1 Masaryk University Fall 2009 Dave McCuan U.S. National Security Policy & the Elements of Nat'l Security Policy 2 What is "National Security?" What are its components? How wide-ranging is the term? 3 ... Predicting Nat'l Security Policy Understanding the 90% on the bottom from the 10% on the top "I hold that man is in the right who is most closely in league with the future." ­Norwegian Playwright, Henrik Ibsen "There is no use trying," said Alice, "one cannot believe impossible things." - Lewis Carroll "But, how do you tell?" Richardson 4 Concepts for Nat'l Security Policy Analysis National Security Policy Precedents National Security Policy-Making National Interests Vital Interests Domestic Politics Policy legitimacy National Power 5 National Security Policy ­ Our Working Definition "The pattern of government decisions & actions intended to counter perceived threats to America's national interests, and especially America's vital interests." 6 Key Questions for the Course What are America's "national interests?" What are America's "vital interests?" Who determines American "national interests?" "Vital interests?" 7 Key Questions for the Course: Who and what threatens those interests? How do we determine threats? What actions should we take to protect those interests? Who determines priorities? 8 Further Definition of US National Security Policy (USNSP) Pattern of government decisions & actions intended to counter perceived threats to America's national interests Policy = time players decision, laws, rules, actions History matters Prior decisions matter Prior actions/inactions Prior events, precedents