J 2020

We just estimated twenty million fiscal multipliers

ČAPEK, Jan and Jesús CRESPO CUARESMA

Basic information

Original name

We just estimated twenty million fiscal multipliers

Authors

ČAPEK, Jan (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution) and Jesús CRESPO CUARESMA (724 Spain, belonging to the institution)

Edition

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 0305-9049

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

50202 Applied Economics, Econometrics

Country of publisher

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

References:

Impact factor

Impact factor: 1.791

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14560/20:00114005

Organization unit

Faculty of Economics and Administration

UT WoS

000503252900001

Keywords in English

Fiscal multiplier;structural VAR;meta-analysis

Tags

International impact, Reviewed
Změněno: 12/4/2021 13:59, Mgr. Daniela Marcollová

Abstract

V originále

Abstract We analyse the role played by data and specification choices as determinants of the size of the fiscal multipliers obtained using structural vector autoregressive models. The results, based on over twenty million fiscal multipliers estimated for European countries, indicate that many seemingly harmless modelling choices have a significant effect on the size and precision of fiscal multiplier estimates. In addition to the structural shock identification strategy, these modelling choices include the definition of spending and taxes, the national accounts system employed, the use of particular interest rates or inflation measures, or whether data are smoothed prior to estimation. The cumulative effects of such arguably innocuous methodological choices can lead to a change in the spending multipliers of as much as 0.4 points.

Links

GA17-14263S, research and development project
Name: Dynamické průměrování předpovědí makroekonomických modelů
Investor: Czech Science Foundation

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