ECON 4310 Fall 2009 Problem set 1 ECON 4310 Fall 2008 Espen Henriksen Problem set 3 Due next seminar. 1. Theory Verify the form of the true value function: Consider a model economy where the social planner chooses an infinite sequence of consumption and next period’s capital stock {ct, kt+1}∞ t=0 in order to max {ct,kt+1}∞ t=0 ∞ t=0 βt u (ct) subject to ct + kt+1 ≤ yt, ∀t ct, kt ≥ 0, ∀t k0 > 0. given Assume the following functional forms u (ct) = ln ct, ∀t, σ > 0 yt = F (kt, 1) = γkα t , ∀t, α ∈ (0, 1) Reformulate this optimization problem as a dynamic programming problem and write up the Bellman equation. Verify that the value function solving the functional equation (i.e. the Bellman equation) is of the following form v (k) = a + b ln k. Find a and b as functions of the model economy’s structural parame- ters. 1 1 (a) the investment/capital ratio2 (b) the capital/labor ratio3 (c) the capital/output ratio (d) the factor prices (e) capital’s and labor’s shares of national income (f) the investment/output ratio (g) the consumption/output ratio 2. Computations Consider a model economy where the social planner chooses an infinite sequence of consumption and next period’s capital stock {ct, kt+1}∞ t=0 in order to max {ct,kt+1}∞ t=0 ∞ t=0 βt u (ct) subject to ct + kt+1 ≤ f (kt) + (1 − δ) kt, ∀t ct, kt ≥ 0, ∀t k0 > 0. given Assume the following functional forms u (ct) = c1−σ t − 1 1 − σ , ∀t, σ > 0 yt = γkα t , ∀t, α ∈ (0, 1) where α = .35, β = .98, δ = .025, σ = 2, and γ = 5. As we have derived in class we know that we can rewrite this as a recursive problem and that the Bellman equation is v (kt) = max kt+1 {u (kt, kt+1) + βv (kt+1)} . In order to compute the stationary value function you choose to use discrete value function iteration. The capital stock can take three discrete values; k ∈ k(1), k(2), k(3) = {2.85, 3.00, 3.15} . That means that v (kt) and v (kt+1) are 3×1 vectors (Figure 1) whereas u (kt, kt+1) is a 3 × 3 matrix (Figure 2). 2 Hint: use the law of motion for capital. 3 Hint: use the intertemporal optimality condition, the Euler equation. 2 2 (a) Compute a (3 × 3) dimensional consumption matrix C (i, j) with the value of consumption for all the (3 × 3) values of kt and kt+1. Then compute a (3 × 3)-dimensional matrix with the utility of consumption for all the (3 × 3) values of kt and kt+1 similar to the one in Figure 2. (b) Assume v (kt+1) =   167.6 168.1 168.6   . Before you maximize {u (kt, kt+1) + βv (kt+1)} you need to compute the sum of two elements u (kt, kt+1) and βv (kt+1). But since u (kt, kt+1) is a 3×3 matrix whereas v (kt+1) is a 3×1 vector you need to transform v (kt+1) into a 3 × 3 matrix. Note that v (kt+1) is independent of kt. The resulting matrix should therefore be like the matrix represented in Figure 3. Hint: To transpose a matrix in Matlab you simply use ′. (c) Now that you have {u (kt, kt+1) + βv (kt+1)} you can compute v (kt); v (kt) = max kt+1 {u (kt, kt+1) + βv (kt+1)} . Hint: lookup help for max, i.e. type help max. 3. Measurement Compute annual real interest rate for the period 1979 to 2006 using annualized 3M NIBOR rates from Norges Bank http://www.norges-bank.no/Pages/Article____41851.aspx and CPI series from Statistics Norway http://statbank.ssb.no//statistikkbanken/default_fr.asp?PLanguage=1 3 3 Appendix: Figures kt v k (1) t v k (2) t v k (3) t (a) v (kt) kt+1 v k (1) t+1 v k (2) t+1 v k (3) t+1 (b) v (kt+1) Figure 1: v (kt) and v (kt+1) 4 kt+1 kt u k (1) t , k (1) t+1 u k (2) t , k (1) t+1 u k (3) t , k (1) t+1 u k (1) t , k (2) t+1 u k (2) t , k (2) t+1 u k (3) t , k (2) t+1 u k (1) t , k (3) t+1 u k (2) t , k (3) t+1 u k (3) t , k (3) t+1 Figure 2: u (kt, kt+1) 5 kt+1 kt u k (1) t , k (1) t+1 + βv k (1) t+1 u k (2) t , k (1) t+1 + βv k (1) t+1 u k (3) t , k (1) t+1 + βv k (1) t+1 u k (1) t , k (2) t+1 + βv k (2) t+1 u k (2) t , k (2) t+1 + βv k (2) t+1 u k (3) t , k (2) t+1 + βv k (2) t+1 u k (1) t , k (3) t+1 + βv k (3) t+1 u k (2) t , k (3) t+1 + βv k (3) t+1 u k (3) t , k (3) t+1 + βv k (3) t+1 Figure 3: u (kt, kt+1) + βv (kt+1) 6