Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 1 Health and Disease Public Health I Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 2 A person in a suit standing in front of a building Description automatically generated A person standing in front of a statue Description automatically generated A picture containing indoor, wall Description automatically generated Dr. Abanoub RIAD, DDS Doctor of Dental Surgery (2016) Research Fellow at Czech National Center of Evidence-based Healthcare and Knowledge Translation (CEBHC-KT) Doctoral Candidate of Hygiene, Preventive Medicine, and Epidemiology (MED-MUNI) Doctoral Candidate of Clinical Psychology (FSS-MUNI) abanoub.riad@med.muni.cz Office Consultation (Upon Request) Public Health I Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 3 Seminar Outline I. Definition of Health II. Theory of Disease III. Global Burden of Disease BREAK IV. Measuring Disease Frequency V. Mortality Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 4 How do you define “Health”? Health is a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being and not merely the absence of disease or infirmity. Constitution of WHO as adopted by the International Health Conference, New York; signed on 22 July 1946 The definition has not been amended since 1948 Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 5 Exercise 1 Model of World Health Organization (MWHO) You have been commissioned to represent your country at the 74th World Health Assembly (WHA) in Geneva, Switzerland ∼ May 2021. The agenda of Committee A highlights the definition of “Health” at WHO’s constitution for revision. What will be your critiques for the current definition? Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 6 Huber Machteld, Knottnerus J André, Green Lawrence, Horst Henriëtte van der, Jadad Alejandro R, Kromhout Daan et al. How should we define health? BMJ 2011; 343 :d4163 A drawing of a cartoon character Description automatically generated How should we define health? 1. Medicalization of society 2. Incompliance with current demographics & disease burden 3. Operationalization of definition A picture containing drawing Description automatically generated Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 7 Natural History of Disease Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Principles of epidemiology, 2nd ed. Atlanta: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services;1992. PREDISEASE LATENT SYMPTOMATIC Primary Prevention secondary Prevention tertiary Prevention Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 8 How disease occurs? Supernatural Theories 1.Demonic Theory 2.Punitive Theory Philosophical Theories 1.Humoral Theory 2.Miasmatic Theory 3.Contagion Theory Scientific Theories 1.Germ Theory 2.Epidemiological Triad 3.Epidemiological Tetrad 4.Wheel Theory 5.Web of Causation Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 9 Exercise 2 BEINGS Model of Disease BEINGS concept postulates that human diseases and its consequences are caused by a complex interplay of nine different factors. By coining the first letters of these factors the theory is called BEINGS theory. Explain the nine domains of BEINGS model with explanatory examples for each domain. (Homework Assignment 1) A picture containing person, person, table, sitting Description automatically generated Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 10 How do we classify diseases? POPULATION Age (e.g. Pediatric, Geriatric) Gender (e.g. Gynecologic, Productive) Race Occupation TARGET Organ-specific (e.g. Liver, Kidney, Brain) System-specific (e.g. Respiratory, Cardiovascular) TRANSMISSION Communicable (Infectious) Diseases Non-Communicable (Chronic) Diseases Tissue-specific (Mucosal) Syndromic Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 11 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Since 1990 (350 diseases, 195 countries, +3600 researchers) The largest study for diseases distribution and their impact. Quantifying mortality, and morbidity. Symbol of coordinated “global health” efforts. http://www.healthdata.org/gbd A close up of a sign Description automatically generated A picture containing drawing Description automatically generated A close up of a logo Description automatically generated A close up of a logo Description automatically generated Adobe Systems A close up of a device Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 12 Exercise 3 Global Burden of Disease 1.Go to: https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/ 2.Click “Compare” – then “By Year” 3.Select “1990” for “Top Chare Settings” 4.What happened in the last 30 years? A picture containing drawing Description automatically generated Adobe Systems A close up of a device Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 13 Exercise 3 Global Burden of Disease Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 14 BREAK Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 15 Disease Frequency Population at Risk Ratio vs. Rate Incidence vs. Prevalence Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 16 Ratio A ratio is the relative magnitude of two quantities or a comparison of any two values. It is calculated by dividing one interval- or ratio-scale variable by the other. The numerator and denominator need not be related. Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 17 Gender Female / Male Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 18 Population / Clinics Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 19 Case-to-death Ratio (Case-fatality ratio) https://www.who.int/news-room/commentaries/detail/estimating-mortality-from-covid-19 Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 20 Rate •In epidemiology, a rate is a measure of the frequency with which an event occurs in a defined population over a specified period of time. •Because rates put disease frequency in the perspective of the size of the population, rates are particularly useful for comparing disease frequency in different locations, at different times, or among different groups of persons with potentially different sized populations; that is, a rate is a measure of risk. Incidence Rate Attack Rate Incidence Proportion Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 21 Ratio Vs. Rate https://www.cdc.gov/csels/dsepd/ss1978/lesson3/section1.html Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 22 Incidence The incidence of disease represents the rate of occurrence of new cases arising in a given period in a specified population Prevalence Prevalence is the frequency of existing cases in a defined population at a given point in time. Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 23 Adobe Systems A picture containing person, child, person, child Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 24 Exercise 4 Prostate Cancer Black men in the United States have a substantially higher incidence of prostate cancer than U.S. white men. Let’s say there’s a variant of the androgen receptor gene that’s more common in black than white men in the United States — 50 % versus 30 % — that is also associated with a doubling of incidence of prostate cancer in American men of either race. What would be the relative incidence of prostate cancer, black versus white American men, if the genetic marker were the sole risk factor for this disease that differed between the two races? Adobe Systems A picture containing person, child, person, child Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 25 Exercise 4 Prostate Cancer in the U.S. Adobe Systems A picture containing person, child, person, child Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 26 Exercise 4 Suicide of Physicians The rate of suicide among American physicians, relative to the corresponding rate in the population as a whole, varies by gender. Among men, the rate in physicians is 1.5 times higher, whereas among women the corresponding relative rate is 3.0. It turns out that the rate of suicide in American male and female physicians is identical. For American men and women in general, what is the relative rate of suicide in men compared to women? Adobe Systems A picture containing person, child, person, child Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 27 Exercise 4 Suicide of Physicians Adobe Systems A picture containing person, child, person, child Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 28 Exercise 4 Guillain-Barré syndrome A population-based case-control study of Guillain-Barré syndrome (a neurological disease) conducted in 1992–1994 in 4 states estimated the risk of this disease to be 1.7 times greater among adults who had received influenza vaccine in the prior 6 weeks than those who had not. Th e investigators also estimated that the added risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome associated with the receipt of influenza vaccine was about one per million persons during the first 6 weeks after vaccination. From these data, can you calculate the 6-week incidence among adults in the 4-state population who did not receive the vaccine? If yes, what is that incidence? If no, why not? (Homework Assignment 2) Adobe Systems A picture containing person, child, person, child Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 29 Exercise 4 Stomach Cancer The incidence of stomach cancer in country X is 8.0 per 100,000 per year. The incidence rate in nearby country Y, with a similar age-sex-race composition as country X, is 10.0. You are concerned with explaining this difference. You know that 5% of people in country Y drink tea containing suspected carcinogen A, whereas nobody in country X drinks this tea. In order for this to be the sole explanation of the difference in the incidence rates of stomach cancer between the two countries, how strongly must carcinogen-A-tea drinking be associated with stomach cancer? (Homework Assignment 2) Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 30 Mortality •Crude Mortality •Age-specific vs. Age-standardized Mortality •Proportionate Mortality •Infant Mortality •Maternal Mortality •Adult Mortality •Life Expectancy Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 31 Proportionate Mortality •Occasionally the mortality in a population is described by using proportionate mortality, which is actually a ratio: the number of deaths from a given cause per 100 or 1000 total deaths in the same period. Proportionate mortality does not express the risk of members of a population contracting or dying from a disease. •Unless the crude or age-group-specific mortality rates are known, it may not be clear whether a difference between groups relates to variations in the numerators or the denominators. •Example: Proportionate mortality rates for cancer would be much greater in high-income countries with many old people than in low- and middle-income countries with few old people, even if the actual lifetime risk of cancer is the same. Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 32 Age-standardized Rate Age-adjusted rate Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 33 Infant Mortality Child Mortality Rate Rate •The child mortality rate (under-5 mortality rate) is based on deaths of children aged 1–4 years, and is frequently used as a basic health indicator. •Injuries, malnutrition and infectious diseases are common causes of death in this age group. •The under-5 mortality rate describes the probability (expressed per 1000 live births) of a child dying before reaching 5 years of age. Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 34 Maternal Mortality Adult Mortality Rate Rate Life Expectancy is defined as the average number of years an individual of a given age is expected to live if current mortality rates continue. Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 35 Life Expectancy https://www.populationpyramid.net Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 36 Life Expectancy in Japan https://www.populationpyramid.net Adobe Systems A group of people posing for a photo Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 37 Exercise 5 Homicide Death Rate In 2001, a total of 15,555 homicide deaths occurred among males and 4,753 homicide deaths occurred among females. The estimated 2001 midyear populations for males and females were 139,813,000 and 144,984,000, respectively. 1.Calculate the homicide-related death rates for males and for females. 2.What type(s) of mortality rates did you calculate in Question 1? 3.Calculate the ratio of homicide-mortality rates for males compared to females. 4.Interpret the rate you calculated in Question 3 as if you were presenting information to a policymaker. Adobe Systems A group of people posing for a photo Description automatically generated Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 38 Exercise 5 Homicide Death Rate Adobe Systems Abanoub Riad. Health and Disease. Public Health I. October 2020 39 abanoub.riad@med.muni.cz Office Consultation (Upon Request) Public Health I THANK YOU