J 2014

Historical Analysis of Monetary Policy Reaction Functions: Do Real-Time Data Matter?

ČAPEK, Jan

Basic information

Original name

Historical Analysis of Monetary Policy Reaction Functions: Do Real-Time Data Matter?

Authors

ČAPEK, Jan (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution)

Edition

Finance a úvěr, Datakonekt, 2014, 0015-1920

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

50200 5.2 Economics and Business

Country of publisher

Czech Republic

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

References:

Impact factor

Impact factor: 0.420

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14560/14:00077679

Organization unit

Faculty of Economics and Administration

UT WoS

000346692600002

Keywords in English

real-time data;revision;DSGE model;Bayesian estimation;recursive estimation

Tags

International impact, Reviewed
Změněno: 16/2/2015 11:08, doc. Ing. Jan Čapek, Ph.D.

Abstract

V originále

This paper investigates the differences between parameter estimates of monetary policy reaction functions using real-time data and those using revised data. The model is a New Keynesian DSGE model of the Czech, Hungarian and Polish small open economies in interaction with the euro area. Unlike the related literature, this paper uses separate vintages of real-time data for all successive estimations. The paper reports several statistically significant differences between parameter estimates of monetary policy reaction functions based on real-time data and those based on revised data. The parameter whose estimate is the most affected by the usage of real-time data is preference for output growth. This result is common across the countries in the study. The results suggest that real-time data matter when conducting a historical analysis of monetary policy preferences.

Links

MUNI/A/0775/2013, interní kód MU
Name: Analýza chování ekonomiky během hospodářského cyklu pomocí dynamických modelů
Investor: Masaryk University, Category A

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