1 Backgrounder:Backgrounder: An Intro to Public Opinion & PoliticalAn Intro to Public Opinion & Political Socialization in the USSocialization in the US MU MVZ 449 Spring 2010 Dave McCuan Masaryk University IntroductionIntroduction l Public Opinion ­ The distribution of the population's beliefs about politics and policy issues. l Demography ­ The science of population changes. l Census ­ A valuable tool for understanding population changes - required every 10 years. 2 The American PeopleThe American People l The Immigrant Society ­ African Americans face a legacy of racism. Hispanics are the largest minority group, faced with the problem of illegal immigration (Simpson-Mazzoli Act). ­ Asian immigration has been driven by a new class of professional workers. ­ Political culture is an overall set of values widely shared within a society. The American PeopleThe American People 3 The American PeopleThe American People l The Regional Shift ­ Reapportionment: The process of reallocating seats in the House of Representatives every 10 years on the basis of the results of the census. The American PeopleThe American People l The Graying of America ­ Fastest growing age group is over 65 ­ Potential drain on Social Security ­ "Gray Power" 4 How Americans Learn AboutHow Americans Learn About Politics: Political SocializationPolitics: Political Socialization l Political Socialization: ­ "...the process through which and individual acquires [their] particular political orientation" l The Process of Political Socialization ­ The Family l Time & emotional commitment l Political leanings of children often mirror their parent's leanings How Americans Learn AboutHow Americans Learn About Politics: Political SocializationPolitics: Political Socialization 5 How Americans Learn AboutHow Americans Learn About Politics: Political SocializationPolitics: Political Socialization l The Process of Political Socialization ­ The Mass Media l Generation gap in TV news viewing ­ School / Education l Used by government to socialize the young into the political culture l Education produces better jobs and a more positive view of government l Political Learning Over a Lifetime How American Learn AboutHow American Learn About Politics: Political SocializationPolitics: Political Socialization l Turnout by Age, 2000 6 Measuring Public Opinion andMeasuring Public Opinion and Political InformationPolitical Information l How Polls Are Conducted ­ Random Sampling: The key technique employed by sophisticated survey researchers, which operates on the principle that everyone should have an equal probability of being selected for the sample. ­ Sampling Error: The level of confidence in the findings of a public opinion poll. Measuring Public Opinion andMeasuring Public Opinion and Political InformationPolitical Information l The Role of Polls in American Democracy ­ Polls help politicians figure out public preferences. ­ Does it make politicians think more about following the polls? ­ Exit Polls - used by the media to predict election day winners. ­ The wording of questions makes a difference. 7 Measuring Public Opinion andMeasuring Public Opinion and Political InformationPolitical Information l What Polls Reveal About Americans' Political Information ­ Americans don't know much about politics. ­ Americans may know their basic beliefs, but not how that affects policies of the government. l The Decline of Trust in Government ­ Since 1964, trust in government has declined. ­ Trust in government has gone up somewhat since September 11. Measuring Public Opinion andMeasuring Public Opinion and Political InformationPolitical Information l Citizens Show Little Knowledge of Geography 8 Measuring Public Opinion andMeasuring Public Opinion and Political InformationPolitical Information l The Decline of Trust in Government, 1958-2004 (Figure 6.4) What Americans Value:What Americans Value: Political IdeologiesPolitical Ideologies l Political Ideology: ­ A coherent set of beliefs about politics, public policy, and public purpose. l Who Are the Liberals and Conservatives? ­ Views change over time ­ Currently about 37% conservative, 23% liberal, 40% moderate 9 What Americans Value: PoliticalWhat Americans Value: Political IdeologiesIdeologies What Americans Value:What Americans Value: Political IdeologiesPolitical Ideologies l Do People Think in Ideological Terms? ­ Ideologues: think in ideological terms - 12% of the population ­ Group Benefits: rely on party labels - 42% of the population ­ Nature of the Times: current times are good or bad - 24% of the population ­ No issue content: based on personalities - 22% of the population 10 How Americans Participate inHow Americans Participate in PoliticsPolitics l Political Participation: ­ All the activities used by citizens to influence the selection of political leaders or the policies they pursue. l Conventional Participation ­ Voting in elections ­ Working in campaigns / running for office ­ Contacting elected officials How Americans Participate inHow Americans Participate in PoliticsPolitics l Protest as Participation ­ Protest: A form of political participation designed to achieve policy changes through dramatic and unconventional tactics. ­ Civil disobedience: A form of political participation that reflects a conscious decision to break a law believed to be immoral and to suffer the consequences. 11 How Americans Participate inHow Americans Participate in PoliticsPolitics l Class, Inequality, and Participation Understanding Public OpinionUnderstanding Public Opinion and Political Actionand Political Action l Public Attitudes Toward the Scope of Government ­ Many people have no opinion. l Democracy, Public Opinion, and Political Action ­ We select our leaders, not policies. ­ We protest for specific policies, not against the government.