MUNI FSS Energy and Its Footprint in the US Culture and Way of Life Martin Jirusek, PhD. 1 SIEVEN SEAGAL / CHRFILTOn MESICm LQQH THyLDR-fDUTIQ SOYLENT GBEEN A™ ' The New Car Market - Rapid motorization after WW I - 1907: 1,65 car/1000 citizens - 1913: 12,9 cars/1000 citizens - 1929: 219 cars/1000 citizens - 1955: 377 cars/1000 citizens - 2017: 800 cars/1000 citizens (Europe: 580/1000, China: 128/1000, Bangladesh: 3/1000) - Transport sector's consumption growth at the expense of kerosene (lamp oil - basis of the Standard Oil's success story) America's Love Affair with Automobile - Current state: 1,2 vehicles/1 license holder - 800 cars/1000 citizens - American culture, way of life as well as energy demands largely driven by living conditions - Largest manufacturing industry - Among the biggest employers Rust Beit - Senisitve political issue (e.g. Trump's tariff war with Europe) - Subject to technological changes - Litmus test of the economic output Source: Lyman Stone The Tin Lizzie' and the New Car Market - Post WWI period - Car industry spurred by the war - Internal combustion engine revolutionized transport - Cars, planes - Individualization/emancipation of transport - Expansive at the outset, economy of scale - Ford T - Mass production (assembly line) - head-start comp. to Europe - Priced so that the average American could buy it - The car that' put America on wheels' - Another nail in the coffin of mass public transport Post WWII Boom - Cars Post WWII economic boom Cars as a sign of wealth and modern life - Returning soldiers longing for cars they saw and used during the war - Moto gangs ('Rebel Without a Cause') - Opulent styling as an expression of post-war joy and hope and economic prosperity - Car was no more just a way of transport, rather an expression of a lifestyle Car sales surged - 65 bn. USD in 1955 alone - 20% of US GNP Cars became part of the pop culture Growing demand for oil; determining factor for for oil crises Post WWII Boom - Energy Consumption Economic growth, rising living standards and consumerism 1950s - 1960s as an era of unprecedented prosperity ('boomers') Growing demand for home appliances - TVs, radios, fridges, electric appliances, etc. - Growing electricity demand Factor in expansion of power generation (nuclear power in 1960s & 1970s) - Atoms for Peace 1960s as an era of trust in technological development - nuclear energy, space explorations,... - TV series and movies Nuclear Energy in American Culture - Revered as a pathway to energy-sustainable future, feared, demonized,... - Fears of Nuclear War and Global Catastrophe (Planet of The Apes, Terminator,...) - Part of the Cold War narrative - Shelter building in 1960s - Stifled by TMI Incident, Chernobyl Motorisation of America, Reinventing of Public Transport and Way of Life - Carmaker's push into public transport - City transit systems privately owned; went bankrupt - Governmental support limited - Need for intra- and inter- city transport - Early mass motorization aligned with urbanization - cities adjusted to cars from the beginning - Tautological effect (more cars - cities adjusted to cars - more cars) - Sprawling suburbs - National Interstate Highway System (transportation but also defense purposes, max. throughput) - 1956 - Large interstate highways cut through urban areas, creating the need for car-based transportation - Services getting accustomed to higher motorization MUNI Motorisation of America, Reinventing of Public Transport and Way of Life - Low taxation (X Europe) - Cars and related taxes not the only source of financing for infrastructure - Parts of the tax revenues designated to funding infrastructure (contributing to the tautological effect) - Higher share of crude price component causes higher crude price-induced volatility - Higher accessibility of remote areas spurring residential development (even far from traditional urban centers) and, in turn, require better road connections (tautological logic again) - city planning - 'centerless' cities stretched wide or large stretches of urbanized areas (e.g. LA) - conurbation or megalopolis (East coast) - 'suburb' as an obsolete term - access to public transport as a less common asset, public transport effectively eliminated in some areas - 'Patches' of single-purpose areas linked with highways cutting across neighborhoods or beltways - Prone to degradation and isolation 11 MUNI FSS Motorisation of America, Reinventing of Public Transport and Way of Life Matlock Expressway š 12 (jaitnersDurg North Potomac Rockville Travilah 'es Islan otomac Laurel Fairland South Laure| Glenmont Calverton Wheaton . .„ Beltsville Gr.->enbelt Glenn Dale don eston Wolf Trap ^Lean " Tysons Idylwood Wt st Falls ir °a*s , Church Fairfax Kings ParkAn landale Silver Spring / \ College Park Chillum Sev Odenti Crol West Burke Springfield \_ landovei Washington Mitchellville '^D.G. / Kettering GJassmanpr Westphalia A'exariuslf'^ Camp Springs Bowie Groveton] Hybla Valley Clinton Rosaryville Fort Washington Individualism and Consumerism - Ca. 40% of US households own 2 cars, ca. 20% of US households own 3 cars City designs support such behaviour In turn, owning a car belongs to 'basic' expenses of average American 2nd biggest item of expenditure after housing - 85% daily trips done by car, majority of trips <1 mile - 11th in energy consumption per capita (6800 kg of oil equivalent) - Shared economy seems to strengthen the trend - Uber, Lyft aalthough oil use per capita may decrease further weakening of public mass transport carsharing as a solution with low initial costs, usprassing implementation of state/govt. policies MUNI Oil Crises - Impactful due to higher share of crude price component in the fuel price - Shock for the US and global economy, manufacturing industry, carmakers in particular - Broad ramifications - Immeddiate saving measures - Fuel for cars with odd/even number plates - Systemic changes - Smaller cars, efficient measures (CAFE standards), (national!) speed limit, energy savings and efficiency as the new political 'mantra' - Influx of imported (smaller, efficient) cars from Japan, Germany - Basis for even bigger expansion in following years - Japan's car exports boosted (1500% increase between 1965-1975) 15 MUNI FSS Environmental Issues - First signs of reflection started to appear in early 1970s - Mainly in relation to fears of over-population, starvation or general depletion of planetary resources Later reflections focused on consequences of depletion - 1990s generally marked a period of higher environmental concerns in US politics (although not properly addressed by respective policies) - Not a real concern for a broader public (general availability of sources - oil) - Big cars, low oil prices, non-existence of the fear of the world running out of oil Ift the year 2022... 7} I Th*yi do of>i**ig to 0«i <***of Thv r>**d 17 1980s - 1990s - SUV sales surge - era of cheap oil, globalization - Ford F series - the best selling car for 42 years - SUV/light trucks as the core of the Big Three's production portfolio - SUVs classified as light trucks (i.e. milder fuel economy standards) - Higher profit margins - One of the reasons of higher energy intensity in transportation American way of life as a hostage to foreign suppliers? - CAFE Standards (since 1975) heavily critized - 'death by the gallon' - Cheaper cars and fuel relative to salaries (+lower taxation + high relative GDP per capita) MUNI Unconventionals - Spurred discussions over supply security and energy independence (delusional) - Redirected supply patterns and tuned-down concerns of supply dependency - Revived energy supplies as a part of the US foreign policy toolbox towards Europe - Later, concerns on overall emissions prevailed over the optimism - Fracking is not the main issue anymore; unconventionals became part of the general emission-related narrative - Gasland 20 MUNI FSS 'A MASTER! 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