J 2016

April-August temperatures in the Czech Lands, 1499-2015, reconstructed from grape-harvest dates

MOŽNÝ, Martin, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ and Miroslav TRNKA

Basic information

Original name

April-August temperatures in the Czech Lands, 1499-2015, reconstructed from grape-harvest dates

Authors

MOŽNÝ, Martin (203 Czech Republic, guarantor), Rudolf BRÁZDIL (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Petr DOBROVOLNÝ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution) and Miroslav TRNKA (203 Czech Republic)

Edition

Climate of the Past, GOTTINGEN, Copernicus, 2016, 1814-9324

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences

Country of publisher

Germany

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Impact factor

Impact factor: 3.543

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14310/16:00088329

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

UT WoS

000379424500001

Keywords in English

Grape harvest dates; documentary evidence; temperature reconstruction; Czech Lands

Tags

Tags

International impact, Reviewed
Změněno: 30/3/2017 10:17, Ing. Andrea Mikešková

Abstract

V originále

Viticulture has long been essential to the commercial and social well-being of parts of the Czech Lands (now the Czech Republic), and detailed records have been kept for centuries of the timing and relative success of the grape crop. Using such documentary data from the Bohemian wine-growing region (mainly northwest of the capital, Prague), series of grape-harvest dates (GHDs) were created for the 1499-2015 period. Because the link between harvest dates and temperatures is strong, GHD series, together with instrumental mean temperature series starting in 1801, were used to reconstruct mean April-August temperatures for the region from 1499 to 2015. Linear regression (LR) and variance scaling (VS) methods were used for calibration and compared in terms of explained variance and their ability to capture extreme values. It emerged that LR does not significantly underestimate temperature variability. However, VS shows far greater capacity to capture extremes. GHDs explain 64aEuro-% of temperature variability over the full calibration period. The 1986-2015 period was identified as the warmest 30-year period of the past 514 years, an observation consistent with recent global warming. The highest April-August temperatures appeared in a reconstruction for the year 1540, which was warmer than the next two very warm, and far more recent, seasons in 2003 and 2015. The coldest period occurred at the beginning of the 20th century (1900-1929). The series reconstructed for the Czech Lands is in close agreement with other (central) European reconstructions based on other proxies. The series created here makes an important contribution to a better understanding of long-term spatiotemporal temperature variability in central Europe.

Links

GA13-19831S, research and development project
Name: Hydrometeorologické extrémy na jižní Moravě odvozené z dokumentárních pramenů
Investor: Czech Science Foundation