Modern Technologies and Conflicts
13.11. 2019
JAKUB DRMOLA
AI and autonomy at war

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Some basics
 what is intelligence and consciousness?
 unmanned/autonomy/AI?

 types of AI?
◦strong/general AI
◦            vs
◦    weak/narrow AI
◦
 what about physical form?

History of autonomy
 mechanical automata since middle ages
◦Digesting Duck, Leonardo's mechanical knight, Karakuri
 biological automata since 19th cent.
◦Frankenstein, R.U.R.
 accelerated progression after WW2
◦Turing, von Neumann, Minsky, …
 exponential since 90s


http://i.imgur.com/0HK6CTG.gif

History of autonomy in warfare
 before WW1: hot-air balloons
◦observation and bombing
 interwar: aerial practice targets
 during WW2: remote control of all types
◦both wired and wirelss
◦air, land and sea -based
◦V1 and V2?


Image result for ww2 japan fire balloon

 and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_dr0arBltU


http://www.vintagewings.ca/Portals/0/Vintage_Stories/News%20Stories%20K/The%20Mother%20of%20All%20D
rones/TenStories23.jpg

Cold War
 target practice, decoys and reconnaissance
◦with jet engines too
 modern era of drones/UAVs began during the 80s, in the Middle East
Image result for Ryan Model 147 Lightning Bug

Present
 remote control is commonplace
 growing autonomy
◦locomotion a sensors
 „human in the loop“ principle
 fire-and-forget systems
 still not true intelligence

Image result for Super aEgis II

Image result for predator uav



Image result for platforma m




https://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/1516090282406410894.jpg


Problems?
 lower conflict-threshold
 collateral damage
 „gamification“
 dehumanization
 psychological impacts
 political and cultural fallout
Image result for drone screen

Non-state actors
 terrorists, guerillas etc.
◦reconnaissance, targeting, smuggling
◦direct attacks
 commercial drones are cheap, available and easily modified
 perfect example of horizontal proliferation of dual-use tech
◦
◦
 http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/isis-using-increasingly-unconventional-weapons-9928395

Image result for isis drone

Near future
 growing autonomy across the board
◦https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h449oIjg2kY
 closer integration and mixed units
 autonomous swarms

 first autonomous kill?
 arrival of true AI?



Image result for future combat robot dog

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTPIED6jUdU