J 2019

Development and validation of a novel risk stratification algorithm for relapsed multiple myeloma

HAJEK, Roman, Michel DELFORGE, Marc S. RAAB, Paul SCHOEN, Lucy DECOSTA et. al.

Basic information

Original name

Development and validation of a novel risk stratification algorithm for relapsed multiple myeloma

Authors

HAJEK, Roman (203 Czech Republic, guarantor), Michel DELFORGE (56 Belgium), Marc S. RAAB (276 Germany), Paul SCHOEN (756 Switzerland), Lucy DECOSTA (826 United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland), Ivan SPICKA (203 Czech Republic), Jakub RADOCHA (203 Czech Republic), Luděk POUR (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Sebastian GONZALEZ-MCQUIRE (756 Switzerland) and Walter BOUWMEESTER (528 Netherlands)

Edition

British journal of haematology, Hoboken, Wiley-Blackwell, 2019, 0007-1048

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

30205 Hematology

Country of publisher

United States of America

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

References:

Impact factor

Impact factor: 5.518

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14110/19:00112957

Organization unit

Faculty of Medicine

UT WoS

000480188400001

Keywords in English

algorithm; multiple myeloma; overall survival; relapsed; risk stratification

Tags

Změněno: 17/2/2020 10:09, Mgr. Tereza Miškechová

Abstract

V originále

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a malignancy with varying survival outcomes and drivers of disease progression. Existing MM staging tools were developed using data from newly diagnosed patients. As patient characteristics and disease-related factors change between diagnosis and the initiation of second-line (2L) treatment, an unmet need exists for a tool that can evaluate risk of death at first relapse. We have developed a risk stratification algorithm (RSA) using data from patients with MM who were at 2L. Hazard ratios for independent predictors of overall survival (OS) were derived from a Cox models, and individual patient scores were calculated for total risk. K-adaptive partitioning for survival was used to stratify patients into groups based on their scores. Relative risk doubled with ascending risk group; median OSs for patients in group 1 (lowest risk)-4 (highest risk) were 61 center dot 6, 29 center dot 6, 14 center dot 2 and 5 center dot 9 months, respectively. Differences in OS between risk groups were significant. Similar stratification was observed when the RSA was applied to an external validation data set. In conclusion, we have developed a validated RSA that can quantify total risk, frailty risk and disease aggressiveness risk, and stratify patients with MM at 2L into groups with profoundly different survival expectations.