UNITED STATES CHINA INDIA EUROPE RUSSIA/CIS MIDDLE EAST SOUTHEAST ASIA New POLYETHYLENE (PE) capacities to have widespread impact By Linda Naylor & Katherine Sale Global PE expansions Zhongtian Hechuang Energy 370, 2017 Inner Mongolia, China PTT Global Chemical 300, Q4 2017/2018 Map Ta Phut, Thailand Chandra Asri 400, 2020 Cilegon, Indonesia Sasol 890, H2 2018; 2019 Lake Charles, Louisiana Oman Oil 880, 2020 Sohar, Oman Kordestan Petrochemical 400, 2017 Sanandaj, Iran Unipetrol 270, 2019 Litvinov, Czech Republic Petro Rabigh 160, Q3 2017 Rabigh, Saudi Arabia Dow* 125, 2018 Seadrift, Texas St Charles, Louisiana *125kt between these 2 locations Dow 400, mid-2017 Freeport, Texas INEOS/Sasol 470, Q4 2017 LaPorte, Texas LyondellBasell 500, mid-2019 LaPorte, Texas ExxonMobil 650R, 2019 Beaumont, Texas Total/Borealis/NOVA 625, end 2020 Bayport, Texas Texas Louisiana Texas & Louisiana Shenhua Ningxia 450, 2017 Ningxia, China Jiangsu Sailboat 300, May 2017 Jiangsu, China Zhong’an Lianhe Coal 350, 2018 Anhui, China Shanxi Coking 300, 2019 Shanxi, China Dow 400, Q4 2017 Plaquemine, Louisana ELITE PE Borstar PE PE HDPE LDPE Bimodal HDPE LLDPE MDPE EVA mLLDPE Turkmenneftegaz 386, 2019 Kiyanla, Turkmenistan GAIL 400, H2 2017 Uttar Pradesh, India Chevron Phillips 1,000, mid-2017 Sweeny, Texas500 500 Formosa Plastics 800, H2 2018 Point Comfort, Texas400 400 ExxonMobil 1,300, end 2017 Mont Belvieu, Texas650 650 470 420 OPaL 1,060, H2 2017 Dahej, India720 340 Reliance 950, Aug 2017 Jamnagar, India550 400 SIBUR 1,500, 2020 Tobolsk, Russia800 700 Sadara 1,100, Q4 2016/2017 Al Jubail, Saudi Arabia750 350 Capacity: ‘000 tonnes/year As new PE capacity comes on stream globally – which started in 2017 and will continue into 2018 and beyond – the impact on the global supply and demand balances will be far reaching. There is concern that tariffs on US material to China will exacerbate their impact, and fresh trade routes will have to be found, irrespective of the potential impact on the pricing. Europe is particularly open to such impact. PETRONAS 350, mid-2019 Johor, Malaysia Track global PE plant shutdowns and outages Our new and enhanced petrochemical analytics and insight puts you in a stronger position so you can optimise your trades, plans and strategies in order to secure a competitive advantage. n Pre-empt competition and enrich strategic plans n Gain new context and negotiating tools n 360-degree, real-time global view of the market Support your strategic plans with a long-term view of supply and demand for petrochemicals markets The ICIS Supply and Demand Database delivers an end-to-end perspective of global petrochemical markets, covering 160 countries and over 100 products. n Historical and forecast data (1978-2040) n Plant capacity, production and operating status n Petrochemical trade flows and patterns The spread hit high levels in 2015 on supply shortages, and has been decreasing ever since. There is a clear correlation between higher import levels and lower linear low-density PE (LLDPE) C4 spot pricing. 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 Jan 2018 Jan 2017 Jan 2016 May 2015 EUR/tonne PE LDPE GP Film NWE Assessment Spot 0-4 Weeks Full Market Range (Mid) Ethylene FD NWE Contract Reference Price Contract Reference Month Announce (Mid) 0 2k 4k 6k 8k 10k 12k 14k Jan-2018Sep-2017May-2017Jan-2017 1,120 1,140 1,160 1,180 1,200 1,220 1,240 1,260 tonnes EUR/tonne ImportsintoEU PELLDPEButeneC4FDNWE(Mid) LLDPE imports and spot pricesSpot LDPE v ethylene contract ICIS at NPE 2018 7-11 May, Orange County Convention Center ICIS is exhibiting at NPE, one of the largest plastic shows in North America. Visit us at booth #16037 to discover how we can help you navigate through the continued changes in the plastics markets: n Collect your free copy of our newly published trade flow maps n Discover our new analytics solutions n Find out more about our worldwide consulting services n Meet with ICIS and learn more about our integrated data solutions Enquire more about our analytics solutions here Click here to find out more Find out more