Coal in the CR and Central Europe PhDr. Tomáš Vlček, Ph.D. International Relations and Energy Security Department of International Relations and European Studies Commodity specifics  Main use of coal: production of heat and electricity by combustion; production of metallurgical coke by carbonization of coal  1 kWh of electricity = combustion of 0.00049 tons of coal on average  1 MWh of elelctricity = 0.49 tons of coal  1,000 MW power plant´s 1 hour production = combustion of 490 tons of coal  24-hour-production = 11,760 tons  1-month-production = 352,800 tons Commodity specifics  This greatly affects transport of coal, most of the inland coal transports are carried out by: - freight trains (60-70%) - river transport (5-15%) - trucks (10-15%) - conveyor belts (8-10%) - or pipe (1%). Commodity specifics  Coal is traded all over the world, with coal shipped huge distances by sea to reach markets.  Ships are commonly used for international transportation, in sizes ranging from: ◦ Handysize - 40-45,000 DWT ◦ Panamax - about 60-80,000 DWT ◦ Capesize vessels - about 80,000 DWT  Overall international trade in coal reached 1142Mt in 2011; while this is a significant amount of coal it still only accounts for about 16% of total coal consumed. Most coal is used in the country in which it is produced. Commodity specifics  Transportation costs account for a large share of the total delivered price of coal, therefore international trade in steam coal is effectively divided into two regional markets  the Atlantic market, made up of importing countries in Western Europe, notably the UK, Germany and Spain.  the Pacific market, which consists of developing and OECD Asian importers, notably Japan, Korea and Chinese Taipei. The Pacific market currently accounts for about 57% of world seaborne steam coal trade. Commodity specifics Source: Euracoal Commodity specifics Source: Euracoal Commodity specifics Source: Euracoal Commodity specifics  The coal business in CE is thus rather local or regional (bituminous coal)  High quality coal and metalurgical coal is however a part of the cross-border trade ◦ Higher quality of the material ◦ Better use (cogeneration, metalurgy) ◦ More expensive products (heat and electricity, metal) ◦ Transport expenditures are balanced with better revenues for use Hard Coal in the Czech Republic Installed Capacity in the Czech Electricity Grid on 31 December 2017 Type of Power Station Installed Capacity (MWe) Production (brutto, MWh) Percentage (%) Thermal Power Station 11,075.4 45,431.7 49.7 / 52.2 Gas Combined Cycle Power Station 1,363.5 3,722.4 6.1 / 4.3 Gas Fired Power Station 895.9 3,719.6 4.0 / 4.3 Hydroelectricity 1,092.7 1,869.5 4.9 / 2.1 Pumped-storage Hydroelectricity 1,171.5 1,170.5 5.3 / 1.3 Nuclear Power Station 4,290.0 28,339.6 19.3 / 32.6 Wind Power 308.2 591.0 1.4 / 0.7 Solar Power 2,069.5 2,193.4 9.3 / 2.5 Geothermal Power 0 0 0 / 0 Total 22,266.7 87,037.6 100 / 100 Source: Energeticky regulacni urad, 2018, s.5, 40 Coal Power Plants in the Czech Republic with more than 150 MWe of Installed Capacity Power Plant Owner Installed Capacity Connected to the Grid Fired on Life Expectancy* Detmarovice CEZ, a. s. 800 MWe 1975 - 1976 Bituminous coal 2020-2030 Chvaletice Severni energeticka a.s. 800 MWe 1977 - 1978 Brown coal 2020-2029 Kladno Alpiq Generation (CZ), s. r. o. 299.1 MWe 1976, 1999 Bituminous coal, brown coal 2045-2050 Komorany United Energy pravni nastupce, a. s. 239 MWe 1959, 1978, 1986, 1994, 1997, 1998 Brown coal** 2025 Ledvice II CEZ, a. s. 220 MWe 1966-1968 Brown coal 2015 Ledvice III CEZ, a. s. 110 MWe 1998 Brown coal 2040-2055 Ledvice IV CEZ, a. s. 660 MWe 2014 - 2015 Brown coal 2055 Melnik (II) CEZ, a. s. 220 MWe 1971 Brown coal 2015-2020 Melnik (III) CEZ, a. s. 500 MWe 1981 Brown coal 2015-2020 Melnik (I) Energotrans, a. s. 352 MWe 1961, 1994 - 1995 Brown coal ? Opatovice Elektrarny Opatovice, a. s. 378 MWe 1979, 1987, 1995 - 1997 Brown coal 2020-2030 Pocerady CEZ, a. s. 1,000 MWe 1970 - 1977 Brown coal 2029+ Porici CEZ, a. s. 165 MWe 1957 Brown coal, bituminous coal** ? Prunerov II CEZ, a. s. 1,050 MWe 1981 - 1982 Brown coal 2015-2023 (2040***) Prunerov I CEZ, a. s. 440 MWe 1967 - 1968 Brown coal 2015-2023 (2040***) Tisova I CEZ, a. s. 183.8 MWe 1959 - 1961 Brown coal 2020+ Tisova II CEZ, a. s. 112 MWe 1959 - 1961 Brown coal ** 2020+ Trebovice Dalkia Ceska Republika, a. s. 174 MWe 1961, 1998 Bituminous coal, light fuel oil 2015-2020 Tusimice II CEZ, a. s. 800 MWe 1974 - 1975 Brown coal 2035 Coal in the Czech Republic Year Exploitable economic reserves Explored economic reserves Prospected economic reserves Potentially economic reserves Crude extractionI Saleable extractionI 2008 192,182 1,523,979 5,928,406 8,741,585 16,628 12,662 2009 205,630 1,543,177 6,011,672 8,900,448 15,130 11,001 2010 168,917 1,536,411 6,009,407 8,875,686 15,786 11,584 2011 180,729 1,518,929 5,998,902 8,821,173 15,681 11,455 2012 168,538 1,496,792 5,995,983 8,831,488 15,889 11,439 2013 66,301 1,487,287 5,993,801 8,834,579 13,368 10,045 2014 56,569 1,475,446 5,993,812 8,835,351 13,166 11,471 2015 41,844 1,475,464 5,746,510 8,839,345 8,483 7,640 2016 25,199 1,465,793 5,991,317 8,828,495 6,725VI 6,074 Source: Geofond, 2017 1 – česká část hornoslezské pánve 2 - česká část vnitrosudetské pánve 3 - podkrkonošská pánev 4 - středočeské pánev 5 - mšensko-roudnická pánev 6 - plzeňská a radnická pánev 7 - boskovická brázda 8 - mšensko-roudnická pánev 9 - mnichovohradišťská pánev 13 Brown Coal in the Czech Republic Year Exploitable economic reserves Explored economic reserves Prospected economic reserves Potentially economic reserves Crude extractionI 2012 862,202 2,347,268 2,063,445 4,525,445 43,710 2013 825,322 2,308,649 2,062,445 4,488,796 40,585 2014 796,277 2,273,951 2,062,445 4,489,937 38,348 2015 749,075 2,239,329 2,062,445 4,473,282 38,351 2016 714,356 2,203,911 2,059,859 4,465,466 38,646 Source: Geofond, 2017 1 – chebská pánev 2 – sokolovská pánev 3 – severočeská pánev 4 – česká část žitavské pánve 15 Czech coal market structure (2009, source: Kavina 2010) ◦ Two separate markets ◦ Coking and Heating ◦ Hard coal only 7% of electricity production 16 2009 - těžba černého uhlí 11 001 kt ČU koksovatelné 5 900 kt ČU energetické 5 101 kt Tuzemské dodávky 2 318 kt Export 3 582 kt Tuzemské dodávky 2 657 kt Export 2 444 kt Dovozy 777 kt Dovozy 987 kt K tuzemskému užití 3 095 kt K tuzemskému užití 3 644 kt Výroba koksu 2 270 kt 17 18  Coal is an essential source in the Czech energy and electricity mix  Coal is the only energy source, in which we are self-sufficient in terms of energy security  Domestic production of lignite fully cover domestic consumption  Hard coal is also a major export commodity of the Czech Republic  Current problems of the coal sector will most likely not and will not have a significant negative impact on the electricity sector of the Czech Republic, but may be at risk of inaction respective companies and industries significantly negative impact on the sector CHP Coal in the Czech Republic 19 Coal in the Czech Republic  Two problems:  Financial crisis and general drop in economic production (hard coal)  Territorial Ecological Limits on Brown Coal Mining (brown coal) Limits on coal mining  Territorial Ecological Limits on Brown Coal Mining guided by the Government’s Resolution No. 444/1991 on territorial ecological limits on brown coal mining in the North Bohemian Basin of October 30, 1991.  This resolution specified the final lines of mining and landfill in the mines Merkur, Brezno, Libous, Sverma, Vrsany, CSA, Lezaky, Bilina and Chabarovice and in Ruzodolska and Radovesicka landfills as well as the limit values of air pollution in basins in the regions Chomutov, Most, Teplice, Usti nad Labem and Louny. Limits after SEP 2015  Decision transferred to RMP which states (p. 49):  On 19. 10. 2015 the Government discussed the material "Further procedures and solutions for the territorial environmental limits of the brown coal mining in northern Bohemia" and issued Resolution no. 827 to tackle the issue of territorial environmental limits.  At Bílina mine the government approved changes in the territorial environmental limits with the new mining limits set 500 m from the urban area of the nearby municipality.  At the ČSA mine the government left the territorial environmental limits in force. But the coal will be conserved and protected and new assessment of the situation will take place in 2020, taking account the process of construction of new nuclear units. Financial Crisis  The general specification of coal industry usually begins with a very true statement that coal supply adds up 50-66 % of overall operational costs of the coal fired power plant.  It is thus very sensitive to the fluctuations in price. Financial Crisis  At this moment the bituminous coal sector in the CR and CE is very negatively affected by the world market  CR: drop in prices, production and closure of Paskov (31.3.2017)  PL: drop in prices, production and significant closures, miners striking, threat of bankruptc, energy security Comparison of key indicators of JSW SA and OKD, a.s. (recalculated to EUR) JSW 2015 OKD 2015 JSW 2017 OKD 2017 No. of employeesI 18,947 9,135 20,887 6,120 Capital expenditures EUR 190.5 m EUR 34.3 m EUR 200.6 m EUR 15.3 m Sales revenues EUR 1,657.5 m EUR 885.2 m EUR 2,084.8 m EUR 630.1 m EBIT EUR 931.2 m EUR -251.9 m EUR 731.9 m EUR 124.5 m EBITDA EUR 605.4 m EUR -210.3 m EUR 925.6 m EUR 132.1 m EBITDA netII EUR 122.8 m - EUR 824.0 m Net result EUR 785.2 m EUR -250.4 m EUR 597.3 m EUR 128.8 m Coking coal production 11,151.2 kt 3,760.7 kt 10,675.7 kt 2,829.2 kt Thermal coal production 5,161.7 kt 3,674.4 kt 4,092.7 kt 2,046.5 kt Coke production 4,221.5 kt - 3,458.0 kt External sales of coking coalIII 5,800.3 kt 3,658 kt 5,937.2 kt 2,757.0 kt External sales of thermal coalIII 5,381.3 kt 3,701 kt 4,167.9 kt 1,936.8 kt External sales of cokeIII 4,014.9 kt - 3,460.8 kt Unit cash mining costs 73.4 EUR/t 66 EUR/t 73.4 EUR/t n/a I At mining posts II Net of non-recurring events III External means outside the JSW Group/NWR, not necessarily outside Poland/Czech Republic Sources: JSW SA 2018a, p. 7, 35, 36; JSW SA 2016a, p. 6, 13, 29, 30; JSW SA 2016b, p. 36, 114; JSW n.d.b; OKD, a.s. 2016, p. 6, 7, 8, 11-13, 22, 32-33, 54; New World Resources Plc 2016, p. 23; Správa pohledávek OKD, a.s. 2018, p. 6, 13, 15, 17, 23, 30, 64 Case Study: Poland  Coal supplies about 87% of Poland's electricity, it is the world´s most coal-dependent country  It is mined in State-owned Kompania Weglowa, Europe's largest hard coal miner with 50,000 workers  Mines are deep and expensive, rendering them uncompetitive at a time of falling global coal prices  Strong evidence of a problem:  Polish buyers are increasingly turning to cheaper imported coal, some of it from Russia Case Study: Poland 1,000 MWe+ Power Plants in Poland Power Plant Installed Capacity Fuel Operator Construction Year Bełchatów TPP 5,354 MWe Lignite PGE GiEK S.A. 1981 Kozienice TPP 2,913 MWe Hard Coal ENEA S.A. 1972 Połaniec TPP 1,800 MWe Hard Coal Electrabel Połaniec SA (GDF Suez) 1973-1979 Rybnik TPP 1,775 MWe Hard Coal EDF Polska Oddział w Rybniku 1972 Turów CHP 1,694.8 MWe Lignite PGE GiEK S.A. 1962-1971 Pątnów I, II CHP 1,669 MWe Lignite Zespół Elektrowni Pątnów-Adamów-Konin SA* 1958-1974 Opole TPP 1,532 MWe** Hard Coal PGE GiEK S.A. Jaworzno II, III CHP 1,485 MWe Hard Coal Tauron Polska Energia S.A. 1972-1979 Dolna Odra CHP 1,362 MWe Hard Coal PGE GiEK S.A. 1974 Łaziska CHP 1,155 MWe Hard Coal Tauron Polska Energia S.A. 1967-1972 * Ownership structure: 52.67% Zygmunt Solorz-Żak; 10.76% ING Open-end Pension Fund; 36.57% Others ** A 1800 MW expansion of the station began construction in 2014 Note: CHP = Combined Heat Power Plant, TPP = Thermal Power Plant Source: Polska Grupa Energetyczna SA and other open sources Case Study: Poland Source of the problem?  Primary: financial crisis and world markets of course, high production costs (1 km depths)  Secondary: Complete lack of diversification Future effect:  CO2 emmissions policy  Unemployment  Possible bankruptcy; the government plans to create a new enterprise that will take over the profitable assets of KW (CZK1 billion debt, 2015 losses CZK 190/1 tonne)  Positive: diversification (?)