Volby do Poslanecké sněmovny v roce 2017

EIBL, Otto, Miloš GREGOR, Petr DVOŘÁK, Veronika DOSTÁLOVÁ, Peter SPÁČ, Petr VODA, Jakub ŠEDO and Vlastimil HAVLÍK. Volby do Poslanecké sněmovny v roce 2017 (Elections to the Chamber of Deputies in 2017). 1. vydání. Brno: Centrum pro studium demokracie a kultury (CDK); Masarykova univerzita (MU), 2019, 287 pp. Politologická řada, svazek č. 74. ISBN 978-80-7325-476-6.

Basic information

• Original name: Volby do Poslanecké sněmovny v roce 2017
• Name in Czech: Volby do Poslanecké sněmovny v roce 2017
• Name (in English): Elections to the Chamber of Deputies in 2017
• Authors: EIBL, Otto (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution), Miloš GREGOR (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Petr DVOŘÁK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Veronika DOSTÁLOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Peter SPÁČ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Petr VODA (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Jakub ŠEDO (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution) and Vlastimil HAVLÍK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution).
• Edition: 1. vydání. Brno, 287 pp. Politologická řada, svazek č. 74, 2019.
• Publisher: Centrum pro studium demokracie a kultury (CDK); Masarykova univerzita (MU)

Other information

• Original language: Czech
• Type of outcome: Book on a specialized topic
• Field of Study: 50601 Political science
• Country of publisher: Czech Republic
• Confidentiality degree: is not subject to a state or trade secret
• Publication form: printed version "print"
• WWW: Web nakladatelství
• RIV identification code: RIV/00216224:14230/19:00110455
• Organization unit: Faculty of Social Studies
• ISBN: 978-80-7325-476-6
• Keywords (in Czech): volby; poslanecká sněmovna; volební kampaně; volební geografie; politické strany; voliči
• Keywords in English: elections; Chamber of Deputies; electoral campaigns; electoral geography; political parties; voters
• Tags: rivok
• Tags: Reviewed

Abstract

Těsně po volbách v roce 2017 obletěl republiku videozáznam tiskové konference, při které Andrej Babiš, vítěz voleb, volá na pódium Marka Prchala, svého muže číslo jedna na komunikaci na sociálních sítích. Euforický Babiš viditelně zaskočeného Prchala políbil na čelo a veřejně mu tak připsal nemalou část kreditu za volební výsledek (“…a samozřejmě náš největší guru [Mára] To je on! Génius sociálních sítí!”). Ačkoliv Babiš dlouhodobě odmítá, že by byl produktem marketingu, toto jeho gesto může být chápáno právě jako přiznání, že pro úspěch v politice je třeba odvádět dobrou práci v oblasti marketingu a komunikace Kniha autorského kolektivu z Katedry politologie a Mezinárodního politologického ústavu FSS MU v předkládané publikaci nabízí analýzu událostí, které těmto volbám předcházely a které je provázely. Své ohlédnutí autoři začínají připomenutím milníků, které v politickém životě byly určující v období 2013-2017. Po této úvodní rekapitulaci už svojí pozornost soustředí na volby a s nimi spojené charakteristiky. Postupně analyzují samotné volební výsledky, kandidátní listiny, a volební programy. Nezapomínají samozřejmě ani na volební kampaně, jimž je věnována podstatná část knihy. V samotném závěru kniha nabízí pohled do alternativních realit a odpovídá na otázku, jak by složení Poslanecké sněmovny vypadalo, kdyby byla užit jiný volební systém či pravidla pro rozdělování mandátů.

Abstract (in English)

Summary The most recent elections to the Chamber of Deputies of the Parliament of the Czech Republic took place in 2017 in an unsettled and tense atmosphere, mainly because of the personality of Andrej Babiš, the chairman of ANO. The results of the election brought several remarkable and surprising moments. A record number of political parties – nine – were able to cross the electoral threshold (set at 5 % of vote): ANO, ODS, The Pirates, SPD, KSČM, ČSSD, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09 and STAN. It was no surprise that Babiš’s ANO won the election by a considerable margin – the party attracted almost three times more votes than the party that placed second, ODS. For the other parties, the wait for their final results was quite dramatic. Three parties (KDU-ČSL, TOP 09 and STAN) polled very close to the electoral threshold and until the last moments of counting, it was not clear if they would be able to cross the 5% mark. For KSČM, it was the worst result in the history of the party (when we take the history of its predecessor, KSČ, into consideration, it was the worst result since 1921). Members of ČSSD must have been even more disappointed: the drop in voters’ support was enormous; we have to remember that ČSSD was part of the previous government, which was considered a successful coalition. However, most of the credit went to Andrej Babiš and ANO. Campaigning preceding the election was conspicuous and intensive. Under the new rules (i.e. a ban on billboards on motorways and first-class roads, spending limits, a brand new bureau whose task was to oversee the funding of political parties, campaigns included), the campaign was about how strong ANO would eventually be; who would be the strongest party of the opposition; and who would be able (and willing) to form a government with Babiš. This book represents a comprehensive study of the 2017 elections and discusses many details that are important for understanding all events and processes that led to these election results. Firstly, Miloš Gregor and Peter Dvořák look back at the most important political events of the previous election cycle (2013-2017) and discuss the development of the Czech party system during that period. Then, Otto Eibl and Veronika Dvořáková offer both quantitative and qualitative analysis of electoral manifestos. In the quantitative part of their chapter, they use the MARPOR framework; qualitatively they focus on the three main areas which cause political conflict in the Czech Republic as identified by Linek, Chytilek and Eibl in 2016. A substantive part of the book comprises a detailed description and analysis of the election campaigns. Miloš Gregor and Otto Eibl (with the help of Master’s students at the Department of Political Science of Masaryk University) carried out systematic research into the communication and marketing activities of the parties. This part is divided into two sections. In the first, the authors describe the basic features and characteristics of the (mostly offline) campaigns; in the second, they focus on the presence of the parties in online media (Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and Youtube). In the following chapter, Peter Spáč analyses the candidate lists and looks for differences in their composition across the parties that contested the elections. Veronika Dostálová and Vlastimil Havlík continue with an analysis of voters of particular parties. In their research, they draw conclusions from a special data set from the research ‘Election study 2017’, which was co-financed and partially designed by members of the Department of Political Science. In the chapter that follows, Petr Voda examines the results from the viewpoint of electoral geography and identifies where the various parties scored best. The book is concluded by a chapter written by Jakub Šedo who considers how different the outcomes of the elections would have been if other electoral rules were used.

Links

• MUNI/A/1117/2018, interní kód MU: Name: Aktuální problémy politologického výzkumu V.

Investor: Masaryk University, Category A