1 U.S. National Security Policy: Nat'l Security Policymaking in Practice Masaryk University Fall 2009 Dave McCuan 2 This Week's Agenda * Bush II vs. Obama Strategies & `Worldview' * Strategic Constants & Norms * International Relations Theory * Instruments/Elements of National Power * The Limits of Military Power * Strategy as a Concept & Process * USA "National Interests" * The US National Security Strategy (NSS) 2008, 2009 3 What is "National Security?" What are its components? How wide-ranging is the term, "national security?" 4 ... Predicting Nat'l Security Policy Understanding the 90% on the bottom from the 10% on the top "I hold that man is in the right who is most closely in league with the future." Henrik Ibsen "There is no use trying," said Alice, "one cannot believe impossible things." Lewis Carroll "But, how do you tell?" Richardson 5 National Security Policymaking in Theory On-going conversation about What are our national interests?; Our vital interests?; Who and what threatens them?; What we should do about it? 6 Politics in Policy-Making * Facts are not enough to set policy priorities * Politics = Clash of values & interests in determining policy * Clash of "future visions" * What "ought to be" * How to get there * Role of budgets & budget-making here? * Policy legitimacy * How policy choices were made * Not their "correctness" 7 National Security Strategies * National Power * Alliances & Coalitions * Collective Security * International law 8 National Power Capacity to influence the decisions & actions of other countries & actors Power = Work / Time = Force x Distance / Time 9 Components of National Power 10 Bases of Military Power Geography National resources Population Economy (fiscal resources) Industrial capacity Technology Willingness to Use Force 11 Bases of Political Power Moral authority & Reputation Leadership Capacity for Diplomacy Engagement in Bilateral & international political institutions Organizations Treaties 12 Bases of Economic Power Dominance of Markets & Trading [strategic minerals & resources] Oil in 1940s and 1950s Foreign Investment & Fiscal Capacity Capital : Financial Loans, Grants, Aid Control of International Financial Institutions Boycotts, Embargoes, Blockades 13 Policy Arenas High Policy Should we develop a national missile defense system and how much should we spend? Middle Policy What would be the most effective NMD configuration and how should the program be managed? Low Policy Which competing interceptor design in best?