J 2013

Droughts in the Czech Lands, 1090–2012 AD

BRÁZDIL, Rudolf, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Miroslav TRNKA, Oldřich KOTYZA, Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ et. al.

Basic information

Original name

Droughts in the Czech Lands, 1090–2012 AD

Authors

BRÁZDIL, Rudolf (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution), Petr DOBROVOLNÝ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Miroslav TRNKA (203 Czech Republic), Oldřich KOTYZA (203 Czech Republic), Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Hubert VALÁŠEK (203 Czech Republic), Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK (203 Czech Republic) and Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK (203 Czech Republic)

Edition

Climate of the Past, European Geosciences Union, 2013, 1814-9324

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences

Country of publisher

Germany

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Impact factor

Impact factor: 3.482

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14310/13:00066283

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

UT WoS

000323412600038

Keywords in English

documentary data; drought; drought indices; chronology of droughts; fluctuation; Czech Lands

Tags

Změněno: 13/3/2018 10:43, Mgr. Ladislava Řezníčková, Ph.D.

Abstract

V originále

This paper addresses droughts in the Czech Lands in 1090-2012 AD based on documentary and instrumental data. Various documentary sources were employed for the selection of drought events, which were then interpreted at a monthly level. The analysis concentrates on droughts after 1500 AD. A dry year in 1501-1804 was defined as a calendar year in the course of which dry patterns occurred on at least two consecutive months. Using this definition, 129 dry years were identified (an average of one drought per 2.4 yr). From the 16th to the 18th centuries these figures become 41, 36 and 49 yr respectively, with the prevailing occurrence of dry months from April to September (73.7 %). Drought indices - SPEI-1, Z-index and PDSI - calculated for the Czech Lands for April-September describe drought patterns between 1805 and 2012 (the instrumental period). N-year recurrence intervals were calculated for each of the three indices. Using N >= 5 yr, SPEI-1 indicates 40 drought years, Z-index 39 yr and PDSI 47 yr. SPEI-1 and Z-index recorded 100 yr drought in 1834, 1842, 1868, 1947 and 2003. PDSI as an indicator of long-term drought disclosed two important drought periods: 1863-1874 and 2004-2012. The first period was related to a lack of precipitation, the other may be attributed to recent temperature increases without significant changes in precipitation. Droughts from the pre-instrumental and instrumental period were used to compile a long-term chronology for the Czech Lands. The number of years with drought has fluctuated between 26 in 1951-2000 and 16 in 1651-1700. Only nine drought years were recorded between 1641 and 1680, while between 1981 and 2012 the figure was 22 yr. A number of past severe droughts are described in detail: in 1540, 1590, 1616, 1718 and 1719. The uncertainty problem, the spatial variability of droughts, comparison with tree-ring reconstructions from southern Moravia, and the broader central European context are further discussed.

Links

GAP209/11/0956, research and development project
Name: Globální a regionální modelové simulace klimatu ve střední Evropě v 18.-20. století v porovnání s pozorovaným a rekonstruovaným klimatem
Investor: Czech Science Foundation
GA13-04291S, research and development project
Name: Rekonstrukce hydro-klimatických podmínek jara a léta posledního milénia v České republice na základě dubové standardní chronologie
Investor: Czech Science Foundation
GA13-19831S, research and development project
Name: Hydrometeorologické extrémy na jižní Moravě odvozené z dokumentárních pramenů
Investor: Czech Science Foundation