Ideological Paradox Bureaucracy and Political Parties U.S. and Israeli governments • From 1981 to 1984 Likud (Begin) • From 1984 to 1988 unity government of Alignment and Likud (Peres and Shamir) • From 1988-1992 Likud (Shamir) • The Twelfth Knesset saw the rise of the ultra-orthodox religious parties as a significant force in Israeli politics, and as a crucial "swing" element which could determine which of the large 2 secular parties (Likud, Alignment) would get to form the coalition government. Secular right-wing • The Likud was formed as a secular party as an alliance of several rightwing parties prior to the 1973 elections: Herut, Liberal Party, Free Centre, National List, Movement for Greater Israel. (5) • Herut had been the largest right-wing party. • It had been in coalition with the Liberals since 1965 (Gahal) with Herut as the senior partner. • Herut remained the senior partner in the new grouping, named Likud, or "Consolidation", since it was the consolidation of the Israeli right. Ideology • Likud emphasizes national security policy based on a strong military force when threatened with continued enmity against Israel. • It has shown reluctance to negotiate with its neighbors whom it believes continue to seek the destruction of the Jewish state. I[11] • As of 2014, the party remains divided between moderates and hard-liners Ideology • Historically, Likud advocated free enterprise and nationalism, but it has compromised these ideals in practice, as its constituency has changed. • Its support for populist economic programs are at odds with its free enterprise tradition but are meant to serve its largely nationalistic, lower-income voters in small towns and urban neighborhoods.[ • While the party has played into the traditional sympathies of its voter base, the origins and ideology of Likud are very secular. • Religious parties have come to view it as a more comfortable coalition partner than Labor. Policies • The Likud party platform since mid-1990s claims to support free market capitalist and liberal agenda. Practically speaking it is a mixed economic policy. • VAT, income and corporate taxes reduced. • Free trade with the EU and USA, dismantled ‘monopoly’ operating in Israel. • Additionally, privatized several government-owned companies, e.g., El Al and Bank Leumi and has tried to privatize land in Israel, (symbolically owned by the state in the name of the Jewish people). Labor-Alignment • Labor party • From 1977-1991 Alignment between centre-left parties • Labor's original socialist ideology evolved into a program that supports both a market economy and social welfare programs. • Since 1992 the party's foreign policy retains a strong orientation toward the US with its security policy maintaining a permanent peace with the Palestinians only based on agreements that are enforceable. • “land for peace” Reagan Revolution • 1981-1989 Ronald Reagan (Republican) U.S. president. • Conservative ideology • political • economic Paradox? • Conservative vs. secular conservative? • religious conservatives in Israel have own parties • tension between U.S. secular conservatives and market conservatives • Peace Process • Schultz Plan (1988) • Economy (1987-88) Restriction • Departments • personality (Baker) • inter-office/departmental rivalry • famous Weinberger vs. Schultz • Interest Groups • AIPAC vs. J-street • AAI (Arab-American Institute) Paradox • AWAC sale • Iraq nuclear reactor (pre-emptive doctrine) • 1982 Lebanon invasion • Israel as aggressor • Foreign Military Aid • Sudan-Soviet refugees • “global” Jewry • Settlements (rainbow over an ancient land) MOU’s • October 23, 1975: Memorandum of Agreement regarding joint political, security and economic cooperation. • December 10, 1982: General security of information agreement. • April 21, 1988: Memorandum of Agreement on Security Cooperation • April 30, 1996: Counterterrorism cooperation accord to enhance capabilities to deter, prevent, respond to and investigate international terrorist acts or threats of international terrorist acts against Israel or the United States. • October 31, 1998: Memorandum of Agreement on Security Cooperation • February 8, 2007: Memorandum of Mutual Understanding on Homeland Security • Jewish Virtual Library: https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/US-Israel/ MOUs.html https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/US-Israel/MOUs.html Mixed & Missed Signals • 1988 (Alignment to Likud) • settlements • 1991 Gulf War • 1996 (Labor to Likud) • Oslo II • 1999-2001 (Labor to Likud) • Camp David with Clinton, Barak and Arafat Misunderstood? • “F_K, the jews, they don’t vote for us anyway” • James Baker III, Secretary of State • “Punishing us, like a child” • M. Begin • After 1979 and especially after 1994 different approaches: legal vs. diplomatic Internal-External Variables • Coalition and Unity Israeli governments • religious parties in Israel as “kingmakers” • smaller parties and personalities • Divided government in the U.S. • Democratic president and Republican Congress or vise versa. • Israeli-Palestinian peace process • extremists and militant extremists hinder progress Promise Denied • 1991 Madrid • 1993 Oslo Peace Accords • 1997 Hebron • West Bank withdrawal of Israeli troops • 2000 Camp David Readings • George P. Schultz Turmoil and Triumph: My Years as Secretary of State, New York: Scribner, 1993. • Josef Federman (2014-12-02). "Israeli government crumbles; new election planned". Associated Press.“Netanyahu's own Likud party is divided between more-centrist old timers and a young guard of hard-line ideologues.” • Dennis Ross (books and articles)