Whatisorganicfarming? At the core of the organic philosophy lies a ban on the use of synthetic fertilizers, pesti- cides and herbicides. That means adopting other techniques to nourish crops and pro- tect the soil, such as growing `cover' crops between seasons to prevent erosion and to restore organic matter. Theorganicmovementalsoencompasses such tenets as animal welfare, energy effi- ciency, social justice and the simple agrarian ideal of small farms growing produce for localcommunities.Itisonthislastpointthat the success of organic farming is starting to divertthemovementfromitspurevision. Although organic produce remains a nichemarket,globalsaleshaverisenbyabout 20% per year for five years running1 . This growth has seen some `organic' producers turn into industrial-scale ventures that ship their products over thousands of kilometres. Organic proponents may aim to reduce the fossil fuel expended in transporting crops by encouraging farmers to sell to local markets, but the popularity of organic food in wealthy countrieshasspawnedahugeexportmarket. North America and Europe account for 97% of global organic food and drink sales, but nearly half of the world's organic farmland is found in Asia, Australia and Latin America (see Map, page 794). It's hardly what the movement'spioneershadinmind. Organic standards also differ in their details from country to country. Most rules governing organic farming, including those laid down in the European Union,Japan and the United States, are based on standards set by the non-profit International Federation of OrganicAgriculture Movements in Bonn, Germany."Anyone who is really credible will adhere," says Bruce Pierce, deputy research director of the Elm Farm Research Centre in Berkshire, UK, which studies methods of organic cultivation. But standards are not always comprehensive: Japan, for instance, hasnorulesfororganicmeat. And there are important differences between regions of the world. For instance, an American farmer who chooses to use Chilean nitrate, a mined source of sodium nitrate, permitted under US rules, could not sell the resulting produce in Europe. Although Chilean nitrate is a natural sub- stance,Europeanorganicstandardsconsider it to be the equivalent of a synthetic fertilizer because it is highly soluble and leaches read- ily from the soil. Nor could the US farmer market milk from a cow that had been raised on an organic diet for less than a year -- European rules are stricter than US stan- dards,whichrequireonlysixmonths. Similarly, a consumer buying organic produce in the United States cannot be sure that it is free of contamination from geneti- cally modified (GM) crops unless this is explicitly stated on the label. In Europe, GM content in all GM-free food, including organic produce, is limited to 0.9%, and some certifying bodies, such as Britain's Soil Association,allownodetectableGM. Because organic products fetch premium prices,thereareconcernsaboutthepossibility of cheating. Organic rules are enforced by farminspections,butthelogisticscanbediffi- cult, particularly in remoter parts of export- ing countries."The inspection process is not completely foolproof," admits Francis Blake, standards director of the SoilAssociation and aformerinspector."Itreliesontrust." As a result, some researchers have begun to look for ways to test organic products for authenticity. Alison Bateman of the University of East Anglia in Norwich, UK, is developing a test based on the higher proportion of the isotope nitrogen-15 in organically farmed soil. This is because nitrogen-fixing plants accumulate more of thisheavyisotopethanispresentinsynthetic fertilizers. Other researchers are investigat- ing whether concentrations of trace ele- ments such as calcium, boron, magnesium and selenium differ between organic and conventionalproduce. But tests such as these address only the final products, and so cannot verify whether the farm from which the food came adhered totheprinciplesof organicagriculture."They cannot tell you if a product has been organi- callymanagedornot,"saysBlake. LauraNelson Isorganicfoodbetterforus? This is the claim that attracts many of the consumers who buy organic, so it's no sur- prise that the movement's advocates answer with an unequivocal `yes'. In 2001, for instance, the Soil Association concluded unambiguously that organic food contains less of the bad stuff, such as pesticides, and more of the good stuff, such as vitamins and minerals2 . But independent scientists are less con- vinced. They say that many comparisons between organic and conventional produce are let down by poor methodology. For news feature 796 NATURE|VOL428|22APRIL2004|www.nature.com/nature ORGANIC FAQsIn the developed world, sales of organic produce are growing rapidly. But how far can this trend extend? That depends on how strictly you define organic farming ... and the answers to three other pivotal questions. S.SATUSHEK/GETTYIMAGES 22.4 News Feat Organic Farm MH 19/4/04 10:26 am Page 796 2004 NaturePublishing Group the same farm, and found 30­50% more phenolics in the organic samples4 .Studies of organic pears and peaches have also showed raisedlevelsof phenolics5 . Brandt,who tracks such studies,says that theevidencepointstoorganiccropscontain- ing 10­50% more secondary metabolites than conventional equivalents. This may be because fertilizers applied to conventional plants supply a surfeit of nutrients, encour- aging the plant to channel more energy into growth,ratherthandefendingagainstpests. Butdoplantsecondarymetabolitesreally do us any good? Anthony Trewavas, a plant scientist at the University of Edinburgh,UK, andahigh-profilecriticof theorganicmove- ment6 , questions whether we should be trying to boost levels of secondary metabo- lites before we know the answer to this ques- tion. About 10,000 of these metabolites are thought to exist. Many that have been stud- ied seem to behave paradoxically, acting as carcinogens at high doses and showing anticancerpropertiesatlowdoses7 . At the very least, it seems reasonable to expect organic food to be free from pesticides, which are banned or severely restricted under organic regimes. Food- safety authorities monitor pesticide residues in conventional crops, but levels do occa- sionally exceed maximum legal limits. And according to a 1998 study by Britain's Consumers' Association, some pesticides remain on fruit and vegetables even after theyhavebeenwashed8 . But should we be worried about this? Most researchers believe that allowed residues are safe, although uncertainties exist. The difficulty in applying results from animal experi- ments, which are the mainstay of toxico- logical assessments, to humans is one news feature NATURE|VOL428|22APRIL2004|www.nature.com/nature 797 problem. Opinions can also be revised. The chlorine-containing pesticide lindane was banned in Europe in 2001, for example, because of concern that it might promote breastcancer9 .Ultimately,mosttoxicologists urge caution in assessing and regulating pesticideresidues,buttheydon'tseetheneed toeliminatethementirely. Jim Giles Isorganicfarmingbetterfor theenvironment? This is a more complex question than it at first appears. In some arenas, such as bio- diversity, organic farming has clear benefits. But in others, such as runoff and atmos- pheric emissions, the differences between the two systems are difficult to establish. Although few large, long-term studies directly comparing the systems exist, several literature surveys have brought together smaller studies to build overall compari- sons10,11 . There is general agreement on some benefits.Forexample,organicfarmsdobetter than conventional farms at nurturing abun- dantanddiversepopulationsofplants,insects and other animals.And organic farms release no synthetic pesticides or herbicides,some of whichhavethepotentialtoharmwildlife. Organic farms also score points for using lessenergy--bothperunitareaandperunit of yield -- and producing less extraneous waste,suchaspackagingmaterialsforchem- icals and feed.A typical study at Washington State University in Pullman totted up the energy consumed by labour, machinery, electricity, fertilizer, pesticides and weed control to grow apples in organic and con- ventional orchards, and found the organic orchardtobe7%moreenergyefficient12 . On the flipside, organic methods have a greater environmental impact in some small ways,studies show.Methane emissions from organic farms are likely to be higher per unit of food production, for example. At least in the United States, where dairy cows receive growth hormone, organically raised cattle yield considerably less milk than their hormone-assisted peers -- requiring more cows,whichcollectivelypassmoremethane. But findings are less definitive about the much more significant environmental impact of farm runoff -- through which nitrates and phosphorus leach into streams, rivers and lakes, causing algal blooms that suffocate fish.Several studies have suggested that organic methods will reduce nitrate leaching,but according to a 2003 assessment of the literature sponsored by the British government, the various factors that affect runoff mean that this is not guaranteed13 . Too few measurements of phosphorus runoff have been made to determine which systemreleasesless,thereportconcluded. In theory, organic farms are friendlier to the atmosphere. They should, for instance, generatelesscarbondioxide,whichisreleased Where there's life: the broad biodiversity supported by this organic cereal crop is clear to see. example, some studies fail to take into account the fact that organic farmers prefer crop varieties that are resistant to disease, whereas conventional farmers focus on high-yielding strains. Such studies confuse theeffectof productionsystemwithvariety. Apparent benefits may also turn out to be superficial. Several studies have shown that organic crops contain higher levels of nutrients such as vitamin C and iron3 , for example, but most people in developed countries already have enough of these compounds in their diet. "When evaluating relative nutritional value, these are not important targets," says Kirsten Brandt, an agricultural scientist at the University of NewcastleuponTyne,UK. On the other hand, plant secondary metabolites, substances that may be present at higher levels in organic food, could be an appropriate target, says Brandt. Phenolic metabolites, which fruit and vegetables produce to ward off insects, are believed to haveanticancerproperties,forexample.Last year, food scientist Danny Asami and his colleagues at the University of California, Davis, looked at organic and conventionally grownmarionberriesandmaize(corn)from P.DEAN/GARNTHEILMANPHOTOGRAPHY F.GILSON/STILLPICTURES 22.4 News Feat Organic Farm MH 19/4/04 10:26 am Page 797 2004 NaturePublishing Group in abundance in conventional farming by burningfossilfuelstomanufacture,transport andspreadnitratefertilizers.Andtheplough- ing into the soil of crop residues and cover crops should pull carbon back out of the atmosphere more efficiently. Organic meth- ods might also be expected to produce less nitrousoxide--oneof thecausesof acidrain --thanisreleasedbyheavilyfertilizedsoils. Although the British assessment found that organic farming does lead to lower CO2 emissions,it also said that a lack of firm data made it impossible to compare emissions of nitrous oxide -- which is also produced by legumes and manure on organic farms. Nor were there enough data to evaluate the effec- tivenessofthetwosystemsassinkstocapture atmosphericcarbon. For organic advocates, the key environ- mental issue is not the year-by-year balance of farminginputsandoutputs,butratherthe long-term sustainability of the system. By recyclingbothnitrogenandorganicmaterial back into the soil, they believe, organic agri- culturecanensurethis. Manystudiessupporttheideathatorganic methods are good for soil quality14 ."I used to be sceptical about organic methods, but the evidenceonorganicmaterialchangesthings," says Mark David, a biogeochemist at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. But in the absence of long-term comparative studies, the argument about sustainability is difficulttoprove. ColinMacilwain Canorganicfarmingreplace conventionalagriculture? Not if the world wants a meat-rich diet, as even die-hard organic proponents are will- ing to concede. But if the world's demand for cheap, abundant meat can be curbed, then quite possibly it could. Ultimately,it'saquestionofefficiencyand yield. The elimination of pesticides and her- bicides does not seem to reduce yields as muchasyoumightexpect.Becausepeststend to prefer particular plants,the crop rotations favoured by organic farmers help to prevent insect populations from accumulating to damaging levels.Continuous cover cropping in winter also keeps weeds down, so the soil accumulates fewer weed seeds.Natural pesti- cidesandmechanicalweedingfinishthejob. Still, there are some regional pest prob- lems for which no organic solution has yet been found. Notorious in the northwestern United States is the garden symphylan (Scutigerella immaculata), a centipede that canattackasparagus,maize,mintandstraw- berries and is controlled by soil fumigants in conventional systems.Years of research have yielded no effective organic control -- all organic farmers can do is replough the field inanattempttokillthecentipedes. Abiggerinfluenceonyieldisthemeansby whichorganicfieldsaresuppliedwithenough In large part, the huge nitrogen inputs required by modern agriculture are needed to grow sufficient grain to raise livestock: producing a kilogram of lean meat requires 25­50 kg of grain. Even with sufficient nitrogen, organic farms would have a hard time meeting this demand, Smil says, because they must grow a variety of crops to maintain soil health and defend against pests. Turning over entire farms to grow maize and soya beans to feed livestock isn't a viableoption. Even stalwart supporters of organic agri- culture agree.But their line is that we should eat less meat and more vegetables, and embrace an organic future. The argument that organic farming can't produce enough food"only works if you assume that we con- tinue to expand production of cheap meat", says Peter Melchett, policy director of Britain'sSoilAssociation. Virginia Gewin 1. Willer, H. & Yussefi, M. (eds) The World of Organic Agriculture: Statistics and Emerging Trends (International Federation of Organic Agriculture Movements, Bonn, 2004). 2. Heaton, S. Organic Farming, Food Quality and Human Health: A Review of the Evidence (Soil Association, Bristol, 2001). 3. Worthington, V. J. Altern. Complement. Med. 7, 161­173 (2001). 4. Asami, D. K., Hong, Y.-J., Barrett, D. M. & Mitchell, A. E. J. Agric. Food Chem. 51, 1237­1241 (2003). 5. Carbonaro, M., Mattera, M., Nicoli, S., Bergamo, P. & Cappelloni, M. J. Agric. Food Chem. 50, 5458­5462 (2002). 6. Trewavas, A. Nature 410, 409­410 (2001). 7. Ames, B. N. & Gold, L. S. Mutat. Res. 447, 3­13 (2000). 8. Health Which? 8­11 (June 1998). 9. Mitra, A. K., Faruque, F. S. & Avis, A. L. J. Environ. Health 66, 24­32 (2004). 10.Stolze, M., Piorr, A., Häring, A. M. & Dabbert, S. Environmental Impacts of Organic Farming in Europe (University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, 2000). 11.Hansen, B., Alre, H. J. & Kristensen, E. S. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 83, 11­26 (2001). 12.Reganold, J. P., Glover, J. D., Andrews, P. K. & Hinman, H. R. Nature 410, 926­930 (2001). 13.Shepherd, M. et al. An Assessment of the Environmental Impacts of Organic Farming DEFRA-funded project OF0405 (DEFRA, London, 2003). 14.Johnston, A. E. Soil Use Manage. 2, 97­105 (1986). 15.Maeder, P. et al. Science 296, 1694­1697 (2002). 16.Lotter, D. W., Seidel, R. & Liebhardt, W. Am. J. Altern. Agric. 18, 146­154 (2003). news feature nitrogen to maintain productivity. Conven- tional fields get a generous dose of nitrogen each season from synthetic fertilizer, whereas organic fields get theirs from manure and covercrops,sometimescalled`greenmanure'. Season to season, the two approaches can produce comparable yields. A 21-year study by the Research Institute of OrganicAgricul- ture in Frick, Switzerland, concluded that organic fields produce yields 20% lower than conventionalfields,onaverage15 .Meanwhile, another long-term study by the Rodale Insti- tute in Kutztown, Pennsylvania, obtained roughly equal yields of maize and soya beans with the two systems. The Rodale team also found that organic systems can achieve 20­40%higheryieldsindroughtyears16 . Buttomaintainthesoil'snitrogencontent inthelongterm,organicfarmersmustgrowa legume or other nitrogen-fixing crop regu- larly. This takes land out of commercial pro- duction, reducing the overall yield of a plot overtime.Althoughsomelegumesareedible, the most efficient nitrogen-fixers, such as clover, are not. The Rodale researchers managed to minimize lost yield by growing legumes over the winter, but this may not be practical in harsher climates; nor will it provide the same benefit in warmer regions wherecashcropsaregrownyearround. VaclavSmil,anatural-resourcesresearcher at the University of Manitoba in Winnipeg, Canada,calculates that there is an even bigger obstacle to organic edging out conventional farming any time soon. He says that the total nitrogen available to organic farmers through manureandlegumesamountstolessthanhalf the total nitrogen consumed by the world's farms today -- some 85 million tonnes.More cover cropping may increase the available nitrogen,but this is a luxury farmers in places such as Indonesia or China can ill afford."In these countries, you cannot plant crops that noonewilleat,"Smilsays. 798 NATURE|VOL428|22APRIL2004|www.nature.com/nature Soil survivor: the garden symphylan has so far proved resistant to any organic pest controls. J.UMBLE 22.4 News Feat Organic Farm MH 19/4/04 10:26 am Page 798 2004 NaturePublishing Group