Wars and Peace (1948-1993) MVZ248 Week 4 1948 Arab neighbors Neutral ‘Allies’ Survival = memories of Holocaust 1956 Hostile Arabs End of European Imperial ambitions Searching for both strength and stability Israeli strategy of self-interest and recognition Arms race Diplomatic, economic (US use of Murray = grand strategy) Immigration 1967 Greater Israel Israeli Invincibility Internal/External variables (Murray) New borders Nuclear Deterrent 1973 Intelligence Failure Political Failure Military disaster/success Conclusion of conventional ‘wars’ against Arab neighbors 1982 Lebanon War Aggression + National Security Regional Imbalance Israel loses ‘moral high ground’ Terrorism = Intifada 1970s-1993 Constructivism Peace Process ‘perpetual’ PLO Actors change Attacks and Reprisals Peace Process MUST fit within the National Security concerns of Israel Green Line + Territories + Terrorism Long standing inclusion of US as mediator 1988 Schultz Peace Initiative 1991 Madrid Hubris Creating Nat.Security Defensible borders “Green lines” de facto border from 1947 to 1967. Blue line (Lebanon) Purple line (Syria) 1979 Peace Treaty recognized the 1906 Ottoman/British demarcation (Egypt) Gardus, Yehuda; Shmueli, Avshalom, eds. (1978–79). The Land of the Negev (English title) Creating Defenses Conventional and Nuclear Deploying interests Diplomatic, Economic and Military. Throughout the world. Defensible borders Sinai Golan West Bank and E.Jerusalem Creating defense: Ben Gurion and Begin Interests Growth of economy Exports Technological development Universities Proxy and Power Projection Israel proxy for U.S. against Arab states and Soviet Union Fights in Egypt and Lebanon and Syria Munich (1973) Iraq (1981) Lebanon (1982) Peace No formal recognition since 1948 1978 (Egypt) 1979 (Camp David) 1991 (Madrid) and bi-lateral leading to Oslo 1993 (Oslo) Long road Baby steps 1948-1979 ‘state of hostilities’ with Arab neighbors (no longer with Egypt) 1991 Madrid = Oslo Accords = 1994 Peace Treaty with Jordan Two-state/ ‘road map’ Leaps backwards ‘Occupation’ = Intifada Assassinations (Arab and Israeli) US and Israeli bond In the words of William Quandt: The bond between the United States and Israel is unquestionably strengthened because of the presumed congruence of values between the two nations. Americans can identify with Israel’s national style—the commitment to western-style democracy, the ideals of individualism and freedom—in a way that has no parallel on the Arab side. Neither the ideal of well-ordered Muslim community nor that of a modernizing autocracy evokes much sympathy among Americans. Consequently, a predisposition no doubt exists in American political culture that works to the advantage of the Israelis. William B. Quandt, Decade of Decision: American Policy Toward the Arab-Israeli Conflict, 1967–1976 (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1977), p. 16.