Agenda Setting theory and research Vlastimil Nečas 21/10/2015,The Effects of Mass Media, FSS MU What are you most concerned about these days? What are the two or three main things which you think decision-makers should concentrate on do something about? (McCombs, Shaw, 1972: 178) Origins of the agenda-setting perspective 1922: Walter Lippmann – Public Opinion When an individual desires information that is out of his personal experience, he/she looks to the media to build „a trustworthy picture inside his head of the world beyond his reach“. (chapter 1: The World Outside and the Pictures in Our Heads, p. 18) 1963: Bernard Cohen – The Press and Foreign Policy „The press may not be successful much of the time in telling people what to think, but it is stunningly successful in telling its readers what to think about.“ (1963: 13) Theoretical assumptions 1. News media do not reflect the real world, but they filter and shape it. 2. The focus of newsmedia on relatively few issues leads public to perceive these issues as more important (salient). The more attention has the given issue in the news, the more important it becomes on public agenda. 3. The character of media effects are rather cognitive than persuasive. The Main Components of Agenda Setting ( Rogers, Dearing, 1996) Types of Agenda Setting Research 1) Research perspective a) hierarchical – more issues, short-time period; Chapel Hill Study (McCombs, Shaw, 1972) b) longitudinal – one or only few issues, longer period; The Issues of the Sixties (Funkhouser, 1973) 2) The level of analysis a) First level agenda-setting - what issues are on the agenda? - media and public agenda - strictly quantitative methods (correlation analysis) b) Second level agenda-setting - how are issues set on the agenda? - emphasized attributes and context - quant. and qualit. methods (Framing analysis) c) Intermedia agenda-setting - who sets the media agenda? - sociology of news, news production, routines, news sources, role of dominant media/news agencies (Dearing, Rogers, 1996; Weaver, McCombs, Shaw 1998) Chapel Hill Study McCombs, M. E., Shaw, D. L. The agenda-setting function of the mass media. Public Opinion Quarterly, 1972, Vol. 36: 176-187. Goal: The role of mass media during the presidential election campaign in 1968. Hypothesis: „The mass media set the agenda for each political campaign, influencing the salience of attitudes toward the political issues“ (p. 177) Method: „… to match what Chapel Hill voters said were key issues of the campaign with the actual content of the mass media“ (p. 177) Chapel Hill Study news media politics, parties and candidates quant. content analysis 5 dailies, 2 TV, 2 magazines 24 days before election - issues and size Survey using questionnaire Chapel Hill voters Random choice of 100 „not-decided“ Chapel Hill Study McCombs, M. E., Shaw, D. L. The agenda-setting function of the mass media. Public Opinion Quarterly, 1972, Vol. 36: 176-187. Results: „Considerable amount of campaign news was not devoted do discussion of the major political issues but rather to analysis of the campaign itself.“ (p. 179) „The media appear to have exerted a considerable impact on voters´ judgement of what they considered the major issues of the campaign. The correlation (…) was +.967.“ (p. 180) „High degree of consensus among the news media about the significant issues of the campaign.“ (p. 183) Correlation and Causality For details see – Nečas, V., & Vochocová, L. Česká média a zahraniční politika: v hradním stínu a zajetí emocí/Czech Media and Foreign Policy: Emotions and Domestic Narratives. Středoevropské Politické Studie/Central European Political Studies Review, 16(2-3), 2014 -. doi:10.5817/CEPSR.2014.23.137 Nečas, V.. Constitutional debate in the Czech Republic. Prague: Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, 2007. 43 s. Pražské sociálně vědní studie. Mediální řada, MED-011. ISSN 1801-5999. Avalilable at: http://publication.fsv.cuni.cz/publication.php?id=3770 Nečas, V. Constitutional debate in the Czech Republic. Central European Journal Of Communication, 2(2), 295-305. Retrieved from http://ptks.pl/cejc/list-of-issues/2009-2/volume-2- no-2-3-fall-2009 Goal: main characteristics of foreign policy in the czech media - identification of present actors and dominant topics - foreign policy framing analytical base - debate on „euroconstitution“: czech dailies and magazines 6/2005-6/2007 - foreign news analysis: 3 tv stations, czech dailies and magazines 1/2008-12/2011 agenda-setting perspective „The press may not be successful much of the time in telling people what to think, but it is stunningly successful in telling its readers what to think about.“ (Cohen, 1963) „This is especially true of international news events that happen beyond the direct experience of most news consumers.“ (Wanta, 1997) Czech Media and Foreign Policy: Emotions and Domestic Narratives Public/expert s/NGOs/think tanks 14% Czech state actors 78% EU actors 8% Media coverage of the debate on „Euroconstitution“ men 89% women 11% actors 1. Dominant position of national actors (Czech male politicians) President Vaclav Klaus Active role, initiator and commentator + Passive role, brought in the discourse by others Strong oponnent of the TCE project „I am not critical about it, that is not the case. I am all against it.“ (Pravo, 15.1.2007) „I am not for the European anthem.“ (HN, 18.7.2005) Actors 2. Entries of international and non-political actors were rare and rather passive - Angela Merkel - José Barroso - economic org. - experts/think tanks 3. Strong gender disbalance Women – 11 percent in total Angela Merkel (45%) debate on euroconstitution: conclusions opponents of the TCE project - Vaclav Klaus and ODS representatives supporters of the TCE project - Jiri Paroubek and CSSD representatives X discard the TCE project continuing in ratification or Reform Treaty X •defense system (RADAR) •CZ PRES •CZE army missions •CZE-EU relations conclusions: overlapping agenda - thematic homogeneity strong personalization - overwhelming dominance of domestic political actors EU as a passive, anonymous and distant entity Actors a few elite actors presented as irreconcilable opponents personalization negativity - competition/war language Frames - "big narratives" specific position of Russia - ally or enemy? bipolar division of the world - USA vs. Russia dependant nations seeking protection - Czech Republic among them (either protected by the USA or ruled by Russia) Symbolic discourse – historical parallels 1938 - („Munich betrayal“) - USA as a traitor; betrayed Europe, Czech Republic; Russian threat as a direct result Qualitative analyses of the Czech printed news media in 2009-2011 Frames "domestication" of foreign policy events = questions of global security and EU topics related to domestic policy and the interests of Czech political actors Symbolic discourse – historical parallels: 1948, 1968, the 50´s „The atmosphere is evil, it reminds us of the early 50´s. It is the atmosphere of February 1948, the Left rising to power, the Right doing anything to make it happen." Mladá fronta DNES, 24.3.2009 Czech Media and Foreign Policy: Emotions and Domestic Narratives The tendencies of Czech news media in dealing with foreign policy issues. - the coverage is highly personalised and viewed through the prism of the personal or political interests of Czech political elites and the conflicts between them. - the Czech media produce a considerably restricted and more or less uniform stream of news commented upon by a relatively limited spectrum of actors, mainly Czech politicians. - For non-political, non-governmental, and international actors, access to the debate is considerably limited. - The print media tends to present major political events as power-based conflicts between individuals or groups, rather than as negotiations about public affairs supported by substantive arguments. thank you for your attention... vlastimil.necas@fsv.cuni.cz references: Brosius, H., Weimann, G. Who Sets the Agenda? : Agenda-Setting as a Two-Step Flow. Communication Research, 1996, 23 (5), p. 561 – 580. Cohen, Bernard C. The Press and Foreign Policy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1963 Dearing, J., Rogers, E. Agenda-Setting. Thousand Oaks: SAGE, 1996, 138 p. ISBN 0-7619-0563-4. Funkhouser, G. The Issues of the Sixties: An Exploratory Study in the Dynamics of Public Opinion. Public Opinion Quarterly, 1973 (37), 62-75 Lippmann, W. Public Opinion. The Macmillan Company, New York [1922] 1960, 427 p. McCombs, M. E., Shaw, D. L. The agenda-setting function of the mass media. Public Opinion Quarterly, 1972, (36), 176-187. Nečas, V.. Constitutional debate in the Czech Republic. Prague: Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, 2007. 43 s. Pražské sociálně vědní studie. Mediální řada, MED-011. ISSN 1801-5999. Avalilable at: http://publication.fsv.cuni.cz/publication.php?id=3770 Nečas, V. Constitutional debate in the Czech Republic. Central European Journal Of Communication, 2(2), 295-305. Retrieved from http://ptks.pl/cejc/list-of- issues/2009-2/volume-2-no-2-3-fall-2009 Nečas, V., & Vochocová, L. Česká média a zahraniční politika: v hradním stínu a zajetí emocí/Czech Media and Foreign Policy: Emotions and Domestic Narratives. Středoevropské Politické Studie/Central European Political Studies Review, 16(2-3), 2014 -. doi:10.5817/CEPSR.2014.23.137 Shaw, D., McCombs, M. (eds.) The Emergence of American Political Issues: The Agenda-Setting Function of the Press. St. Paul, MN: West Publishing, 1977, 211 p., ISBN: 9780829901429. Shoemaker, P. Communication campaigns about drugs: government, media, and the public. Hillsdale: L. Erlbaum Associates, 1989, 127 p. ISBN 0-8058-0230-4. Wanta, W. The Public and the National Agenda: How People Learn about Important Issues. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1997 Weaver, D., McCombs, M., Shaw, D. International Trends in agenda-setting Research. In HOLTZ-BACHA, Christine (ed.). Wie die Medien die Welt erschaffen und wie die Menschen darin leben. Opladen/Wiesbaden: Westdeutsche Verlag GmbH. 1998, 286 p., ISBN: 978-3531131030