Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and
2012

J 2015

Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012

TRNKA, Miroslav, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, M. MOŽNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ et. al.

Basic information

Original name

Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012

Authors

TRNKA, Miroslav (203 Czech Republic, guarantor), Rudolf BRÁZDIL (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), M. MOŽNÝ (203 Czech Republic), Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK (203 Czech Republic), Petr DOBROVOLNÝ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK (203 Czech Republic), J. BALEK (203 Czech Republic), D. SEMERÁDOVÁ (203 Czech Republic), M. DUBROVSKÝ (203 Czech Republic), P. HLAVINKA (203 Czech Republic), Josef EITZINGER (40 Austria), B. WARDLOW (840 United States of America), M. SVOBODA (840 United States of America), M. HAYES (840 United States of America) and Zdeněk ŽALUD (203 Czech Republic)

Edition

International Journal of Climatology, HOBOKEN, Wiley, 2015, 0899-8418

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences

Country of publisher

United States of America

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Impact factor

Impact factor: 3.609

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14310/15:00081688

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4242

UT WoS

000363682500002

Keywords in English

soil moisture; drought assessment; drought climatology; water balance; climate dice; observed climate change; Czech Republic

Abstract

V originále

Central Europe is generally not considered a drought-prone region compared with, for example, the Mediterranean. However, Central Europe, including the Czech Republic, recently experienced a series of drought events with substantial impacts, especially on crop production. Because agriculture systems, and vegetation in general, have adapted to evenly distributed precipitation, the region is susceptible to even short-term droughts. The recent drought events may be the result of multi-decadal climate variability or a more general trend, with some studies showing a link to a more frequent occurrence of atmospheric circulation patterns that are conducive to drought. This study introduces an innovation to the standard methodological approaches in evaluating drought climatology by analysing soil moisture conditions over more than 50 years. This approach relies on state-of-the-art observed weather data and state-of-the-art soil moisture model data, and focuses on the dynamic simulation of soil moisture content with high temporal (daily) and spatial (500 m) resolution in a diverse landscape. Statistically significant trends of decreasing soil moisture content were found, notably during May and June between 1961 and 2012. In contrast, trends towards higher soil moisture content were noted during the October-March time period. When the periods of 2001-2012 and 1961-1980 were compared, the probability of drought between April and June was found to increase by 50%. This indicates a loading of the climate dice' towards drier conditions. The probability of extreme drought events has also been found to increase. These results support concerns about the potentially increased severity of drought events in Central Europe under projected climate change.

Links

CZ.1.07/2.3.00/20.0248, interní kód MU

Name: Vytvoření interdisciplinárního vědeckého týmu se zaměřením na výzkum sucha

Investor: Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of the CR, 2.3 Human resources in research and development

GAP209/11/0956, research and development project

Name: Globální a regionální modelové simulace klimatu ve střední Evropě v 18.-20. století v porovnání s pozorovaným a rekonstruovaným klimatem

Investor: Czech Science Foundation

GA13-04291S, research and development project

Name: Rekonstrukce hydro-klimatických podmínek jara a léta posledního milénia v České republice na základě dubové standardní chronologie

Investor: Czech Science Foundation

Citovat

TRNKA, Miroslav, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, M. MOŽNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK, J. BALEK, D. SEMERÁDOVÁ, M. DUBROVSKÝ, P. HLAVINKA, Josef EITZINGER, B. WARDLOW, M. SVOBODA, M. HAYES and Zdeněk ŽALUD. Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012. International Journal of Climatology. HOBOKEN: Wiley, 2015, vol. 35, No 13, p. 3733-3747. ISSN 0899-8418. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4242.

@article{1341258,
   author = {Trnka, Miroslav and Brázdil, Rudolf and Možný, M. and Štěpánek, Petr and Dobrovolný, Petr and Zahradníček, Pavel and Balek, J. and Semerádová, D. and Dubrovský, M. and Hlavinka, P. and Eitzinger, Josef and Wardlow, B. and Svoboda, M. and Hayes, M. and Žalud, Zdeněk},
   article_location = {HOBOKEN},
   article_number = {13},
   doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4242},
   keywords = {soil moisture; drought assessment; drought climatology; water balance; climate dice; observed climate change; Czech Republic},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {0899-8418},
   journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
   title = {Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012},
   volume = {35},
   year = {2015}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 1341258
AU  - Trnka, Miroslav - Brázdil, Rudolf - Možný, M. - Štěpánek, Petr - Dobrovolný, Petr - Zahradníček, Pavel - Balek, J. - Semerádová, D. - Dubrovský, M. - Hlavinka, P. - Eitzinger, Josef - Wardlow, B. - Svoboda, M. - Hayes, M. - Žalud, Zdeněk
PY  - 2015
TI  - Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012
JF  - International Journal of Climatology
VL  - 35
IS  - 13
SP  - 3733-3747
EP  - 3733-3747
PB  - Wiley
SN  - 08998418
KW  - soil moisture
KW  - drought assessment
KW  - drought climatology
KW  - water balance
KW  - climate dice
KW  - observed climate change
KW  - Czech Republic
N2  - Central Europe is generally not considered a drought-prone region compared with, for example, the Mediterranean. However, Central Europe, including the Czech Republic, recently experienced a series of drought events with substantial impacts, especially on crop production. Because agriculture systems, and vegetation in general, have adapted to evenly distributed precipitation, the region is susceptible to even short-term droughts. The recent drought events may be the result of multi-decadal climate variability or a more general trend, with some studies showing a link to a more frequent occurrence of atmospheric circulation patterns that are conducive to drought. This study introduces an innovation to the standard methodological approaches in evaluating drought climatology by analysing soil moisture conditions over more than 50 years. This approach relies on state-of-the-art observed weather data and state-of-the-art soil moisture model data, and focuses on the dynamic simulation of soil moisture content with high temporal (daily) and spatial (500 m) resolution in a diverse landscape. Statistically significant trends of decreasing soil moisture content were found, notably during May and June between 1961 and 2012. In contrast, trends towards higher soil moisture content were noted during the October-March time period. When the periods of 2001-2012 and 1961-1980 were compared, the probability of drought between April and June was found to increase by 50%. This indicates a loading of the climate dice' towards drier conditions. The probability of extreme drought events has also been found to increase. These results support concerns about the potentially increased severity of drought events in Central Europe under projected climate change.
ER  -

TRNKA, Miroslav, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, M. MOŽNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK, J. BALEK, D. SEMERÁDOVÁ, M. DUBROVSKÝ, P. HLAVINKA, Josef EITZINGER, B. WARDLOW, M. SVOBODA, M. HAYES and Zdeněk ŽALUD. Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012. \textit{International Journal of Climatology}. HOBOKEN: Wiley, 2015, vol.~35, No~13, p.~3733-3747. ISSN~0899-8418. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4242.

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