Sociological Analysis 1991, 52:3 227-240 Religious Conversion of Adolescents: Testing the Lofland and Stark Model of Religious Conversion* Willem Kox Wim Meeus Harm 't Hart Univeriity of Utrecht In a study among 92 Dutch adolescents we tested the Lofland and Stark model of religious conversion. Our results show that the model offers a fairly adequate set of conditions of conversion, but is inadequate as a model for the process of conversion. Young people are attracted to religious groups for two reasons: First, the group offers them a new perspective on life and so liberates them from entrapment in their own problems. Second, the group provides them with a satisfying personal network. The model offered by John Lofland and Rodney Stark has been studied more than most other models of religious conversion. These authors define conversion as the process by which "a person gives up one . . . perspective or ordered view of the world for another" (1965:862). Conversion implies that the convert renounces his or her former life pattern, joins a given religious movement or sect, and becomes an adherent of this group's teachings. Lofland and Stark developed their model in a study of the Divine Precepts. The model consists of seven conditions for conversion which the authors formulate as follows: For conversion a person must: 1. Experience enduring, acutely felt tensions 2. Within a religious problem-solving perspective 3. Which leads him (her] to define him [her)self as a religious seeker 4. Encountering the D.P. (Divine Precepts] at a turning point in . . . life 5. Wherein an affective bond is formed (or pre-exists) with one or more converts 6. Where extra-cult attachments are absent or neutralized 7. And, where, if he (she] is to become a deployable agent, he [she] is expKDsed to intensive interaction (1965:874). *The authors arc associated with the Department of Development and Srt by parents Material support by peers Material support by parents 6b Neutral reaction by parents 7 Interaction frequency with group members Changes, presumably effected through conversion Change of general ideas Reduced contact with (close) relatives Reduced contact with peers Converts (%) 67 7 7 59 22 54 91 80 33 67 80 64 62 67 79 71 59 27 67 78 43 60 f^onconverts (%) 20 26 4 50 7 24 54 57 52 46 — 46 32 28 37 38 33 — — 17 39 34 Significance < .01 < .05 < .01 < .01 < .05 < .05 < .01 < .01 < .01 < .01 < .05 < .01 < .05 The results are presented in conformity with Lofland and Stark's formulations. That is to say that for negatively formulated conditions, such as 6a, "absence of other social conditions," the percentages indicate the degree to which this absence is the case. converts may be described as follows: 1. They have relatively many personal problems, which they seek to solve. Hence they are not likely to be much interested in social problems. 2. Their life is rather unstable. Shifts and turning points are relatively frequent occurrences. 3. They have at their disposal a less well-functioning network. From both their parents and their peers they receive relatively little social support. 4. Their notions regarding "secular" matters such as school, work, and relating to other persons have changed. With regard to relations with other people the change is not only with reference to the ideas, but actual contact with the old personal network decreases as well. 236 SOCIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS THE CONDITIONS OF LOFLAND AND STARK Table 3 shows the differences between converts and nonconverts relative to the Lofland and Stark conditions. Except for the condition "social problems," a percentage of converts greater than that of nonconverts meets these conditions. Also shown is that to arrive at conversion one need not meet all of Lofland and Stark's conditions. There are no differences between converts and nonconverts on the matter of a prior religious problem-solving perspective. To see to what extent these conditions together can predict conversion and nonconversion, a distriminant analysis was applied to the five conditions that relate to both groups of respondents, i.e., "prior tensions" (1), "religious perspective" (2), "selfdefinition as seeker" (3), 'turning pjoint" (4), and "social ties absent" (6a).^ The analysis indicates which of the variables contribute factually to optimal discriminability of converts and nonconverts. For each predictor in the discriminant analysis we indicate successively the name of the variable, the Lofland and Stark condition referred to, and the disciminant function coefficient. The figure of the discriminant function coefficient represents the relative contribution of the variable in the distinction between converts and nonconverts (see Table 4). TABLE 4 Predictive Variables in the Discriminant Analysis Relative to the Lofland and Stark Conditions Label Personal problems Actively searching Self-definition as seeker Emotional support by peers Moving house Emotional support by parents Change of jobs Conditions ofL&S 1 3 3 6a 4 6a 4 Type of Measurement factor score scale score nominal factor score nominal factor score nominal Disaimijumt Function Coefficient .50 .44 .36 .38 .47 .32 .30 The analysis shows that with the aid of five of the Lofland and Stark conditions it is possible to distinguish converts from nonconverts in 85 percent of the cases (see Table 5).7 In a discriminant analysis it is possible to combine the recoded dichotomous variables at the nominal or ordinal level. The selection method used was to minimize the nonexplained variance between the groups. To do so the analyzed variables were first dichotomized. The dependent variable was recoded to 0 or 1. In this case, a discriminant analysis takes the form of a regression analysis. The order of importance of the independent variables is determined by way of the Pearson correlation coefficient with the discriminant function. The table shows that for nine of the 84 respondents the prediction regarding the group to which these people belong is incorrect. Additional characteristics that would distinguish these nine respondents from the others yielded no result. Perhaps this should be ascribed to the contingency that attends conversion processes no less than any other process. Untraceable, uniquely incidental factors have caused these nine to remain outside of the pattern that does allow the other 75 resfx>ndents to be categorized. RELIGIOUS CONVERSION OF ADOLESCENTS 237 TABLE 5 Predictive Value of the Lofland and Stark Conditions hi ^ 84 Group No conversion Conversion Correct prediction for all: 89% Canonical correlation: .76 Chi: 62.52 p: < .001 n 43 41 Prediction no conversion 39 (91%) 5 (12%) conversion 4 ( 9%) 36 (88%) Eighty-four of the 92 cases score validly on all selected variables. Four of the five conditions of Lofland and Stark contribute to prediction in the discriminant analysis. In view of the discriminant analysis function coefficient figure, the contribution by these four variables is a substantial one. Two points are worth noting: (1) Condition 2 does not contribute to prediction. Evidently, a religious problemsolving perspective is not an independent condition for conversion; in fact, as we saw in Table 3, it is no predictor at all. (2) Tlie contribution of the turning point identified as "job change" runs counter to expectation. Converts change jobs less frequently than nonconverts. Evidently, to gain new employment does not constitute a turning point that would destabilize the life situation, which Lofland and Stark assumed it would; rather, it indicates ability to shift from one function to another. Converts seem less predisposed to change jobs. Turning points that destabilize the life situation are more frequent among converts; they seem less able to create new transitions themselves. In contrast to Lofland and Stark's theory, the conditions are largely independent of each other. No significant correlations were found among the five conditions. This finding contradicts the supposed cumulativity of the Lofland and Stark model (the "tunnel"). Their claim is that a convert must meet a series of conditions in cumulative succession, which means that these conditions cannot be mutually independent. If Lofland and Stark were right, the discriminant analysis would bring out correlating conditions via the best predictor. The others would not essentially contribute to prediction and would disappear from the analysis. But this is not the case. A cumulative sequence cannot be constructed on this basis: only five out of 46 converts proved to meet the first three Lofland and Stark conditions. Our findings, then, contradict the sequence of conditions which these authors assumed for their model. It may be concluded, therefore, that the Lofland and Stark conditions provide a good picture of converts and conversions, but not of the conversion process. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION At the beginning of this paper we demonstrated that inquiry into religious conversion has progressed little over the past twenty years. Our data show that the main reason for this is inadequate research design. The combination of Travisano's defini- 238 SOCIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS tion of conversion and the model developed by Lofland and Stark permits us to predict conversion to religious groups quite well. But the model should not be understood as being cumulative. The conditions listed first in the model are no prerequisites for subsequent ones, nor does the convert have to meet all of them in order to arrive at conversion. This means that Lofland and Stark have not designed a step-by-step model of conversion; rather, they have pointed up a set of conditions for conversion.^ Two of the dispositional conditions in the model proved outstandingly important in our study: enduring tension and seekership. Lasting tensions experienced by converts are due primarily to dissatisfaction with their own personality. This unhappiness seems to go hand in hand with a relatively strong fixation on the self; involvement with social problems is relatively slight among these young people. They are in search of solving their personal problems more than others are; they define themselves as seekers more frequently and undertake more activities to find a solution. Noteworthy is that the condition "religious perspective" does not influence conversion. This suggests that an experienced lack is more conducive to conversion than a positive world view. This lack may arise in dissatisfaction with one's own person or, more generally, dissatisfaction with one's situation — at least, we are inclined to understand seekership as indicative of this. As far as the situational conditions for conversion are concerned, the life situation variables and the personal network seem important. Incisive situational changes and sudden negative life events are far more frequent among converts. Their personal networks seem to offer little solace for their problems. Neither parents nor peers are expected to give them much social support. These factors render charismatic groups attractive to them for two reasons. First, such groups offer a wholly other perspective on life and so deliver them firom their fixation on their own problems. To look for solutions by oneself is no longer necessary; henceforth a higher, charismatic power will do this. The fact that a previous religious perspective does not point the way to conversion indicates that it is not so much the content of the new perspective that appeals to converts. At issue is a formal aspect of world views: they direct life and offer certainty. Next to this solution on the level of consciousness the group provides factual supix)rt. Eighty percent of the converts establish affective bonds with other members of the group. This is very meaningful to people who experience little support from parents and peers. It seems justified to suppose that religious groups have a twofold appeal: ideological, by offering a new perspective on life, and social, by providing a satisfactory social network. ^Strictly speaking we can make no claims regarding generalization of our results. In view of the marked differences found between the control group and converts who joined two charismatic Christian movements (Unification Church and Pentecostal Church), we assume that these differences will apply also when nonconverts are compared to converts to other charismatic Christian groups. RELIGIOUS CONVERSION OF ADOLESCENTS 239 REFERENCES Austin, R. L. 1977. "Empirical adequacy of Lofland's conversion model." Review of Religious Research 18:282-87. Baer, H. A. 1978. "A field persp)ective of religious converstion: the Levites of Utah." Review of Religious Research 19:279-94. Balch, R. W. and D. Taylor. 1977. "Seekers and saucers: the role of the cultic milieu in joining a UFO cult." American Behavioral Scientist 20:839-60. Bromley, D. G. and A. D. Shupe. 1979. "Just a few years seem like a lifetime: a role theory approach to participation in new religious movements." Research in Social Movements, Conflicts and Change 2:159-85. Christensen, C. S. 1965. "Religious conversion in adolescence." Pastoral Psychology 9:17-28. Downton, J. V. 1979. Sacred Journeys: The Conversion of Young Americans to Divine Light Mission. New York: Columbia University Press. Ebaugh, H. R. F. and S. L. Vaughn. 1984. "Ideology and recruitment in religious groups." Review of Religious Research 26:148-57. Felling, A. et al. 1981. "Gebroken identiteit [Shattered identity)." Jaarboek Katholiek Documentatiecentrum 11:25-81. Gerlach, L. P. and V. H. Hine. 1970. People, Power, Change: Movements of Social Transformation. Indianapolis: Bobbs-Merrill. Gordon, D. F. 1974. "The Jesus people: an identity synthesis." Urban Life and Culture 3:159-78. Harrison, M. 1. 1974a. "Preparation for life in the spirit: the process of initial commitment to a modern religious group." Urban Life and Culture 2:387-413. . 1974b. "Sources of recruitment to Catholic pentecostalism." Jourrial for the Scientific Study of Religion 13:49-64. Heirich, M. 1977. "Change of heart: a test of some widely held theories about religious conversion." American Journal of Sociology 83:653-80. Hoenkamp-Bisschops, A. M. 1979. Her verschijnsel bekering bij nieuwe religieuze bewegingen [The Phenomenon of Conversion in "New Religious Movementjl. Nijmegen: Report Psychological Laboratory. . 1982. "Bekeringsonderzoek: geschiedenis en methodologische problemen [Conversion research: history and methodological problemsl." Gedrag 10:57-74. Kilboume, B. and J. T. Richardson. 1988. "Paradigm conflict, types of conversion and conversion theories." Sociological Analysis 50:1-21. Kox, W. 1989. Van crisis naar Christus: Een modelmatig onderzoek naar de bekering van niet-religieuze jongeren tot christeliyjke charismatische kerken [From Crisis to Christ: Model Research Concerning the Conversion of"NonreligiousYoungsters to Charismatic Christian Churches]. Utrecht: Unpublished thesis. Lans, J. M. van der and R. M. M. Dahlmans. 1982. "Toetreding tot religieuze bewegingen (Verenigingskerk en Bhagwan-beweging): een bijdrage tot toetsing van het bekeringsmodel van Lofland [Joining religious movements (Unified Family and Bhagwan Movement): a contribution to testing Lofland's conversion model)." Gedrag 10:39-57. Lofland, J. 1966. Doomsday Cult: A Study of Conversion, Proselytization and Mainterumce of Faith. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall. 1977. Doomsday Cult: A Study of Conversion, Proselytization and Maintenance of Faith, enlarged ed. New York: Irvington. and R. Stark. 1965. "Becoming a world saver: a theory of conversion to a deviant perspective." American Sociological Review 30:862-75. . 1978. " 'Becoming a World Saver' revisited," in J. T. Richardson (ed.). Conversion Careers: In and Out of the New Religions. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage. Lynch, F. R. 1978. "Toward a theory of conversion and commitment to the occult," in J. T. Richardson (ed.). Conversion Careers: In and Out of the hJew Religions. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage. Meeus, W. 1989. "Parental and peer support in adolescence," in K. Hurrelmann and U. Engel (eds.), The Social World of Adolescents. New York: De Gruyter. Nordquist, T. A. 1978. Ananda Cooperative Village: A Study in the Beliefs, Values and Attitudes of a New Age Religious Community. Uppsala: Religionhistoriska Institutionen. Richardson, J. T., M. Harder, and R. B. Simmonds. 1972. "Thought reform and the Jesus movement." Youth and Society 12:185-202. 240 SOCIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS Richardson, J. T., M. W. Stewart, and R. B. Simmonds. 1979. Organized Miracles: A Study of a Contemporary, Youth, Communal, Fundamentalist Organization. New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Books. Roberts, F. J. 1965. "Some psychological factors in religious conversion." British Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology 4:185-87. Schnabel, P. 1982. Tussen stigma en charisma [Between Stigma and Charisma]. Deventer: Van Loghum Slaterus. Seggar, J. F. and P. Kunz. 1972. "Conversion: evaluation of a step-like process for problem-solving." Revieu; of Religious Researck 13:178-84. Snow, D. A. and C. L. Phillips. 1980. "The Lofland-Stark conversion model: a critical reassessment." Social Problems 27:430-47. Straus, R. A. 1976. "Changing oneself: seekers and the creative transformation of life experience," in J. Lofland (ed.). Doing Social Life: The Qualitative Study of Human Interaction. New York: Wiley. Travisano, R. V. 1970. "Alternation and conversion as qualitatively different transformations," in G. P. Stone and H. A. Farberman (eds.). Social Psychology Through Symbolic Interaction. Waltham, MA: Ginn-Blaisdell. Wimberley, R. C. et al. 1975. "Conversion in a Billy Graham crusade: spontaneous event or ritual performance?" Sociological Quarterly 16:162-70.