CMR143 Winter 1999 I Vol.41. N □ . 2 i REPRINT SERIES \/I QT1 O (V, IVlolJLaH1 Knowledge-Worker Productivity: The Biggest Chalienge Peter F. Drucker ©1999 by Tile Regent: of the Jrwersity of California Berkeley Knowledge-Worker Productivity: The Biggest Challenge Feter f, Drucker The must important, and indeed the iruiy unique, contribution ot management in the 2.0th century was the fiity-lold increase in the productivity of the manmt\^rkerin manufacturing. The most im-porlant contribution management needs to make in ihe 21*1 remury is similarly to increase the productivity of knowledge work and knowledge, workers. The most valuable assets of a 20'"-century company was its production equipment. The most valuable asset nf a 2 lucent ury institution (whether business or nonbusiness) will be its knowledge workers ami their productivity. The Productivity of the Manual Worker First, We. ritusl take a look at where we are. K was only a littte over a hundred years ago that for the first time fin educated person actually looked at manual work and manual workers, and then began to study bothr The Greek poet Hesiod (eighth eenlury B.C) and Lhe Roman poet Virgil (700 years later) sang about the work oJ the farmer. Theirs are still among Lhe lineal poems tn any language, but neither the work they sang about nor their farmers; bear even the most remote resemblance tn reality, nor were they meant to have any. Neither Hesiud nor virjnl ever held a sickle in their hands, ever herded sheep, or even looked at the people who did either. When Karl Marx, 1900 years after Virgil, came to write abouL manual work and manual workers, he too never looked at either, uor had he ever as much as touched a machine. The first man to do both—that is, to work as a manual worker and then to study manual work—was Frederick Winslow Taylor {1676-1913), Throughout history there have been steady advances in what we today call "productivity" (the term itself is barely HIty years old). They were the result CAJFkRNtV^NA^rr.N""R.SV1EW VOL4LNC12 WINTER ínc^dks-Wbrter Product^ Tŕ* Biggfeť Oaflefije of new tools, new methods, and new technologies; they were advances in what the economist calls "capital." There were lew advances throughout the ages in what the economist calls "labor"—that is, in the productivity of the worker. It was axiomatic throughout history that workers could product* more only by working harder or by working longer hours. The 19"'-cemury economists disagreed about must things as much as economists do today. However, they all agreed—from David Rieardo through Karl Marx—that there are enormous differences In skill between workers, but there are none in respect 10 productivity other than between hard workers and lazy ones, or between physically strong workers and weak ones. Productivity did noi exist. It still is an "extraneous factor" and not part of ihe equation in most contemporary economic theory' (e.g., in Keynes, but also in that of the Austrian School!. In the decade after Taylor first looked at work and studied it, the productivity of the manual worker began its unprecedented rise. Since iheu, it lias been going up steadily at the rale of 3% per annum compound—which means it has been risen fifty-fold since Taylor On this achievement resl allot the economic and social gains of the 20lh century. The productivity of the manual worker has created what we now call "developed" economies. Before Taylor, there was no such thing—all economies were equally "underdeveloped." An underdeveloped economy today—or even an "emerging" one—is one that has notr or at least lias not yet, made the manual worker more productive. The Principles of Manual-Work Productivity Taylor's principles sound deceptively simple. The first step in making the manual worker more productive is to look at the task and to analyze its constituent motions. The next step is to record each motion, the physical elfort it takes, and the time it takes. Then moiions that are not needed can be eliminated; and whenever we have looked at manual work, we have found that a great many of The traditionally most-hallowed procedures turn out to be waste and do not add anything. Then, each ol the motions that remain as essential to obtaining the finished product is set up so as to he done the simplest way, the easiest way. the way that puts the least physical and mental strain on the operator, and the way that requires the least time. Next, these motions are put together again into a "job" that is in a logical sequence Finally, the tools needed to do the motions are redesigned. Whenever we have looked at any job—no matter for how many thousands of years it lias been performed—we have found that the traditional tools are wrong for the task. This was the case, for instance, with the shovel used to carry sand in a foundry (the first task Taylor studied 1, It was the wrong shape, the wrong size, and had the wrong handle, We found tliis to he equally true of the surgeon's traditional tools. Taylor's principles sound obvious—effective methods always do, However, it took Taylor twenty years of experimentation to work them out. ho CA= JFOftNlA MANAGEMENT' AťiVlfcW VCt,4I.NQ? WINTER Kricrwledge-V'/artŕJ" R^dixfcvtr/'i'h have Is in the supply ol people prepared, educated, and trained for knowledge work- There, for another fifty years, the developed countries can expect to have substantial advantages, both in quality and in quantity. Whether this advantage will translate into performance depends on the ability of the developed countries —and ol every Industry in it, of every company in it, ol every institution in it— to raise the productivity ol the knowledge worker and to raise it as fast as the developed countries have raised the productivity of the manual worker in the last hundred years. The countries and the industries that have emerged as the leaders in the last hundred years in the world are the countries and the industries thai have led in raising lite productivity of the manual worker—the U.S. first, Japan and Germany second. Flhy years from now, if not much si>onerr leadership in the world economy will have moved to the countries and to the industries ihat have most systematically and most successfully raised knowledge-worker productivity, The Governance of the Corporation What does the emergence ol the knowledge worker and of knowledge-worker productivity mean for the govswancr fffiki corporation? What does it mean for the future and structure of the economic system? In the ]ast ten or fifteen years, pension funds and other institutional investors became lhe main share owners of the equity capital of publicly owned companies in all developed countries. In the U,S„ this has triggered a furious debate on the governance of corporations. With the emergence of pension funds and mutual funds as the owners of publicly owned companies, power has shifted to these new owners. Similar slilfts in both the definition oi the purpose of economic organisations {such as tht: business corporation) and their governance tan be expected to occur in ail developed countries. Within a fairly short period of time, we will face the problem of the governance of corporations again. We will have to redefine the purpose oi the employing organization and oi Us management as both satisfying the legal owners (such as sltareholdcrs) and satisfying the owners of lite human capital thai gives the organization its weaIth-producing power—that is, satisfying the knowledge CALIFORNIA ^lANAC^f MENT fifcVtfrW VOL A I,MO- VtfNTEP. I9y9 ?S Knowtedg^Worker ProdurtwityiTht Biggest Chalenge workers. Increasingly, the ability or organizations—and not only of businesses— to survive will come to depend on their "comparative advantage" in making the knowledge worker more productive. The ability to attract and hold the best of the knowledge workers is the first and most fundamental precondition. However can this he measured or is it purely an "iniangihte"? Tills will surely he a central problem lor management, lor invcslurs, and for capital markets. What dties "capitalism'* mean when knowledge governs rather than money? And what do "free markets" mean when knowledge workers—and no one else can "own" knowledge—are the true assets? Knowledge workers can neither be bought nor be sold. They do not come with a merger or an acquisition. In fact, although they are the greatest "value," ihey have no "market value"—that means, of course, that they are not an "asset" in any sense of the term. These questions go far beyond the scope ol this anicie. However, it is curtain thai the emergence as key questions ol the knowledge worker and of the knowledge-worker's productivity will, within a lew decades, bring about fundamental changes in the very structure and nature of the economic system. Note* 1. For work in the oldest knowledge profession-—that is, in Medicine-—Taylor's close contemporary William Osier (19) did what "ftwlpr did and m the same time in his 1S92 1* N* Tft? Prinayhs and Practice of Medicine (arguably the best texi-book since Euclid's Gtemttiy in the I bird century B.C-i. Osier's work has rightly been called the application of Scientific Management to Medical Diagnosis, Like Tjjlor, Osier preached that there is no "skill," there is only ntetfted-