476 0.384 7120358.56 15504461.99 1963Q3 55 2719.6 4.0073332 16.0587193 10898.34333 2719.6 3970.655 -1251.055 1251.055 1565138.411 0.460 0.374 7396224.16 15766100.49 1963Q4 56 2739.4 4.0253517 16.2034562 11027.04842 2739.4 4003.143 -1263.743 1263.743 1597046.677 0.461 0.375 7504312.36 16025154.85 1964Q1 57 2800.5 4.0430513 16.3462636 11322.56508 2800.5 4035.056 -1234.556 1234.556 1524129.211 0.441 0.361 7842800.25 16281679.19 1964Q2 58 2833.8 4.0604430 16.4871974 11506.4834 2833.8 4066.414 -1232.614 1232.614 1519338.262 0.435 0.357 8030422.44 16535726.08 1964Q3 59 2872 4.0775374 16.6263116 11710.68754 2872 4097.236 -1225.236 1225.236 1501204.379 0.427 0.352 8248384.00 16787346.60 1964Q4 60 2879.5 4.0943446 16.7636574 11789.66517 2879.5 4127.540 -1248.040 1248.040 1557605.023 0.433 0.356 8291520.25 17036590.36 1965Q1 61 2950.1 4.1108739 16.8992839 12127.48899 2950.1 4157.344 -1207.244 1207.244 1457437.043 0.409 0.340 8703090.01 17283505.58 1965Q2 62 2989.9 4.1271344 17.0332382 12339.7191 2989.9 4186.662 -1196.762 1196.762 1432239.397 0.400 0.334 8939502.01 17528139.10 1965Q3 63 3050.7 4.1431347 17.1655654 12639.46111 3050.7 4215.511 -1164.811 1164.811 1356785.610 0.382 0.321 9306770.49 17770536.41 1965Q4 64 3123.6 4.1588831 17.2963085 12990.6872 3123.6 4243.906 -1120.306 1120.306 1255086.485 0.359 0.304 9756876.96 18010741.74 1966Q1 65 3201.1 4.1743873 17.4255091 13362.63109 3201.1 4271.861 -1070.761 1070.761 1146529.533 0.334 0.287 10247041.21 18248798.05 1966Q2 66 3213.2 4.1896547 17.5532069 13462.19862 3213.2 4299.389 -1086.189 1086.189 1179806.879 0.338 0.289 10324654.24 18484747.10 1966Q3 67 3233.6 4.2046926 17.6794400 13596.29405 3233.6 4326.503 -1092.903 1092.903 1194437.286 0.338 0.289 10456168.96 18718629.47 1966Q4 68 3261.8 4.2195077 17.8042453 13763.19023 3261.8 4353.215 -1091.415 1091.415 1191187.649 0.335 0.287 10639339.24 18950484.61 1967Q1 69 3291.8 4.2341065 17.9276579 13937.83179 3291.8 4379.538 -1087.738 1087.738 1183173.406 0.330 0.284 10835947.24 19180350.88 1967Q2 70 3289.7 4.2484952 18.0497118 13976.2748 3289.7 4405.481 -1115.781 1115.781 1244967.929 0.339 0.290 10822126.09 19408265.56 1967Q3 71 3313.5 4.2626799 18.1704397 14124.38977 3313.5 4431.057 -1117.557 1117.557 1248933.346 0.337 0.289 10979282.25 19634264.94 1967Q4 72 3338.3 4.2766661 18.2898731 14276.79451 3338.3 4456.275 -1117.975 1117.975 1249867.449 0.335 0.287 11144246.89 19858384.28 1968Q1 73 3406.2 4.2904594 18.4080422 14614.16295 3406.2 4481.145 -1074.945 1074.945 1155506.127 0.316 0.273 11602198.44 20080657.90 1968Q2 74 3464.8 4.3040651 18.5249763 14912.72473 3464.8 4505.676 -1040.876 1040.876 1083423.538 0.300 0.261 12004839.04 20301119.20 1968Q3 75 3489.2 4.3174881 18.6407036 15064.57953 3489.2 4529.879 -1040.679 1040.679 1083012.075 0.298 0.260 12174516.64 20519800.68 1968Q4 76 3504.1 4.3307333 18.7552513 15175.3227 3504.1 4553.760 -1049.660 1049.660 1101786.997 0.300 0.261 12278716.81 20736733.96 1969Q1 77 3558.3 4.3438054 18.8686455 15456.56283 3558.3 4577.330 -1019.030 1019.030 1038422.120 0.286 0.251 12661498.89 20951949.84 1969Q2 78 3567.6 4.3567088 18.9809118 15542.99441 3567.6 4600.595 -1032.995 1032.995 1067079.555 0.290 0.253 12727769.76 21165478.29 1969Q3 79 3588.3 4.3694479 19.0920745 15678.88973 3588.3 4623.564 -1035.264 1035.264 1071772.550 0.289 0.252 12875896.89 21377348.53 1969Q4 80 3571.4 4.3820266 19.2021574 15649.96992 3571.4 4646.245 -1074.845 1074.845 1155290.940 0.301 0.262 12754897.96 21587588.99 1970Q1 81 3566.5 4.3944492 19.3111834 15672.80291 3566.5 4668.643 -1102.143 1102.143 1214719.176 0.309 0.268 12719922.25 21796227.39 1970Q2 82 3573.9 4.4067192 19.4191745 15749.17392 3573.9 4690.767 -1116.867 1116.867 1247390.867 0.313 0.270 12772761.21 22003290.73 1970Q3 83 3605.2 4.4188406 19.5261523 15930.80416 3605.2 4712.622 -1107.422 1107.422 1226383.299 0.307 0.266 12997467.04 22208805.32 1970Q4 84 3566.5 4.4308168 19.6321375 15802.50811 3566.5 4734.216 -1167.716 1167.716 1363559.592 0.327 0.281 12719922.25 22412796.82 1971Q1 85 3666.1 4.4426513 19.7371502 16287.20377 3666.1 4755.554 -1089.454 1089.454 1186909.192 0.297 0.259 13440289.21 22615290.24 1971Q2 86 3686.2 4.4543473 19.8412098 16419.615 3686.2 4776.642 -1090.442 1090.442 1189064.025 0.296 0.258 13588070.44 22816309.98 1971Q3 87 3714.5 4.4659081 19.9443353 16588.61571 3714.5 4797.487 -1082.987 1082.987 1172860.460 0.292 0.254 13797510.25 23015879.82 1971Q4 88 3723.8 4.4773368 20.0465450 16672.70683 3723.8 4818.093 -1094.293 1094.293 1197477.811 0.294 0.256 13866686.44 23214022.98 1972Q1 89 3796.9 4.4886364 20.1478565 17042.90343 3796.9 4838.467 -1041.567 1041.567 1084861.640 0.274 0.241 14416449.61 23410762.10 1972Q2 90 3883.8 4.4998097 20.2482871 17476.3608 3883.8 4858.613 -974.813 974.813 950260.182 0.251 0.223 15083902.44 23606119.27 1972Q3 91 3922.3 4.5108595 20.3478535 17692.94424 3922.3 4878.536 -956.236 956.236 914387.792 0.244 0.217 15384437.29 23800116.08 1972Q4 92 3990.5 4.5217886 20.4465719 18044.19732 3990.5 4898.242 -907.742 907.742 823995.331 0.227 0.204 15924090.25 23992773.57 1973Q1 93 4092.3 4.5325995 20.5444582 18548.75691 4092.3 4917.734 -825.434 825.434 681342.063 0.202 0.183 16746919.29 24184112.31 1973Q2 94 4133.3 4.5432948 20.6415275 18778.80032 4133.3 4937.019 -803.719 803.719 645963.544 0.194 0.177 17084168.89 24374152.38 1973Q3 95 4117 4.5538769 20.7377947 18748.31116 4117 4956.099 -839.099 839.099 704086.472 0.204 0.185 16949689.00 24562913.40 1973Q4 96 4151.1 4.5643482 20.8332744 18947.06578 4151.1 4974.979 -823.879 823.879 678776.355 0.198 0.181 17231631.21 24750414.53 1974Q1 97 4119.3 4.5747110 20.9279805 18844.60693 4119.3 4993.663 -874.363 874.363 764511.414 0.212 0.192 16968632.49 24936674.49 1974Q2 98 4130.4 4.5849675 21.0219268 18937.74967 4130.4 5012.156 -881.756 881.756 777494.313 0.213 0.193 17060204.16 25121711.57 1974Q3 99 4084.5 4.5951199 21.1151264 18768.76703 4084.5 5030.462 -945.962 945.962 894843.305 0.232 0.208 16683140.25 25305543.68 1974Q4 100 4062 4.6051702 21.2075924 18706.2013 4062 5048.583 -986.583 986.583 973345.620 0.243 0.217 16499844.00 25488188.28 1975Q1 101 4010 4.6151205 21.2993374 18506.63327 4010 5066.524 -1056.524 1056.524 1116242.345 0.263 0.233 16080100.00 25669662.48 1975Q2 102 4045.2 4.6249728 21.3903735 18708.94002 4045.2 5084.288 -1039.088 1039.088 1079703.572 0.257 0.228 16363643.04 25849983.00 1975Q3 103 4115.4 4.6347290 21.4807128 19073.76368 4115.4 5101.879 -986.479 986.479 973140.211 0.240 0.214 16936517.16 26029166.19 1975Q4 104 4167.2 4.6443909 21.5703668 19354.10575 4167.2 5119.300 -952.100 952.100 906493.585 0.228 0.205 17365555.84 26207228.05 1976Q1 105 4266.1 4.6539604 21.6593469 19854.26025 4266.1 5136.554 -870.454 870.454 757689.698 0.204 0.185 18199609.21 26384184.23 1976Q2 106 4301.5 4.6634391 21.7476642 20059.78326 4301.5 5153.644 -852.144 852.144 726149.988 0.198 0.180 18502902.25 26560050.05 1976Q3 107 4321.9 4.6728288 21.8353293 20195.49894 4321.9 5170.574 -848.674 848.674 720248.381 0.196 0.179 18678819.61 26734840.50 1976Q4 108 4357.4 4.6821312 21.9223528 20401.91861 4357.4 5187.347 -829.947 829.947 688812.240 0.190 0.174 18986934.76 26908570.26 1977Q1 109 4410.5 4.6913479 22.0087450 20691.18983 4410.5 5203.965 -793.465 793.465 629587.005 0.180 0.165 19452510.25 27081253.68 1977Q2 110 4489.8 4.7004804 22.0945157 21104.21675 4489.8 5220.431 -730.631 730.631 533822.360 0.163 0.150 20158304.04 27252904.84 1977Q3 111 4570.6 4.7095302 22.1796747 21525.37874 4570.6 5236.749 -666.149 666.149 443754.162 0.146 0.136 20890384.36 27423537.51 1977Q4 112 4576.1 4.7184989 22.2642316 21592.32268 4576.1 5252.920 -676.820 676.820 458084.883 0.148 0.138 20940691.21 27593165.19 1978Q1 113 4588.9 4.7273878 22.3481956 21693.50996 4588.9 5268.947 -680.047 680.047 462463.742 0.148 0.138 21058003.21 27761801.09 1978Q2 114 4765.7 4.7361984 22.4315757 22571.30095 4765.7 5284.833 -519.133 519.133 269498.908 0.109 0.103 22711896.49 27929458.17 1978Q3 115 4811.7 4.7449321 22.5143809 22831.18992 4811.7 5300.580 -488.880 488.880 239003.726 0.102 0.097 23152456.89 28096149.11 1978Q4 116 4876 4.7535902 22.5966197 23178.50577 4876 5316.191 -440.191 440.191 193768.083 0.090 0.086 23775376.00 28261886.34 1979Q1 117 4888.3 4.7621739 22.6783006 23278.93485 4888.3 5331.668 -443.368 443.368 196575.051 0.091 0.087 23895476.89 28426682.07 1979Q2 118 4891.4 4.7706846 22.7594318 23335.32677 4891.4 5347.013 -455.613 455.613 207583.223 0.093 0.089 23925793.96 28590548.23 1979Q3 119 4926.2 4.7791235 22.8400214 23542.91815 4926.2 5362.229 -436.029 436.029 190121.020 0.089 0.085 24267446.44 28753496.54 1979Q4 120 4942.6 4.7874917 22.9200772 23662.65669 4942.6 5377.317 -434.717 434.717 188978.900 0.088 0.084 24429294.76 28915538.49 1980Q1 121 4958.9 4.7957905 22.9996070 23781.84574 4958.9 5392.280 -433.380 433.380 187818.364 0.087 0.084 24590689.21 29076685.34 1980Q2 122 4857.8 4.8040210 23.0786182 23336.97343 4857.8 5407.120 -549.320 549.320 301752.609 0.113 0.107 23598220.84 29236948.14 1980Q3 123 4850.3 4.8121844 23.1571183 23340.53778 4850.3 5421.839 -571.539 571.539 326656.785 0.118 0.111 23525410.09 29396337.73 1980Q4 124 4936.6 4.8202816 23.2351144 23795.80198 4936.6 5436.439 -499.839 499.839 249838.634 0.101 0.096 24370019.56 29554864.74 1981Q1 125 5032.5 4.8283137 23.3126135 24298.48888 5032.5 5450.921 -418.421 418.421 175076.122 0.083 0.080 25326056.25 29712539.60 1981Q2 126 4997.3 4.8362819 23.3896227 24168.35157 4997.3 5465.288 -467.988 467.988 219012.737 0.094 0.089 24973007.29 29869372.56 1981Q3 127 5056.8 4.8441871 23.4661485 24496.08526 5056.8 5479.541 -422.741 422.741 178710.268 0.084 0.080 25571226.24 30025373.65 1981Q4 128 4997.1 4.8520303 23.5421977 24246.08043 4997.1 5493.683 -496.583 496.583 246594.662 0.099 0.095 24971008.41 30180552.75 1982Q1 129 4914.3 4.8598124 23.6177766 23882.5761 4914.3 5507.715 -593.415 593.415 352140.824 0.121 0.114 24150344.49 30334919.52 1982Q2 130 4935.5 4.8675345 23.6928916 24023.71628 4935.5 5521.638 -586.138 586.138 343557.467 0.119 0.112 24359160.25 30488483.49 1982Q3 131 4912.1 4.8751973 23.7675489 23947.45677 4912.1 5535.454 -623.354 623.354 388570.545 0.127 0.119 24128726.41 30641253.97 1982Q4 132 4915.6 4.8828019 23.8417546 24001.90113 4915.6 5549.166 -633.566 633.566 401405.516 0.129 0.121 24163123.36 30793240.14 1983Q1 133 4972.4 4.8903491 23.9155146 24316.77201 4972.4 5562.774 -590.374 590.374 348541.079 0.119 0.112 24724761.76 30944450.99 1983Q2 134 5089.8 4.8978398 23.9888347 24929.02501 5089.8 5576.280 -486.480 486.480 236662.505 0.096 0.091 25906064.04 31094895.37 1983Q3 135 5180.4 4.9052748 24.0617207 25411.28546 5180.4 5589.685 -409.285 409.285 167514.472 0.079 0.076 26836544.16 31244581.96 1983Q4 136 5286.8 4.9126549 24.1341780 25972.22385 5286.8 5602.992 -316.192 316.192 99977.377 0.060 0.058 27950254.24 31393519.29 1984Q1 137 5402.3 4.9199809 24.2062123 26579.21296 5402.3 5616.201 -213.901 213.901 45753.717 0.040 0.039 29184845.29 31541715.75 1984Q2 138 5493.8 4.9272537 24.2778289 27069.3463 5493.8 5629.314 -135.514 135.514 18364.128 0.025 0.024 30181838.44 31689179.58 1984Q3 139 5541.3 4.9344739 24.3490330 27343.40041 5541.3 5642.333 -101.033 101.033 10207.617 0.018 0.018 30706005.69 31835918.87 1984Q4 140 5583.1 4.9416424 24.4198298 27589.68381 5583.1 5655.258 -72.158 72.158 5206.758 0.013 0.013 31171005.61 31981941.57 1985Q1 141 5629.7 4.9487599 24.4902245 27860.03355 5629.7 5668.091 -38.391 38.391 1473.868 0.007 0.007 31693522.09 32127255.53 1985Q2 142 5673.8 4.9558271 24.5602218 28118.37156 5673.8 5680.833 -7.033 7.033 49.469 0.001 0.001 32192006.44 32271868.41 1985Q3 143 5758.6 4.9628446 24.6298268 28579.03709 5758.6 5693.486 65.114 65.114 4239.776 0.011 0.011 33161473.96 32415787.79 1985Q4 144 5806 4.9698133 24.6990442 28854.73602 5806 5706.051 99.949 99.949 9989.749 0.017 0.017 33709636.00 32559021.09 1986Q1 145 5858.9 4.9767337 24.7678787 29158.18532 5858.9 5718.529 140.371 140.371 19703.976 0.024 0.024 34326709.21 32701575.63 1986Q2 146 5883.3 4.9836066 24.8363350 29320.05284 5883.3 5730.921 152.379 152.379 23219.277 0.026 0.026 34613218.89 32843458.60 1986Q3 147 5937.9 4.9904326 24.9044174 29632.68966 5937.9 5743.229 194.671 194.671 37896.875 0.033 0.033 35258656.41 32984677.07 1986Q4 148 5969.5 4.9972123 24.9721305 29830.85867 5969.5 5755.453 214.047 214.047 45816.164 0.036 0.037 35634930.25 33125238.00 1987Q1 149 6013.3 5.0039463 25.0394786 30090.23032 6013.3 5767.595 245.705 245.705 60371.111 0.041 0.042 36159776.89 33265148.22 1987Q2 150 6077.2 5.0106353 25.1064661 30450.63281 6077.2 5779.655 297.545 297.545 88532.895 0.049 0.050 36932359.84 33404414.48 1987Q3 151 6128.1 5.0172798 25.1730970 30746.39257 6128.1 5791.636 336.464 336.464 113208.265 0.055 0.056 37553609.61 33543043.40 1987Q4 152 6234.4 5.0238805 25.2393755 31320.88072 6234.4 5803.537 430.863 430.863 185642.941 0.069 0.072 38867743.36 33681041.49 1988Q1 153 6275.9 5.0304379 25.3053057 31570.52535 6275.9 5815.360 460.540 460.540 212096.835 0.073 0.076 39386920.81 33818415.17 1988Q2 154 6349.8 5.0369526 25.3708915 31983.64163 6349.8 5827.107 522.693 522.693 273208.442 0.082 0.086 40319960.04 33955170.76 1988Q3 155 6382.3 5.0434251 25.4361369 32188.65212 6382.3 5838.777 543.523 543.523 295417.474 0.085 0.089 40733753.29 34091314.46 1988Q4 156 6465.2 5.0498560 25.5010457 32648.32906 6465.2 5850.372 614.828 614.828 378013.483 0.095 0.100 41798811.04 34226852.41 1989Q1 157 6543.8 5.0562458 25.5656216 33087.0613 6543.8 5861.893 681.907 681.907 464997.031 0.104 0.110 42821318.44 34361790.62 1989Q2 158 6579.4 5.0625950 25.6298685 33308.83776 6579.4 5873.341 706.059 706.059 498519.249 0.107 0.113 43288504.36 34496135.02 1989Q3 159 6610.6 5.0689042 25.6937898 33508.49812 6610.6 5884.717 725.883 725.883 526906.465 0.110 0.116 43700032.36 34629891.46 1989Q4 160 6633.5 5.0751738 25.7573893 33666.1655 6633.5 5896.021 737.479 737.479 543875.021 0.111 0.118 44003322.25 34763065.67 1990Q1 161 6716.3 5.0814044 25.8206703 34128.23614 6716.3 5907.255 809.045 809.045 654553.580 0.120 0.128 45108685.69 34895663.33 1990Q2 162 6731.7 5.0875963 25.8836365 34248.17225 6731.7 5918.420 813.280 813.280 661425.085 0.121 0.129 45315784.89 35027690.01 1990Q3 163 6719.4 5.0937502 25.9462911 34226.9451 6719.4 5929.515 789.885 789.885 623917.904 0.118 0.125 45150336.36 35159151.20 1990Q4 164 6664.2 5.0998664 26.0086376 33986.52985 6664.2 5940.543 723.657 723.657 523679.309 0.109 0.115 44411561.64 35290052.33 1991Q1 165 6631.4 5.1059455 26.0706792 33859.56682 6631.4 5951.504 679.896 679.896 462258.703 0.103 0.108 43975465.96 35420398.70 1991Q2 166 6668.5 5.1119878 26.1324191 34089.29057 6668.5 5962.398 706.102 706.102 498579.362 0.106 0.112 44468892.25 35550195.59 1991Q3 167 6684.9 5.1179938 26.1938607 34213.27684 6684.9 5973.228 711.672 711.672 506477.581 0.106 0.112 44687888.01 35679448.16 1991Q4 168 6720.9 5.1239640 26.2550069 34437.64951 6720.9 5983.992 736.908 736.908 543033.246 0.110 0.116 45170496.81 35808161.51 1992Q1 169 6783.3 5.1298987 26.3158608 34797.64195 6783.3 5994.693 788.607 788.607 621901.460 0.116 0.123 46013158.89 35936340.67 1992Q2 170 6846.8 5.1357984 26.3764256 35163.78474 6846.8 6005.330 841.470 841.470 708071.455 0.123 0.131 46878670.24 36063990.59 1992Q3 171 6899.7 5.1416636 26.4367041 35475.93604 6899.7 6015.905 883.795 883.795 781093.134 0.128 0.137 47605860.09 36191116.15 1992Q4 172 6990.6 5.1474945 26.4966994 35984.07489 6990.6 6026.419 964.181 964.181 929645.609 0.138 0.148 48868488.36 36317722.16 1993Q1 173 6988.7 5.1532916 26.5564143 36014.80897 6988.7 6036.871 951.829 951.829 905978.146 0.136 0.146 48841927.69 36443813.37 1993Q2 174 7031.2 5.1590553 26.6158516 36274.34962 7031.2 6047.263 983.937 983.937 968131.263 0.140 0.150 49437773.44 36569394.44 1993Q3 175 7062 5.1647860 26.6750142 36473.71855 7062 6057.596 1004.404 1004.404 1008827.280 0.142 0.153 49871844.00 36694469.99 1993Q4 176 7168.7 5.1704840 26.7339047 37065.64862 7168.7 6067.870 1100.830 1100.830 1211827.011 0.154 0.166 51390259.69 36819044.56 1994Q1 177 7229.4 5.1761497 26.7925261 37420.45688 7229.4 6078.085 1151.315 1151.315 1325525.212 0.159 0.173 52264224.36 36943122.64 1994Q2 178 7330.2 5.1817836 26.8508808 37983.50978 7330.2 6088.243 1241.957 1241.957 1542456.005 0.169 0.185 53731832.04 37066708.63 1994Q3 179 7370.2 5.1873858 26.9089715 38232.07087 7370.2 6098.345 1271.855 1271.855 1617616.149 0.173 0.189 54319848.04 37189806.91 1994Q4 180 7461.1 5.1929569 26.9668009 38745.17036 7461.1 6108.389 1352.711 1352.711 1829825.814 0.181 0.199 55668013.21 37312421.76 1995Q1 181 7488.7 5.1984970 27.0243714 38929.98472 7488.7 6118.379 1370.321 1370.321 1877780.577 0.183 0.201 56080627.69 37434557.42 1995Q2 182 7503.3 5.2040067 27.0816856 39047.22338 7503.3 6128.313 1374.987 1374.987 1890589.732 0.183 0.202 56299510.89 37556218.08 1995Q3 183 7561.4 5.2094862 27.1387460 39391.0086 7561.4 6138.193 1423.207 1423.207 2025519.429 0.188 0.208 57174769.96 37677407.85 1995Q4 184 7621.9 5.2149358 27.1955550 39747.71885 7621.9 6148.018 1473.882 1473.882 2172326.834 0.193 0.214 58093359.61 37798130.82 1996Q1 185 7676.4 5.2203558 27.2521149 40073.53946 7676.4 6157.791 1518.609 1518.609 2306173.052 0.198 0.220 58927116.96 37918390.98 1996Q2 186 7802.9 5.2257467 27.3084283 40775.97872 7802.9 6167.511 1635.389 1635.389 2674497.082 0.210 0.234 60885248.41 38038192.31 1996Q3 187 7841.9 5.2311086 27.3644974 41021.83066 7841.9 6177.179 1664.721 1664.721 2771296.465 0.212 0.237 61495395.61 38157538.70 1996Q4 188 7931.3 5.2364420 27.4203244 41531.79214 7931.3 6186.795 1744.505 1744.505 3043297.230 0.220 0.247 62905519.69 38276434.02 1997Q1 189 8016.4 5.2417470 27.4759118 42019.94077 8016.4 6196.360 1820.040 1820.040 3312544.186 0.227 0.256 64262668.96 38394882.07 1997Q2 190 8131.9 5.2470241 27.5312616 42668.27505 8131.9 6205.875 1926.025 1926.025 3709571.654 0.237 0.269 66127797.61 38512886.60 1997Q3 191 8216.6 5.2522734 27.5863762 43155.82985 8216.6 6215.340 2001.260 2001.260 4005041.586 0.244 0.277 67512515.56 38630451.32 1997Q4 192 8272.9 5.2574954 27.6412576 43494.73346 8272.9 6224.755 2048.145 2048.145 4194896.270 0.248 0.283 68440874.41 38747579.89 1998Q1 193 8396.3 5.2626902 27.6959080 44187.12563 8396.3 6234.122 2162.178 2162.178 4675014.118 0.258 0.296 70497853.69 38864275.91 1998Q2 194 8442.9 5.2678582 27.7503296 44475.99965 8442.9 6243.440 2199.460 2199.460 4837624.317 0.261 0.300 71282560.41 38980542.96 1998Q3 195 8528.5 5.2729996 27.8045243 44970.77674 8528.5 6252.710 2275.790 2275.790 5179219.321 0.267 0.308 72735312.25 39096384.55 1998Q4 196 8667.9 5.2781147 27.8584944 45750.17005 8667.9 6261.933 2405.967 2405.967 5788677.491 0.278 0.322 75132490.41 39211804.15 1999Q1 197 8733.5 5.2832037 27.9122416 46140.85976 8733.5 6271.109 2462.391 2462.391 6063370.574 0.282 0.328 76274022.25 39326805.20 1999Q2 198 8771.2 5.2882670 27.9657682 46384.44778 8771.2 6280.238 2490.962 2490.962 6204890.999 0.284 0.331 76933949.44 39441391.07 1999Q3 199 8871.5 5.2933048 28.0190760 46959.55375 8871.5 6289.322 2582.178 2582.178 6667645.731 0.291 0.341 78703512.25 39555565.11 1999Q4 200 9049.9 5.2983174 28.0721669 47949.24234 9049.9 6298.359 2751.541 2751.541 7570975.893 0.304 0.359 81900690.01 39669330.63 2000Q1 201 9102.5 5.3033049 28.1250429 48273.33293 9102.5 6307.352 2795.148 2795.148 7812851.620 0.307 0.363 82855506.25 39782690.88 2000Q2 202 9229.4 5.3082677 28.1777059 48992.12589 9229.4 6316.300 2913.100 2913.100 8486150.044 0.316 0.375 85181824.36 39895649.09 2000Q3 203 9260.1 5.3132060 28.2301578 49200.81869 9260.1 6325.204 2934.896 2934.896 8613613.240 0.317 0.377 85749452.01 40008208.42 2000Q4 204 9303.9 5.3181200 28.2824003 49479.25661 9303.9 6334.064 2969.836 2969.836 8819923.391 0.319 0.380 86562555.21 40120372.04 sumace 20910 930779.7 884.4748858 4019.955886 4369419.94 930779.7 930779.7 5.1441E-09 205861.375 305182610 57.4155162 56.38848889 5153991741 4848809131 (SE) SAE SSE X¨X= 204.0000 884.4749 2.5216E-11 1009.124 1495993.186 28.145 27.641 884.4749 4019.9559 ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE THEILovoU 0.12352 1223.108 det (X¨X) 37775.177 RMSE (X¨X)-1 0.1064179 -0.0234142 -0.0234142 0.0054004 X'y= 930780 4369420 b1 -3254.753 b2 1803.046 ##### Sheet/List 7 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí=t ln(yt) t2 t*ln(yt) skutečnost vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 MAPE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 7.3843 1 7.4 1610.5 2186.9 -576.4 576.44 332284.9122 0.3579 0.303594713 2593710.25 4782713.54 1950Q2 2 7.4138 4 14.8 1658.8 2200.4 -541.6 541.59 293314.9715 0.3265 0.280673522 2751617.44 4841696.83 1950Q3 3 7.4518 9 22.4 1723 2213.9 -490.9 490.91 240994.8552 0.2849 0.249389488 2968729.00 4901407.53 1950Q4 4 7.4696 16 29.9 1753.9 2227.5 -473.6 473.62 224317.8764 0.2700 0.237916037 3076165.21 4961854.63 1951Q1 5 7.4807 25 37.4 1773.5 2241.2 -467.7 467.72 218757.8454 0.2637 0.233000597 3145302.25 5023047.19 1951Q2 6 7.4976 36 45.0 1803.7 2255.0 -451.3 451.29 203665.5689 0.2502 0.222383508 3253333.69 5084994.41 1951Q3 7 7.5174 49 52.6 1839.8 2268.9 -429.1 429.06 184088.6847 0.2332 0.208854486 3384864.04 5147705.61 1951Q4 8 7.5193 64 60.2 1843.3 2282.8 -439.5 439.50 193163.0146 0.2384 0.213035462 3397754.89 5211190.20 1952Q1 9 7.5309 81 67.8 1864.7 2296.8 -432.1 432.14 186741.919 0.2317 0.207681208 3477106.09 5275457.72 1952Q2 10 7.5317 100 75.3 1866.2 2311.0 -444.8 444.76 197807.9358 0.2383 0.212946817 3482702.44 5340517.82 1952Q3 11 7.5380 121 82.9 1878 2325.2 -447.2 447.16 199954.2313 0.2381 0.212774276 3526884.00 5406380.29 1952Q4 12 7.5705 144 90.8 1940.2 2339.5 -399.3 399.26 159405.4612 0.2058 0.186583278 3764376.04 5473055.01 1953Q1 13 7.5888 169 98.7 1976 2353.8 -377.8 377.84 142761.3405 0.1912 0.174527427 3904576.00 5540552.00 1953Q2 14 7.5970 196 106.4 1992.2 2368.3 -376.1 376.11 141457.0087 0.1888 0.172506384 3968860.84 5608881.40 1953Q3 15 7.5906 225 113.9 1979.5 2382.9 -403.4 403.37 162704.6573 0.2038 0.184930193 3918420.25 5678053.49 1953Q4 16 7.5745 256 121.2 1947.8 2397.5 -449.7 449.72 202243.6694 0.2309 0.206988487 3793924.84 5748078.65 1954Q1 17 7.5695 289 128.7 1938.1 2412.3 -474.2 474.15 224821.6292 0.2446 0.217983933 3756231.61 5818967.39 1954Q2 18 7.5710 324 136.3 1941 2427.1 -486.1 486.08 236276.3817 0.2504 0.222561121 3767481.00 5890730.38 1954Q3 19 7.5817 361 144.1 1962 2442.0 -480.0 480.00 230402.8305 0.2446 0.217984844 3849444.00 5963378.40 1954Q4 20 7.6014 400 152.0 2000.9 2457.0 -456.1 456.11 208040.8271 0.2280 0.204631508 4003600.81 6036922.35 1955Q1 21 7.6295 441 160.2 2058.1 2472.1 -414.0 414.02 171411.8908 0.2012 0.182781086 4235775.61 6111373.30 1955Q2 22 7.6454 484 168.2 2091 2487.3 -396.3 396.32 157066.6153 0.1895 0.173127534 4372281.00 6186742.41 1955Q3 23 7.6587 529 176.1 2118.9 2502.6 -383.7 383.71 147230.9435 0.1811 0.1660527 4489737.21 6263041.02 1955Q4 24 7.6639 576 183.9 2130.1 2518.0 -387.9 387.89 150459.7239 0.1821 0.166903509 4537326.01 6340280.60 1956Q1 25 7.6596 625 191.5 2121 2533.5 -412.5 412.47 170131.907 0.1945 0.177236269 4498641.00 6418472.74 1956Q2 26 7.6675 676 199.4 2137.7 2549.0 -411.3 411.34 169204.5111 0.1924 0.175535379 4569761.29 6497629.19 1956Q3 27 7.6664 729 207.0 2135.3 2564.7 -429.4 429.41 184397.0428 0.2011 0.182729114 4559506.09 6577761.84 1956Q4 28 7.6827 784 215.1 2170.4 2580.5 -410.1 410.08 168166.5135 0.1889 0.172633706 4710636.16 6658882.74 1957Q1 29 7.6883 841 223.0 2182.7 2596.3 -413.6 413.64 171101.6618 0.1895 0.173107565 4764179.29 6741004.07 1957Q2 30 7.6860 900 230.6 2177.7 2612.3 -434.6 434.61 188881.6316 0.1996 0.181463331 4742377.29 6824138.17 1957Q3 31 7.6957 961 238.6 2198.9 2628.4 -429.5 429.46 184439.3617 0.1953 0.177932691 4835161.21 6908297.53 1957Q4 32 7.6852 1024 245.9 2176 2644.5 -468.5 468.52 219512.5422 0.2153 0.194386288 4734976.00 6993494.79 1958Q1 33 7.6579 1089 252.7 2117.4 2660.8 -543.4 543.38 295260.3025 0.2566 0.227441728 4483382.76 7079742.76 1958Q2 34 7.6637 1156 260.6 2129.7 2677.1 -547.4 547.44 299685.6059 0.2570 0.227773754 4535622.09 7167054.38 1958Q3 35 7.6859 1225 269.0 2177.5 2693.6 -516.1 516.09 266351.8967 0.2370 0.211900255 4741506.25 7255442.79 1958Q4 36 7.7082 1296 277.5 2226.5 2710.2 -483.7 483.65 233918.792 0.2172 0.195943148 4957302.25 7344921.26 1959Q1 37 7.7289 1369 286.0 2273 2726.8 -453.8 453.81 205945.255 0.1997 0.181531595 5166529.00 7435503.22 1959Q2 38 7.7547 1444 294.7 2332.4 2743.6 -411.2 411.17 169064.6593 0.1763 0.162008187 5440089.76 7527202.30 1959Q3 39 7.7542 1521 302.4 2331.4 2760.4 -429.0 429.04 184075.8309 0.1840 0.168520827 5435425.96 7620032.27 1959Q4 40 7.7575 1600 310.3 2339.1 2777.4 -438.3 438.31 192115.7767 0.1874 0.17133168 5471388.81 7714007.07 1960Q1 41 7.7795 1681 319.0 2391 2794.5 -403.5 403.48 162799.3385 0.1688 0.155620575 5716881.00 7809140.83 1960Q2 42 7.7745 1764 326.5 2379.2 2811.7 -432.5 432.46 187024.0932 0.1818 0.166624639 5660592.64 7905447.83 1960Q3 43 7.7764 1849 334.4 2383.6 2828.9 -445.3 445.35 198334.1736 0.1868 0.170875094 5681548.96 8002942.55 1960Q4 44 7.7634 1936 341.6 2352.9 2846.3 -493.4 493.44 243480.9935 0.2097 0.189811637 5536138.41 8101639.63 1961Q1 45 7.7692 2025 349.6 2366.5 2863.8 -497.3 497.34 247342.6219 0.2102 0.190173468 5600322.25 8201553.90 1961Q2 46 7.7877 2116 358.2 2410.8 2881.4 -470.6 470.64 221502.6467 0.1952 0.177860648 5811956.64 8302700.37 1961Q3 47 7.8040 2209 366.8 2450.4 2899.2 -448.8 448.75 201380.2039 0.1831 0.167772511 6004460.16 8405094.25 1961Q4 48 7.8242 2304 375.6 2500.4 2917.0 -416.6 416.58 173535.8379 0.1666 0.153792649 6252000.16 8508750.90 1962Q1 49 7.8415 2401 384.2 2544 2934.9 -390.9 390.91 152809.1907 0.1537 0.142695643 6471936.00 8613685.92 1962Q2 50 7.8522 2500 392.6 2571.5 2953.0 -381.5 381.45 145504.2766 0.1483 0.138095272 6612612.25 8719915.05 1962Q3 51 7.8620 2601 401.0 2596.8 2971.1 -374.3 374.30 140102.8906 0.1441 0.134450328 6743370.24 8827454.26 1962Q4 52 7.8645 2704 409.0 2603.3 2989.4 -386.1 386.07 149048.3299 0.1483 0.138062118 6777170.89 8936319.72 1963Q1 53 7.8763 2809 417.4 2634.1 3007.7 -373.6 373.64 139610.3102 0.1418 0.132454775 6938482.81 9046527.76 1963Q2 54 7.8892 2916 426.0 2668.4 3026.2 -357.8 357.83 128045.4956 0.1341 0.125674249 7120358.56 9158094.96 1963Q3 55 7.9082 3025 435.0 2719.6 3044.8 -325.2 325.24 105779.717 0.1196 0.112842897 7396224.16 9271038.08 1963Q4 56 7.9155 3136 443.3 2739.4 3063.6 -324.2 324.16 105076.9752 0.1183 0.111720923 7504312.36 9385374.07 1964Q1 57 7.9376 3249 452.4 2800.5 3082.4 -281.9 281.89 79461.24153 0.1007 0.095833431 7842800.25 9501120.12 1964Q2 58 7.9494 3364 461.1 2833.8 3101.3 -267.5 267.54 71576.25683 0.0944 0.090153732 8030422.44 9618293.63 1964Q3 59 7.9628 3481 469.8 2872 3120.4 -248.4 248.40 61703.83567 0.0865 0.082905834 8248384.00 9736912.18 1964Q4 60 7.9654 3600 477.9 2879.5 3139.6 -260.1 260.08 67644.17785 0.0903 0.086420094 8291520.25 9856993.62 1965Q1 61 7.9896 3721 487.4 2950.1 3158.9 -208.8 208.79 43591.2769 0.0708 0.068353493 8703090.01 9978555.97 1965Q2 62 8.0030 3844 496.2 2989.9 3178.3 -188.4 188.40 35496.13708 0.0630 0.061088829 8939502.01 10101617.49 1965Q3 63 8.0231 3969 505.5 3050.7 3197.8 -147.1 147.14 21650.91701 0.0482 0.047096585 9306770.49 10226196.69 1965Q4 64 8.0467 4096 515.0 3123.6 3217.5 -93.9 93.90 8817.385811 0.0301 0.029616604 9756876.96 10352312.27 1966Q1 65 8.0712 4225 524.6 3201.1 3237.3 -36.2 36.18 1309.007945 0.0113 0.011238918 10247041.21 10479983.19 1966Q2 66 8.0750 4356 533.0 3213.2 3257.2 -44.0 43.98 1934.335814 0.0137 0.013594589 10324654.24 10609228.62 1966Q3 67 8.0814 4489 541.5 3233.6 3277.2 -43.6 43.60 1901.334395 0.0135 0.013394441 10456168.96 10740067.98 1966Q4 68 8.0900 4624 550.1 3261.8 3297.4 -35.6 35.55 1263.844638 0.0109 0.010839999 10639339.24 10872520.93 1967Q1 69 8.0992 4761 558.8 3291.8 3317.6 -25.8 25.82 666.7105848 0.0078 0.007813314 10835947.24 11006607.37 1967Q2 70 8.0986 4900 566.9 3289.7 3338.0 -48.3 48.32 2334.387057 0.0147 0.014579834 10822126.09 11142347.44 1967Q3 71 8.1058 5041 575.5 3313.5 3358.5 -45.0 45.04 2028.207553 0.0136 0.013499816 10979282.25 11279761.55 1967Q4 72 8.1132 5184 584.2 3338.3 3379.2 -40.9 40.88 1671.329853 0.0122 0.012171794 11144246.89 11418870.32 1968Q1 73 8.1334 5329 593.7 3406.2 3400.0 6.2 6.24 38.99879853 0.0018 0.001835075 11602198.44 11559694.67 1968Q2 74 8.1504 5476 603.1 3464.8 3420.9 43.9 43.94 1931.075457 0.0127 0.012763927 12004839.04 11702255.75 1968Q3 75 8.1574 5625 611.8 3489.2 3441.9 47.3 47.31 2238.673193 0.0136 0.013652874 12174516.64 11846574.97 1968Q4 76 8.1617 5776 620.3 3504.1 3463.0 41.1 41.06 1685.591744 0.0117 0.011785592 12278716.81 11992674.03 1969Q1 77 8.1770 5929 629.6 3558.3 3484.3 74.0 73.97 5471.150716 0.0208 0.021005561 12661498.89 12140574.87 1969Q2 78 8.1796 6084 638.0 3567.6 3505.8 61.8 61.85 3825.128779 0.0173 0.0174875 12727769.76 12290299.71 1969Q3 79 8.1854 6241 646.6 3588.3 3527.3 61.0 61.00 3720.554558 0.0170 0.017144392 12875896.89 12441871.05 1969Q4 80 8.1807 6400 654.5 3571.4 3549.0 22.4 22.41 502.3240807 0.0063 0.006295328 12754897.96 12595311.65 1970Q1 81 8.1793 6561 662.5 3566.5 3570.8 -4.3 4.30 18.52848324 0.0012 0.00120619 12719922.25 12750644.58 1970Q2 82 8.1814 6724 670.9 3573.9 3592.8 -18.9 18.86 355.5355661 0.0053 0.00526205 12772761.21 12907893.17 1970Q3 83 8.1901 6889 679.8 3605.2 3614.8 -9.6 9.64 92.9637643 0.0027 0.002670835 12997467.04 13067081.04 1970Q4 84 8.1793 7056 687.1 3566.5 3637.1 -70.6 70.56 4979.23085 0.0198 0.019591321 12719922.25 13228232.10 1971Q1 85 8.2069 7225 697.6 3666.1 3659.4 6.7 6.68 44.59347266 0.0018 0.00182317 13440289.21 13391370.59 1971Q2 86 8.2124 7396 706.3 3686.2 3681.9 4.3 4.28 18.33455926 0.0012 0.001162274 13588070.44 13556520.99 1971Q3 87 8.2200 7569 715.1 3714.5 3704.6 9.9 9.95 98.95571241 0.0027 0.002681649 13797510.25 13723708.12 1971Q4 88 8.2225 7744 723.6 3723.8 3727.3 -3.5 3.53 12.43078604 0.0009 0.000946362 13866686.44 13892957.11 1972Q1 89 8.2419 7921 733.5 3796.9 3750.2 46.7 46.66 2177.23868 0.0123 0.012365186 14416449.61 14064293.38 1972Q2 90 8.2646 8100 743.8 3883.8 3773.3 110.5 110.51 12211.72074 0.0285 0.028863865 15083902.44 14237742.67 1972Q3 91 8.2744 8281 753.0 3922.3 3796.5 125.8 125.81 15828.3311 0.0321 0.032598557 15384437.29 14413331.04 1972Q4 92 8.2917 8464 762.8 3990.5 3819.8 170.7 170.67 29128.97981 0.0428 0.043704219 15924090.25 14591084.87 1973Q1 93 8.3169 8649 773.5 4092.3 3843.3 249.0 248.99 61996.07766 0.0608 0.06275261 16746919.29 14771030.87 1973Q2 94 8.3268 8836 782.7 4133.3 3866.9 266.4 266.36 70949.64005 0.0644 0.066588968 17084168.89 14953196.07 1973Q3 95 8.3229 9025 790.7 4117 3890.7 226.3 226.29 51208.12188 0.0550 0.056518574 16949689.00 15137607.84 1973Q4 96 8.3311 9216 799.8 4151.1 3914.6 236.5 236.47 55920.12407 0.0570 0.058636848 17231631.21 15324293.88 1974Q1 97 8.3234 9409 807.4 4119.3 3938.7 180.6 180.61 32619.81909 0.0438 0.044827449 16968632.49 15513282.25 1974Q2 98 8.3261 9604 816.0 4130.4 3962.9 167.5 167.50 28055.19626 0.0406 0.041391469 17060204.16 15704601.34 1974Q3 99 8.3150 9801 823.2 4084.5 3987.3 97.2 97.24 9454.701069 0.0238 0.024092696 16683140.25 15898279.89 1974Q4 100 8.3094 10000 830.9 4062 4011.8 50.2 50.22 2522.446102 0.0124 0.012441257 16499844.00 16094347.00 1975Q1 101 8.2965 10201 838.0 4010 4036.4 -26.4 26.44 698.9704521 0.0066 0.006571367 16080100.00 16292832.13 1975Q2 102 8.3053 10404 847.1 4045.2 4061.3 -16.1 16.05 257.6559628 0.0040 0.00396022 16363643.04 16493765.09 1975Q3 103 8.3225 10609 857.2 4115.4 4086.2 29.2 29.18 851.5995801 0.0071 0.007116201 16936517.16 16697176.08 1975Q4 104 8.3350 10816 866.8 4167.2 4111.3 55.9 55.86 3120.624122 0.0134 0.013495753 17365555.84 16903095.66 1976Q1 105 8.3585 11025 877.6 4266.1 4136.6 129.5 129.49 16767.26999 0.0304 0.030820645 18199609.21 17111554.75 1976Q2 106 8.3667 11236 886.9 4301.5 4162.0 139.5 139.46 19448.83244 0.0324 0.032955254 18502902.25 17322584.70 1976Q3 107 8.3715 11449 895.7 4321.9 4187.6 134.3 134.27 18029.32529 0.0311 0.031558353 18678819.61 17536217.19 1976Q4 108 8.3796 11664 905.0 4357.4 4213.4 144.0 144.03 20744.72426 0.0331 0.033609651 18986934.76 17752484.32 1977Q1 109 8.3917 11881 914.7 4410.5 4239.3 171.2 171.23 29319.37142 0.0388 0.039591569 19452510.25 17971418.59 1977Q2 110 8.4096 12100 925.1 4489.8 4265.3 224.5 224.47 50386.10329 0.0500 0.051277012 20158304.04 18193052.88 1977Q3 111 8.4274 12321 935.4 4570.6 4291.6 279.0 279.05 77867.66014 0.0611 0.062975171 20890384.36 18417420.51 1977Q4 112 8.4286 12544 944.0 4576.1 4317.9 258.2 258.17 66649.61534 0.0564 0.058053716 20940691.21 18644555.17 1978Q1 113 8.4314 12769 952.7 4588.9 4344.5 244.4 244.42 59742.00732 0.0533 0.054721019 21058003.21 18874490.99 1978Q2 114 8.4692 12996 965.5 4765.7 4371.2 394.5 394.51 155641.705 0.0828 0.086356455 22711896.49 19107262.52 1978Q3 115 8.4788 13225 975.1 4811.7 4398.1 413.6 413.64 171100.5929 0.0860 0.089827143 23152456.89 19342904.72 1978Q4 116 8.4921 13456 985.1 4876 4425.1 450.9 450.91 203316.6183 0.0925 0.096957726 23775376.00 19581453.01 1979Q1 117 8.4946 13689 993.9 4888.3 4452.3 436.0 436.00 190099.1411 0.0892 0.093356694 23895476.89 19822943.21 1979Q2 118 8.4952 13924 1002.4 4891.4 4479.7 411.7 411.73 169524.5052 0.0842 0.087873357 23925793.96 20067411.62 1979Q3 119 8.5023 14161 1011.8 4926.2 4507.2 419.0 419.00 175556.9914 0.0851 0.088832235 24267446.44 20314894.96 1979Q4 120 8.5056 14400 1020.7 4942.6 4534.9 407.7 407.69 166209.1848 0.0825 0.086032619 24429294.76 20565430.41 1980Q1 121 8.5089 14641 1029.6 4958.9 4562.8 396.1 396.11 156902.8687 0.0799 0.083201544 24590689.21 20819055.62 1980Q2 122 8.4883 14884 1035.6 4857.8 4590.8 267.0 266.96 71267.82913 0.0550 0.05650768 23598220.84 21075808.68 1980Q3 123 8.4868 15129 1043.9 4850.3 4619.1 231.2 231.24 53471.29218 0.0477 0.048839324 23525410.09 21335728.18 1980Q4 124 8.5044 15376 1054.5 4936.6 4647.5 289.1 289.14 83603.88677 0.0586 0.06033841 24370019.56 21598853.15 1981Q1 125 8.5237 15625 1065.5 5032.5 4676.0 356.5 356.47 127073.4081 0.0708 0.073435155 25326056.25 21865223.15 1981Q2 126 8.5167 15876 1073.1 4997.3 4704.8 292.5 292.53 85572.71767 0.0585 0.060302202 24973007.29 22134878.17 1981Q3 127 8.5285 16129 1083.1 5056.8 4733.7 323.1 323.11 104397.4965 0.0639 0.066004027 25571226.24 22407858.75 1981Q4 128 8.5166 16384 1090.1 4997.1 4762.8 234.3 234.31 54899.34112 0.0469 0.048014064 24971008.41 22684205.88 1982Q1 129 8.4999 16641 1096.5 4914.3 4792.1 122.2 122.23 14939.50433 0.0249 0.025184952 24150344.49 22963961.10 1982Q2 130 8.5042 16900 1105.5 4935.5 4821.5 114.0 113.97 12988.80923 0.0231 0.023361297 24359160.25 23247166.42 1982Q3 131 8.4995 17161 1113.4 4912.1 4851.2 60.9 60.93 3712.288698 0.0124 0.012481176 24128726.41 23533864.40 1982Q4 132 8.5002 17424 1122.0 4915.6 4881.0 34.6 34.61 1197.60586 0.0070 0.007064995 24163123.36 23824098.11 1983Q1 133 8.5117 17689 1132.1 4972.4 4911.0 61.4 61.40 3770.083086 0.0123 0.012425078 24724761.76 24117911.16 1983Q2 134 8.5350 17956 1143.7 5089.8 4941.2 148.6 148.61 22085.261 0.0292 0.0296304 25906064.04 24415347.68 1983Q3 135 8.5526 18225 1154.6 5180.4 4971.6 208.8 208.84 43612.31676 0.0403 0.041141914 26836544.16 24716452.37 1983Q4 136 8.5730 18496 1165.9 5286.8 5002.1 284.7 284.67 81038.94797 0.0538 0.05533588 27950254.24 25021270.46 1984Q1 137 8.5946 18769 1177.5 5402.3 5032.9 369.4 369.42 136473.5834 0.0684 0.070803461 29184845.29 25329847.76 1984Q2 138 8.6114 19044 1188.4 5493.8 5063.8 430.0 429.98 184886.3992 0.0783 0.081454789 30181838.44 25642230.61 1984Q3 139 8.6200 19321 1198.2 5541.3 5094.9 446.4 446.35 199232.6631 0.0806 0.083930909 30706005.69 25958465.96 1984Q4 140 8.6275 19600 1207.8 5583.1 5126.3 456.8 456.83 208697.4637 0.0818 0.085314888 31171005.61 26278601.31 1985Q1 141 8.6358 19881 1217.6 5629.7 5157.8 471.9 471.92 222709.3806 0.0838 0.087494204 31693522.09 26602684.76 1985Q2 142 8.6436 20164 1227.4 5673.8 5189.5 484.3 484.31 234560.0457 0.0854 0.089165285 32192006.44 26930765.00 1985Q3 143 8.6584 20449 1238.2 5758.6 5221.4 537.2 537.21 288596.8694 0.0933 0.097852955 33161473.96 27262891.32 1985Q4 144 8.6666 20736 1248.0 5806 5253.5 552.5 552.51 305271.8809 0.0952 0.099916787 33709636.00 27599113.62 1986Q1 145 8.6757 21025 1258.0 5858.9 5285.8 573.1 573.12 328465.21 0.0978 0.102850649 34326709.21 27939482.42 1986Q2 146 8.6799 21316 1267.3 5883.3 5318.3 565.0 565.03 319253.2636 0.0960 0.100883137 34613218.89 28284048.85 1986Q3 147 8.6891 21609 1277.3 5937.9 5351.0 586.9 586.93 344488.4984 0.0988 0.103984101 35258656.41 28632864.68 1986Q4 148 8.6944 21904 1286.8 5969.5 5383.9 585.6 585.64 342970.5308 0.0981 0.103165353 35634930.25 28985982.32 1987Q1 149 8.7017 22201 1296.6 6013.3 5417.0 596.3 596.34 355621.4867 0.0992 0.104344097 36159776.89 29343454.81 1987Q2 150 8.7123 22500 1306.8 6077.2 5450.3 626.9 626.94 393053.5559 0.1032 0.108773281 36932359.84 29705335.87 1987Q3 151 8.7206 22801 1316.8 6128.1 5483.8 644.3 644.33 415167.4406 0.1051 0.110978706 37553609.61 30071679.87 1987Q4 152 8.7378 23104 1328.2 6234.4 5517.5 716.9 716.92 513979.9669 0.1150 0.12201013 38867743.36 30442541.83 1988Q1 153 8.7445 23409 1337.9 6275.9 5551.4 724.5 724.51 524908.6637 0.1154 0.122514211 39386920.81 30817977.49 1988Q2 154 8.7562 23716 1348.5 6349.8 5585.5 764.3 764.28 584122.608 0.1204 0.128070146 40319960.04 31198043.25 1988Q3 155 8.7613 24025 1358.0 6382.3 5619.9 762.4 762.44 581318.8533 0.1195 0.127050941 40733753.29 31582796.20 1988Q4 156 8.7742 24336 1368.8 6465.2 5654.4 810.8 810.80 657388.7821 0.1254 0.133798942 41798811.04 31972294.16 1989Q1 157 8.7863 24649 1379.4 6543.8 5689.2 854.6 854.64 730401.3974 0.1306 0.139726593 42821318.44 32366595.64 1989Q2 158 8.7917 24964 1389.1 6579.4 5724.1 855.3 855.26 731472.4851 0.1300 0.13902694 43288504.36 32765759.88 1989Q3 159 8.7964 25281 1398.6 6610.6 5759.3 851.3 851.27 724665.8145 0.1288 0.137635907 43700032.36 33169846.86 1989Q4 160 8.7999 25600 1408.0 6633.5 5794.7 838.8 838.77 703532.0006 0.1264 0.134977872 44003322.25 33578917.27 1990Q1 161 8.8123 25921 1418.8 6716.3 5830.4 885.9 885.95 784899.5812 0.1319 0.141224195 45108685.69 33993032.59 1990Q2 162 8.8146 26244 1428.0 6731.7 5866.2 865.5 865.50 749097.2448 0.1286 0.137404539 45315784.89 34412255.03 1990Q3 163 8.8128 26569 1436.5 6719.4 5902.3 817.1 817.14 667721.3152 0.1216 0.129482541 45150336.36 34836647.57 1990Q4 164 8.8045 26896 1443.9 6664.2 5938.5 725.7 725.66 526580.4022 0.1089 0.115158849 44411561.64 35266273.97 1991Q1 165 8.7996 27225 1451.9 6631.4 5975.0 656.4 656.35 430797.9279 0.0990 0.104129567 43975465.96 35701198.78 1991Q2 166 8.8052 27556 1461.7 6668.5 6011.8 656.7 656.72 431282.4057 0.0985 0.103581466 44468892.25 36141487.35 1991Q3 167 8.8076 27889 1470.9 6684.9 6048.7 636.2 636.16 404704.78 0.0952 0.099918691 44687888.01 36587205.82 1991Q4 168 8.8130 28224 1480.6 6720.9 6085.9 635.0 634.98 403199.7145 0.0945 0.099162805 45170496.81 37038421.15 1992Q1 169 8.8222 28561 6783.3 6123.3 660.0 659.97 435557.0752 0.0973 0.102267959 46013158.89 37495201.15 1992Q2 170 8.8315 28900 1501.4 6846.8 6161.0 685.8 685.82 470355.7668 0.1002 0.105448453 46878670.24 37957614.42 1992Q3 171 8.8392 29241 1511.5 6899.7 6198.8 700.9 700.85 491191.951 0.1016 0.107011986 47605860.09 38425730.46 1992Q4 172 8.8523 29584 1522.6 6990.6 6237.0 753.6 753.64 567979.3473 0.1078 0.113950612 48868488.36 38899619.58 1993Q1 173 8.8520 29929 1531.4 6988.7 6275.3 713.4 713.40 508943.7782 0.1021 0.10756983 48841927.69 39379352.99 1993Q2 174 8.8581 30276 1541.3 7031.2 6313.9 717.3 717.33 514556.833 0.1020 0.107504264 49437773.44 39865002.75 1993Q3 175 8.8625 30625 1550.9 7062 6352.7 709.3 709.31 503123.8466 0.1004 0.105751583 49871844.00 40356641.84 1993Q4 176 8.8775 30976 1562.4 7168.7 6391.7 777.0 776.96 603666.3686 0.1084 0.114592104 51390259.69 40854344.12 1994Q1 177 8.8859 31329 1572.8 7229.4 6431.0 798.4 798.37 637390.0018 0.1104 0.116887523 52264224.36 41358184.36 1994Q2 178 8.8998 31684 1584.2 7330.2 6470.6 859.6 859.63 738968.7676 0.1173 0.124577557 53731832.04 41868238.26 1994Q3 179 8.9052 32041 1594.0 7370.2 6510.3 859.9 859.86 739351.8851 0.1167 0.123893663 54319848.04 42384582.45 1994Q4 180 8.9175 32400 1605.1 7461.1 6550.4 910.7 910.73 829436.4507 0.1221 0.129998391 55668013.21 42907294.50 1995Q1 181 8.9212 32761 1614.7 7488.7 6590.6 898.1 898.07 806523.026 0.1199 0.127572268 56080627.69 43436452.96 1995Q2 182 8.9231 33124 1624.0 7503.3 6631.1 872.2 872.15 760647.3339 0.1162 0.12340785 56299510.89 43972137.31 1995Q3 183 8.9308 33489 1634.3 7561.4 6671.9 889.5 889.49 791186.4614 0.1176 0.124986587 57174769.96 44514428.04 1995Q4 184 8.9388 33856 1644.7 7621.9 6712.9 909.0 908.97 826229.5149 0.1193 0.12682003 58093359.61 45063406.63 1996Q1 185 8.9459 34225 1655.0 7676.4 6754.2 922.2 922.20 850461.3176 0.1201 0.127812411 58927116.96 45619155.55 1996Q2 186 8.9623 34596 1667.0 7802.9 6795.7 1007.2 1007.18 1014419.262 0.1291 0.137983466 60885248.41 46181758.30 1996Q3 187 8.9672 34969 1676.9 7841.9 6837.5 1004.4 1004.41 1008835.056 0.1281 0.136845968 61495395.61 46751299.40 1996Q4 188 8.9786 35344 1688.0 7931.3 6879.5 1051.8 1051.77 1106230.62 0.1326 0.142027873 62905519.69 47327864.43 1997Q1 189 8.9892 35721 1699.0 8016.4 6921.8 1094.6 1094.58 1198113.618 0.1365 0.146548122 64262668.96 47911540.00 1997Q2 190 9.0035 36100 1710.7 8131.9 6964.4 1167.5 1167.53 1363132.285 0.1436 0.154678309 66127797.61 48502413.80 1997Q3 191 9.0139 36481 1721.7 8216.6 7007.2 1209.4 1209.42 1462696.207 0.1472 0.158885607 67512515.56 49100574.62 1997Q4 192 9.0207 36864 1732.0 8272.9 7050.3 1222.6 1222.64 1494857.892 0.1478 0.159581198 68440874.41 49706112.31 1998Q1 193 9.0355 37249 1743.9 8396.3 7093.6 1302.7 1302.70 1697035.205 0.1552 0.168200349 70497853.69 50319117.86 1998Q2 194 9.0411 37636 1754.0 8442.9 7137.2 1305.7 1305.70 1704841.602 0.1547 0.167610668 71282560.41 50939683.36 1998Q3 195 9.0512 38025 1765.0 8528.5 7181.1 1347.4 1347.42 1815542.144 0.1580 0.171541263 72735312.25 51567902.04 1998Q4 196 9.0674 38416 1777.2 8667.9 7225.2 1442.7 1442.68 2081312.754 0.1664 0.181547129 75132490.41 52203868.29 1999Q1 197 9.0749 38809 1787.8 8733.5 7269.6 1463.9 1463.86 2142883.697 0.1676 0.182946485 76274022.25 52847677.66 1999Q2 198 9.0792 39204 1797.7 8771.2 7314.3 1456.9 1456.87 2122469.494 0.1661 0.181140408 76933949.44 53499426.88 1999Q3 199 9.0906 39601 1809.0 8871.5 7359.3 1512.2 1512.21 2286765.821 0.1705 0.186337844 78703512.25 54159213.85 1999Q4 200 9.1105 40000 1822.1 9049.9 7404.5 1645.4 1645.37 2707226.173 0.1818 0.199990466 81900690.01 54827137.71 2000Q1 201 9.1163 40401 1832.4 9102.5 7450.1 1652.4 1652.45 2730579.068 0.1815 0.1996606 82855506.25 55503298.81 2000Q2 202 9.1301 40804 1844.3 9229.4 7495.9 1733.5 1733.55 3005188.315 0.1878 0.207297072 85181824.36 56187798.73 2000Q3 203 9.1335 41209 1854.1 9260.1 7541.9 1718.2 1718.17 2952100.814 0.1855 0.204519055 85749452.01 56880740.32 2000Q4 204 9.1382 41616 1864.2 9303.9 7588.3 1715.6 1715.60 2943299.008 0.1844 0.20312393 86562555.21 57582227.68 sumace 20910 1695.711401 2850730 178146.1174 930779.70 886228.07 44551.6251 97747.096 76471649.17 22.8316 22.31602824 5153991741 4338878853 (SE) SAE SSE X¨X= 204 20910 218.3903 479.152 374861.025 11.192 10.939 20910 2850730 ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE THEILovoU 0.06352 612.259 det (X¨X) 144320820 RMSE (X¨X)-1 0.019752729 -0.000145 -0.000144886 1.41352E-06 X'y= 1695.711401 178146.1174 lnb1 7.684130729 b1 2173.57972 lnb2 0.006128586 b2 1.00615 ##### Sheet/List 8 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí yt = GDPUSA ln(yt) ln(t) ln2(t) ln(t).ln(yt) skutečnost vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 MAPE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 7.38430 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1610.5 554.8 1055.7 1056 1114477 0.6555 0.975091039 2593710.25 307816.23 1950Q2 2 1658.8 7.41385 0.69315 0.48045 5.13889 1658.8 763.1 895.7 896 802316 0.5400 0.739691172 2751617.44 582289.27 1950Q3 3 1723 7.45182 1.09861 1.20695 8.18666 1723 919.5 803.5 804 645645 0.4663 0.608156511 2968729.00 845442.47 1950Q4 4 1753.9 7.46960 1.38629 1.92181 10.35506 1753.9 1049.5 704.4 704 496143 0.4016 0.502509801 3076165.21 1101503.95 1951Q1 5 1773.5 7.48071 1.60944 2.59029 12.03974 1773.5 1162.9 610.6 611 372789 0.3443 0.415854499 3145302.25 1352418.10 1951Q2 6 1803.7 7.49760 1.79176 3.21040 13.43389 1803.7 1264.6 539.1 539 290590 0.2989 0.351371931 3253333.69 1599305.13 1951Q3 7 1839.8 7.51741 1.94591 3.78657 14.62821 1839.8 1357.5 482.3 482 232583 0.2621 0.301669112 3384864.04 1842892.77 1951Q4 8 1843.3 7.51931 2.07944 4.32408 15.63597 1843.3 1443.5 399.8 400 159840 0.2169 0.243276414 3397754.89 2083691.07 1952Q1 9 1864.7 7.53086 2.19722 4.82780 16.54698 1864.7 1523.8 340.9 341 116188 0.1828 0.201186425 3477106.09 2322076.93 1952Q2 10 1866.2 7.53166 2.30259 5.30190 17.34229 1866.2 1599.5 266.7 267 71139 0.1429 0.153920026 3482702.44 2558339.90 1952Q3 11 1878 7.53796 2.39790 5.74990 18.07525 1878 1671.1 206.9 207 42791 0.1101 0.116569026 3526884.00 2792709.22 1952Q4 12 1940.2 7.57055 2.48491 6.17476 18.81210 1940.2 1739.4 200.8 201 40337 0.1035 0.109165634 3764376.04 3025370.74 1953Q1 13 1976 7.58883 2.56495 6.57897 19.46496 1976 1804.6 171.4 171 29388 0.0868 0.090689238 3904576.00 3256478.04 1953Q2 14 1992.2 7.59699 2.63906 6.96462 20.04890 1992.2 1867.1 125.1 125 15643 0.0628 0.064816403 3968860.84 3486160.17 1953Q3 15 1979.5 7.59060 2.70805 7.33354 20.55572 1979.5 1927.3 52.2 52 2724 0.0264 0.026717028 3918420.25 3714526.97 1953Q4 16 1947.8 7.57446 2.77259 7.68725 21.00085 1947.8 1985.4 -37.6 38 1411 0.0193 0.019101524 3793924.84 3941673.07 1954Q1 17 1938.1 7.56946 2.83321 8.02710 21.44590 1938.1 2041.5 -103.4 103 10689 0.0533 0.051960052 3756231.61 4167680.80 1954Q2 18 1941 7.57096 2.89037 8.35425 21.88288 1941 2095.9 -154.9 155 23981 0.0798 0.076722233 3767481.00 4392622.41 1954Q3 19 1962 7.58172 2.94444 8.66972 22.32391 1962 2148.6 -186.6 187 34826 0.0951 0.090798297 3849444.00 4616561.82 1954Q4 20 2000.9 7.60135 2.99573 8.97441 22.77162 2000.9 2199.9 -199.0 199 39601 0.0995 0.094743439 4003600.81 4839555.95 1955Q1 21 2058.1 7.62954 3.04452 9.26912 23.22830 2058.1 2249.8 -191.7 192 36754 0.0932 0.089004776 4235775.61 5061655.79 1955Q2 22 2091 7.64540 3.09104 9.55454 23.63225 2091 2298.5 -207.5 207 43039 0.0992 0.094525388 4372281.00 5282907.30 1955Q3 23 2118.9 7.65865 3.13549 9.83132 24.01366 2118.9 2345.9 -227.0 227 51539 0.1071 0.101693826 4489737.21 5503352.09 1955Q4 24 2130.1 7.66392 3.17805 10.10003 24.35636 2130.1 2392.3 -262.2 262 68741 0.1231 0.115949924 4537326.01 5723028.02 1956Q1 25 2121 7.65964 3.21888 10.36116 24.65544 2121 2437.6 -316.6 317 100245 0.1493 0.138908649 4498641.00 5941969.65 1956Q2 26 2137.7 7.66749 3.25810 10.61519 24.98141 2137.7 2482.0 -344.3 344 118526 0.1611 0.14904799 4569761.29 6160208.68 1956Q3 27 2135.3 7.66636 3.29584 10.86254 25.26708 2135.3 2525.4 -390.1 390 152198 0.1827 0.167409799 4559506.09 6377774.28 1956Q4 28 2170.4 7.68267 3.33220 11.10359 25.60022 2170.4 2568.0 -397.6 398 158096 0.1832 0.167825583 4710636.16 6594693.36 1957Q1 29 2182.7 7.68832 3.36730 11.33868 25.88884 2182.7 2609.8 -427.1 427 182404 0.1957 0.178232081 4764179.29 6810990.85 1957Q2 30 2177.7 7.68602 3.40120 11.56814 26.14169 2177.7 2650.8 -473.1 473 223815 0.2172 0.195957901 4742377.29 7026689.88 1957Q3 31 2198.9 7.69571 3.43399 11.79227 26.42698 2198.9 2691.1 -492.2 492 242223 0.2238 0.20129463 4835161.21 7241811.97 1957Q4 32 2176 7.68524 3.46574 12.01133 26.63502 2176 2730.6 -554.6 555 307622 0.2549 0.226076151 4734976.00 7456377.22 1958Q1 33 2117.4 7.65794 3.49651 12.22557 26.77606 2117.4 2769.5 -652.1 652 425299 0.3080 0.266894305 4483382.76 7670404.40 1958Q2 34 2129.7 7.66374 3.52636 12.43522 27.02510 2129.7 2807.8 -678.1 678 459861 0.3184 0.274684013 4535622.09 7883911.12 1958Q3 35 2177.5 7.68593 3.55535 12.64050 27.32617 2177.5 2845.5 -668.0 668 446234 0.3068 0.265979156 4741506.25 8096913.90 1958Q4 36 2226.5 7.70819 3.58352 12.84161 27.62243 2226.5 2882.6 -656.1 656 430478 0.2947 0.256838536 4957302.25 8309428.28 1959Q1 37 2273 7.72886 3.61092 13.03873 27.90826 2273 2919.2 -646.2 646 417517 0.2843 0.248896825 5166529.00 8521468.90 1959Q2 38 2332.4 7.75465 3.63759 13.23203 28.20822 2332.4 2955.2 -622.8 623 387847 0.2670 0.235561123 5440089.76 8733049.59 1959Q3 39 2331.4 7.75422 3.66356 13.42168 28.40808 2331.4 2990.7 -659.3 659 434654 0.2828 0.247753669 5435425.96 8944183.40 1959Q4 40 2339.1 7.75752 3.68888 13.60783 28.61656 2339.1 3025.7 -686.6 687 471425 0.2935 0.255966002 5471388.81 9154882.72 1960Q1 41 2391 7.77947 3.71357 13.79062 28.88961 2391 3060.3 -669.3 669 447902 0.2799 0.245541549 5716881.00 9365159.26 1960Q2 42 2379.2 7.77452 3.73767 13.97017 29.05859 2379.2 3094.4 -715.2 715 511445 0.3006 0.261312356 5660592.64 9575024.16 1960Q3 43 2383.6 7.77637 3.76120 14.14663 29.24847 2383.6 3128.0 -744.4 744 554156 0.3123 0.270126416 5681548.96 9784487.99 1960Q4 44 2352.9 7.76340 3.78419 14.32009 29.37819 2352.9 3161.3 -808.4 808 653445 0.3436 0.293194055 5536138.41 9993560.83 1961Q1 45 2366.5 7.76917 3.80666 14.49068 29.57460 2366.5 3194.1 -827.6 828 684916 0.3497 0.297664639 5600322.25 10202252.26 1961Q2 46 2410.8 7.78771 3.82864 14.65849 29.81636 2410.8 3226.5 -815.7 816 665435 0.3384 0.289406517 5811956.64 10410571.45 1961Q3 47 2450.4 7.80401 3.85015 14.82364 30.04658 2450.4 3258.6 -808.2 808 653200 0.3298 0.28313435 6004460.16 10618527.12 1961Q4 48 2500.4 7.82421 3.87120 14.98620 30.28907 2500.4 3290.3 -789.9 790 623955 0.3159 0.272819184 6252000.16 10826127.62 1962Q1 49 2544 7.84149 3.89182 15.14627 30.51768 2544 3321.7 -777.7 778 604745 0.3057 0.265154894 6471936.00 11033380.94 1962Q2 50 2571.5 7.85224 3.91202 15.30392 30.71816 2571.5 3352.7 -781.2 781 610203 0.3038 0.263718588 6612612.25 11240294.74 1962Q3 51 2596.8 7.86204 3.93183 15.45925 30.91215 2596.8 3383.3 -786.5 787 618619 0.3029 0.263045838 6743370.24 11446876.34 1962Q4 52 2603.3 7.86454 3.95124 15.61233 31.07470 2603.3 3413.7 -810.4 810 656697 0.3113 0.269361064 6777170.89 11653132.77 1963Q1 53 2634.1 7.87630 3.97029 15.76322 31.27120 2634.1 3443.7 -809.6 810 655452 0.3074 0.266412234 6938482.81 11859070.79 1963Q2 54 2668.4 7.88923 3.98898 15.91199 31.47003 2668.4 3473.4 -805.0 805 648069 0.3017 0.262145847 7120358.56 12064696.89 1963Q3 55 2719.6 7.90824 4.00733 16.05872 31.69095 2719.6 3502.9 -783.3 783 613494 0.2880 0.251752085 7396224.16 12270017.29 1963Q4 56 2739.4 7.91549 4.02535 16.20346 31.86265 2739.4 3532.0 -792.6 793 628218 0.2893 0.252767079 7504312.36 12475038.00 1964Q1 57 2800.5 7.93755 4.04305 16.34626 32.09193 2800.5 3560.9 -760.4 760 578156 0.2715 0.239057387 7842800.25 12679764.80 1964Q2 58 2833.8 7.94937 4.06044 16.48720 32.27798 2833.8 3589.5 -755.7 756 571018 0.2667 0.235287864 8030422.44 12884203.25 1964Q3 59 2872 7.96276 4.07754 16.62631 32.46847 2872 3617.8 -745.8 746 556193 0.2597 0.229833139 8248384.00 13088358.73 1964Q4 60 2879.5 7.96537 4.09434 16.76366 32.61298 2879.5 3645.9 -766.4 766 587295 0.2661 0.234884479 8291520.25 13292236.40 1965Q1 61 2950.1 7.98959 4.11087 16.89928 32.84421 2950.1 3673.7 -723.6 724 523552 0.2453 0.218476423 8703090.01 13495841.28 1965Q2 62 2989.9 8.00300 4.12713 17.03324 33.02944 2989.9 3701.2 -711.3 711 506005 0.2379 0.21262149 8939502.01 13699178.19 1965Q3 63 3050.7 8.02313 4.14313 17.16557 33.24089 3050.7 3728.6 -677.9 678 459511 0.2222 0.199983809 9306770.49 13902251.79 1965Q4 64 3123.6 8.04674 4.15888 17.29631 33.46546 3123.6 3755.7 -632.1 632 399514 0.2024 0.183761109 9756876.96 14105066.60 1966Q1 65 3201.1 8.07125 4.17439 17.42551 33.69252 3201.1 3782.5 -581.4 581 338075 0.1816 0.166515513 10247041.21 14307626.98 1966Q2 66 3213.2 8.07502 4.18965 17.55321 33.83156 3213.2 3809.2 -596.0 596 355205 0.1855 0.16974023 10324654.24 14509937.17 1966Q3 67 3233.6 8.08135 4.20469 17.67944 33.97960 3233.6 3835.6 -602.0 602 362431 0.1862 0.170322169 10456168.96 14712001.25 1966Q4 68 3261.8 8.09003 4.21951 17.80425 34.13596 3261.8 3861.8 -600.0 600 360050 0.1840 0.168464936 10639339.24 14913823.19 1967Q1 69 3291.8 8.09919 4.23411 17.92766 34.29283 3291.8 3887.9 -596.1 596 355280 0.1811 0.166039694 10835947.24 15115406.83 1967Q2 70 3289.7 8.09855 4.24850 18.04971 34.40666 3289.7 3913.7 -624.0 624 389329 0.1897 0.173242067 10822126.09 15316755.91 1967Q3 71 3313.5 8.10576 4.26268 18.17044 34.55226 3313.5 3939.3 -625.8 626 391592 0.1889 0.172561106 10979282.25 15517874.04 1967Q4 72 3338.3 8.11322 4.27667 18.28987 34.69752 3338.3 3964.7 -626.4 626 392364 0.1876 0.171543371 11144246.89 15718764.74 1968Q1 73 3406.2 8.13335 4.29046 18.40804 34.89582 3406.2 3989.9 -583.7 584 340725 0.1714 0.157843982 11602198.44 15919431.41 1968Q2 74 3464.8 8.15041 4.30407 18.52498 35.07990 3464.8 4015.0 -550.2 550 302672 0.1588 0.147105509 12004839.04 16119877.37 1968Q3 75 3489.2 8.15743 4.31749 18.64070 35.21960 3489.2 4039.8 -550.6 551 303177 0.1578 0.146264835 12174516.64 16320105.84 1968Q4 76 3504.1 8.16169 4.33073 18.75525 35.34610 3504.1 4064.5 -560.4 560 314043 0.1599 0.148084298 12278716.81 16520119.95 1969Q1 77 3558.3 8.17704 4.34381 18.86865 35.51946 3558.3 4089.0 -530.7 531 281643 0.1491 0.138794136 12661498.89 16719922.75 1969Q2 78 3567.6 8.17965 4.35671 18.98091 35.63635 3567.6 4113.3 -545.7 546 297826 0.1530 0.142100965 12727769.76 16919517.20 1969Q3 79 3588.3 8.18543 4.36945 19.09207 35.76583 3588.3 4137.5 -549.2 549 301621 0.1531 0.142172977 12875896.89 17118906.19 1969Q4 80 3571.4 8.18071 4.38203 19.20216 35.84810 3571.4 4161.5 -590.1 590 348219 0.1652 0.152620916 12754897.96 17318092.52 1970Q1 81 3566.5 8.17934 4.39445 19.31118 35.94369 3566.5 4185.3 -618.8 619 382964 0.1735 0.159662965 12719922.25 17517078.92 1970Q2 82 3573.9 8.18141 4.40672 19.41917 36.05319 3573.9 4209.0 -635.1 635 403380 0.1777 0.163209192 12772761.21 17715868.08 1970Q3 83 3605.2 8.19013 4.41884 19.52615 36.19089 3605.2 4232.5 -627.3 627 393566 0.1740 0.160083738 12997467.04 17914462.57 1970Q4 84 3566.5 8.17934 4.43082 19.63214 36.24116 3566.5 4255.9 -689.4 689 475302 0.1933 0.176267973 12719922.25 18112864.94 1971Q1 85 3666.1 8.20688 4.44265 19.73715 36.46032 3666.1 4279.1 -613.0 613 375824 0.1672 0.15431734 13440289.21 18311077.65 1971Q2 86 3686.2 8.21235 4.45435 19.84121 36.58067 3686.2 4302.2 -616.0 616 379482 0.1671 0.154228411 13588070.44 18509103.11 1971Q3 87 3714.5 8.22000 4.46591 19.94434 36.70976 3714.5 4325.2 -610.7 611 372896 0.1644 0.15191016 13797510.25 18706943.68 1971Q4 88 3723.8 8.22250 4.47734 20.04654 36.81490 3723.8 4347.9 -624.1 624 389554 0.1676 0.154648703 13866686.44 18904601.65 1972Q1 89 3796.9 8.24194 4.48864 20.14786 36.99507 3796.9 4370.6 -573.7 574 329123 0.1511 0.140481929 14416449.61 19102079.26 1972Q2 90 3883.8 8.26457 4.49981 20.24829 37.18899 3883.8 4393.1 -509.3 509 259392 0.1311 0.123066718 15083902.44 19299378.70 1972Q3 91 3922.3 8.27443 4.51086 20.34785 37.32481 3922.3 4415.5 -493.2 493 243231 0.1257 0.118301059 15384437.29 19496502.11 1972Q4 92 3990.5 8.29167 4.52179 20.44657 37.49319 3990.5 4437.7 -447.2 447 200015 0.1121 0.106126774 15924090.25 19693451.57 1973Q1 93 4092.3 8.31686 4.53260 20.54446 37.69701 4092.3 4459.8 -367.5 368 135090 0.0898 0.085954169 16746919.29 19890229.14 1973Q2 94 4133.3 8.32683 4.54329 20.64153 37.83125 4133.3 4481.8 -348.5 349 121476 0.0843 0.080912052 17084168.89 20086836.79 1973Q3 95 4117 8.32288 4.55388 20.73779 37.90137 4117 4503.7 -386.7 387 149534 0.0939 0.089713377 16949689.00 20283276.49 1973Q4 96 4151.1 8.33113 4.56435 20.83327 38.02617 4151.1 4525.4 -374.3 374 140126 0.0902 0.086286462 17231631.21 20479550.14 1974Q1 97 4119.3 8.32344 4.57471 20.92798 38.07733 4119.3 4547.0 -427.7 428 182970 0.1038 0.098715047 16968632.49 20675659.62 1974Q2 98 4130.4 8.32613 4.58497 21.02193 38.17503 4130.4 4568.5 -438.1 438 191971 0.1061 0.100735284 17060204.16 20871606.75 1974Q3 99 4084.5 8.31495 4.59512 21.11513 38.20821 4084.5 4589.9 -505.4 505 255452 0.1237 0.11653179 16683140.25 21067393.32 1974Q4 100 4062 8.30943 4.60517 21.20759 38.26634 4062 4611.2 -549.2 549 301603 0.1352 0.126639611 16499844.00 21263021.08 1975Q1 101 4010 8.29655 4.61512 21.29934 38.28956 4010 4632.3 -622.3 622 387296 0.1552 0.144019276 16080100.00 21458491.74 1975Q2 102 4045.2 8.30529 4.62497 21.39037 38.41172 4045.2 4653.4 -608.2 608 369865 0.1503 0.139831137 16363643.04 21653807.00 1975Q3 103 4115.4 8.32249 4.63473 21.48071 38.57249 4115.4 4674.3 -558.9 559 312356 0.1358 0.127169023 16936517.16 21848968.48 1975Q4 104 4167.2 8.33500 4.64439 21.57037 38.71100 4167.2 4695.1 -527.9 528 278680 0.1267 0.119134171 17365555.84 22043977.81 1976Q1 105 4266.1 8.35846 4.65396 21.65935 38.89992 4266.1 4715.8 -449.7 450 202236 0.1054 0.100136216 18199609.21 22238836.56 1976Q2 106 4301.5 8.36672 4.66344 21.74766 39.01768 4301.5 4736.4 -434.9 435 189144 0.1011 0.096240534 18502902.25 22433546.28 1976Q3 107 4321.9 8.37145 4.67283 21.83533 39.11835 4321.9 4756.9 -435.0 435 189226 0.1007 0.095827882 18678819.61 22628108.49 1976Q4 108 4357.4 8.37963 4.68213 21.92235 39.23453 4357.4 4777.3 -419.9 420 176310 0.0964 0.091933605 18986934.76 22822524.68 1977Q1 109 4410.5 8.39174 4.69135 22.00874 39.36859 4410.5 4797.6 -387.1 387 149833 0.0878 0.084074474 19452510.25 23016796.32 1977Q2 110 4489.8 8.40956 4.70048 22.09452 39.52899 4489.8 4817.8 -328.0 328 107565 0.0730 0.070474185 20158304.04 23210924.82 1977Q3 111 4570.6 8.42740 4.70953 22.17967 39.68909 4570.6 4837.9 -267.3 267 71429 0.0585 0.056813173 20890384.36 23404911.60 1977Q4 112 4576.1 8.42860 4.71850 22.26423 39.77035 4576.1 4857.9 -281.8 282 79386 0.0616 0.059732166 20940691.21 23598758.04 1978Q1 113 4588.9 8.43140 4.72739 22.34820 39.85848 4588.9 4877.8 -288.9 289 83436 0.0629 0.061025184 21058003.21 23792465.49 1978Q2 114 4765.7 8.46920 4.73620 22.43158 40.11181 4765.7 4897.6 -131.9 132 17385 0.0277 0.027289774 22711896.49 23986035.27 1978Q3 115 4811.7 8.47881 4.74493 22.51438 40.23136 4811.7 4917.3 -105.6 106 11143 0.0219 0.021700632 23152456.89 24179468.70 1978Q4 116 4876 8.49208 4.75359 22.59662 40.36787 4876 4936.9 -60.9 61 3706 0.0125 0.012407831 23775376.00 24372767.05 1979Q1 117 4888.3 8.49460 4.76217 22.67830 40.45276 4888.3 4956.4 -68.1 68 4638 0.0139 0.013835478 23895476.89 24565931.58 1979Q2 118 4891.4 8.49523 4.77068 22.75943 40.52808 4891.4 4975.8 -84.4 84 7130 0.0173 0.017114814 23925793.96 24758963.52 1979Q3 119 4926.2 8.50232 4.77912 22.84002 40.63365 4926.2 4995.2 -69.0 69 4759 0.0140 0.013906142 24267446.44 24951864.10 1979Q4 120 4942.6 8.50565 4.78749 22.92008 40.72071 4942.6 5014.4 -71.8 72 5161 0.0145 0.014430508 24429294.76 25144634.49 1980Q1 121 4958.9 8.50894 4.79579 22.99961 40.80709 4958.9 5033.6 -74.7 75 5582 0.0151 0.014954112 24590689.21 25337275.88 1980Q2 122 4857.8 8.48834 4.80402 23.07862 40.77817 4857.8 5052.7 -194.9 195 37986 0.0401 0.039332259 23598220.84 25529789.41 1980Q3 123 4850.3 8.48680 4.81218 23.15712 40.84003 4850.3 5071.7 -221.4 221 49020 0.0456 0.044628786 23525410.09 25722176.22 1980Q4 124 4936.6 8.50443 4.82028 23.23511 40.99376 4936.6 5090.6 -154.0 154 23723 0.0312 0.03072087 24370019.56 25914437.41 1981Q1 125 5032.5 8.52367 4.82831 23.31261 41.15496 5032.5 5109.5 -77.0 77 5923 0.0153 0.015176412 25326056.25 26106574.09 1981Q2 126 4997.3 8.51665 4.83628 23.38962 41.18894 4997.3 5128.2 -130.9 131 17139 0.0262 0.025858404 24973007.29 26298587.33 1981Q3 127 5056.8 8.52849 4.84419 23.46615 41.31360 5056.8 5146.9 -90.1 90 8116 0.0178 0.017658346 25571226.24 26490478.18 1981Q4 128 4997.1 8.51661 4.85203 23.54220 41.32286 4997.1 5165.5 -168.4 168 28354 0.0337 0.033138455 24971008.41 26682247.69 1982Q1 129 4914.3 8.49990 4.85981 23.61778 41.30794 4914.3 5184.0 -269.7 270 72740 0.0549 0.053415691 24150344.49 26873896.89 1982Q2 130 4935.5 8.50421 4.86753 23.69289 41.39453 4935.5 5202.4 -266.9 267 71259 0.0541 0.052662413 24359160.25 27065426.77 1982Q3 131 4912.1 8.49946 4.87520 23.76755 41.43653 4912.1 5220.8 -308.7 309 95301 0.0628 0.060931808 24128726.41 27256838.33 1982Q4 132 4915.6 8.50017 4.88280 23.84175 41.50464 4915.6 5239.1 -323.5 323 104650 0.0658 0.063713679 24163123.36 27448132.54 1983Q1 133 4972.4 8.51166 4.89035 23.91551 41.62498 4972.4 5257.3 -284.9 285 81174 0.0573 0.055702494 24724761.76 27639310.37 1983Q2 134 5089.8 8.53499 4.89784 23.98883 41.80303 5089.8 5275.5 -185.7 186 34466 0.0365 0.035821617 25906064.04 27830372.77 1983Q3 135 5180.4 8.55264 4.90527 24.06172 41.95304 5180.4 5293.5 -113.1 113 12795 0.0218 0.021599723 26836544.16 28021320.65 1983Q4 136 5286.8 8.57297 4.91265 24.13418 42.11604 5286.8 5311.5 -24.7 25 611 0.0047 0.004663299 27950254.24 28212154.94 1984Q1 137 5402.3 8.59458 4.91998 24.20621 42.28517 5402.3 5329.4 72.9 73 5309 0.0135 0.013579367 29184845.29 28402876.54 1984Q2 138 5493.8 8.61138 4.92725 24.27783 42.43043 5493.8 5347.3 146.5 147 21466 0.0267 0.027029067 30181838.44 28593486.33 1984Q3 139 5541.3 8.61998 4.93447 24.34903 42.53509 5541.3 5365.1 176.2 176 31057 0.0318 0.032316736 30706005.69 28783985.20 1984Q4 140 5583.1 8.62750 4.94164 24.41983 42.63402 5583.1 5382.8 200.3 200 40126 0.0359 0.036534221 31171005.61 28974374.01 1985Q1 141 5629.7 8.63581 4.94876 24.49022 42.73656 5629.7 5400.4 229.3 229 52564 0.0407 0.041571425 31693522.09 29164653.59 1985Q2 142 5673.8 8.64361 4.95583 24.56022 42.83626 5673.8 5418.0 255.8 256 65429 0.0451 0.046122448 32192006.44 29354824.80 1985Q3 143 5758.6 8.65845 4.96284 24.62983 42.97054 5758.6 5435.5 323.1 323 104380 0.0561 0.057722979 33161473.96 29544888.45 1985Q4 144 5806 8.66665 4.96981 24.69904 43.07162 5806 5453.0 353.0 353 124633 0.0608 0.0627115 33709636.00 29734845.36 1986Q1 145 5858.9 8.67572 4.97673 24.76788 43.17673 5858.9 5470.3 388.6 389 150973 0.0663 0.068592908 34326709.21 29924696.33 1986Q2 146 5883.3 8.67987 4.98361 24.83633 43.25707 5883.3 5487.7 395.6 396 156529 0.0672 0.069587297 34613218.89 30114442.14 1986Q3 147 5937.9 8.68911 4.99043 24.90442 43.36242 5937.9 5504.9 433.0 433 187476 0.0729 0.075678148 35258656.41 30304083.58 1986Q4 148 5969.5 8.69442 4.99721 24.97213 43.44785 5969.5 5522.1 447.4 447 200164 0.0749 0.077865031 35634930.25 30493621.40 1987Q1 149 6013.3 8.70173 5.00395 25.03948 43.54298 6013.3 5539.2 474.1 474 224743 0.0788 0.082072271 36159776.89 30683056.38 1987Q2 150 6077.2 8.71230 5.01064 25.10647 43.65415 6077.2 5556.3 520.9 521 271344 0.0857 0.089553026 36932359.84 30872389.25 1987Q3 151 6128.1 8.72064 5.01728 25.17310 43.75389 6128.1 5573.3 554.8 555 307808 0.0905 0.094827098 37553609.61 31061620.74 1987Q4 152 6234.4 8.73784 5.02388 25.23938 43.89785 6234.4 5590.2 644.2 644 414946 0.1033 0.108952659 38867743.36 31250751.59 1988Q1 153 6275.9 8.74447 5.03044 25.30531 43.98852 6275.9 5607.1 668.8 669 447268 0.1066 0.112560805 39386920.81 31439782.51 1988Q2 154 6349.8 8.75618 5.03695 25.37089 44.10446 6349.8 5623.9 725.9 726 526871 0.1143 0.121241779 40319960.04 31628714.20 1988Q3 155 6382.3 8.76128 5.04343 25.43614 44.18688 6382.3 5640.7 741.6 742 549964 0.1162 0.123362757 40733753.29 31817547.37 1988Q4 156 6465.2 8.77419 5.04986 25.50105 44.30839 6465.2 5657.4 807.8 808 652525 0.1249 0.133270062 41798811.04 32006282.68 1989Q1 157 6543.8 8.78627 5.05625 25.56562 44.42556 6543.8 5674.1 869.7 870 756453 0.1329 0.142372462 42821318.44 32194920.84 1989Q2 158 6579.4 8.79170 5.06260 25.62987 44.50881 6579.4 5690.6 888.8 889 789882 0.1351 0.144865472 43288504.36 32383462.49 1989Q3 159 6610.6 8.79643 5.06890 25.69379 44.58826 6610.6 5707.2 903.4 903 816167 0.1367 0.14668545 43700032.36 32571908.31 1989Q4 160 6633.5 8.79989 5.07517 25.75739 44.66096 6633.5 5723.7 909.8 910 827813 0.1372 0.147257514 44003322.25 32760258.94 1990Q1 161 6716.3 8.81229 5.08140 25.82067 44.77882 6716.3 5740.1 976.2 976 953006 0.1454 0.156742219 45108685.69 32948515.02 1990Q2 162 6731.7 8.81458 5.08760 25.88364 44.84504 6731.7 5756.4 975.3 975 951119 0.1449 0.156188657 45315784.89 33136677.19 1990Q3 163 6719.4 8.81275 5.09375 25.94629 44.88997 6719.4 5772.8 946.6 947 896129 0.1409 0.151557635 45150336.36 33324746.08 1990Q4 164 6664.2 8.80451 5.09987 26.00864 44.90180 6664.2 5789.0 875.2 875 765945 0.1313 0.140555261 44411561.64 33512722.31 1991Q1 165 6631.4 8.79957 5.10595 26.07068 44.93013 6631.4 5805.2 826.2 826 682570 0.1246 0.132862064 43975465.96 33700606.48 1991Q2 166 6668.5 8.80515 5.11199 26.13242 45.01182 6668.5 5821.4 847.1 847 717622 0.1270 0.135649989 44468892.25 33888399.19 1991Q3 167 6684.9 8.80761 5.11799 26.19386 45.07728 6684.9 5837.5 847.4 847 718131 0.1268 0.135345926 44687888.01 34076101.05 1991Q4 168 6720.9 8.81298 5.12396 26.25501 45.15738 6720.9 5853.5 867.4 867 752346 0.1291 0.137959209 45170496.81 34263712.64 1992Q1 169 6783.3 8.82222 5.12990 26.31586 45.25709 6783.3 5869.5 913.8 914 834999 0.1347 0.144439388 46013158.89 34451234.53 1992Q2 170 6846.8 8.83154 5.13580 26.37643 45.35699 6846.8 5885.5 961.3 961 924170 0.1404 0.15100814 46878670.24 34638667.31 1992Q3 171 6899.7 8.83923 5.14166 26.43670 45.44836 6899.7 5901.4 998.3 998 996689 0.1447 0.155978255 47605860.09 34826011.54 1992Q4 172 6990.6 8.85232 5.14749 26.49670 45.56728 6990.6 5917.2 1073.4 1073 1152185 0.1535 0.166317871 48868488.36 35013267.78 1993Q1 173 6988.7 8.85205 5.15329 26.55641 45.61719 6988.7 5933.0 1055.7 1056 1114512 0.1511 0.163400292 48841927.69 35200436.58 1993Q2 174 7031.2 8.85811 5.15906 26.61585 45.69949 7031.2 5948.7 1082.5 1082 1171718 0.1540 0.166789524 49437773.44 35387518.48 1993Q3 175 7062 8.86248 5.16479 26.67501 45.77283 7062 5964.4 1097.6 1098 1204644 0.1554 0.168513081 49871844.00 35574514.03 1993Q4 176 7168.7 8.87748 5.17048 26.73390 45.90087 7168.7 5980.1 1188.6 1189 1412804 0.1658 0.180794552 51390259.69 35761423.76 1994Q1 177 7229.4 8.88591 5.17615 26.79253 45.99481 7229.4 5995.7 1233.7 1234 1522051 0.1707 0.186571826 52264224.36 35948248.20 1994Q2 178 7330.2 8.89976 5.18178 26.85088 46.11662 7330.2 6011.2 1319.0 1319 1739660 0.1799 0.197724037 53731832.04 36134987.87 1994Q3 179 7370.2 8.90520 5.18739 26.90897 46.19471 7370.2 6026.7 1343.5 1343 1804874 0.1823 0.200561561 54319848.04 36321643.27 1994Q4 180 7461.1 8.91746 5.19296 26.96680 46.30798 7461.1 6042.2 1418.9 1419 2013269 0.1902 0.210155574 55668013.21 36508214.92 1995Q1 181 7488.7 8.92115 5.19850 27.02437 46.37657 7488.7 6057.6 1431.1 1431 2048003 0.1911 0.211287667 56080627.69 36694703.33 1995Q2 182 7503.3 8.92310 5.20401 27.08169 46.43586 7503.3 6073.0 1430.3 1430 2045810 0.1906 0.21070837 56299510.89 36881108.99 1995Q3 183 7561.4 8.93081 5.20949 27.13875 46.52494 7561.4 6088.3 1473.1 1473 2170015 0.1948 0.215843098 57174769.96 37067432.38 1995Q4 184 7621.9 8.93878 5.21494 27.19555 46.61517 7621.9 6103.6 1518.3 1518 2305299 0.1992 0.221241275 58093359.61 37253674.00 1996Q1 185 7676.4 8.94591 5.22036 27.25211 46.70081 7676.4 6118.8 1557.6 1558 2426087 0.2029 0.225816082 58927116.96 37439834.33 1996Q2 186 7802.9 8.96225 5.22575 27.30843 46.83445 7802.9 6134.0 1668.9 1669 2785239 0.2139 0.23949427 60885248.41 37625913.83 1996Q3 187 7841.9 8.96724 5.23111 27.36450 46.90859 7841.9 6149.1 1692.8 1693 2865439 0.2159 0.24197785 61495395.61 37811912.99 1996Q4 188 7931.3 8.97857 5.23644 27.42032 47.01577 7931.3 6164.2 1767.1 1767 3122507 0.2228 0.250726408 62905519.69 37997832.26 1997Q1 189 8016.4 8.98924 5.24175 27.47591 47.11935 8016.4 6179.3 1837.1 1837 3374959 0.2292 0.258825839 64262668.96 38183672.10 1997Q2 190 8131.9 9.00355 5.24702 27.53126 47.24184 8131.9 6194.3 1937.6 1938 3754269 0.2383 0.270496381 66127797.61 38369432.96 1997Q3 191 8216.6 9.01391 5.25227 27.58638 47.34353 8216.6 6209.3 2007.3 2007 4029347 0.2443 0.278294832 67512515.56 38555115.31 1997Q4 192 8272.9 9.02074 5.25750 27.64126 47.42650 8272.9 6224.2 2048.7 2049 4197154 0.2476 0.282635155 68440874.41 38740719.57 1998Q1 193 8396.3 9.03555 5.26269 27.69591 47.55128 8396.3 6239.1 2157.2 2157 4653554 0.2569 0.29479362 70497853.69 38926246.19 1998Q2 194 8442.9 9.04108 5.26786 27.75033 47.62713 8442.9 6253.9 2189.0 2189 4791570 0.2593 0.297882596 71282560.41 39111695.60 1998Q3 195 8528.5 9.05117 5.27300 27.80452 47.72681 8528.5 6268.7 2259.8 2260 5106527 0.2650 0.305430341 72735312.25 39297068.24 1998Q4 196 8667.9 9.06738 5.27811 27.85849 47.85868 8667.9 6283.5 2384.4 2384 5685366 0.2751 0.318953504 75132490.41 39482364.52 1999Q1 197 8733.5 9.07492 5.28320 27.91224 47.94466 8733.5 6298.2 2435.3 2435 5930585 0.2788 0.324018689 76274022.25 39667584.88 1999Q2 198 8771.2 9.07923 5.28827 27.96577 48.01339 8771.2 6312.9 2458.3 2458 6043230 0.2803 0.325945579 76933949.44 39852729.72 1999Q3 199 8871.5 9.09060 5.29330 28.01908 48.11931 8871.5 6327.5 2544.0 2544 6471718 0.2868 0.334752272 78703512.25 40037799.45 1999Q4 200 9049.9 9.11051 5.29832 28.07217 48.27037 9049.9 6342.1 2707.8 2708 7331941 0.2992 0.351838343 81900690.01 40222794.49 2000Q1 201 9102.5 9.11630 5.30330 28.12504 48.34654 9102.5 6356.7 2745.8 2746 7539383 0.3017 0.355230873 82855506.25 40407715.24 2000Q2 202 9229.4 9.13015 5.30827 28.17771 48.46528 9229.4 6371.2 2858.2 2858 8169140 0.3097 0.366417368 85181824.36 40592562.10 2000Q3 203 9260.1 9.13347 5.31321 28.23016 48.52801 9260.1 6385.7 2874.4 2874 8262098 0.3104 0.367432046 85749452.01 40777335.46 2000Q4 204 9303.9 9.13819 5.31812 28.28240 48.59799 9303.9 6400.2 2903.7 2904 8431712 0.3121 0.369807698 86562555.21 40962035.71 sumace 20910 930779.7 1695.711401 884.4748858 4019.955886 7437.178601 930779.7 897448.5044 33331.1956 148111.978 181724826 34.0231 34.40755426 5153991741 4373438291 (SE) SAE SSE X¨X = 204.0000 884.4749 163.3882 726.039 890807.970 16.678 16.866 884.4749 4019.9559 ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE THEILovoU 0.09774 943.826 det (X¨X) 37775.17717 RMSE (X¨X)-1 0.106417923 -0.023414182 -0.023414182 0.005400372 X'y = 1695.711401 7437.178601 b0 6.318629119 exp(b1) 554.8118897 b1 0.459833363 ##### Sheet/List 9 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí hodnota čtvrtletí pořadí hodnota čtvrtletí pořadí hodnota realGDP pořadí hodnota hodnota hodnota 1950Q1 1 1610.50 1967Q1 69 3291.80 1984Q1 137 5402.30 1610.5 1 1610.5 3291.8 5402.3 1950Q2 2 1658.80 1967Q2 70 3289.70 1984Q2 138 5493.80 1658.8 2 1658.8 3289.7 5493.8 1950Q3 3 1723.00 1967Q3 71 3313.50 1984Q3 139 5541.30 1723 3 1723 3313.5 5541.3 1950Q4 4 1753.90 1967Q4 72 3338.30 1984Q4 140 5583.10 1753.9 4 1753.9 3338.3 5583.1 1951Q1 5 1773.50 1968Q1 73 3406.20 1985Q1 141 5629.70 1773.5 5 1773.5 3406.2 5629.7 1951Q2 6 1803.70 1968Q2 74 3464.80 1985Q2 142 5673.80 1803.7 6 1803.7 3464.8 5673.8 1951Q3 7 1839.80 1968Q3 75 3489.20 1985Q3 143 5758.60 1839.8 7 1839.8 3489.2 5758.6 1951Q4 8 1843.30 1968Q4 76 3504.10 1985Q4 144 5806.00 1843.3 8 1843.3 3504.1 5806 1952Q1 9 1864.70 1969Q1 77 3558.30 1986Q1 145 5858.90 1864.7 9 1864.7 3558.3 5858.9 1952Q2 10 1866.20 1969Q2 78 3567.60 1986Q2 146 5883.30 1866.2 10 1866.2 3567.6 5883.3 1952Q3 11 1878.00 1969Q3 79 3588.30 1986Q3 147 5937.90 1878 11 1878 3588.3 5937.9 1952Q4 12 1940.20 1969Q4 80 3571.40 1986Q4 148 5969.50 1940.2 12 1940.2 3571.4 5969.5 1953Q1 13 1976.00 1970Q1 81 3566.50 1987Q1 149 6013.30 1976 13 1976 3566.5 6013.3 1953Q2 14 1992.20 1970Q2 82 3573.90 1987Q2 150 6077.20 1992.2 14 1992.2 3573.9 6077.2 1953Q3 15 1979.50 1970Q3 83 3605.20 1987Q3 151 6128.10 1979.5 15 1979.5 3605.2 6128.1 1953Q4 16 1947.80 1970Q4 84 3566.50 1987Q4 152 6234.40 1947.8 16 1947.8 3566.5 6234.4 1954Q1 17 1938.10 1971Q1 85 3666.10 1988Q1 153 6275.90 1938.1 17 1938.1 3666.1 6275.9 1954Q2 18 1941.00 1971Q2 86 3686.20 1988Q2 154 6349.80 1941 18 1941 3686.2 6349.8 1954Q3 19 1962.00 1971Q3 87 3714.50 1988Q3 155 6382.30 1962 19 1962 3714.5 6382.3 1954Q4 20 2000.90 1971Q4 88 3723.80 1988Q4 156 6465.20 2000.9 20 2000.9 3723.8 6465.2 1955Q1 21 2058.10 1972Q1 89 3796.90 1989Q1 157 6543.80 2058.1 21 2058.1 3796.9 6543.8 1955Q2 22 2091.00 1972Q2 90 3883.80 1989Q2 158 6579.40 2091 22 2091 3883.8 6579.4 1955Q3 23 2118.90 1972Q3 91 3922.30 1989Q3 159 6610.60 2118.9 23 2118.9 3922.3 6610.6 1955Q4 24 2130.10 1972Q4 92 3990.50 1989Q4 160 6633.50 2130.1 24 2130.1 3990.5 6633.5 1956Q1 25 2121.00 1973Q1 93 4092.30 1990Q1 161 6716.30 2121 25 2121 4092.3 6716.3 1956Q2 26 2137.70 1973Q2 94 4133.30 1990Q2 162 6731.70 2137.7 26 2137.7 4133.3 6731.7 1956Q3 27 2135.30 1973Q3 95 4117.00 1990Q3 163 6719.40 2135.3 27 2135.3 4117 6719.4 1956Q4 28 2170.40 1973Q4 96 4151.10 1990Q4 164 6664.20 2170.4 28 2170.4 4151.1 6664.2 1957Q1 29 2182.70 1974Q1 97 4119.30 1991Q1 165 6631.40 2182.7 29 2182.7 4119.3 6631.4 1957Q2 30 2177.70 1974Q2 98 4130.40 1991Q2 166 6668.50 2177.7 30 2177.7 4130.4 6668.5 1957Q3 31 2198.90 1974Q3 99 4084.50 1991Q3 167 6684.90 2198.9 31 2198.9 4084.5 6684.9 1957Q4 32 2176.00 1974Q4 100 4062.00 1991Q4 168 6720.90 2176 32 2176 4062 6720.9 1958Q1 33 2117.40 1975Q1 101 4010.00 1992Q1 169 6783.30 2117.4 33 2117.4 4010 6783.3 1958Q2 34 2129.70 1975Q2 102 4045.20 1992Q2 170 6846.80 2129.7 34 2129.7 4045.2 6846.8 1958Q3 35 2177.50 1975Q3 103 4115.40 1992Q3 171 6899.70 2177.5 35 2177.5 4115.4 6899.7 1958Q4 36 2226.50 1975Q4 104 4167.20 1992Q4 172 6990.60 2226.5 36 2226.5 4167.2 6990.6 1959Q1 37 2273.00 1976Q1 105 4266.10 1993Q1 173 6988.70 2273 37 2273 4266.1 6988.7 1959Q2 38 2332.40 1976Q2 106 4301.50 1993Q2 174 7031.20 2332.4 38 2332.4 4301.5 7031.2 1959Q3 39 2331.40 1976Q3 107 4321.90 1993Q3 175 7062.00 2331.4 39 2331.4 4321.9 7062 1959Q4 40 2339.10 1976Q4 108 4357.40 1993Q4 176 7168.70 2339.1 40 2339.1 4357.4 7168.7 1960Q1 41 2391.00 1977Q1 109 4410.50 1994Q1 177 7229.40 2391 41 2391 4410.5 7229.4 1960Q2 42 2379.20 1977Q2 110 4489.80 1994Q2 178 7330.20 2379.2 42 2379.2 4489.8 7330.2 1960Q3 43 2383.60 1977Q3 111 4570.60 1994Q3 179 7370.20 2383.6 43 2383.6 4570.6 7370.2 1960Q4 44 2352.90 1977Q4 112 4576.10 1994Q4 180 7461.10 2352.9 44 2352.9 4576.1 7461.1 1961Q1 45 2366.50 1978Q1 113 4588.90 1995Q1 181 7488.70 2366.5 45 2366.5 4588.9 7488.7 1961Q2 46 2410.80 1978Q2 114 4765.70 1995Q2 182 7503.30 2410.8 46 2410.8 4765.7 7503.3 1961Q3 47 2450.40 1978Q3 115 4811.70 1995Q3 183 7561.40 2450.4 47 2450.4 4811.7 7561.4 1961Q4 48 2500.40 1978Q4 116 4876.00 1995Q4 184 7621.90 2500.4 48 2500.4 4876 7621.9 1962Q1 49 2544.00 1979Q1 117 4888.30 1996Q1 185 7676.40 2544 49 2544 4888.3 7676.4 1962Q2 50 2571.50 1979Q2 118 4891.40 1996Q2 186 7802.90 2571.5 50 2571.5 4891.4 7802.9 1962Q3 51 2596.80 1979Q3 119 4926.20 1996Q3 187 7841.90 2596.8 51 2596.8 4926.2 7841.9 1962Q4 52 2603.30 1979Q4 120 4942.60 1996Q4 188 7931.30 2603.3 52 2603.3 4942.6 7931.3 1963Q1 53 2634.10 1980Q1 121 4958.90 1997Q1 189 8016.40 2634.1 53 2634.1 4958.9 8016.4 1963Q2 54 2668.40 1980Q2 122 4857.80 1997Q2 190 8131.90 2668.4 54 2668.4 4857.8 8131.9 1963Q3 55 2719.60 1980Q3 123 4850.30 1997Q3 191 8216.60 2719.6 55 2719.6 4850.3 8216.6 1963Q4 56 2739.40 1980Q4 124 4936.60 1997Q4 192 8272.90 2739.4 56 2739.4 4936.6 8272.9 1964Q1 57 2800.50 1981Q1 125 5032.50 1998Q1 193 8396.30 2800.5 57 2800.5 5032.5 8396.3 1964Q2 58 2833.80 1981Q2 126 4997.30 1998Q2 194 8442.90 2833.8 58 2833.8 4997.3 8442.9 1964Q3 59 2872.00 1981Q3 127 5056.80 1998Q3 195 8528.50 2872 59 2872 5056.8 8528.5 1964Q4 60 2879.50 1981Q4 128 4997.10 1998Q4 196 8667.90 2879.5 60 2879.5 4997.1 8667.9 1965Q1 61 2950.10 1982Q1 129 4914.30 1999Q1 197 8733.50 2950.1 61 2950.1 4914.3 8733.5 1965Q2 62 2989.90 1982Q2 130 4935.50 1999Q2 198 8771.20 2989.9 62 2989.9 4935.5 8771.2 1965Q3 63 3050.70 1982Q3 131 4912.10 1999Q3 199 8871.50 3050.7 63 3050.7 4912.1 8871.5 1965Q4 64 3123.60 1982Q4 132 4915.60 1999Q4 200 9049.90 3123.6 64 3123.6 4915.6 9049.9 1966Q1 65 3201.10 1983Q1 133 4972.40 2000Q1 201 9102.50 3201.1 65 3201.1 4972.4 9102.5 1966Q2 66 3213.20 1983Q2 134 5089.80 2000Q2 202 9229.40 3213.2 66 3213.2 5089.8 9229.4 1966Q3 67 3233.60 1983Q3 135 5180.40 2000Q3 203 9260.10 3233.6 67 3233.6 5180.4 9260.1 1966Q4 68 3261.80 1983Q4 136 5286.80 2000Q4 204 9303.90 3261.8 68 3261.8 5286.8 9303.9 dílčí součty: 157639.60 289186.00 483954.10 3291.8 69 3289.7 70 3313.5 71 parametr beta = 1.480603802 1.0057880 = b1 3338.3 72 parametr alfa = 0.024914282 3277.3841 = b0 3406.2 73 parametr gama = 273710.6935 -1706.9278 = b2 3464.8 74 3489.2 75 3504.1 76 3558.3 77 3567.6 78 3588.3 79 3571.4 80 3566.5 81 3573.9 82 3605.2 83 3566.5 84 3666.1 85 3686.2 86 3714.5 87 3723.8 88 3796.9 89 3883.8 90 3922.3 91 3990.5 92 4092.3 93 4133.3 94 4117 95 4151.1 96 4119.3 97 4130.4 98 4084.5 99 4062 100 4010 101 4045.2 102 4115.4 103 4167.2 104 4266.1 105 4301.5 106 4321.9 107 4357.4 108 4410.5 109 4489.8 110 4570.6 111 4576.1 112 4588.9 113 4765.7 114 4811.7 115 4876 116 4888.3 117 4891.4 118 4926.2 119 4942.6 120 4958.9 121 4857.8 122 4850.3 123 4936.6 124 5032.5 125 4997.3 126 5056.8 127 4997.1 128 4914.3 129 4935.5 130 4912.1 131 4915.6 132 4972.4 133 5089.8 134 5180.4 135 5286.8 136 5402.3 137 5493.8 138 5541.3 139 5583.1 140 5629.7 141 5673.8 142 5758.6 143 5806 144 5858.9 145 5883.3 146 5937.9 147 5969.5 148 6013.3 149 6077.2 150 6128.1 151 6234.4 152 6275.9 153 6349.8 154 6382.3 155 6465.2 156 6543.8 157 6579.4 158 6610.6 159 6633.5 160 6716.3 161 6731.7 162 6719.4 163 6664.2 164 6631.4 165 6668.5 166 6684.9 167 6720.9 168 6783.3 169 6846.8 170 6899.7 171 6990.6 172 6988.7 173 7031.2 174 7062 175 7168.7 176 7229.4 177 7330.2 178 7370.2 179 7461.1 180 7488.7 181 7503.3 182 7561.4 183 7621.9 184 7676.4 185 7802.9 186 7841.9 187 7931.3 188 8016.4 189 8131.9 190 8216.6 191 8272.9 192 8396.3 193 8442.9 194 8528.5 195 8667.9 196 8733.5 197 8771.2 198 8871.5 199 9049.9 200 9102.5 201 9229.4 202 9260.1 203 9303.9 204 ##### Sheet/List 10 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí realGDP vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 APE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1589.426 21.074 21.074 444.12 0.013 0.013 2593710.25 2526274.37 1950Q2 2 1658.8 1608.505 50.295 50.295 2529.58 0.030 0.031 2751617.44 2587288.64 1950Q3 3 1723 1627.695 95.305 95.305 9083.08 0.055 0.057 2968729.00 2649390.43 1950Q4 4 1753.9 1646.996 106.904 106.904 11428.55 0.061 0.063 3076165.21 2712594.56 1951Q1 5 1773.5 1666.408 107.092 107.092 11468.67 0.060 0.062 3145302.25 2776916.04 1951Q2 6 1803.7 1685.933 117.767 117.767 13869.07 0.065 0.067 3253333.69 2842370.05 1951Q3 7 1839.8 1705.571 134.229 134.229 18017.46 0.073 0.076 3384864.04 2908971.99 1951Q4 8 1843.3 1725.322 117.978 117.978 13918.71 0.064 0.066 3397754.89 2976737.43 1952Q1 9 1864.7 1745.188 119.512 119.512 14283.05 0.064 0.066 3477106.09 3045682.12 1952Q2 10 1866.2 1765.169 101.031 101.031 10207.24 0.054 0.056 3482702.44 3115822.04 1952Q3 11 1878 1785.266 92.734 92.734 8599.66 0.049 0.051 3526884.00 3187173.34 1952Q4 12 1940.2 1805.478 134.722 134.722 18149.90 0.069 0.072 3764376.04 3259752.39 1953Q1 13 1976 1825.808 150.192 150.192 22557.56 0.076 0.079 3904576.00 3333575.75 1953Q2 14 1992.2 1846.256 145.944 145.944 21299.73 0.073 0.076 3968860.84 3408660.19 1953Q3 15 1979.5 1866.822 112.678 112.678 12696.43 0.057 0.059 3918420.25 3485022.69 1953Q4 16 1947.8 1887.506 60.294 60.294 3635.32 0.031 0.031 3793924.84 3562680.44 1954Q1 17 1938.1 1908.311 29.789 29.789 887.38 0.015 0.015 3756231.61 3641650.85 1954Q2 18 1941 1929.236 11.764 11.764 138.39 0.006 0.006 3767481.00 3721951.53 1954Q3 19 1962 1950.282 11.718 11.718 137.31 0.006 0.006 3849444.00 3803600.32 1954Q4 20 2000.9 1971.450 29.450 29.450 867.30 0.015 0.015 4003600.81 3886615.27 1955Q1 21 2058.1 1992.740 65.360 65.360 4271.87 0.032 0.032 4235775.61 3971014.67 1955Q2 22 2091 2014.154 76.846 76.846 5905.28 0.037 0.037 4372281.00 4056817.04 1955Q3 23 2118.9 2035.692 83.208 83.208 6923.61 0.039 0.040 4489737.21 4144041.09 1955Q4 24 2130.1 2057.354 72.746 72.746 5291.97 0.034 0.035 4537326.01 4232705.80 1956Q1 25 2121 2079.142 41.858 41.858 1752.11 0.020 0.020 4498641.00 4322830.38 1956Q2 26 2137.7 2101.056 36.644 36.644 1342.82 0.017 0.017 4569761.29 4414434.27 1956Q3 27 2135.3 2123.096 12.204 12.204 148.93 0.006 0.006 4559506.09 4507537.13 1956Q4 28 2170.4 2145.264 25.136 25.136 631.80 0.012 0.012 4710636.16 4602158.91 1957Q1 29 2182.7 2167.561 15.139 15.139 229.20 0.007 0.007 4764179.29 4698319.76 1957Q2 30 2177.7 2189.986 -12.286 12.286 150.95 0.006 0.006 4742377.29 4796040.11 1957Q3 31 2198.9 2212.542 -13.642 13.642 186.10 0.006 0.006 4835161.21 4895340.62 1957Q4 32 2176 2235.228 -59.228 59.228 3507.90 0.027 0.027 4734976.00 4996242.22 1958Q1 33 2117.4 2258.045 -140.645 140.645 19780.95 0.066 0.064 4483382.76 5098766.09 1958Q2 34 2129.7 2280.994 -151.294 151.294 22889.88 0.071 0.069 4535622.09 5202933.68 1958Q3 35 2177.5 2304.076 -126.576 126.576 16021.51 0.058 0.056 4741506.25 5308766.68 1958Q4 36 2226.5 2327.292 -100.792 100.792 10158.99 0.045 0.044 4957302.25 5416287.09 1959Q1 37 2273 2350.642 -77.642 77.642 6028.26 0.034 0.034 5166529.00 5525517.13 1959Q2 38 2332.4 2374.127 -41.727 41.727 1741.15 0.018 0.018 5440089.76 5636479.34 1959Q3 39 2331.4 2397.748 -66.348 66.348 4402.09 0.028 0.028 5435425.96 5749196.50 1959Q4 40 2339.1 2421.506 -82.406 82.406 6790.76 0.035 0.035 5471388.81 5863691.69 1960Q1 41 2391 2445.401 -54.401 54.401 2959.52 0.023 0.022 5716881.00 5979988.27 1960Q2 42 2379.2 2469.435 -90.235 90.235 8142.38 0.038 0.037 5660592.64 6098109.89 1960Q3 43 2383.6 2493.608 -110.008 110.008 12101.74 0.046 0.045 5681548.96 6218080.48 1960Q4 44 2352.9 2517.921 -165.021 165.021 27231.81 0.070 0.068 5536138.41 6339924.28 1961Q1 45 2366.5 2542.374 -175.874 175.874 30931.68 0.074 0.072 5600322.25 6463665.80 1961Q2 46 2410.8 2566.969 -156.169 156.169 24388.76 0.065 0.063 5811956.64 6589329.88 1961Q3 47 2450.4 2591.706 -141.306 141.306 19967.48 0.058 0.056 6004460.16 6716941.66 1961Q4 48 2500.4 2616.587 -116.187 116.187 13499.38 0.046 0.045 6252000.16 6846526.57 1962Q1 49 2544 2641.611 -97.611 97.611 9527.97 0.038 0.038 6471936.00 6978110.36 1962Q2 50 2571.5 2666.781 -95.281 95.281 9078.40 0.037 0.036 6612612.25 7111719.11 1962Q3 51 2596.8 2692.096 -95.296 95.296 9081.27 0.037 0.036 6743370.24 7247379.19 1962Q4 52 2603.3 2717.557 -114.257 114.257 13054.72 0.044 0.043 6777170.89 7385117.33 1963Q1 53 2634.1 2743.166 -109.066 109.066 11895.43 0.041 0.041 6938482.81 7524960.56 1963Q2 54 2668.4 2768.923 -100.523 100.523 10104.93 0.038 0.037 7120358.56 7666936.24 1963Q3 55 2719.6 2794.830 -75.230 75.230 5659.48 0.028 0.027 7396224.16 7811072.08 1963Q4 56 2739.4 2820.886 -81.486 81.486 6639.92 0.030 0.029 7504312.36 7957396.11 1964Q1 57 2800.5 2847.093 -46.593 46.593 2170.88 0.017 0.017 7842800.25 8105936.74 1964Q2 58 2833.8 2873.451 -39.651 39.651 1572.23 0.014 0.014 8030422.44 8256722.67 1964Q3 59 2872 2899.963 -27.963 27.963 781.91 0.010 0.010 8248384.00 8409783.00 1964Q4 60 2879.5 2926.627 -47.127 47.127 2220.98 0.016 0.016 8291520.25 8565147.17 1965Q1 61 2950.1 2953.446 -3.346 3.346 11.20 0.001 0.001 8703090.01 8722844.96 1965Q2 62 2989.9 2980.421 9.479 9.479 89.86 0.003 0.003 8939502.01 8882906.53 1965Q3 63 3050.7 3007.551 43.149 43.149 1861.84 0.014 0.014 9306770.49 9045362.43 1965Q4 64 3123.6 3034.838 88.762 88.762 7878.64 0.028 0.029 9756876.96 9210243.54 1966Q1 65 3201.1 3062.284 138.816 138.816 19269.98 0.043 0.044 10247041.21 9377581.13 1966Q2 66 3213.2 3089.888 123.312 123.312 15205.89 0.038 0.039 10324654.24 9547406.88 1966Q3 67 3233.6 3117.652 115.948 115.948 13443.98 0.036 0.037 10456168.96 9719752.82 1966Q4 68 3261.8 3145.576 116.224 116.224 13507.91 0.036 0.036 10639339.24 9894651.38 1967Q1 69 3291.8 3173.663 118.137 118.137 13956.40 0.036 0.037 10835947.24 10072135.40 1967Q2 70 3289.7 3201.912 87.788 87.788 7706.80 0.027 0.027 10822126.09 10252238.10 1967Q3 71 3313.5 3230.324 83.176 83.176 6918.25 0.025 0.025 10979282.25 10434993.11 1967Q4 72 3338.3 3258.901 79.399 79.399 6304.23 0.024 0.024 11144246.89 10620434.47 1968Q1 73 3406.2 3287.643 118.557 118.557 14055.76 0.035 0.035 11602198.44 10808596.65 1968Q2 74 3464.8 3316.552 148.248 148.248 21977.59 0.043 0.044 12004839.04 10999514.51 1968Q3 75 3489.2 3345.627 143.573 143.573 20613.06 0.041 0.042 12174516.64 11193223.36 1968Q4 76 3504.1 3374.872 129.228 129.228 16699.96 0.037 0.038 12278716.81 11389758.91 1969Q1 77 3558.3 3404.285 154.015 154.015 23720.58 0.043 0.044 12661498.89 11589157.34 1969Q2 78 3567.6 3433.869 133.731 133.731 17884.02 0.037 0.038 12727769.76 11791455.24 1969Q3 79 3588.3 3463.624 124.676 124.676 15544.16 0.035 0.035 12875896.89 11996689.66 1969Q4 80 3571.4 3493.551 77.849 77.849 6060.48 0.022 0.022 12754897.96 12204898.08 1970Q1 81 3566.5 3523.651 42.849 42.849 1836.01 0.012 0.012 12719922.25 12416118.47 1970Q2 82 3573.9 3553.926 19.974 19.974 398.97 0.006 0.006 12772761.21 12630389.23 1970Q3 83 3605.2 3584.376 20.824 20.824 433.65 0.006 0.006 12997467.04 12847749.24 1970Q4 84 3566.5 3615.002 -48.502 48.502 2352.42 0.014 0.014 12719922.25 13068237.84 1971Q1 85 3666.1 3645.805 20.295 20.295 411.88 0.006 0.006 13440289.21 13291894.86 1971Q2 86 3686.2 3676.787 9.413 9.413 88.61 0.003 0.003 13588070.44 13518760.60 1971Q3 87 3714.5 3707.948 6.552 6.552 42.93 0.002 0.002 13797510.25 13748875.87 1971Q4 88 3723.8 3739.289 -15.489 15.489 239.91 0.004 0.004 13866686.44 13982281.94 1972Q1 89 3796.9 3770.812 26.088 26.088 680.60 0.007 0.007 14416449.61 14219020.61 1972Q2 90 3883.8 3802.517 81.283 81.283 6606.96 0.021 0.021 15083902.44 14459134.17 1972Q3 91 3922.3 3834.405 87.895 87.895 7725.45 0.022 0.023 15384437.29 14702665.43 1972Q4 92 3990.5 3866.479 124.021 124.021 15381.28 0.031 0.032 15924090.25 14949657.71 1973Q1 93 4092.3 3898.738 193.562 193.562 37466.40 0.047 0.048 16746919.29 15200154.87 1973Q2 94 4133.3 3931.183 202.117 202.117 40851.20 0.049 0.050 17084168.89 15454201.28 1973Q3 95 4117 3963.817 153.183 153.183 23465.16 0.037 0.038 16949689.00 15711841.86 1973Q4 96 4151.1 3996.639 154.461 154.461 23858.25 0.037 0.038 17231631.21 15973122.06 1974Q1 97 4119.3 4029.651 89.649 89.649 8036.93 0.022 0.022 16968632.49 16238087.90 1974Q2 98 4130.4 4062.854 67.546 67.546 4562.41 0.016 0.016 17060204.16 16506785.94 1974Q3 99 4084.5 4096.250 -11.750 11.750 138.06 0.003 0.003 16683140.25 16779263.31 1974Q4 100 4062 4129.839 -67.839 67.839 4602.09 0.017 0.017 16499844.00 17055567.69 1975Q1 101 4010 4163.622 -153.622 153.622 23599.69 0.038 0.038 16080100.00 17335747.37 1975Q2 102 4045.2 4197.601 -152.401 152.401 23225.96 0.038 0.037 16363643.04 17619851.19 1975Q3 103 4115.4 4231.776 -116.376 116.376 13543.39 0.028 0.028 16936517.16 17907928.60 1975Q4 104 4167.2 4266.149 -98.949 98.949 9790.96 0.024 0.023 17365555.84 18200029.64 1976Q1 105 4266.1 4300.721 -34.621 34.621 1198.64 0.008 0.008 18199609.21 18496204.95 1976Q2 106 4301.5 4335.494 -33.994 33.994 1155.57 0.008 0.008 18502902.25 18796505.79 1976Q3 107 4321.9 4370.467 -48.567 48.567 2358.78 0.011 0.011 18678819.61 19100984.02 1976Q4 108 4357.4 4405.643 -48.243 48.243 2327.41 0.011 0.011 18986934.76 19409692.16 1977Q1 109 4410.5 4441.023 -30.523 30.523 931.64 0.007 0.007 19452510.25 19722683.32 1977Q2 110 4489.8 4476.607 13.193 13.193 174.05 0.003 0.003 20158304.04 20040011.27 1977Q3 111 4570.6 4512.397 58.203 58.203 3387.54 0.013 0.013 20890384.36 20361730.44 1977Q4 112 4576.1 4548.395 27.705 27.705 767.57 0.006 0.006 20940691.21 20687895.90 1978Q1 113 4588.9 4584.601 4.299 4.299 18.48 0.001 0.001 21058003.21 21018563.38 1978Q2 114 4765.7 4621.016 144.684 144.684 20933.45 0.030 0.031 22711896.49 21353789.29 1978Q3 115 4811.7 4657.642 154.058 154.058 23733.81 0.032 0.033 23152456.89 21693630.72 1978Q4 116 4876 4694.480 181.520 181.520 32949.40 0.037 0.038 23775376.00 22038145.43 1979Q1 117 4888.3 4731.532 156.768 156.768 24576.31 0.032 0.033 23895476.89 22387391.90 1979Q2 118 4891.4 4768.797 122.603 122.603 15031.38 0.025 0.025 23925793.96 22741429.30 1979Q3 119 4926.2 4806.279 119.921 119.921 14381.05 0.024 0.025 24267446.44 23100317.50 1979Q4 120 4942.6 4843.977 98.623 98.623 9726.42 0.020 0.020 24429294.76 23464117.12 1980Q1 121 4958.9 4881.894 77.006 77.006 5929.92 0.016 0.016 24590689.21 23832889.48 1980Q2 122 4857.8 4920.030 -62.230 62.230 3872.59 0.013 0.013 23598220.84 24206696.65 1980Q3 123 4850.3 4958.387 -108.087 108.087 11682.80 0.022 0.022 23525410.09 24585601.44 1980Q4 124 4936.6 4996.966 -60.366 60.366 3644.03 0.012 0.012 24370019.56 24969667.43 1981Q1 125 5032.5 5035.768 -3.268 3.268 10.68 0.001 0.001 25326056.25 25358958.93 1981Q2 126 4997.3 5074.795 -77.495 77.495 6005.43 0.016 0.015 24973007.29 25753541.06 1981Q3 127 5056.8 5114.047 -57.247 57.247 3277.25 0.011 0.011 25571226.24 26153479.70 1981Q4 128 4997.1 5153.527 -156.427 156.427 24469.44 0.031 0.031 24971008.41 26558841.52 1982Q1 129 4914.3 5193.235 -278.935 278.935 77804.96 0.057 0.055 24150344.49 26969694.00 1982Q2 130 4935.5 5233.174 -297.674 297.674 88609.54 0.060 0.059 24359160.25 27386105.43 1982Q3 131 4912.1 5273.343 -361.243 361.243 130496.40 0.074 0.071 24128726.41 27808144.91 1982Q4 132 4915.6 5313.745 -398.145 398.145 158519.17 0.081 0.078 24163123.36 28235882.37 1983Q1 133 4972.4 5354.380 -381.980 381.980 145908.96 0.077 0.074 24724761.76 28669388.59 1983Q2 134 5089.8 5395.251 -305.451 305.451 93300.42 0.060 0.058 25906064.04 29108735.18 1983Q3 135 5180.4 5436.359 -255.959 255.959 65514.80 0.049 0.048 26836544.16 29553994.62 1983Q4 136 5286.8 5477.704 -190.904 190.904 36444.31 0.036 0.035 27950254.24 30005240.27 1984Q1 137 5402.3 5519.289 -116.989 116.989 13686.33 0.022 0.021 29184845.29 30462546.33 1984Q2 138 5493.8 5561.114 -67.314 67.314 4531.16 0.012 0.012 30181838.44 30925987.94 1984Q3 139 5541.3 5603.181 -61.881 61.881 3829.30 0.011 0.011 30706005.69 31395641.10 1984Q4 140 5583.1 5645.492 -62.392 62.392 3892.79 0.011 0.011 31171005.61 31871582.73 1985Q1 141 5629.7 5688.048 -58.348 58.348 3404.50 0.010 0.010 31693522.09 32353890.69 1985Q2 142 5673.8 5730.850 -57.050 57.050 3254.72 0.010 0.010 32192006.44 32842643.74 1985Q3 143 5758.6 5773.900 -15.300 15.300 234.09 0.003 0.003 33161473.96 33337921.62 1985Q4 144 5806 5817.199 -11.199 11.199 125.42 0.002 0.002 33709636.00 33839804.98 1986Q1 145 5858.9 5860.749 -1.849 1.849 3.42 0.000 0.000 34326709.21 34348375.48 1986Q2 146 5883.3 5904.550 -21.250 21.250 451.58 0.004 0.004 34613218.89 34863715.72 1986Q3 147 5937.9 5948.606 -10.706 10.706 114.61 0.002 0.002 35258656.41 35385909.31 1986Q4 148 5969.5 5992.916 -23.416 23.416 548.30 0.004 0.004 35634930.25 35915040.84 1987Q1 149 6013.3 6037.483 -24.183 24.183 584.80 0.004 0.004 36159776.89 36451195.95 1987Q2 150 6077.2 6082.307 -5.107 5.107 26.08 0.001 0.001 36932359.84 36994461.25 1987Q3 151 6128.1 6127.391 0.709 0.709 0.50 0.000 0.000 37553609.61 37544924.43 1987Q4 152 6234.4 6172.736 61.664 61.664 3802.40 0.010 0.010 38867743.36 38102674.20 1988Q1 153 6275.9 6218.344 57.556 57.556 3312.71 0.009 0.009 39386920.81 38667800.34 1988Q2 154 6349.8 6264.215 85.585 85.585 7324.74 0.013 0.014 40319960.04 39240393.71 1988Q3 155 6382.3 6310.352 71.948 71.948 5176.47 0.011 0.011 40733753.29 39820546.24 1988Q4 156 6465.2 6356.756 108.444 108.444 11760.03 0.017 0.017 41798811.04 40408350.97 1989Q1 157 6543.8 6403.429 140.371 140.371 19704.04 0.021 0.022 42821318.44 41003902.04 1989Q2 158 6579.4 6450.372 129.028 129.028 16648.31 0.020 0.020 43288504.36 41607294.72 1989Q3 159 6610.6 6497.586 113.014 113.014 12772.14 0.017 0.017 43700032.36 42218625.42 1989Q4 160 6633.5 6545.074 88.426 88.426 7819.18 0.013 0.013 44003322.25 42837991.69 1990Q1 161 6716.3 6592.836 123.464 123.464 15243.25 0.018 0.019 45108685.69 43465492.25 1990Q2 162 6731.7 6640.875 90.825 90.825 8249.10 0.013 0.014 45315784.89 44101227.01 1990Q3 163 6719.4 6689.193 30.207 30.207 912.49 0.004 0.005 45150336.36 44745297.04 1990Q4 164 6664.2 6737.789 -73.589 73.589 5415.39 0.011 0.011 44411561.64 45397804.65 1991Q1 165 6631.4 6786.667 -155.267 155.267 24107.94 0.023 0.023 43975465.96 46058853.34 1991Q2 166 6668.5 6835.828 -167.328 167.328 27998.74 0.025 0.025 44468892.25 46728547.88 1991Q3 167 6684.9 6885.274 -200.374 200.374 40149.63 0.030 0.030 44687888.01 47406994.24 1991Q4 168 6720.9 6935.005 -214.105 214.105 45841.12 0.032 0.031 45170496.81 48094299.69 1992Q1 169 6783.3 6985.025 -201.725 201.725 40692.93 0.030 0.029 46013158.89 48790572.78 1992Q2 170 6846.8 7035.334 -188.534 188.534 35545.04 0.028 0.027 46878670.24 49495923.32 1992Q3 171 6899.7 7085.934 -186.234 186.234 34683.15 0.027 0.027 47605860.09 50210462.46 1992Q4 172 6990.6 7136.827 -146.227 146.227 21382.40 0.021 0.021 48868488.36 50934302.66 1993Q1 173 6988.7 7188.015 -199.315 199.315 39726.42 0.029 0.028 48841927.69 51667557.72 1993Q2 174 7031.2 7239.499 -208.299 208.299 43388.39 0.030 0.029 49437773.44 52410342.80 1993Q3 175 7062 7291.281 -229.281 229.281 52569.64 0.032 0.032 49871844.00 53162774.42 1993Q4 176 7168.7 7343.362 -174.662 174.662 30506.93 0.024 0.024 51390259.69 53924970.49 1994Q1 177 7229.4 7395.745 -166.345 166.345 27670.80 0.023 0.023 52264224.36 54697050.35 1994Q2 178 7330.2 7448.432 -118.232 118.232 13978.73 0.016 0.016 53731832.04 55479134.71 1994Q3 179 7370.2 7501.423 -131.223 131.223 17219.45 0.018 0.018 54319848.04 56271345.75 1994Q4 180 7461.1 7554.721 -93.621 93.621 8764.86 0.013 0.012 55668013.21 57073807.11 1995Q1 181 7488.7 7608.327 -119.627 119.627 14310.68 0.016 0.016 56080627.69 57886643.87 1995Q2 182 7503.3 7662.244 -158.944 158.944 25263.18 0.021 0.021 56299510.89 58709982.63 1995Q3 183 7561.4 7716.473 -155.073 155.073 24047.55 0.021 0.020 57174769.96 59543951.46 1995Q4 184 7621.9 7771.015 -149.115 149.115 22235.40 0.020 0.019 58093359.61 60388679.98 1996Q1 185 7676.4 7825.874 -149.474 149.474 22342.39 0.019 0.019 58927116.96 61244299.35 1996Q2 186 7802.9 7881.050 -78.150 78.150 6107.35 0.010 0.010 60885248.41 62110942.27 1996Q3 187 7841.9 7936.545 -94.645 94.645 8957.63 0.012 0.012 61495395.61 62988743.04 1996Q4 188 7931.3 7992.361 -61.061 61.061 3728.47 0.008 0.008 62905519.69 63877837.54 1997Q1 189 8016.4 8048.501 -32.101 32.101 1030.45 0.004 0.004 64262668.96 64778363.26 1997Q2 190 8131.9 8104.965 26.935 26.935 725.49 0.003 0.003 66127797.61 65690459.33 1997Q3 191 8216.6 8161.756 54.844 54.844 3007.83 0.007 0.007 67512515.56 66614266.55 1997Q4 192 8272.9 8218.876 54.024 54.024 2918.56 0.007 0.007 68440874.41 67549927.37 1998Q1 193 8396.3 8276.327 119.973 119.973 14393.56 0.014 0.014 70497853.69 68497585.93 1998Q2 194 8442.9 8334.110 108.790 108.790 11835.28 0.013 0.013 71282560.41 69457388.09 1998Q3 195 8528.5 8392.227 136.273 136.273 18570.21 0.016 0.016 72735312.25 70429481.44 1998Q4 196 8667.9 8450.681 217.219 217.219 47183.94 0.025 0.025 75132490.41 71414015.32 1999Q1 197 8733.5 8509.474 224.026 224.026 50187.83 0.026 0.026 76274022.25 72411140.85 1999Q2 198 8771.2 8568.606 202.594 202.594 41044.28 0.023 0.023 76933949.44 73421010.93 1999Q3 199 8871.5 8628.081 243.419 243.419 59252.85 0.027 0.028 78703512.25 74443780.29 1999Q4 200 9049.9 8687.900 362.000 362.000 131044.04 0.040 0.041 81900690.01 75479605.48 2000Q1 201 9102.5 8748.065 354.435 354.435 125624.02 0.039 0.040 82855506.25 76528644.91 2000Q2 202 9229.4 8808.579 420.821 420.821 177090.56 0.046 0.047 85181824.36 77591058.87 2000Q3 203 9260.1 8869.442 390.658 390.658 152613.31 0.042 0.043 85749452.01 78667009.56 2000Q4 204 9303.9 8930.658 373.242 373.242 139309.22 0.040 0.041 86562555.21 79756661.09 sumace 930779.7 930778.2702 1.4298 22123.505 3794455.56 5.4580 5.463401581 5153991741 5152325326 (SE) SAE SSE 0.00701 108.449 18600.272 2.675 2.678 ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE 136.383 parametr beta = 1.4806038 1.0057880 = b1 RMSE THEILovoU 0.01357 parametr alfa = 0.0249143 3277.3841 = b0 parametr gama = 273710.6935 -1706.9278 = b2 ##### Sheet/List 11 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí rec.hodnota čtvrtletí pořadí rec.hodnota čtvrtletí pořadí rec.hodnota realGDP hodnota hodnota hodnota realGDP pořadí 1950Q1 1 0.000621 1967Q1 69 0.000304 1984Q1 137 0.000185 1610.5 1610.5 3291.8 5402.3 1610.5 1 1950Q2 2 0.000603 1967Q2 70 0.000304 1984Q2 138 0.000182 1658.8 1658.8 3289.7 5493.8 1658.8 2 1950Q3 3 0.000580 1967Q3 71 0.000302 1984Q3 139 0.000180 1723 1723 3313.5 5541.3 1723 3 1950Q4 4 0.000570 1967Q4 72 0.000300 1984Q4 140 0.000179 1753.9 1753.9 3338.3 5583.1 1753.9 4 1951Q1 5 0.000564 1968Q1 73 0.000294 1985Q1 141 0.000178 1773.5 1773.5 3406.2 5629.7 1773.5 5 1951Q2 6 0.000554 1968Q2 74 0.000289 1985Q2 142 0.000176 1803.7 1803.7 3464.8 5673.8 1803.7 6 1951Q3 7 0.000544 1968Q3 75 0.000287 1985Q3 143 0.000174 1839.8 1839.8 3489.2 5758.6 1839.8 7 1951Q4 8 0.000543 1968Q4 76 0.000285 1985Q4 144 0.000172 1843.3 1843.3 3504.1 5806 1843.3 8 1952Q1 9 0.000536 1969Q1 77 0.000281 1986Q1 145 0.000171 1864.7 1864.7 3558.3 5858.9 1864.7 9 1952Q2 10 0.000536 1969Q2 78 0.000280 1986Q2 146 0.000170 1866.2 1866.2 3567.6 5883.3 1866.2 10 1952Q3 11 0.000532 1969Q3 79 0.000279 1986Q3 147 0.000168 1878 1878 3588.3 5937.9 1878 11 1952Q4 12 0.000515 1969Q4 80 0.000280 1986Q4 148 0.000168 1940.2 1940.2 3571.4 5969.5 1940.2 12 1953Q1 13 0.000506 1970Q1 81 0.000280 1987Q1 149 0.000166 1976 1976 3566.5 6013.3 1976 13 1953Q2 14 0.000502 1970Q2 82 0.000280 1987Q2 150 0.000165 1992.2 1992.2 3573.9 6077.2 1992.2 14 1953Q3 15 0.000505 1970Q3 83 0.000277 1987Q3 151 0.000163 1979.5 1979.5 3605.2 6128.1 1979.5 15 1953Q4 16 0.000513 1970Q4 84 0.000280 1987Q4 152 0.000160 1947.8 1947.8 3566.5 6234.4 1947.8 16 1954Q1 17 0.000516 1971Q1 85 0.000273 1988Q1 153 0.000159 1938.1 1938.1 3666.1 6275.9 1938.1 17 1954Q2 18 0.000515 1971Q2 86 0.000271 1988Q2 154 0.000157 1941 1941 3686.2 6349.8 1941 18 1954Q3 19 0.000510 1971Q3 87 0.000269 1988Q3 155 0.000157 1962 1962 3714.5 6382.3 1962 19 1954Q4 20 0.000500 1971Q4 88 0.000269 1988Q4 156 0.000155 2000.9 2000.9 3723.8 6465.2 2000.9 20 1955Q1 21 0.000486 1972Q1 89 0.000263 1989Q1 157 0.000153 2058.1 2058.1 3796.9 6543.8 2058.1 21 1955Q2 22 0.000478 1972Q2 90 0.000257 1989Q2 158 0.000152 2091 2091 3883.8 6579.4 2091 22 1955Q3 23 0.000472 1972Q3 91 0.000255 1989Q3 159 0.000151 2118.9 2118.9 3922.3 6610.6 2118.9 23 1955Q4 24 0.000469 1972Q4 92 0.000251 1989Q4 160 0.000151 2130.1 2130.1 3990.5 6633.5 2130.1 24 1956Q1 25 0.000471 1973Q1 93 0.000244 1990Q1 161 0.000149 2121 2121 4092.3 6716.3 2121 25 1956Q2 26 0.000468 1973Q2 94 0.000242 1990Q2 162 0.000149 2137.7 2137.7 4133.3 6731.7 2137.7 26 1956Q3 27 0.000468 1973Q3 95 0.000243 1990Q3 163 0.000149 2135.3 2135.3 4117 6719.4 2135.3 27 1956Q4 28 0.000461 1973Q4 96 0.000241 1990Q4 164 0.000150 2170.4 2170.4 4151.1 6664.2 2170.4 28 1957Q1 29 0.000458 1974Q1 97 0.000243 1991Q1 165 0.000151 2182.7 2182.7 4119.3 6631.4 2182.7 29 1957Q2 30 0.000459 1974Q2 98 0.000242 1991Q2 166 0.000150 2177.7 2177.7 4130.4 6668.5 2177.7 30 1957Q3 31 0.000455 1974Q3 99 0.000245 1991Q3 167 0.000150 2198.9 2198.9 4084.5 6684.9 2198.9 31 1957Q4 32 0.000460 1974Q4 100 0.000246 1991Q4 168 0.000149 2176 2176 4062 6720.9 2176 32 1958Q1 33 0.000472 1975Q1 101 0.000249 1992Q1 169 0.000147 2117.4 2117.4 4010 6783.3 2117.4 33 1958Q2 34 0.000470 1975Q2 102 0.000247 1992Q2 170 0.000146 2129.7 2129.7 4045.2 6846.8 2129.7 34 1958Q3 35 0.000459 1975Q3 103 0.000243 1992Q3 171 0.000145 2177.5 2177.5 4115.4 6899.7 2177.5 35 1958Q4 36 0.000449 1975Q4 104 0.000240 1992Q4 172 0.000143 2226.5 2226.5 4167.2 6990.6 2226.5 36 1959Q1 37 0.000440 1976Q1 105 0.000234 1993Q1 173 0.000143 2273 2273 4266.1 6988.7 2273 37 1959Q2 38 0.000429 1976Q2 106 0.000232 1993Q2 174 0.000142 2332.4 2332.4 4301.5 7031.2 2332.4 38 1959Q3 39 0.000429 1976Q3 107 0.000231 1993Q3 175 0.000142 2331.4 2331.4 4321.9 7062 2331.4 39 1959Q4 40 0.000428 1976Q4 108 0.000229 1993Q4 176 0.000139 2339.1 2339.1 4357.4 7168.7 2339.1 40 1960Q1 41 0.000418 1977Q1 109 0.000227 1994Q1 177 0.000138 2391 2391 4410.5 7229.4 2391 41 1960Q2 42 0.000420 1977Q2 110 0.000223 1994Q2 178 0.000136 2379.2 2379.2 4489.8 7330.2 2379.2 42 1960Q3 43 0.000420 1977Q3 111 0.000219 1994Q3 179 0.000136 2383.6 2383.6 4570.6 7370.2 2383.6 43 1960Q4 44 0.000425 1977Q4 112 0.000219 1994Q4 180 0.000134 2352.9 2352.9 4576.1 7461.1 2352.9 44 1961Q1 45 0.000423 1978Q1 113 0.000218 1995Q1 181 0.000134 2366.5 2366.5 4588.9 7488.7 2366.5 45 1961Q2 46 0.000415 1978Q2 114 0.000210 1995Q2 182 0.000133 2410.8 2410.8 4765.7 7503.3 2410.8 46 1961Q3 47 0.000408 1978Q3 115 0.000208 1995Q3 183 0.000132 2450.4 2450.4 4811.7 7561.4 2450.4 47 1961Q4 48 0.000400 1978Q4 116 0.000205 1995Q4 184 0.000131 2500.4 2500.4 4876 7621.9 2500.4 48 1962Q1 49 0.000393 1979Q1 117 0.000205 1996Q1 185 0.000130 2544 2544 4888.3 7676.4 2544 49 1962Q2 50 0.000389 1979Q2 118 0.000204 1996Q2 186 0.000128 2571.5 2571.5 4891.4 7802.9 2571.5 50 1962Q3 51 0.000385 1979Q3 119 0.000203 1996Q3 187 0.000128 2596.8 2596.8 4926.2 7841.9 2596.8 51 1962Q4 52 0.000384 1979Q4 120 0.000202 1996Q4 188 0.000126 2603.3 2603.3 4942.6 7931.3 2603.3 52 1963Q1 53 0.000380 1980Q1 121 0.000202 1997Q1 189 0.000125 2634.1 2634.1 4958.9 8016.4 2634.1 53 1963Q2 54 0.000375 1980Q2 122 0.000206 1997Q2 190 0.000123 2668.4 2668.4 4857.8 8131.9 2668.4 54 1963Q3 55 0.000368 1980Q3 123 0.000206 1997Q3 191 0.000122 2719.6 2719.6 4850.3 8216.6 2719.6 55 1963Q4 56 0.000365 1980Q4 124 0.000203 1997Q4 192 0.000121 2739.4 2739.4 4936.6 8272.9 2739.4 56 1964Q1 57 0.000357 1981Q1 125 0.000199 1998Q1 193 0.000119 2800.5 2800.5 5032.5 8396.3 2800.5 57 1964Q2 58 0.000353 1981Q2 126 0.000200 1998Q2 194 0.000118 2833.8 2833.8 4997.3 8442.9 2833.8 58 1964Q3 59 0.000348 1981Q3 127 0.000198 1998Q3 195 0.000117 2872 2872 5056.8 8528.5 2872 59 1964Q4 60 0.000347 1981Q4 128 0.000200 1998Q4 196 0.000115 2879.5 2879.5 4997.1 8667.9 2879.5 60 1965Q1 61 0.000339 1982Q1 129 0.000203 1999Q1 197 0.000115 2950.1 2950.1 4914.3 8733.5 2950.1 61 1965Q2 62 0.000334 1982Q2 130 0.000203 1999Q2 198 0.000114 2989.9 2989.9 4935.5 8771.2 2989.9 62 1965Q3 63 0.000328 1982Q3 131 0.000204 1999Q3 199 0.000113 3050.7 3050.7 4912.1 8871.5 3050.7 63 1965Q4 64 0.000320 1982Q4 132 0.000203 1999Q4 200 0.000110 3123.6 3123.6 4915.6 9049.9 3123.6 64 1966Q1 65 0.000312 1983Q1 133 0.000201 2000Q1 201 0.000110 3201.1 3201.1 4972.4 9102.5 3201.1 65 1966Q2 66 0.000311 1983Q2 134 0.000196 2000Q2 202 0.000108 3213.2 3213.2 5089.8 9229.4 3213.2 66 1966Q3 67 0.000309 1983Q3 135 0.000193 2000Q3 203 0.000108 3233.6 3233.6 5180.4 9260.1 3233.6 67 1966Q4 68 0.000307 1983Q4 136 0.000189 2000Q4 204 0.000107 3261.8 3261.8 5286.8 9303.9 3261.8 68 dílčí součty: 0.030280 0.016310 0.009768 3291.8 3291.8 69 3289.7 3289.7 70 3313.5 3313.5 71 parametr beta = 0.468300094 0.9889054 = b1 3338.3 3338.3 72 parametr alfa = -0.039684594 0.0005544 = b0 3406.2 3406.2 73 parametr gama = 0.026273203 0.0000589 = b2 3464.8 3464.8 74 3489.2 3489.2 75 3504.1 3504.1 76 3558.3 3558.3 77 3567.6 3567.6 78 3588.3 3588.3 79 3571.4 3571.4 80 3566.5 3566.5 81 3573.9 3573.9 82 3605.2 3605.2 83 3566.5 3566.5 84 3666.1 3666.1 85 3686.2 3686.2 86 3714.5 3714.5 87 3723.8 3723.8 88 3796.9 3796.9 89 3883.8 3883.8 90 3922.3 3922.3 91 3990.5 3990.5 92 4092.3 4092.3 93 4133.3 4133.3 94 4117 4117 95 4151.1 4151.1 96 4119.3 4119.3 97 4130.4 4130.4 98 4084.5 4084.5 99 4062 4062 100 4010 4010 101 4045.2 4045.2 102 4115.4 4115.4 103 4167.2 4167.2 104 4266.1 4266.1 105 4301.5 4301.5 106 4321.9 4321.9 107 4357.4 4357.4 108 4410.5 4410.5 109 4489.8 4489.8 110 4570.6 4570.6 111 4576.1 4576.1 112 4588.9 4588.9 113 4765.7 4765.7 114 4811.7 4811.7 115 4876 4876 116 4888.3 4888.3 117 4891.4 4891.4 118 4926.2 4926.2 119 4942.6 4942.6 120 4958.9 4958.9 121 4857.8 4857.8 122 4850.3 4850.3 123 4936.6 4936.6 124 5032.5 5032.5 125 4997.3 4997.3 126 5056.8 5056.8 127 4997.1 4997.1 128 4914.3 4914.3 129 4935.5 4935.5 130 4912.1 4912.1 131 4915.6 4915.6 132 4972.4 4972.4 133 5089.8 5089.8 134 5180.4 5180.4 135 5286.8 5286.8 136 5402.3 5402.3 137 5493.8 5493.8 138 5541.3 5541.3 139 5583.1 5583.1 140 5629.7 5629.7 141 5673.8 5673.8 142 5758.6 5758.6 143 5806 5806 144 5858.9 5858.9 145 5883.3 5883.3 146 5937.9 5937.9 147 5969.5 5969.5 148 6013.3 6013.3 149 6077.2 6077.2 150 6128.1 6128.1 151 6234.4 6234.4 152 6275.9 6275.9 153 6349.8 6349.8 154 6382.3 6382.3 155 6465.2 6465.2 156 6543.8 6543.8 157 6579.4 6579.4 158 6610.6 6610.6 159 6633.5 6633.5 160 6716.3 6716.3 161 6731.7 6731.7 162 6719.4 6719.4 163 6664.2 6664.2 164 6631.4 6631.4 165 6668.5 6668.5 166 6684.9 6684.9 167 6720.9 6720.9 168 6783.3 6783.3 169 6846.8 6846.8 170 6899.7 6899.7 171 6990.6 6990.6 172 6988.7 6988.7 173 7031.2 7031.2 174 7062 7062 175 7168.7 7168.7 176 7229.4 7229.4 177 7330.2 7330.2 178 7370.2 7370.2 179 7461.1 7461.1 180 7488.7 7488.7 181 7503.3 7503.3 182 7561.4 7561.4 183 7621.9 7621.9 184 7676.4 7676.4 185 7802.9 7802.9 186 7841.9 7841.9 187 7931.3 7931.3 188 8016.4 8016.4 189 8131.9 8131.9 190 8216.6 8216.6 191 8272.9 8272.9 192 8396.3 8396.3 193 8442.9 8442.9 194 8528.5 8528.5 195 8667.9 8667.9 196 8733.5 8733.5 197 8771.2 8771.2 198 8871.5 8871.5 199 9049.9 9049.9 200 9102.5 9102.5 201 9229.4 9229.4 202 9260.1 9260.1 203 9303.9 9303.9 204 ##### Sheet/List 12 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí hodnota čtvrtletí pořadí hodnota čtvrtletí pořadí hodnota realGDP hodnota hodnota hodnota realGDP pořadí 1950Q1 1 7.3843 1967Q1 69 8.0992 1984Q1 137 8.5946 1610.5 1610.5 3291.8 5402.3 1610.5 1 1950Q2 2 7.4138 1967Q2 70 8.0986 1984Q2 138 8.6114 1658.8 1658.8 3289.7 5493.8 1658.8 2 1950Q3 3 7.4518 1967Q3 71 8.1058 1984Q3 139 8.6200 1723 1723 3313.5 5541.3 1723 3 1950Q4 4 7.4696 1967Q4 72 8.1132 1984Q4 140 8.6275 1753.9 1753.9 3338.3 5583.1 1753.9 4 1951Q1 5 7.4807 1968Q1 73 8.1334 1985Q1 141 8.6358 1773.5 1773.5 3406.2 5629.7 1773.5 5 1951Q2 6 7.4976 1968Q2 74 8.1504 1985Q2 142 8.6436 1803.7 1803.7 3464.8 5673.8 1803.7 6 1951Q3 7 7.5174 1968Q3 75 8.1574 1985Q3 143 8.6584 1839.8 1839.8 3489.2 5758.6 1839.8 7 1951Q4 8 7.5193 1968Q4 76 8.1617 1985Q4 144 8.6666 1843.3 1843.3 3504.1 5806 1843.3 8 1952Q1 9 7.5309 1969Q1 77 8.1770 1986Q1 145 8.6757 1864.7 1864.7 3558.3 5858.9 1864.7 9 1952Q2 10 7.5317 1969Q2 78 8.1796 1986Q2 146 8.6799 1866.2 1866.2 3567.6 5883.3 1866.2 10 1952Q3 11 7.5380 1969Q3 79 8.1854 1986Q3 147 8.6891 1878 1878 3588.3 5937.9 1878 11 1952Q4 12 7.5705 1969Q4 80 8.1807 1986Q4 148 8.6944 1940.2 1940.2 3571.4 5969.5 1940.2 12 1953Q1 13 7.5888 1970Q1 81 8.1793 1987Q1 149 8.7017 1976 1976 3566.5 6013.3 1976 13 1953Q2 14 7.5970 1970Q2 82 8.1814 1987Q2 150 8.7123 1992.2 1992.2 3573.9 6077.2 1992.2 14 1953Q3 15 7.5906 1970Q3 83 8.1901 1987Q3 151 8.7206 1979.5 1979.5 3605.2 6128.1 1979.5 15 1953Q4 16 7.5745 1970Q4 84 8.1793 1987Q4 152 8.7378 1947.8 1947.8 3566.5 6234.4 1947.8 16 1954Q1 17 7.5695 1971Q1 85 8.2069 1988Q1 153 8.7445 1938.1 1938.1 3666.1 6275.9 1938.1 17 1954Q2 18 7.5710 1971Q2 86 8.2124 1988Q2 154 8.7562 1941 1941 3686.2 6349.8 1941 18 1954Q3 19 7.5817 1971Q3 87 8.2200 1988Q3 155 8.7613 1962 1962 3714.5 6382.3 1962 19 1954Q4 20 7.6014 1971Q4 88 8.2225 1988Q4 156 8.7742 2000.9 2000.9 3723.8 6465.2 2000.9 20 1955Q1 21 7.6295 1972Q1 89 8.2419 1989Q1 157 8.7863 2058.1 2058.1 3796.9 6543.8 2058.1 21 1955Q2 22 7.6454 1972Q2 90 8.2646 1989Q2 158 8.7917 2091 2091 3883.8 6579.4 2091 22 1955Q3 23 7.6587 1972Q3 91 8.2744 1989Q3 159 8.7964 2118.9 2118.9 3922.3 6610.6 2118.9 23 1955Q4 24 7.6639 1972Q4 92 8.2917 1989Q4 160 8.7999 2130.1 2130.1 3990.5 6633.5 2130.1 24 1956Q1 25 7.6596 1973Q1 93 8.3169 1990Q1 161 8.8123 2121 2121 4092.3 6716.3 2121 25 1956Q2 26 7.6675 1973Q2 94 8.3268 1990Q2 162 8.8146 2137.7 2137.7 4133.3 6731.7 2137.7 26 1956Q3 27 7.6664 1973Q3 95 8.3229 1990Q3 163 8.8128 2135.3 2135.3 4117 6719.4 2135.3 27 1956Q4 28 7.6827 1973Q4 96 8.3311 1990Q4 164 8.8045 2170.4 2170.4 4151.1 6664.2 2170.4 28 1957Q1 29 7.6883 1974Q1 97 8.3234 1991Q1 165 8.7996 2182.7 2182.7 4119.3 6631.4 2182.7 29 1957Q2 30 7.6860 1974Q2 98 8.3261 1991Q2 166 8.8052 2177.7 2177.7 4130.4 6668.5 2177.7 30 1957Q3 31 7.6957 1974Q3 99 8.3150 1991Q3 167 8.8076 2198.9 2198.9 4084.5 6684.9 2198.9 31 1957Q4 32 7.6852 1974Q4 100 8.3094 1991Q4 168 8.8130 2176 2176 4062 6720.9 2176 32 1958Q1 33 7.6579 1975Q1 101 8.2965 1992Q1 169 8.8222 2117.4 2117.4 4010 6783.3 2117.4 33 1958Q2 34 7.6637 1975Q2 102 8.3053 1992Q2 170 8.8315 2129.7 2129.7 4045.2 6846.8 2129.7 34 1958Q3 35 7.6859 1975Q3 103 8.3225 1992Q3 171 8.8392 2177.5 2177.5 4115.4 6899.7 2177.5 35 1958Q4 36 7.7082 1975Q4 104 8.3350 1992Q4 172 8.8523 2226.5 2226.5 4167.2 6990.6 2226.5 36 1959Q1 37 7.7289 1976Q1 105 8.3585 1993Q1 173 8.8520 2273 2273 4266.1 6988.7 2273 37 1959Q2 38 7.7547 1976Q2 106 8.3667 1993Q2 174 8.8581 2332.4 2332.4 4301.5 7031.2 2332.4 38 1959Q3 39 7.7542 1976Q3 107 8.3715 1993Q3 175 8.8625 2331.4 2331.4 4321.9 7062 2331.4 39 1959Q4 40 7.7575 1976Q4 108 8.3796 1993Q4 176 8.8775 2339.1 2339.1 4357.4 7168.7 2339.1 40 1960Q1 41 7.7795 1977Q1 109 8.3917 1994Q1 177 8.8859 2391 2391 4410.5 7229.4 2391 41 1960Q2 42 7.7745 1977Q2 110 8.4096 1994Q2 178 8.8998 2379.2 2379.2 4489.8 7330.2 2379.2 42 1960Q3 43 7.7764 1977Q3 111 8.4274 1994Q3 179 8.9052 2383.6 2383.6 4570.6 7370.2 2383.6 43 1960Q4 44 7.7634 1977Q4 112 8.4286 1994Q4 180 8.9175 2352.9 2352.9 4576.1 7461.1 2352.9 44 1961Q1 45 7.7692 1978Q1 113 8.4314 1995Q1 181 8.9212 2366.5 2366.5 4588.9 7488.7 2366.5 45 1961Q2 46 7.7877 1978Q2 114 8.4692 1995Q2 182 8.9231 2410.8 2410.8 4765.7 7503.3 2410.8 46 1961Q3 47 7.8040 1978Q3 115 8.4788 1995Q3 183 8.9308 2450.4 2450.4 4811.7 7561.4 2450.4 47 1961Q4 48 7.8242 1978Q4 116 8.4921 1995Q4 184 8.9388 2500.4 2500.4 4876 7621.9 2500.4 48 1962Q1 49 7.8415 1979Q1 117 8.4946 1996Q1 185 8.9459 2544 2544 4888.3 7676.4 2544 49 1962Q2 50 7.8522 1979Q2 118 8.4952 1996Q2 186 8.9623 2571.5 2571.5 4891.4 7802.9 2571.5 50 1962Q3 51 7.8620 1979Q3 119 8.5023 1996Q3 187 8.9672 2596.8 2596.8 4926.2 7841.9 2596.8 51 1962Q4 52 7.8645 1979Q4 120 8.5056 1996Q4 188 8.9786 2603.3 2603.3 4942.6 7931.3 2603.3 52 1963Q1 53 7.8763 1980Q1 121 8.5089 1997Q1 189 8.9892 2634.1 2634.1 4958.9 8016.4 2634.1 53 1963Q2 54 7.8892 1980Q2 122 8.4883 1997Q2 190 9.0035 2668.4 2668.4 4857.8 8131.9 2668.4 54 1963Q3 55 7.9082 1980Q3 123 8.4868 1997Q3 191 9.0139 2719.6 2719.6 4850.3 8216.6 2719.6 55 1963Q4 56 7.9155 1980Q4 124 8.5044 1997Q4 192 9.0207 2739.4 2739.4 4936.6 8272.9 2739.4 56 1964Q1 57 7.9376 1981Q1 125 8.5237 1998Q1 193 9.0355 2800.5 2800.5 5032.5 8396.3 2800.5 57 1964Q2 58 7.9494 1981Q2 126 8.5167 1998Q2 194 9.0411 2833.8 2833.8 4997.3 8442.9 2833.8 58 1964Q3 59 7.9628 1981Q3 127 8.5285 1998Q3 195 9.0512 2872 2872 5056.8 8528.5 2872 59 1964Q4 60 7.9654 1981Q4 128 8.5166 1998Q4 196 9.0674 2879.5 2879.5 4997.1 8667.9 2879.5 60 1965Q1 61 7.9896 1982Q1 129 8.4999 1999Q1 197 9.0749 2950.1 2950.1 4914.3 8733.5 2950.1 61 1965Q2 62 8.0030 1982Q2 130 8.5042 1999Q2 198 9.0792 2989.9 2989.9 4935.5 8771.2 2989.9 62 1965Q3 63 8.0231 1982Q3 131 8.4995 1999Q3 199 9.0906 3050.7 3050.7 4912.1 8871.5 3050.7 63 1965Q4 64 8.0467 1982Q4 132 8.5002 1999Q4 200 9.1105 3123.6 3123.6 4915.6 9049.9 3123.6 64 1966Q1 65 8.0712 1983Q1 133 8.5117 2000Q1 201 9.1163 3201.1 3201.1 4972.4 9102.5 3201.1 65 1966Q2 66 8.0750 1983Q2 134 8.5350 2000Q2 202 9.1301 3213.2 3213.2 5089.8 9229.4 3213.2 66 1966Q3 67 8.0814 1983Q3 135 8.5526 2000Q3 203 9.1335 3233.6 3233.6 5180.4 9260.1 3233.6 67 1966Q4 68 8.0900 1983Q4 136 8.5730 2000Q4 204 9.1382 3261.8 3261.8 5286.8 9303.9 3261.8 68 dílčí součty: 525.8036 567.4908 602.4170 3291.8 3291.8 69 3289.7 3289.7 70 3313.5 3313.5 71 parametr beta = 0.837817999 0.9974011 = b1 3338.3 3338.3 72 parametr alfa = -0.09906319 -4.129661 = b0 3406.2 3406.2 73 parametr gama = -257.039275 11.512396 = b2 3464.8 3464.8 74 3489.2 3489.2 75 3504.1 3504.1 76 3558.3 3558.3 77 3567.6 3567.6 78 3588.3 3588.3 79 3571.4 3571.4 80 3566.5 3566.5 81 3573.9 3573.9 82 3605.2 3605.2 83 3566.5 3566.5 84 3666.1 3666.1 85 3686.2 3686.2 86 3714.5 3714.5 87 3723.8 3723.8 88 3796.9 3796.9 89 3883.8 3883.8 90 3922.3 3922.3 91 3990.5 3990.5 92 4092.3 4092.3 93 4133.3 4133.3 94 4117 4117 95 4151.1 4151.1 96 4119.3 4119.3 97 4130.4 4130.4 98 4084.5 4084.5 99 4062 4062 100 4010 4010 101 4045.2 4045.2 102 4115.4 4115.4 103 4167.2 4167.2 104 4266.1 4266.1 105 4301.5 4301.5 106 4321.9 4321.9 107 4357.4 4357.4 108 4410.5 4410.5 109 4489.8 4489.8 110 4570.6 4570.6 111 4576.1 4576.1 112 4588.9 4588.9 113 4765.7 4765.7 114 4811.7 4811.7 115 4876 4876 116 4888.3 4888.3 117 4891.4 4891.4 118 4926.2 4926.2 119 4942.6 4942.6 120 4958.9 4958.9 121 4857.8 4857.8 122 4850.3 4850.3 123 4936.6 4936.6 124 5032.5 5032.5 125 4997.3 4997.3 126 5056.8 5056.8 127 4997.1 4997.1 128 4914.3 4914.3 129 4935.5 4935.5 130 4912.1 4912.1 131 4915.6 4915.6 132 4972.4 4972.4 133 5089.8 5089.8 134 5180.4 5180.4 135 5286.8 5286.8 136 5402.3 5402.3 137 5493.8 5493.8 138 5541.3 5541.3 139 5583.1 5583.1 140 5629.7 5629.7 141 5673.8 5673.8 142 5758.6 5758.6 143 5806 5806 144 5858.9 5858.9 145 5883.3 5883.3 146 5937.9 5937.9 147 5969.5 5969.5 148 6013.3 6013.3 149 6077.2 6077.2 150 6128.1 6128.1 151 6234.4 6234.4 152 6275.9 6275.9 153 6349.8 6349.8 154 6382.3 6382.3 155 6465.2 6465.2 156 6543.8 6543.8 157 6579.4 6579.4 158 6610.6 6610.6 159 6633.5 6633.5 160 6716.3 6716.3 161 6731.7 6731.7 162 6719.4 6719.4 163 6664.2 6664.2 164 6631.4 6631.4 165 6668.5 6668.5 166 6684.9 6684.9 167 6720.9 6720.9 168 6783.3 6783.3 169 6846.8 6846.8 170 6899.7 6899.7 171 6990.6 6990.6 172 6988.7 6988.7 173 7031.2 7031.2 174 7062 7062 175 7168.7 7168.7 176 7229.4 7229.4 177 7330.2 7330.2 178 7370.2 7370.2 179 7461.1 7461.1 180 7488.7 7488.7 181 7503.3 7503.3 182 7561.4 7561.4 183 7621.9 7621.9 184 7676.4 7676.4 185 7802.9 7802.9 186 7841.9 7841.9 187 7931.3 7931.3 188 8016.4 8016.4 189 8131.9 8131.9 190 8216.6 8216.6 191 8272.9 8272.9 192 8396.3 8396.3 193 8442.9 8442.9 194 8528.5 8528.5 195 8667.9 8667.9 196 8733.5 8733.5 197 8771.2 8771.2 198 8871.5 8871.5 199 9049.9 9049.9 200 9102.5 9102.5 201 9229.4 9229.4 202 9260.1 9260.1 203 9303.9 9303.9 204 ##### Sheet/List 13 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí realGDP vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 APE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1647.042 -36.542 36.542 1335.30 0.023 2593710.25 2712746.50 1950Q2 2 1658.8 1663.709 -4.909 4.909 24.10 0.003 0.003 2751617.44 2767928.60 1950Q3 3 1723 1680.527 42.473 42.473 1803.95 0.025 0.025 2968729.00 2824171.05 1950Q4 4 1753.9 1697.496 56.404 56.404 3181.42 0.032 0.033 3076165.21 2881492.34 1951Q1 5 1773.5 1714.617 58.883 58.883 3467.22 0.033 0.034 3145302.25 2939911.20 1951Q2 6 1803.7 1731.891 71.809 71.809 5156.52 0.040 0.041 3253333.69 2999446.64 1951Q3 7 1839.8 1749.319 90.481 90.481 8186.76 0.049 0.050 3384864.04 3060117.94 1951Q4 8 1843.3 1766.903 76.397 76.397 5836.57 0.041 0.042 3397754.89 3121944.64 1952Q1 9 1864.7 1784.642 80.058 80.058 6409.31 0.043 0.044 3477106.09 3184946.56 1952Q2 10 1866.2 1802.538 63.662 63.662 4052.83 0.034 0.035 3482702.44 3249143.79 1952Q3 11 1878 1820.592 57.408 57.408 3295.63 0.031 0.031 3526884.00 3314556.71 1952Q4 12 1940.2 1838.806 101.394 101.394 10280.83 0.052 0.054 3764376.04 3381205.96 1953Q1 13 1976 1857.179 118.821 118.821 14118.52 0.060 0.062 3904576.00 3449112.48 1953Q2 14 1992.2 1875.713 116.487 116.487 13569.33 0.058 0.060 3968860.84 3518297.47 1953Q3 15 1979.5 1894.408 85.092 85.092 7240.61 0.043 0.044 3918420.25 3588782.43 1953Q4 16 1947.8 1913.267 34.533 34.533 1192.55 0.018 0.018 3793924.84 3660589.13 1954Q1 17 1938.1 1932.289 5.811 5.811 33.77 0.003 0.003 3756231.61 3733739.65 1954Q2 18 1941 1951.475 -10.475 10.475 109.73 0.005 0.005 3767481.00 3808256.34 1954Q3 19 1962 1970.828 -8.828 8.828 77.93 0.004 0.004 3849444.00 3884161.84 1954Q4 20 2000.9 1990.346 10.554 10.554 111.38 0.005 0.005 4003600.81 3961479.09 1955Q1 21 2058.1 2010.033 48.067 48.067 2310.47 0.023 0.024 4235775.61 4040231.30 1955Q2 22 2091 2029.887 61.113 61.113 3734.78 0.029 0.030 4372281.00 4120442.01 1955Q3 23 2118.9 2049.911 68.989 68.989 4759.48 0.033 0.033 4489737.21 4202135.03 1955Q4 24 2130.1 2070.105 59.995 59.995 3599.41 0.028 0.029 4537326.01 4285334.45 1956Q1 25 2121 2090.470 30.530 30.530 932.08 0.014 0.014 4498641.00 4370064.70 1956Q2 26 2137.7 2111.007 26.693 26.693 712.52 0.012 0.013 4569761.29 4456350.47 1956Q3 27 2135.3 2131.717 3.583 3.583 12.84 0.002 0.002 4559506.09 4544216.76 1956Q4 28 2170.4 2152.600 17.800 17.800 316.82 0.008 0.008 4710636.16 4633688.86 1957Q1 29 2182.7 2173.659 9.041 9.041 81.74 0.004 0.004 4764179.29 4724792.39 1957Q2 30 2177.7 2194.893 -17.193 17.193 295.58 0.008 0.008 4742377.29 4817553.22 1957Q3 31 2198.9 2216.303 -17.403 17.403 302.85 0.008 0.008 4835161.21 4911997.56 1957Q4 32 2176 2237.890 -61.890 61.890 3830.38 0.028 0.028 4734976.00 5008151.90 1958Q1 33 2117.4 2259.656 -142.256 142.256 20236.63 0.067 0.065 4483382.76 5106043.04 1958Q2 34 2129.7 2281.600 -151.900 151.900 23073.58 0.071 0.069 4535622.09 5205698.06 1958Q3 35 2177.5 2303.724 -126.224 126.224 15932.50 0.058 0.056 4741506.25 5307144.38 1958Q4 36 2226.5 2326.029 -99.529 99.529 9905.97 0.045 0.044 4957302.25 5410409.67 1959Q1 37 2273 2348.515 -75.515 75.515 5702.49 0.033 0.033 5166529.00 5515521.94 1959Q2 38 2332.4 2371.183 -38.783 38.783 1504.13 0.017 0.016 5440089.76 5622509.48 1959Q3 39 2331.4 2394.034 -62.634 62.634 3923.07 0.027 0.027 5435425.96 5731400.86 1959Q4 40 2339.1 2417.070 -77.970 77.970 6079.24 0.033 0.033 5471388.81 5842224.99 1960Q1 41 2391 2440.289 -49.289 49.289 2429.42 0.021 0.020 5716881.00 5955011.05 1960Q2 42 2379.2 2463.694 -84.494 84.494 7139.25 0.036 0.035 5660592.64 6069788.50 1960Q3 43 2383.6 2487.285 -103.685 103.685 10750.60 0.043 0.043 5681548.96 6186587.13 1960Q4 44 2352.9 2511.063 -158.163 158.163 25015.51 0.067 0.065 5536138.41 6305437.00 1961Q1 45 2366.5 2535.028 -168.528 168.528 28401.79 0.071 0.069 5600322.25 6426368.47 1961Q2 46 2410.8 2559.182 -148.382 148.382 22017.20 0.062 0.060 5811956.64 6549412.17 1961Q3 47 2450.4 2583.525 -133.125 133.125 17722.14 0.054 0.053 6004460.16 6674599.04 1961Q4 48 2500.4 2608.057 -107.657 107.657 11589.99 0.043 0.042 6252000.16 6801960.30 1962Q1 49 2544 2632.779 -88.779 88.779 7881.78 0.035 0.034 6471936.00 6931527.45 1962Q2 50 2571.5 2657.693 -86.193 86.193 7429.24 0.034 0.033 6612612.25 7063332.26 1962Q3 51 2596.8 2682.798 -85.998 85.998 7395.71 0.033 0.033 6743370.24 7197406.82 1962Q4 52 2603.3 2708.096 -104.796 104.796 10982.18 0.040 0.039 6777170.89 7333783.43 1963Q1 53 2634.1 2733.586 -99.486 99.486 9897.55 0.038 0.037 6938482.81 7472494.73 1963Q2 54 2668.4 2759.270 -90.870 90.870 8257.44 0.034 0.033 7120358.56 7613573.57 1963Q3 55 2719.6 2785.149 -65.549 65.549 4296.63 0.024 0.024 7396224.16 7757053.12 1963Q4 56 2739.4 2811.222 -71.822 71.822 5158.34 0.026 0.026 7504312.36 7902966.78 1964Q1 57 2800.5 2837.490 -36.990 36.990 1368.24 0.013 0.013 7842800.25 8051348.20 1964Q2 58 2833.8 2863.954 -30.154 30.154 909.25 0.011 0.011 8030422.44 8202231.33 1964Q3 59 2872 2890.614 -18.614 18.614 346.49 0.006 0.006 8248384.00 8355650.32 1964Q4 60 2879.5 2917.471 -37.971 37.971 1441.83 0.013 0.013 8291520.25 8511639.61 1965Q1 61 2950.1 2944.526 5.574 5.574 31.07 0.002 0.002 8703090.01 8670233.86 1965Q2 62 2989.9 2971.779 18.121 18.121 328.39 0.006 0.006 8939502.01 8831467.96 1965Q3 63 3050.7 2999.229 51.471 51.471 2649.22 0.017 0.017 9306770.49 8995377.06 1965Q4 64 3123.6 3026.879 96.721 96.721 9354.95 0.031 0.031 9756876.96 9161996.51 1966Q1 65 3201.1 3054.728 146.372 146.372 21424.82 0.046 0.047 10247041.21 9331361.91 1966Q2 66 3213.2 3082.776 130.424 130.424 17010.37 0.041 0.041 10324654.24 9503509.05 1966Q3 67 3233.6 3111.025 122.575 122.575 15024.73 0.038 0.039 10456168.96 9678473.96 1966Q4 68 3261.8 3139.473 122.327 122.327 14963.81 0.038 0.038 10639339.24 9856292.83 1967Q1 69 3291.8 3168.123 123.677 123.677 15296.05 0.038 0.038 10835947.24 10037002.11 1967Q2 70 3289.7 3196.973 92.727 92.727 8598.24 0.028 0.029 10822126.09 10220638.40 1967Q3 71 3313.5 3226.025 87.475 87.475 7651.84 0.026 0.027 10979282.25 10407238.48 1967Q4 72 3338.3 3255.279 83.021 83.021 6892.54 0.025 0.025 11144246.89 10596839.35 1968Q1 73 3406.2 3284.734 121.466 121.466 14753.96 0.036 0.036 11602198.44 10789478.14 1968Q2 74 3464.8 3314.392 150.408 150.408 22622.66 0.043 0.044 12004839.04 10985192.17 1968Q3 75 3489.2 3344.252 144.948 144.948 21010.03 0.042 0.042 12174516.64 11184018.91 1968Q4 76 3504.1 3374.314 129.786 129.786 16844.37 0.037 0.038 12278716.81 11385995.96 1969Q1 77 3558.3 3404.579 153.721 153.721 23630.01 0.043 0.044 12661498.89 11591161.09 1969Q2 78 3567.6 3435.048 132.552 132.552 17570.13 0.037 0.038 12727769.76 11799552.18 1969Q3 79 3588.3 3465.719 122.581 122.581 15026.13 0.034 0.035 12875896.89 12011207.25 1969Q4 80 3571.4 3496.593 74.807 74.807 5596.05 0.021 0.021 12754897.96 12226164.42 1970Q1 81 3566.5 3527.671 38.829 38.829 1507.70 0.011 0.011 12719922.25 12444461.91 1970Q2 82 3573.9 3558.952 14.948 14.948 223.45 0.004 0.004 12772761.21 12666138.06 1970Q3 83 3605.2 3590.436 14.764 14.764 217.97 0.004 0.004 12997467.04 12891231.28 1970Q4 84 3566.5 3622.124 -55.624 55.624 3094.00 0.016 0.015 12719922.25 13119780.05 1971Q1 85 3666.1 3654.015 12.085 12.085 146.06 0.003 0.003 13440289.21 13351822.93 1971Q2 86 3686.2 3686.109 0.091 0.091 0.01 0.000 0.000 13588070.44 13587398.52 1971Q3 87 3714.5 3718.406 -3.906 3.906 15.26 0.001 0.001 13797510.25 13826545.48 1971Q4 88 3723.8 3750.907 -27.107 27.107 734.78 0.007 0.007 13866686.44 14069302.49 1972Q1 89 3796.9 3783.610 13.290 13.290 176.61 0.004 0.004 14416449.61 14315708.26 1972Q2 90 3883.8 3816.517 67.283 67.283 4527.01 0.017 0.017 15083902.44 14565801.50 1972Q3 91 3922.3 3849.626 72.674 72.674 5281.50 0.019 0.019 15384437.29 14819620.95 1972Q4 92 3990.5 3882.938 107.562 107.562 11569.65 0.027 0.027 15924090.25 15077205.29 1973Q1 93 4092.3 3916.452 175.848 175.848 30922.66 0.043 0.044 16746919.29 15338593.21 1973Q2 94 4133.3 3950.168 183.132 183.132 33537.51 0.044 0.045 17084168.89 15603823.35 1973Q3 95 4117 3984.085 132.915 132.915 17666.36 0.032 0.033 16949689.00 15872934.29 1973Q4 96 4151.1 4018.204 132.896 132.896 17661.31 0.032 0.033 17231631.21 16145964.58 1974Q1 97 4119.3 4052.524 66.776 66.776 4459.00 0.016 0.016 16968632.49 16422952.65 1974Q2 98 4130.4 4087.045 43.355 43.355 1879.66 0.010 0.011 17060204.16 16703936.87 1974Q3 99 4084.5 4121.766 -37.266 37.266 1388.76 0.009 0.009 16683140.25 16988955.49 1974Q4 100 4062 4156.687 -94.687 94.687 8965.62 0.023 0.023 16499844.00 17278046.65 1975Q1 101 4010 4191.807 -181.807 181.807 33053.89 0.045 0.044 16080100.00 17571248.35 1975Q2 102 4045.2 4227.127 -181.927 181.927 33097.25 0.045 0.044 16363643.04 17868598.47 1975Q3 103 4115.4 4262.644 -147.244 147.244 21680.82 0.036 0.035 16936517.16 18170134.68 1975Q4 104 4167.2 4298.360 -131.160 131.160 17202.82 0.031 0.031 17365555.84 18475894.53 1976Q1 105 4266.1 4334.272 -68.172 68.172 4647.45 0.016 0.016 18199609.21 18785915.33 1976Q2 106 4301.5 4370.381 -68.881 68.881 4744.66 0.016 0.016 18502902.25 19100234.21 1976Q3 107 4321.9 4406.687 -84.787 84.787 7188.79 0.020 0.019 18678819.61 19418888.08 1976Q4 108 4357.4 4443.187 -85.787 85.787 7359.47 0.020 0.019 18986934.76 19741913.61 1977Q1 109 4410.5 4479.882 -69.382 69.382 4813.93 0.016 0.016 19452510.25 20069347.20 1977Q2 110 4489.8 4516.772 -26.972 26.972 727.46 0.006 0.006 20158304.04 20401225.01 1977Q3 111 4570.6 4553.854 16.746 16.746 280.44 0.004 0.004 20890384.36 20737582.89 1977Q4 112 4576.1 4591.128 -15.028 15.028 225.84 0.003 0.003 20940691.21 21078456.40 1978Q1 113 4588.9 4628.594 -39.694 39.694 1575.60 0.009 0.009 21058003.21 21423880.78 1978Q2 114 4765.7 4666.250 99.450 99.450 9890.26 0.021 0.021 22711896.49 21773890.93 1978Q3 115 4811.7 4704.096 107.604 107.604 11578.57 0.022 0.023 23152456.89 22128521.40 1978Q4 116 4876 4742.131 133.869 133.869 17920.91 0.027 0.028 23775376.00 22487806.39 1979Q1 117 4888.3 4780.354 107.946 107.946 11652.44 0.022 0.022 23895476.89 22851779.68 1979Q2 118 4891.4 4818.763 72.637 72.637 5276.17 0.015 0.015 23925793.96 23220474.68 1979Q3 119 4926.2 4857.358 68.842 68.842 4739.25 0.014 0.014 24267446.44 23593924.36 1979Q4 120 4942.6 4896.137 46.463 46.463 2158.77 0.009 0.009 24429294.76 23972161.25 1980Q1 121 4958.9 4935.101 23.799 23.799 566.41 0.005 0.005 24590689.21 24355217.45 1980Q2 122 4857.8 4974.246 -116.446 116.446 13559.70 0.024 0.024 23598220.84 24743124.54 1980Q3 123 4850.3 5013.573 -163.273 163.273 26658.05 0.034 0.033 23525410.09 25135913.66 1980Q4 124 4936.6 5053.080 -116.480 116.480 13567.54 0.024 0.023 24370019.56 25533615.42 1981Q1 125 5032.5 5092.765 -60.265 60.265 3631.92 0.012 0.012 25326056.25 25936259.88 1981Q2 126 4997.3 5132.629 -135.329 135.329 18313.84 0.027 0.027 24973007.29 26343876.61 1981Q3 127 5056.8 5172.668 -115.868 115.868 13425.40 0.023 0.023 25571226.24 26756494.55 1981Q4 128 4997.1 5212.882 -215.782 215.782 46562.01 0.043 0.042 24971008.41 27174142.13 1982Q1 129 4914.3 5253.270 -338.970 338.970 114900.75 0.069 0.067 24150344.49 27596847.12 1982Q2 130 4935.5 5293.830 -358.330 358.330 128400.43 0.073 0.070 24359160.25 28024636.71 1982Q3 131 4912.1 5334.561 -422.461 422.461 178473.01 0.086 0.082 24128726.41 28457537.45 1982Q4 132 4915.6 5375.460 -459.860 459.860 211471.65 0.094 0.089 24163123.36 28895575.23 1983Q1 133 4972.4 5416.528 -444.128 444.128 197249.66 0.089 0.086 24724761.76 29338775.28 1983Q2 134 5089.8 5457.762 -367.962 367.962 135395.77 0.072 0.070 25906064.04 29787162.12 1983Q3 135 5180.4 5499.160 -318.760 318.760 101607.87 0.062 0.060 26836544.16 30240759.58 1983Q4 136 5286.8 5540.721 -253.921 253.921 64475.95 0.048 0.047 27950254.24 30699590.78 1984Q1 137 5402.3 5582.444 -180.144 180.144 32451.77 0.033 0.033 29184845.29 31163678.07 1984Q2 138 5493.8 5624.326 -130.526 130.526 17037.04 0.024 0.023 30181838.44 31633043.06 1984Q3 139 5541.3 5666.366 -125.066 125.066 15641.57 0.023 0.022 30706005.69 32107706.57 1984Q4 140 5583.1 5708.563 -125.463 125.463 15740.90 0.022 0.022 31171005.61 32587688.64 1985Q1 141 5629.7 5750.914 -121.214 121.214 14692.76 0.022 0.021 31693522.09 33073008.49 1985Q2 142 5673.8 5793.417 -119.617 119.617 14308.31 0.021 0.021 32192006.44 33563684.51 1985Q3 143 5758.6 5836.072 -77.472 77.472 6001.88 0.013 0.013 33161473.96 34059734.25 1985Q4 144 5806 5878.875 -72.875 72.875 5310.80 0.013 0.012 33709636.00 34561174.39 1986Q1 145 5858.9 5921.826 -62.926 62.926 3959.66 0.011 0.011 34326709.21 35068020.74 1986Q2 146 5883.3 5964.921 -81.621 81.621 6662.07 0.014 0.014 34613218.89 35580288.20 1986Q3 147 5937.9 6008.160 -70.260 70.260 4936.52 0.012 0.012 35258656.41 36097990.79 1986Q4 148 5969.5 6051.540 -82.040 82.040 6730.63 0.014 0.014 35634930.25 36621141.56 1987Q1 149 6013.3 6095.060 -81.760 81.760 6684.65 0.014 0.014 36159776.89 37149752.65 1987Q2 150 6077.2 6138.716 -61.516 61.516 3784.23 0.010 0.010 36932359.84 37683835.23 1987Q3 151 6128.1 6182.508 -54.408 54.408 2960.18 0.009 0.009 37553609.61 38223399.48 1987Q4 152 6234.4 6226.432 7.968 7.968 63.49 0.001 0.001 38867743.36 38768454.63 1988Q1 153 6275.9 6270.487 5.413 5.413 29.30 0.001 0.001 39386920.81 39319008.87 1988Q2 154 6349.8 6314.671 35.129 35.129 1234.05 0.006 0.006 40319960.04 39875069.38 1988Q3 155 6382.3 6358.981 23.319 23.319 543.76 0.004 0.004 40733753.29 40436642.33 1988Q4 156 6465.2 6403.416 61.784 61.784 3817.30 0.010 0.010 41798811.04 41003732.82 1989Q1 157 6543.8 6447.972 95.828 95.828 9182.98 0.015 0.015 42821318.44 41576344.89 1989Q2 158 6579.4 6492.648 86.752 86.752 7525.86 0.013 0.013 43288504.36 42154481.54 1989Q3 159 6610.6 6537.442 73.158 73.158 5352.13 0.011 0.011 43700032.36 42738144.64 1989Q4 160 6633.5 6582.350 51.150 51.150 2616.30 0.008 0.008 44003322.25 43327335.01 1990Q1 161 6716.3 6627.371 88.929 88.929 7908.29 0.013 0.013 45108685.69 43922052.33 1990Q2 162 6731.7 6672.503 59.197 59.197 3504.29 0.009 0.009 45315784.89 44522295.16 1990Q3 163 6719.4 6717.742 1.658 1.658 2.75 0.000 0.000 45150336.36 45128060.96 1990Q4 164 6664.2 6763.087 -98.887 98.887 9778.64 0.015 0.015 44411561.64 45739346.02 1991Q1 165 6631.4 6808.535 -177.135 177.135 31376.72 0.027 0.026 43975465.96 46356145.49 1991Q2 166 6668.5 6854.083 -185.583 185.583 34441.04 0.028 0.027 44468892.25 46978453.35 1991Q3 167 6684.9 6899.729 -214.829 214.829 46151.57 0.032 0.032 44687888.01 47606262.43 1991Q4 168 6720.9 6945.471 -224.571 224.571 50432.04 0.033 0.033 45170496.81 48239564.37 1992Q1 169 6783.3 6991.305 -208.005 208.005 43266.20 0.031 0.030 46013158.89 48878349.62 1992Q2 170 6846.8 7037.230 -190.430 190.430 36263.62 0.028 0.027 46878670.24 49522607.44 1992Q3 171 6899.7 7083.243 -183.543 183.543 33687.89 0.027 0.026 47605860.09 50172325.89 1992Q4 172 6990.6 7129.340 -138.740 138.740 19248.85 0.020 0.020 48868488.36 50827491.84 1993Q1 173 6988.7 7175.520 -186.820 186.820 34901.81 0.027 0.026 48841927.69 51488090.90 1993Q2 174 7031.2 7221.780 -190.580 190.580 36320.77 0.027 0.027 49437773.44 52154107.51 1993Q3 175 7062 7268.117 -206.117 206.117 42484.22 0.029 0.029 49871844.00 52825524.87 1993Q4 176 7168.7 7314.528 -145.828 145.828 21265.91 0.020 0.020 51390259.69 53502324.93 1994Q1 177 7229.4 7361.011 -131.611 131.611 17321.55 0.018 0.018 52264224.36 54184488.45 1994Q2 178 7330.2 7407.563 -77.363 77.363 5985.09 0.011 0.010 53731832.04 54871994.91 1994Q3 179 7370.2 7454.182 -83.982 83.982 7052.90 0.011 0.011 54319848.04 55564822.59 1994Q4 180 7461.1 7500.863 -39.763 39.763 1581.11 0.005 0.005 55668013.21 56262948.51 1995Q1 181 7488.7 7547.605 -58.905 58.905 3469.86 0.008 0.008 56080627.69 56966348.44 1995Q2 182 7503.3 7594.406 -91.106 91.106 8300.24 0.012 0.012 56299510.89 57674996.94 1995Q3 183 7561.4 7641.261 -79.861 79.861 6377.75 0.011 0.011 57174769.96 58388867.31 1995Q4 184 7621.9 7688.168 -66.268 66.268 4391.49 0.009 0.009 58093359.61 59107931.59 1996Q1 185 7676.4 7735.125 -58.725 58.725 3448.64 0.008 0.008 58927116.96 59832160.60 1996Q2 186 7802.9 7782.128 20.772 20.772 431.46 0.003 0.003 60885248.41 60561523.93 1996Q3 187 7841.9 7829.176 12.724 12.724 161.91 0.002 0.002 61495395.61 61295989.91 1996Q4 188 7931.3 7876.263 55.037 55.037 3029.02 0.007 0.007 62905519.69 62035525.65 1997Q1 189 8016.4 7923.389 93.011 93.011 8651.00 0.012 0.012 64262668.96 62780097.02 1997Q2 190 8131.9 7970.550 161.350 161.350 26033.79 0.020 0.020 66127797.61 63529668.67 1997Q3 191 8216.6 8017.743 198.857 198.857 39544.08 0.024 0.024 67512515.56 64284204.04 1997Q4 192 8272.9 8064.965 207.935 207.935 43236.84 0.025 0.025 68440874.41 65043665.32 1998Q1 193 8396.3 8112.214 284.086 284.086 80704.94 0.034 0.034 70497853.69 65808013.53 1998Q2 194 8442.9 8159.486 283.414 283.414 80323.61 0.034 0.034 71282560.41 66577208.46 1998Q3 195 8528.5 8206.778 321.722 321.722 103504.91 0.038 0.038 72735312.25 67351208.71 1998Q4 196 8667.9 8254.088 413.812 413.812 171240.22 0.048 0.049 75132490.41 68129971.69 1999Q1 197 8733.5 8301.413 432.087 432.087 186699.39 0.049 0.051 76274022.25 68913453.64 1999Q2 198 8771.2 8348.749 422.451 422.451 178464.86 0.048 0.049 76933949.44 69701609.62 1999Q3 199 8871.5 8396.094 475.406 475.406 226010.92 0.054 0.055 78703512.25 70494393.52 1999Q4 200 9049.9 8443.445 606.455 606.455 367788.05 0.067 0.069 81900690.01 71291758.11 2000Q1 201 9102.5 8490.798 611.702 611.702 374179.03 0.067 0.070 82855506.25 72093654.98 2000Q2 202 9229.4 8538.152 691.248 691.248 477824.20 0.075 0.078 85181824.36 72900034.63 2000Q3 203 9260.1 8585.502 674.598 674.598 455082.32 0.073 0.076 85749452.01 73710846.42 2000Q4 204 9303.9 8632.846 671.054 671.054 450312.81 0.072 0.075 86562555.21 74526038.60 sumace 930779.7 930686.4799 93.2201 24884.066 6224945.163 5.518 5.487 5153991741 5121624735 (SE) SAE SSE 0.4570 121.981 30514.437 2.705 2.690 ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE 174.684 parametr beta = 0.4683001 0.9889054 = b1 RMSE THEILovoU 0.01740 parametr alfa = -0.0396846 0.0005544 = b0 parametr gama = 0.0262732 0.0000589 = b2 ##### Sheet/List 14 ##### observ pořadí realGDP 32716 32716/yt 32716/yt -1 ln[32716/yt -1] APE AMAPE 1950Q1 1 1610.5 32716 20.314 19.314 2.96084 1950Q2 2 1658.8 32716 19.723 18.723 2.92974 1950Q3 3 1723 32716 18.988 17.988 2.88969 32716 1950Q4 4 1753.9 32716 18.653 17.653 2.87092 1951Q1 5 1773.5 32716 18.447 17.447 2.85918 1951Q2 6 1803.7 32716 18.138 17.138 2.84131 1951Q3 7 1839.8 32716 17.782 16.782 2.82033 1951Q4 8 1843.3 32716 17.749 16.749 2.81831 1952Q1 9 1864.7 32716 17.545 16.545 2.80608 1952Q2 10 1866.2 32716 17.531 16.531 2.80523 1952Q3 11 1878 32716 17.421 16.421 2.79854 1952Q4 12 1940.2 32716 16.862 15.862 2.76394 1953Q1 13 1976 32716 16.557 15.557 2.74449 1953Q2 14 1992.2 32716 16.422 15.422 2.73580 1953Q3 15 1979.5 32716 16.527 15.527 2.74261 1953Q4 16 1947.8 32716 16.796 15.796 2.75978 1954Q1 17 1938.1 32716 16.880 15.880 2.76509 1954Q2 18 1941 32716 16.855 15.855 2.76350 1954Q3 19 1962 32716 16.675 15.675 2.75206 1954Q4 20 2000.9 32716 16.351 15.351 2.73116 1955Q1 21 2058.1 32716 15.896 14.896 2.70111 1955Q2 22 2091 32716 15.646 14.646 2.68417 1955Q3 23 2118.9 32716 15.440 14.440 2.67001 1955Q4 24 2130.1 32716 15.359 14.359 2.66437 1956Q1 25 2121 32716 15.425 14.425 2.66895 1956Q2 26 2137.7 32716 15.304 14.304 2.66056 1956Q3 27 2135.3 32716 15.322 14.322 2.66176 1956Q4 28 2170.4 32716 15.074 14.074 2.64431 1957Q1 29 2182.7 32716 14.989 13.989 2.63826 1957Q2 30 2177.7 32716 15.023 14.023 2.64071 1957Q3 31 2198.9 32716 14.878 13.878 2.63033 1957Q4 32 2176 32716 15.035 14.035 2.64155 1958Q1 33 2117.4 32716 15.451 14.451 2.67077 1958Q2 34 2129.7 32716 15.362 14.362 2.66457 1958Q3 35 2177.5 32716 15.025 14.025 2.64081 1958Q4 36 2226.5 32716 14.694 13.694 2.61695 1959Q1 37 2273 32716 14.393 13.393 2.59476 1959Q2 38 2332.4 32716 14.027 13.027 2.56701 1959Q3 39 2331.4 32716 14.033 13.033 2.56747 1959Q4 40 2339.1 32716 13.987 12.987 2.56392 1960Q1 41 2391 32716 13.683 12.683 2.54026 1960Q2 42 2379.2 32716 13.751 12.751 2.54560 1960Q3 43 2383.6 32716 13.725 12.725 2.54360 1960Q4 44 2352.9 32716 13.905 12.905 2.55758 1961Q1 45 2366.5 32716 13.825 12.825 2.55137 1961Q2 46 2410.8 32716 13.571 12.571 2.53136 1961Q3 47 2450.4 32716 13.351 12.351 2.51376 1961Q4 48 2500.4 32716 13.084 12.084 2.49191 1962Q1 49 2544 32716 12.860 11.860 2.47318 1962Q2 50 2571.5 32716 12.723 11.723 2.46151 1962Q3 51 2596.8 32716 12.599 11.599 2.45088 1962Q4 52 2603.3 32716 12.567 11.567 2.44817 1963Q1 53 2634.1 32716 12.420 11.420 2.43538 1963Q2 54 2668.4 32716 12.261 11.261 2.42130 1963Q3 55 2719.6 32716 12.030 11.030 2.40059 1963Q4 56 2739.4 32716 11.943 10.943 2.39268 1964Q1 57 2800.5 32716 11.682 10.682 2.36858 1964Q2 58 2833.8 32716 11.545 10.545 2.35564 1964Q3 59 2872 32716 11.391 10.391 2.34098 1964Q4 60 2879.5 32716 11.362 10.362 2.33812 1965Q1 61 2950.1 32716 11.090 10.090 2.31152 1965Q2 62 2989.9 32716 10.942 9.942 2.29679 1965Q3 63 3050.7 32716 10.724 9.724 2.27461 1965Q4 64 3123.6 32716 10.474 9.474 2.24853 1966Q1 65 3201.1 32716 10.220 9.220 2.22140 1966Q2 66 3213.2 32716 10.182 9.182 2.21722 1966Q3 67 3233.6 32716 10.118 9.118 2.21020 1966Q4 68 3261.8 32716 10.030 9.030 2.20056 1967Q1 69 3291.8 32716 9.939 8.939 2.19038 1967Q2 70 3289.7 32716 9.945 8.945 2.19109 1967Q3 71 3313.5 32716 9.874 8.874 2.18307 1967Q4 72 3338.3 32716 9.800 8.800 2.17477 1968Q1 73 3406.2 32716 9.605 8.605 2.15232 1968Q2 74 3464.8 32716 9.442 8.442 2.13327 1968Q3 75 3489.2 32716 9.376 8.376 2.12541 1968Q4 76 3504.1 32716 9.336 8.336 2.12064 1969Q1 77 3558.3 32716 9.194 8.194 2.10344 1969Q2 78 3567.6 32716 9.170 8.170 2.10051 1969Q3 79 3588.3 32716 9.117 8.117 2.09401 1969Q4 80 3571.4 32716 9.161 8.161 2.09931 1970Q1 81 3566.5 32716 9.173 8.173 2.10085 1970Q2 82 3573.9 32716 9.154 8.154 2.09853 1970Q3 83 3605.2 32716 9.075 8.075 2.08873 1970Q4 84 3566.5 32716 9.173 8.173 2.10085 1971Q1 85 3666.1 32716 8.924 7.924 2.06989 1971Q2 86 3686.2 32716 8.875 7.875 2.06373 1971Q3 87 3714.5 32716 8.808 7.808 2.05510 1971Q4 88 3723.8 32716 8.786 7.786 2.05228 1972Q1 89 3796.9 32716 8.617 7.617 2.03032 1972Q2 90 3883.8 32716 8.424 7.424 2.00468 1972Q3 91 3922.3 32716 8.341 7.341 1.99348 1972Q4 92 3990.5 32716 8.198 7.198 1.97387 1973Q1 93 4092.3 32716 7.995 6.995 1.94513 1973Q2 94 4133.3 32716 7.915 6.915 1.93373 1973Q3 95 4117 32716 7.947 6.947 1.93825 1973Q4 96 4151.1 32716 7.881 6.881 1.92881 1974Q1 97 4119.3 32716 7.942 6.942 1.93761 1974Q2 98 4130.4 32716 7.921 6.921 1.93453 1974Q3 99 4084.5 32716 8.010 7.010 1.94731 1974Q4 100 4062 32716 8.054 7.054 1.95362 1975Q1 101 4010 32716 8.159 7.159 1.96831 1975Q2 102 4045.2 32716 8.088 7.088 1.95835 1975Q3 103 4115.4 32716 7.950 6.950 1.93869 1975Q4 104 4167.2 32716 7.851 6.851 1.92437 1976Q1 105 4266.1 32716 7.669 6.669 1.89744 1976Q2 106 4301.5 32716 7.606 6.606 1.88794 1976Q3 107 4321.9 32716 7.570 6.570 1.88249 1976Q4 108 4357.4 32716 7.508 6.508 1.87305 1977Q1 109 4410.5 32716 7.418 6.418 1.85907 1977Q2 110 4489.8 32716 7.287 6.287 1.83844 1977Q3 111 4570.6 32716 7.158 6.158 1.81774 1977Q4 112 4576.1 32716 7.149 6.149 1.81634 1978Q1 113 4588.9 32716 7.129 6.129 1.81309 1978Q2 114 4765.7 32716 6.865 5.865 1.76898 1978Q3 115 4811.7 32716 6.799 5.799 1.75773 1978Q4 116 4876 32716 6.710 5.710 1.74215 1979Q1 117 4888.3 32716 6.693 5.693 1.73919 1979Q2 118 4891.4 32716 6.688 5.688 1.73844 1979Q3 119 4926.2 32716 6.641 5.641 1.73010 1979Q4 120 4942.6 32716 6.619 5.619 1.72619 1980Q1 121 4958.9 32716 6.597 5.597 1.72231 1980Q2 122 4857.8 32716 6.735 5.735 1.74654 1980Q3 123 4850.3 32716 6.745 5.745 1.74836 1980Q4 124 4936.6 32716 6.627 5.627 1.72762 1981Q1 125 5032.5 32716 6.501 5.501 1.70492 1981Q2 126 4997.3 32716 6.547 5.547 1.71321 1981Q3 127 5056.8 32716 6.470 5.470 1.69922 1981Q4 128 4997.1 32716 6.547 5.547 1.71326 1982Q1 129 4914.3 32716 6.657 5.657 1.73295 1982Q2 130 4935.5 32716 6.629 5.629 1.72788 1982Q3 131 4912.1 32716 6.660 5.660 1.73347 1982Q4 132 4915.6 32716 6.656 5.656 1.73264 1983Q1 133 4972.4 32716 6.580 5.580 1.71910 1983Q2 134 5089.8 32716 6.428 5.428 1.69153 1983Q3 135 5180.4 32716 6.315 5.315 1.67060 1983Q4 136 5286.8 32716 6.188 5.188 1.64639 1984Q1 137 5402.3 32716 6.056 5.056 1.62056 1984Q2 138 5493.8 32716 5.955 4.955 1.60041 1984Q3 139 5541.3 32716 5.904 4.904 1.59006 1984Q4 140 5583.1 32716 5.860 4.860 1.58100 1985Q1 141 5629.7 32716 5.811 4.811 1.57097 1985Q2 142 5673.8 32716 5.766 4.766 1.56154 1985Q3 143 5758.6 32716 5.681 4.681 1.54356 1985Q4 144 5806 32716 5.635 4.635 1.53361 1986Q1 145 5858.9 32716 5.584 4.584 1.52257 1986Q2 146 5883.3 32716 5.561 4.561 1.51750 1986Q3 147 5937.9 32716 5.510 4.510 1.50623 1986Q4 148 5969.5 32716 5.481 4.481 1.49974 1987Q1 149 6013.3 32716 5.441 4.441 1.49079 1987Q2 150 6077.2 32716 5.383 4.383 1.47782 1987Q3 151 6128.1 32716 5.339 4.339 1.46757 1987Q4 152 6234.4 32716 5.248 4.248 1.44637 1988Q1 153 6275.9 32716 5.213 4.213 1.43816 1988Q2 154 6349.8 32716 5.152 4.152 1.42366 1988Q3 155 6382.3 32716 5.126 4.126 1.41732 1988Q4 156 6465.2 32716 5.060 4.060 1.40126 1989Q1 157 6543.8 32716 5.000 4.000 1.38618 1989Q2 158 6579.4 32716 4.972 3.972 1.37939 1989Q3 159 6610.6 32716 4.949 3.949 1.37347 1989Q4 160 6633.5 32716 4.932 3.932 1.36913 1990Q1 161 6716.3 32716 4.871 3.871 1.35355 1990Q2 162 6731.7 32716 4.860 3.860 1.35066 1990Q3 163 6719.4 32716 4.869 3.869 1.35297 1990Q4 164 6664.2 32716 4.909 3.909 1.36334 1991Q1 165 6631.4 32716 4.933 3.933 1.36953 1991Q2 166 6668.5 32716 4.906 3.906 1.36253 1991Q3 167 6684.9 32716 4.894 3.894 1.35944 1991Q4 168 6720.9 32716 4.868 3.868 1.35269 1992Q1 169 6783.3 32716 4.823 3.823 1.34104 1992Q2 170 6846.8 32716 4.778 3.778 1.32927 1992Q3 171 6899.7 32716 4.742 3.742 1.31953 1992Q4 172 6990.6 32716 4.680 3.680 1.30291 1993Q1 173 6988.7 32716 4.681 3.681 1.30326 1993Q2 174 7031.2 32716 4.653 3.653 1.29554 1993Q3 175 7062 32716 4.633 3.633 1.28997 1993Q4 176 7168.7 32716 4.564 3.564 1.27081 1994Q1 177 7229.4 32716 4.525 3.525 1.26000 1994Q2 178 7330.2 32716 4.463 3.463 1.24219 1994Q3 179 7370.2 32716 4.439 3.439 1.23517 1994Q4 180 7461.1 32716 4.385 3.385 1.21932 1995Q1 181 7488.7 32716 4.369 3.369 1.21453 1995Q2 182 7503.3 32716 4.360 3.360 1.21200 1995Q3 183 7561.4 32716 4.327 3.327 1.20198 1995Q4 184 7621.9 32716 4.292 3.292 1.19161 1996Q1 185 7676.4 32716 4.262 3.262 1.18231 1996Q2 186 7802.9 32716 4.193 3.193 1.16090 1996Q3 187 7841.9 32716 4.172 3.172 1.15435 1996Q4 188 7931.3 32716 4.125 3.125 1.13941 1997Q1 189 8016.4 32716 4.081 3.081 1.12530 1997Q2 190 8131.9 32716 4.023 3.023 1.10631 1997Q3 191 8216.6 32716 3.982 2.982 1.09249 1997Q4 192 8272.9 32716 3.955 2.955 1.08336 1998Q1 193 8396.3 32716 3.896 2.896 1.06350 1998Q2 194 8442.9 32716 3.875 2.875 1.05604 1998Q3 195 8528.5 32716 3.836 2.836 1.04242 1998Q4 196 8667.9 32716 3.774 2.774 1.02043 1999Q1 197 8733.5 32716 3.746 2.746 1.01016 1999Q2 198 8771.2 32716 3.730 2.730 1.00428 1999Q3 199 8871.5 32716 3.688 2.688 0.98871 1999Q4 200 9049.9 32716 3.615 2.615 0.96129 2000Q1 201 9102.5 32716 3.594 2.594 0.95327 2000Q2 202 9229.4 32716 3.545 2.545 0.93404 2000Q3 203 9260.1 32716 3.533 2.533 0.92941 2000Q4 204 9303.9 32716 3.516 2.516 0.92282 20910 930779.7 6674064.000 1843.827 1639.827 393.765303 0.000 0.000 1.9302221 1.04004 2.9702621 19.49702856 parametr b= beta 0.4683001 0.9889054 THEILovoU 0.01141 parametr a= alfa -0.0396846 0.0005544 parametr c= gama 0.0262732 0.0000589 ##### Sheet/List 15 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí realGDP vyrovnání rezidua abs.rezidua rezidua^2 APE AMAPE yt2 yvt2 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1625.332 -14.832 14.832 220.00 0.009 0.009 2593710.25 2641705.14 1950Q2 2 1658.8 1642.824 15.976 15.976 255.22 0.010 0.010 2751617.44 2698872.14 1950Q3 3 1723 1660.459 62.541 62.541 3911.42 0.036 0.037 2968729.00 2757122.84 1950Q4 4 1753.9 1678.236 75.664 75.664 5725.11 0.043 0.044 3076165.21 2816474.47 1951Q1 5 1773.5 1696.156 77.344 77.344 5982.13 0.044 0.045 3145302.25 2876944.50 1951Q2 6 1803.7 1714.220 89.480 89.480 8006.65 0.050 0.051 3253333.69 2938550.58 1951Q3 7 1839.8 1732.429 107.371 107.371 11528.51 0.058 0.060 3384864.04 3001310.62 1951Q4 8 1843.3 1750.783 92.517 92.517 8559.31 0.050 0.051 3397754.89 3065242.69 1952Q1 9 1864.7 1769.284 95.416 95.416 9104.25 0.051 0.053 3477106.09 3130365.13 1952Q2 10 1866.2 1787.931 78.269 78.269 6126.07 0.042 0.043 3482702.44 3196696.46 1952Q3 11 1878 1806.725 71.275 71.275 5080.12 0.038 0.039 3526884.00 3264255.44 1952Q4 12 1940.2 1825.667 114.533 114.533 13117.74 0.059 0.061 3764376.04 3333061.04 1953Q1 13 1976 1844.758 131.242 131.242 17224.43 0.066 0.069 3904576.00 3403132.47 1953Q2 14 1992.2 1863.998 128.202 128.202 16435.71 0.064 0.066 3968860.84 3474489.15 1953Q3 15 1979.5 1883.388 96.112 96.112 9237.50 0.049 0.050 3918420.25 3547150.73 1953Q4 16 1947.8 1902.929 44.871 44.871 2013.45 0.023 0.023 3793924.84 3621137.08 1954Q1 17 1938.1 1922.620 15.480 15.480 239.63 0.008 0.008 3756231.61 3696468.32 1954Q2 18 1941 1942.464 -1.464 1.464 2.14 0.001 0.001 3767481.00 3773164.78 1954Q3 19 1962 1962.459 -0.459 0.459 0.21 0.000 0.000 3849444.00 3851247.02 1954Q4 20 2000.9 1982.608 18.292 18.292 334.58 0.009 0.009 4003600.81 3930735.86 1955Q1 21 2058.1 2002.911 55.189 55.189 3045.83 0.027 0.027 4235775.61 4011652.33 1955Q2 22 2091 2023.368 67.632 67.632 4574.10 0.032 0.033 4372281.00 4094017.70 1955Q3 23 2118.9 2043.980 74.920 74.920 5613.03 0.035 0.036 4489737.21 4177853.48 1955Q4 24 2130.1 2064.747 65.353 65.353 4270.98 0.031 0.031 4537326.01 4263181.42 1956Q1 25 2121 2085.671 35.329 35.329 1248.14 0.017 0.017 4498641.00 4350023.51 1956Q2 26 2137.7 2106.752 30.948 30.948 957.81 0.014 0.015 4569761.29 4438401.98 1956Q3 27 2135.3 2127.989 7.311 7.311 53.44 0.003 0.003 4559506.09 4528339.30 1956Q4 28 2170.4 2149.386 21.014 21.014 441.61 0.010 0.010 4710636.16 4619858.19 1957Q1 29 2182.7 2170.940 11.760 11.760 138.29 0.005 0.005 4764179.29 4712981.63 1957Q2 30 2177.7 2192.654 -14.954 14.954 223.63 0.007 0.007 4742377.29 4807732.80 1957Q3 31 2198.9 2214.528 -15.628 15.628 244.24 0.007 0.007 4835161.21 4904135.18 1957Q4 32 2176 2236.563 -60.563 60.563 3667.83 0.028 0.027 4734976.00 5002212.48 1958Q1 33 2117.4 2258.758 -141.358 141.358 19982.14 0.067 0.065 4483382.76 5101988.64 1958Q2 34 2129.7 2281.115 -151.415 151.415 22926.65 0.071 0.069 4535622.09 5203487.89 1958Q3 35 2177.5 2303.635 -126.135 126.135 15910.06 0.058 0.056 4741506.25 5306734.68 1958Q4 36 2226.5 2326.318 -99.818 99.818 9963.56 0.045 0.044 4957302.25 5411753.74 1959Q1 37 2273 2349.164 -76.164 76.164 5800.91 0.034 0.033 5166529.00 5518570.04 1959Q2 38 2332.4 2372.174 -39.774 39.774 1581.96 0.017 0.017 5440089.76 5627208.80 1959Q3 39 2331.4 2395.349 -63.949 63.949 4089.44 0.027 0.027 5435425.96 5737695.53 1959Q4 40 2339.1 2418.689 -79.589 79.589 6334.39 0.034 0.033 5471388.81 5850055.96 1960Q1 41 2391 2442.195 -51.195 51.195 2620.92 0.021 0.021 5716881.00 5964316.11 1960Q2 42 2379.2 2465.867 -86.667 86.667 7511.25 0.036 0.036 5660592.64 6080502.25 1960Q3 43 2383.6 2489.707 -106.107 106.107 11258.69 0.045 0.044 5681548.96 6198640.91 1960Q4 44 2352.9 2513.714 -160.814 160.814 25861.19 0.068 0.066 5536138.41 6318758.88 1961Q1 45 2366.5 2537.890 -171.390 171.390 29374.37 0.072 0.070 5600322.25 6440883.24 1961Q2 46 2410.8 2562.234 -151.434 151.434 22932.15 0.063 0.061 5811956.64 6565041.30 1961Q3 47 2450.4 2586.747 -136.347 136.347 18590.54 0.056 0.054 6004460.16 6691260.67 1961Q4 48 2500.4 2611.430 -111.030 111.030 12327.77 0.044 0.043 6252000.16 6819569.21 1962Q1 49 2544 2636.284 -92.284 92.284 8516.40 0.036 0.036 6471936.00 6949995.05 1962Q2 50 2571.5 2661.309 -89.809 89.809 8065.69 0.035 0.034 6612612.25 7082566.59 1962Q3 51 2596.8 2686.506 -89.706 89.706 8047.10 0.035 0.034 6743370.24 7217312.51 1962Q4 52 2603.3 2711.874 -108.574 108.574 11788.36 0.042 0.041 6777170.89 7354261.76 1963Q1 53 2634.1 2737.415 -103.315 103.315 10674.09 0.039 0.038 6938482.81 7493443.55 1963Q2 54 2668.4 2763.130 -94.730 94.730 8973.77 0.036 0.035 7120358.56 7634887.38 1963Q3 55 2719.6 2789.018 -69.418 69.418 4818.90 0.026 0.025 7396224.16 7778623.01 1963Q4 56 2739.4 2815.081 -75.681 75.681 5727.60 0.028 0.027 7504312.36 7924680.50 1964Q1 57 2800.5 2841.318 -40.818 40.818 1666.14 0.015 0.014 7842800.25 8073090.16 1964Q2 58 2833.8 2867.731 -33.931 33.931 1151.33 0.012 0.012 8030422.44 8223882.60 1964Q3 59 2872 2894.320 -22.320 22.320 498.19 0.008 0.008 8248384.00 8377088.69 1964Q4 60 2879.5 2921.085 -41.585 41.585 1729.34 0.014 0.014 8291520.25 8532739.59 1965Q1 61 2950.1 2948.028 2.072 2.072 4.29 0.001 0.001 8703090.01 8690866.73 1965Q2 62 2989.9 2975.147 14.753 14.753 217.64 0.005 0.005 8939502.01 8851501.84 1965Q3 63 3050.7 3002.445 48.255 48.255 2328.53 0.016 0.016 9306770.49 9014676.92 1965Q4 64 3123.6 3029.921 93.679 93.679 8775.66 0.030 0.030 9756876.96 9180424.25 1966Q1 65 3201.1 3057.577 143.523 143.523 20598.89 0.045 0.046 10247041.21 9348776.39 1966Q2 66 3213.2 3085.412 127.788 127.788 16329.81 0.040 0.041 10324654.24 9519766.20 1966Q3 67 3233.6 3113.427 120.173 120.173 14441.58 0.037 0.038 10456168.96 9693426.81 1966Q4 68 3261.8 3141.622 120.178 120.178 14442.64 0.037 0.038 10639339.24 9869791.64 1967Q1 69 3291.8 3169.999 121.801 121.801 14835.46 0.037 0.038 10835947.24 10048894.39 1967Q2 70 3289.7 3198.557 91.143 91.143 8306.98 0.028 0.028 10822126.09 10230769.06 1967Q3 71 3313.5 3227.298 86.202 86.202 7430.85 0.026 0.026 10979282.25 10415449.94 1967Q4 72 3338.3 3256.220 82.080 82.080 6737.05 0.025 0.025 11144246.89 10602971.57 1968Q1 73 3406.2 3285.326 120.874 120.874 14610.45 0.035 0.036 11602198.44 10793368.83 1968Q2 74 3464.8 3314.616 150.184 150.184 22555.34 0.043 0.044 12004839.04 10986676.86 1968Q3 75 3489.2 3344.089 145.111 145.111 21057.21 0.042 0.042 12174516.64 11182931.08 1968Q4 76 3504.1 3373.747 130.353 130.353 16991.97 0.037 0.038 12278716.81 11382167.23 1969Q1 77 3558.3 3403.589 154.711 154.711 23935.35 0.043 0.044 12661498.89 11584421.31 1969Q2 78 3567.6 3433.618 133.982 133.982 17951.29 0.038 0.038 12727769.76 11789729.62 1969Q3 79 3588.3 3463.832 124.468 124.468 15492.40 0.035 0.035 12875896.89 11998128.78 1969Q4 80 3571.4 3494.232 77.168 77.168 5954.94 0.022 0.022 12754897.96 12209655.65 1970Q1 81 3566.5 3524.819 41.681 41.681 1737.32 0.012 0.012 12719922.25 12424347.42 1970Q2 82 3573.9 3555.593 18.307 18.307 335.15 0.005 0.005 12772761.21 12642241.55 1970Q3 83 3605.2 3586.555 18.645 18.645 347.64 0.005 0.005 12997467.04 12863375.82 1970Q4 84 3566.5 3617.705 -51.205 51.205 2621.94 0.014 0.014 12719922.25 13087788.27 1971Q1 85 3666.1 3649.043 17.057 17.057 290.93 0.005 0.005 13440289.21 13315517.25 1971Q2 86 3686.2 3680.571 5.629 5.629 31.69 0.002 0.002 13588070.44 13546601.40 1971Q3 87 3714.5 3712.288 2.212 2.212 4.89 0.001 0.001 13797510.25 13781079.66 1971Q4 88 3723.8 3744.194 -20.394 20.394 415.93 0.005 0.005 13866686.44 14018991.25 1972Q1 89 3796.9 3776.291 20.609 20.609 424.72 0.005 0.005 14416449.61 14260375.69 1972Q2 90 3883.8 3808.579 75.221 75.221 5658.22 0.019 0.020 15083902.44 14505272.80 1972Q3 91 3922.3 3841.057 81.243 81.243 6600.34 0.021 0.021 15384437.29 14753722.69 1972Q4 92 3990.5 3873.728 116.772 116.772 13635.79 0.029 0.030 15924090.25 15005765.75 1973Q1 93 4092.3 3906.590 185.710 185.710 34488.33 0.045 0.046 16746919.29 15261442.69 1973Q2 94 4133.3 3939.644 193.656 193.656 37502.66 0.047 0.048 17084168.89 15520794.48 1973Q3 95 4117 3972.891 144.109 144.109 20767.42 0.035 0.036 16949689.00 15783862.42 1973Q4 96 4151.1 4006.331 144.769 144.769 20958.06 0.035 0.035 17231631.21 16050688.08 1974Q1 97 4119.3 4039.965 79.335 79.335 6294.12 0.019 0.019 16968632.49 16321313.34 1974Q2 98 4130.4 4073.792 56.608 56.608 3204.48 0.014 0.014 17060204.16 16595780.34 1974Q3 99 4084.5 4107.813 -23.313 23.313 543.52 0.006 0.006 16683140.25 16874131.56 1974Q4 100 4062 4142.030 -80.030 80.030 6404.75 0.020 0.020 16499844.00 17156409.74 1975Q1 101 4010 4176.441 -166.441 166.441 27702.55 0.042 0.041 16080100.00 17442657.93 1975Q2 102 4045.2 4211.047 -165.847 165.847 27505.33 0.041 0.040 16363643.04 17732919.46 1975Q3 103 4115.4 4245.849 -130.449 130.449 17017.07 0.032 0.031 16936517.16 18027237.95 1975Q4 104 4167.2 4280.848 -113.648 113.648 12915.81 0.027 0.027 17365555.84 18325657.34 1976Q1 105 4266.1 4316.042 -49.942 49.942 2494.24 0.012 0.012 18199609.21 18628221.83 1976Q2 106 4301.5 4351.434 -49.934 49.934 2493.38 0.012 0.012 18502902.25 18934975.93 1976Q3 107 4321.9 4387.022 -65.122 65.122 4240.91 0.015 0.015 18678819.61 19245964.43 1976Q4 108 4357.4 4422.808 -65.408 65.408 4278.23 0.015 0.015 18986934.76 19561232.42 1977Q1 109 4410.5 4458.792 -48.292 48.292 2332.11 0.011 0.011 19452510.25 19880825.27 1977Q2 110 4489.8 4494.974 -5.174 5.174 26.77 0.001 0.001 20158304.04 20204788.66 1977Q3 111 4570.6 4531.354 39.246 39.246 1540.25 0.009 0.009 20890384.36 20533168.53 1977Q4 112 4576.1 4567.933 8.167 8.167 66.70 0.002 0.002 20940691.21 20866011.12 1978Q1 113 4588.9 4604.711 -15.811 15.811 249.99 0.003 0.003 21058003.21 21203362.99 1978Q2 114 4765.7 4641.688 124.012 124.012 15378.88 0.026 0.026 22711896.49 21545270.93 1978Q3 115 4811.7 4678.865 132.835 132.835 17645.01 0.028 0.028 23152456.89 21891782.07 1978Q4 116 4876 4716.243 159.757 159.757 25522.44 0.033 0.033 23775376.00 22242943.79 1979Q1 117 4888.3 4753.820 134.480 134.480 18084.89 0.028 0.028 23895476.89 22598803.77 1979Q2 118 4891.4 4791.598 99.802 99.802 9960.47 0.020 0.021 23925793.96 22959409.98 1979Q3 119 4926.2 4829.577 96.623 96.623 9336.07 0.020 0.020 24267446.44 23324810.67 1979Q4 120 4942.6 4867.757 74.843 74.843 5601.53 0.015 0.015 24429294.76 23695054.37 1980Q1 121 4958.9 4906.138 52.762 52.762 2783.83 0.011 0.011 24590689.21 24070189.89 1980Q2 122 4857.8 4944.721 -86.921 86.921 7555.27 0.018 0.018 23598220.84 24450266.33 1980Q3 123 4850.3 4983.506 -133.206 133.206 17743.87 0.027 0.027 23525410.09 24835333.06 1980Q4 124 4936.6 5022.493 -85.893 85.893 7377.67 0.017 0.017 24370019.56 25225439.76 1981Q1 125 5032.5 5061.683 -29.183 29.183 851.66 0.006 0.006 25326056.25 25620636.34 1981Q2 126 4997.3 5101.076 -103.776 103.776 10769.39 0.021 0.021 24973007.29 26020973.03 1981Q3 127 5056.8 5140.671 -83.871 83.871 7034.38 0.017 0.016 25571226.24 26426500.32 1981Q4 128 4997.1 5180.470 -183.370 183.370 33624.54 0.037 0.036 24971008.41 26837268.98 1982Q1 129 4914.3 5220.472 -306.172 306.172 93741.42 0.062 0.060 24150344.49 27253330.05 1982Q2 130 4935.5 5260.678 -325.178 325.178 105740.85 0.066 0.064 24359160.25 27674734.85 1982Q3 131 4912.1 5301.088 -388.988 388.988 151311.74 0.079 0.076 24128726.41 28101534.97 1982Q4 132 4915.6 5341.702 -426.102 426.102 181563.08 0.087 0.083 24163123.36 28533782.27 1983Q1 133 4972.4 5382.521 -410.121 410.121 168198.97 0.082 0.079 24724761.76 28971528.89 1983Q2 134 5089.8 5423.544 -333.744 333.744 111384.92 0.066 0.063 25906064.04 29414827.22 1983Q3 135 5180.4 5464.772 -284.372 284.372 80867.27 0.055 0.053 26836544.16 29863729.94 1983Q4 136 5286.8 5506.205 -219.405 219.405 48138.41 0.042 0.041 27950254.24 30318289.98 1984Q1 137 5402.3 5547.843 -145.543 145.543 21182.73 0.027 0.027 29184845.29 30778560.55 1984Q2 138 5493.8 5589.686 -95.886 95.886 9194.22 0.017 0.017 30181838.44 31244595.12 1984Q3 139 5541.3 5631.736 -90.436 90.436 8178.62 0.016 0.016 30706005.69 31716447.40 1984Q4 140 5583.1 5673.991 -90.891 90.891 8261.13 0.016 0.016 31171005.61 32194171.40 1985Q1 141 5629.7 5716.452 -86.752 86.752 7525.88 0.015 0.015 31693522.09 32677821.37 1985Q2 142 5673.8 5759.119 -85.319 85.319 7279.33 0.015 0.015 32192006.44 33167451.81 1985Q3 143 5758.6 5801.993 -43.393 43.393 1882.91 0.008 0.008 33161473.96 33663117.50 1985Q4 144 5806 5845.073 -39.073 39.073 1526.67 0.007 0.007 33709636.00 34164873.45 1986Q1 145 5858.9 5888.359 -29.459 29.459 867.85 0.005 0.005 34326709.21 34672774.94 1986Q2 146 5883.3 5931.853 -48.553 48.553 2357.37 0.008 0.008 34613218.89 35186877.50 1986Q3 147 5937.9 5975.553 -37.653 37.653 1417.77 0.006 0.006 35258656.41 35707236.90 1986Q4 148 5969.5 6019.461 -49.961 49.961 2496.09 0.008 0.008 35634930.25 36233909.19 1987Q1 149 6013.3 6063.576 -50.276 50.276 2527.65 0.008 0.008 36159776.89 36766950.62 1987Q2 150 6077.2 6107.898 -30.698 30.698 942.37 0.005 0.005 36932359.84 37306417.73 1987Q3 151 6128.1 6152.428 -24.328 24.328 591.84 0.004 0.004 37553609.61 37852367.28 1987Q4 152 6234.4 6197.165 37.235 37.235 1386.43 0.006 0.006 38867743.36 38404856.28 1988Q1 153 6275.9 6242.110 33.790 33.790 1141.74 0.005 0.005 39386920.81 38963941.97 1988Q2 154 6349.8 6287.263 62.537 62.537 3910.82 0.010 0.010 40319960.04 39529681.84 1988Q3 155 6382.3 6332.625 49.675 49.675 2467.65 0.008 0.008 40733753.29 40102133.61 1988Q4 156 6465.2 6378.194 87.006 87.006 7570.09 0.013 0.014 41798811.04 40681355.25 1989Q1 157 6543.8 6423.971 119.829 119.829 14358.96 0.018 0.018 42821318.44 41267404.94 1989Q2 158 6579.4 6469.957 109.443 109.443 11977.81 0.017 0.017 43288504.36 41860341.10 1989Q3 159 6610.6 6516.151 94.449 94.449 8920.63 0.014 0.014 43700032.36 42460222.39 1989Q4 160 6633.5 6562.553 70.947 70.947 5033.41 0.011 0.011 44003322.25 43067107.68 1990Q1 161 6716.3 6609.165 107.135 107.135 11478.00 0.016 0.016 45108685.69 43681056.07 1990Q2 162 6731.7 6655.984 75.716 75.716 5732.87 0.011 0.011 45315784.89 44302126.89 1990Q3 163 6719.4 6703.013 16.387 16.387 268.54 0.002 0.002 45150336.36 44930379.69 1990Q4 164 6664.2 6750.250 -86.050 86.050 7404.59 0.013 0.013 44411561.64 45565874.22 1991Q1 165 6631.4 6797.696 -166.296 166.296 27654.35 0.025 0.025 43975465.96 46208670.47 1991Q2 166 6668.5 6845.351 -176.851 176.851 31276.23 0.027 0.026 44468892.25 46858828.64 1991Q3 167 6684.9 6893.215 -208.315 208.315 43395.02 0.031 0.031 44687888.01 47516409.12 1991Q4 168 6720.9 6941.288 -220.388 220.388 48570.66 0.033 0.032 45170496.81 48181472.54 1992Q1 169 6783.3 6989.569 -206.269 206.269 42547.05 0.030 0.030 46013158.89 48854079.72 1992Q2 170 6846.8 7038.060 -191.260 191.260 36580.47 0.028 0.028 46878670.24 49534291.68 1992Q3 171 6899.7 7086.760 -187.060 187.060 34991.51 0.027 0.027 47605860.09 50222169.66 1992Q4 172 6990.6 7135.669 -145.069 145.069 21045.08 0.021 0.021 48868488.36 50917775.09 1993Q1 173 6988.7 7184.787 -196.087 196.087 38450.26 0.028 0.028 48841927.69 51621169.60 1993Q2 174 7031.2 7234.115 -202.915 202.915 41174.36 0.029 0.028 49437773.44 52332415.01 1993Q3 175 7062 7283.651 -221.651 221.651 49129.21 0.031 0.031 49871844.00 53051573.34 1993Q4 176 7168.7 7333.397 -164.697 164.697 27124.99 0.023 0.023 51390259.69 53778706.80 1994Q1 177 7229.4 7383.351 -153.951 153.951 23701.03 0.021 0.021 52264224.36 54513877.79 1994Q2 178 7330.2 7433.515 -103.315 103.315 10674.04 0.014 0.014 53731832.04 55257148.89 1994Q3 179 7370.2 7483.888 -113.688 113.688 12925.01 0.015 0.015 54319848.04 56008582.86 1994Q4 180 7461.1 7534.470 -73.370 73.370 5383.20 0.010 0.010 55668013.21 56768242.65 1995Q1 181 7488.7 7585.261 -96.561 96.561 9324.12 0.013 0.013 56080627.69 57536191.38 1995Q2 182 7503.3 7636.262 -132.962 132.962 17678.81 0.018 0.018 56299510.89 58312492.35 1995Q3 183 7561.4 7687.471 -126.071 126.071 15893.88 0.017 0.017 57174769.96 59097209.04 1995Q4 184 7621.9 7738.889 -116.989 116.989 13686.46 0.015 0.015 58093359.61 59890405.08 1996Q1 185 7676.4 7790.516 -114.116 114.116 13022.53 0.015 0.015 58927116.96 60692144.28 1996Q2 186 7802.9 7842.352 -39.452 39.452 1556.49 0.005 0.005 60885248.41 61502490.61 1996Q3 187 7841.9 7894.397 -52.497 52.497 2755.96 0.007 0.007 61495395.61 62321508.21 1996Q4 188 7931.3 7946.651 -15.351 15.351 235.65 0.002 0.002 62905519.69 63149261.36 1997Q1 189 8016.4 7999.113 17.287 17.287 298.83 0.002 0.002 64262668.96 63985814.53 1997Q2 190 8131.9 8051.784 80.116 80.116 6418.51 0.010 0.010 66127797.61 64831232.30 1997Q3 191 8216.6 8104.664 111.936 111.936 12529.66 0.014 0.014 67512515.56 65685579.43 1997Q4 192 8272.9 8157.752 115.148 115.148 13259.02 0.014 0.014 68440874.41 66548920.82 1998Q1 193 8396.3 8211.049 185.251 185.251 34318.03 0.022 0.022 70497853.69 67421321.52 1998Q2 194 8442.9 8264.554 178.346 178.346 31807.43 0.021 0.021 71282560.41 68302846.70 1998Q3 195 8528.5 8318.267 210.233 210.233 44198.02 0.025 0.025 72735312.25 69193561.70 1998Q4 196 8667.9 8372.188 295.712 295.712 87445.59 0.034 0.035 75132490.41 70093531.96 1999Q1 197 8733.5 8426.317 307.183 307.183 94361.22 0.035 0.036 76274022.25 71002823.09 1999Q2 198 8771.2 8480.655 290.545 290.545 84416.69 0.033 0.034 76933949.44 71921500.79 1999Q3 199 8871.5 8535.200 336.300 336.300 113098.01 0.038 0.039 78703512.25 72849630.93 1999Q4 200 9049.9 8589.952 459.948 459.948 211551.94 0.051 0.052 81900690.01 73787279.47 2000Q1 201 9102.5 8644.913 457.587 457.587 209386.30 0.050 0.052 82855506.25 74734512.50 2000Q2 202 9229.4 8700.080 529.320 529.320 280179.41 0.057 0.059 85181824.36 75691396.23 2000Q3 203 9260.1 8755.455 504.645 504.645 254666.30 0.054 0.056 85749452.01 76657996.98 2000Q4 204 9303.9 8811.037 492.863 492.863 242913.48 0.053 0.054 86562555.21 77634381.19 sumace 930779.7 931080.5256 -300.8256 22967.224 4532160.951 5.366 5.360 5153991741 5142654419 (SE) SAE SSE -1.4746 112.584 22216.475 2.631 2.628 ME MAE MSE MAPE AMAPE 149.052 parametr beta = 0.837818 0.997401 = b1 RMSE THEILovoU 0.01484 parametr alfa = -0.099063 -4.129661 = b0 parametr gama = -257.039275 11.512396 = b2 ##### Sheet/List 16 ##### 204 pozorování trendová funkce ME MAE SSE MSE RMSE MAPE AMAPE THEIL' U 1 lineární trend 3.7049E-12 291.3660 28797095.100 141162.231 375.716 7.983 8.495 0.03743 2 kvadratický trend -1.0581E-08 113.4160 4674181.522 22912.655 151.369 2.5972 2.5970 0.01507 3 kubický trend -1.1397E-03 107.2110 3394514.926 16639.779 128.995 2.745 2.736 0.01283 4 bikvadratický trend 2.4883E-02 85.8820 2368807.230 11611.800 107.758 2.158 2.152 0.01072 5 mocninný trend 1.6339E+02 726.0390 181724826.000 890807.971 943.826 16.678 16.866 0.09774 6 logaritmický trend -2.5145E-11 1066.0800 355573663.800 1743008.156 1320.230 28.145 27.641 0.12352 7 exponenciální trend 2.1839E+02 479.1520 76471649.170 374861.025 612.259 11.192 10.939 0.06352 8 modifik.expon.trend 7.0100E-03 108.4490 3794455.560 18600.272 136.383 2.675 2.678 0.01357 9 logistický trend 4.5700E-01 121.9810 6224945.163 30514.437 174.684 2.705 2.690 0.01740 10 Gompertzův trend -1.4746E+00 112.5840 4532160.951 22216.475 149.052 2.631 2.628 0.01484 mean error mean absolute error sum of sq.errors mean sq.error root MSE mean abs.%-error adjusted MAPE TheilovoU ##### Sheet/List 17 ##### čtvrtletí pořadí realGDP čtvrtletí pořadí realGDP čtvrtletí pořadí realGDP realGDP pořadí 1950Q1 1 1610.5 1967Q1 69 3291.8 1984Q1 137 5402.3 1610.5 1 1950Q2 2 1658.8 1967Q2 70 3289.7 1984Q2 138 5493.8 1658.8 2 1950Q3 3 1723 1967Q3 71 3313.5 1984Q3 139 5541.3 1723 3 1950Q4 4 1753.9 1967Q4 72 3338.3 1984Q4 140 5583.1 1753.9 4 1951Q1 5 1773.5 1968Q1 73 3406.2 1985Q1 141 5629.7 1773.5 5 1951Q2 6 1803.7 1968Q2 74 3464.8 1985Q2 142 5673.8 1803.7 6 1951Q3 7 1839.8 1968Q3 75 3489.2 1985Q3 143 5758.6 1839.8 7 1951Q4 8 1843.3 1968Q4 76 3504.1 1985Q4 144 5806 1843.3 8 1952Q1 9 1864.7 1969Q1 77 3558.3 1986Q1 145 5858.9 1864.7 9 1952Q2 10 1866.2 1969Q2 78 3567.6 1986Q2 146 5883.3 1866.2 10 1952Q3 11 1878 1969Q3 79 3588.3 1986Q3 147 5937.9 1878 11 1952Q4 12 1940.2 1969Q4 80 3571.4 1986Q4 148 5969.5 1940.2 12 1953Q1 13 1976 1970Q1 81 3566.5 1987Q1 149 6013.3 1976 13 1953Q2 14 1992.2 1970Q2 82 3573.9 1987Q2 150 6077.2 1992.2 14 1953Q3 15 1979.5 1970Q3 83 3605.2 1987Q3 151 6128.1 1979.5 15 1953Q4 16 1947.8 1970Q4 84 3566.5 1987Q4 152 6234.4 1947.8 16 1954Q1 17 1938.1 1971Q1 85 3666.1 1988Q1 153 6275.9 1938.1 17 1954Q2 18 1941 1971Q2 86 3686.2 1988Q2 154 6349.8 1941 18 1954Q3 19 1962 1971Q3 87 3714.5 1988Q3 155 6382.3 1962 19 1954Q4 20 2000.9 1971Q4 88 3723.8 1988Q4 156 6465.2 2000.9 20 1955Q1 21 2058.1 1972Q1 89 3796.9 1989Q1 157 6543.8 2058.1 21 1955Q2 22 2091 1972Q2 90 3883.8 1989Q2 158 6579.4 2091 22 1955Q3 23 2118.9 1972Q3 91 3922.3 1989Q3 159 6610.6 2118.9 23 1955Q4 24 2130.1 1972Q4 92 3990.5 1989Q4 160 6633.5 2130.1 24 1956Q1 25 2121 1973Q1 93 4092.3 1990Q1 161 6716.3 2121 25 1956Q2 26 2137.7 1973Q2 94 4133.3 1990Q2 162 6731.7 2137.7 26 1956Q3 27 2135.3 1973Q3 95 4117 1990Q3 163 6719.4 2135.3 27 1956Q4 28 2170.4 1973Q4 96 4151.1 1990Q4 164 6664.2 2170.4 28 1957Q1 29 2182.7 1974Q1 97 4119.3 1991Q1 165 6631.4 2182.7 29 1957Q2 30 2177.7 1974Q2 98 4130.4 1991Q2 166 6668.5 2177.7 30 1957Q3 31 2198.9 1974Q3 99 4084.5 1991Q3 167 6684.9 2198.9 31 1957Q4 32 2176 1974Q4 100 4062 1991Q4 168 6720.9 2176 32 1958Q1 33 2117.4 1975Q1 101 4010 1992Q1 169 6783.3 2117.4 33 1958Q2 34 2129.7 1975Q2 102 4045.2 1992Q2 170 6846.8 2129.7 34 1958Q3 35 2177.5 1975Q3 103 4115.4 1992Q3 171 6899.7 2177.5 35 1958Q4 36 2226.5 1975Q4 104 4167.2 1992Q4 172 6990.6 2226.5 36 1959Q1 37 2273 1976Q1 105 4266.1 1993Q1 173 6988.7 2273 37 1959Q2 38 2332.4 1976Q2 106 4301.5 1993Q2 174 7031.2 2332.4 38 1959Q3 39 2331.4 1976Q3 107 4321.9 1993Q3 175 7062 2331.4 39 1959Q4 40 2339.1 1976Q4 108 4357.4 1993Q4 176 7168.7 2339.1 40 1960Q1 41 2391 1977Q1 109 4410.5 1994Q1 177 7229.4 2391 41 1960Q2 42 2379.2 1977Q2 110 4489.8 1994Q2 178 7330.2 2379.2 42 1960Q3 43 2383.6 1977Q3 111 4570.6 1994Q3 179 7370.2 2383.6 43 1960Q4 44 2352.9 1977Q4 112 4576.1 1994Q4 180 7461.1 2352.9 44 1961Q1 45 2366.5 1978Q1 113 4588.9 1995Q1 181 7488.7 2366.5 45 1961Q2 46 2410.8 1978Q2 114 4765.7 1995Q2 182 7503.3 2410.8 46 1961Q3 47 2450.4 1978Q3 115 4811.7 1995Q3 183 7561.4 2450.4 47 1961Q4 48 2500.4 1978Q4 116 4876 1995Q4 184 7621.9 2500.4 48 1962Q1 49 2544 1979Q1 117 4888.3 1996Q1 185 7676.4 2544 49 1962Q2 50 2571.5 1979Q2 118 4891.4 1996Q2 186 7802.9 2571.5 50 1962Q3 51 2596.8 1979Q3 119 4926.2 1996Q3 187 7841.9 2596.8 51 1962Q4 52 2603.3 1979Q4 120 4942.6 1996Q4 188 7931.3 2603.3 52 1963Q1 53 2634.1 1980Q1 121 4958.9 1997Q1 189 8016.4 2634.1 53 1963Q2 54 2668.4 1980Q2 122 4857.8 1997Q2 190 8131.9 2668.4 54 1963Q3 55 2719.6 1980Q3 123 4850.3 1997Q3 191 8216.6 2719.6 55 1963Q4 56 2739.4 1980Q4 124 4936.6 1997Q4 192 8272.9 2739.4 56 1964Q1 57 2800.5 1981Q1 125 5032.5 1998Q1 193 8396.3 2800.5 57 1964Q2 58 2833.8 1981Q2 126 4997.3 1998Q2 194 8442.9 2833.8 58 1964Q3 59 2872 1981Q3 127 5056.8 1998Q3 195 8528.5 2872 59 1964Q4 60 2879.5 1981Q4 128 4997.1 1998Q4 196 8667.9 2879.5 60 1965Q1 61 2950.1 1982Q1 129 4914.3 1999Q1 197 8733.5 2950.1 61 1965Q2 62 2989.9 1982Q2 130 4935.5 1999Q2 198 8771.2 2989.9 62 1965Q3 63 3050.7 1982Q3 131 4912.1 1999Q3 199 8871.5 3050.7 63 1965Q4 64 3123.6 1982Q4 132 4915.6 1999Q4 200 9049.9 3123.6 64 1966Q1 65 3201.1 1983Q1 133 4972.4 2000Q1 201 9102.5 3201.1 65 1966Q2 66 3213.2 1983Q2 134 5089.8 2000Q2 202 9229.4 3213.2 66 1966Q3 67 3233.6 1983Q3 135 5180.4 2000Q3 203 9260.1 3233.6 67 1966Q4 68 3261.8 1983Q4 136 5286.8 2000Q4 204 9303.9 3261.8 68 3291.8 69 3289.7 70 3313.5 71 3338.3 72 3406.2 73 3464.8 74 3489.2 75 3504.1 76 3558.3 77 3567.6 78 3588.3 79 3571.4 80 3566.5 81 3573.9 82 3605.2 83 3566.5 84 3666.1 85 3686.2 86 3714.5 87 3723.8 88 3796.9 89 3883.8 90 3922.3 91 3990.5 92 4092.3 93 4133.3 94 4117 95 4151.1 96 4119.3 97 4130.4 98 4084.5 99 4062 100 4010 101 4045.2 102 4115.4 103 4167.2 104 4266.1 105 4301.5 106 4321.9 107 4357.4 108 4410.5 109 4489.8 110 4570.6 111 4576.1 112 4588.9 113 4765.7 114 4811.7 115 4876 116 4888.3 117 4891.4 118 4926.2 119 4942.6 120 4958.9 121 4857.8 122 4850.3 123 4936.6 124 5032.5 125 4997.3 126 5056.8 127 4997.1 128 4914.3 129 4935.5 130 4912.1 131 4915.6 132 4972.4 133 5089.8 134 5180.4 135 5286.8 136 5402.3 137 5493.8 138 5541.3 139 5583.1 140 5629.7 141 5673.8 142 5758.6 143 5806 144 5858.9 145 5883.3 146 5937.9 147 5969.5 148 6013.3 149 6077.2 150 6128.1 151 6234.4 152 6275.9 153 6349.8 154 6382.3 155 6465.2 156 6543.8 157 6579.4 158 6610.6 159 6633.5 160 6716.3 161 6731.7 162 6719.4 163 6664.2 164 6631.4 165 6668.5 166 6684.9 167 6720.9 168 6783.3 169 6846.8 170 6899.7 171 6990.6 172 6988.7 173 7031.2 174 7062 175 7168.7 176 7229.4 177 7330.2 178 7370.2 179 7461.1 180 7488.7 181 7503.3 182 7561.4 183 7621.9 184 7676.4 185 7802.9 186 7841.9 187 7931.3 188 8016.4 189 8131.9 190 8216.6 191 8272.9 192 8396.3 193 8442.9 194 8528.5 195 8667.9 196 8733.5 197 8771.2 198 8871.5 199 9049.9 200 9102.5 201 9229.4 202 9260.1 203 9303.9 204