J 2015

Spring-summer droughts in the Czech Land in 1805–2012 and their forcings

BRÁZDIL, Rudolf, Miroslav TRNKA, Jiří MIKŠOVSKÝ, Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ et. al.

Basic information

Original name

Spring-summer droughts in the Czech Land in 1805–2012 and their forcings

Authors

BRÁZDIL, Rudolf (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution), Miroslav TRNKA (203 Czech Republic), Jiří MIKŠOVSKÝ (203 Czech Republic), Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution) and Petr DOBROVOLNÝ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution)

Edition

International Journal of Climatology, Wiley, 2015, 0899-8418

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences

Country of publisher

United States of America

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Impact factor

Impact factor: 3.609

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14310/15:00080603

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4065

UT WoS

000355953600017

Keywords in English

drought; drought indices; fluctuation; trend; forcing; Czech Lands

Tags

AKR, rivok
Změněno: 13/3/2018 10:47, Mgr. Ladislava Řezníčková, Ph.D.

Abstract

V originále

Drought is an extreme meteorological phenomenon involving serious economic consequences. In the Czech Lands, it is reflected in significant reductions in agricultural productivity, lack of water for hygiene and industry, and impacts of forest management. Mean monthly temperature and precipitation series created for the Czech Lands for 1805–2012 were used to calculate spring (MAM) and summer (JJA) drought indices (SPI-1, SPI-12, SPEI-1, SPEI-12, Z-index and PDSI), which were then used for further analyses. Fluctuations in drought indices demonstrate an increasing long-term dryness in the Czech climate, statistically significant for SPEI-12 and PDSI in MAM and JJA (in MAM as well for SPEI-1 and Z-index). A significant concentration of drought episodes before 1880 may be attributed to a lack of precipitation, whereas the droughts of recent decades (particularly 2004–2012) are more strongly related to high temperatures. The effects of droughts are reflected in significant reductions in winter wheat and spring barley yields in the eastern province of Moravia. Regression analysis of drought forcings discloses the importance of the North Atlantic Oscillation phase and the aggregate effect of anthropogenic forcing (driven largely by increases in CO2 concentration). Their magnitude of influence varies strongly with the type of drought index and season of the year. Other factors, such as solar irradiation and the Southern Oscillation phase make only minor contributions to drought variability. The effects of volcanic activity and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation are even weaker and statistically insignificant.

Links

CZ.1.07/2.3.00/20.0248, interní kód MU
Name: Vytvoření interdisciplinárního vědeckého týmu se zaměřením na výzkum sucha
Investor: Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of the CR, 2.3 Human resources in research and development
GAP209/11/0956, research and development project
Name: Globální a regionální modelové simulace klimatu ve střední Evropě v 18.-20. století v porovnání s pozorovaným a rekonstruovaným klimatem
Investor: Czech Science Foundation
GA13-04291S, research and development project
Name: Rekonstrukce hydro-klimatických podmínek jara a léta posledního milénia v České republice na základě dubové standardní chronologie
Investor: Czech Science Foundation
GA13-19831S, research and development project
Name: Hydrometeorologické extrémy na jižní Moravě odvozené z dokumentárních pramenů
Investor: Czech Science Foundation
Displayed: 3/11/2024 14:22