| BLÖSCHL, Günter, Andrea KISS, Alberto VIGLIONE, Mariano BARRIENDOS, Oliver BÖHM, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, Denis COEUR, Gaston DEMARÉE, Maria Carmen LLASAT, Neil MACDONALD, Dag RETSÖ, Lars ROALD, Petra SCHMOCKER-FACKEL, Inês AMORIM, Monika BĚLÍNOVÁ, Gerardo BENITO, Chiara BERTOLIN, Dario CAMUFFO, Daniel CORNEL, Radosław DOKTOR, Libor ELLEDER, Silvia ENZI, João Carlos GARCIA, Rüdiger GLASER, Julia HALL, Klaus HASLINGER, Michael HOFSTÄTTER, Jürgen KOMMA, Danuta LIMANÓWKA, David LUN, Andrei PANIN, Juraj PARAJKA, Hrvoje PETRIĆ, Fernando S. RODRIGO, Christian ROHR, Johannes SCHÖNBEIN, Lothar SCHULTE, Luís Pedro SILVA, Willem H. J. TOONEN, Peter VALENT, Jürgen WASER a Oliver WETTER. Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years. Nature. London: Nature Publishing Group, roč. 583, č. 7817, s. 560-566. ISSN 0028-0836. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2478-3. 2020. |
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@article{1672117,
author = {Blöschl, Günter and Kiss, Andrea and Viglione, Alberto and Barriendos, Mariano and Böhm, Oliver and Brázdil, Rudolf and Coeur, Denis and Demarée, Gaston and Llasat, Maria Carmen and Macdonald, Neil and Retsö, Dag and Roald, Lars and SchmockerandFackel, Petra and Amorim, Inês and Bělínová, Monika and Benito, Gerardo and Bertolin, Chiara and Camuffo, Dario and Cornel, Daniel and Doktor, Radosław and Elleder, Libor and Enzi, Silvia and Garcia, João Carlos and Glaser, Rüdiger and Hall, Julia and Haslinger, Klaus and Hofstätter, Michael and Komma, Jürgen and Limanówka, Danuta and Lun, David and Panin, Andrei and Parajka, Juraj and Petrić, Hrvoje and Rodrigo, Fernando S. and Rohr, Christian and Schönbein, Johannes and Schulte, Lothar and Silva, Luís Pedro and Toonen, Willem H. J. and Valent, Peter and Waser, Jürgen and Wetter, Oliver},
article_location = {London},
article_number = {7817},
doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2478-3},
keywords = {floods; flood-rich periods; flood seasonality; historical documentary evidence; temperature reconstruction; air temperature anomalies; flood risk management; Europe},
language = {eng},
issn = {0028-0836},
journal = {Nature},
title = {Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2478-3},
volume = {583},
year = {2020}
}
TY - JOUR
ID - 1672117
AU - Blöschl, Günter - Kiss, Andrea - Viglione, Alberto - Barriendos, Mariano - Böhm, Oliver - Brázdil, Rudolf - Coeur, Denis - Demarée, Gaston - Llasat, Maria Carmen - Macdonald, Neil - Retsö, Dag - Roald, Lars - Schmocker-Fackel, Petra - Amorim, Inês - Bělínová, Monika - Benito, Gerardo - Bertolin, Chiara - Camuffo, Dario - Cornel, Daniel - Doktor, Radosław - Elleder, Libor - Enzi, Silvia - Garcia, João Carlos - Glaser, Rüdiger - Hall, Julia - Haslinger, Klaus - Hofstätter, Michael - Komma, Jürgen - Limanówka, Danuta - Lun, David - Panin, Andrei - Parajka, Juraj - Petrić, Hrvoje - Rodrigo, Fernando S. - Rohr, Christian - Schönbein, Johannes - Schulte, Lothar - Silva, Luís Pedro - Toonen, Willem H. J. - Valent, Peter - Waser, Jürgen - Wetter, Oliver
PY - 2020
TI - Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years
JF - Nature
VL - 583
IS - 7817
SP - 560-566
EP - 560-566
PB - Nature Publishing Group
SN - 00280836
KW - floods
KW - flood-rich periods
KW - flood seasonality
KW - historical documentary evidence
KW - temperature reconstruction
KW - air temperature anomalies
KW - flood risk management
KW - Europe
UR - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2478-3
L2 - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2478-3
N2 - There are concerns that recent climate change is altering the frequency and magnitude of river floods in an unprecedented way. Historical studies have identified flood-rich periods in the past half millennium in various regions of Europe. However, because of the low temporal resolution of existing datasets and the relatively low number of series, it has remained unclear whether Europe is currently in a flood-rich period from a long-term perspective. Here we analyse how recent decades compare with the flood history of Europe, using a new database composed of more than 100 high-resolution (sub-annual) historical flood series based on documentary evidence covering all major regions of Europe. We show that the past three decades were among the most flood-rich periods in Europe in the past 500 years, and that this period differs from other flood-rich periods in terms of its extent, air temperatures and flood seasonality. We identified nine flood-rich periods and associated regions. Among the periods richest in floods are 1560–1580 (western and central Europe), 1760–1800 (most of Europe), 1840–1870 (western and southern Europe) and 1990–2016 (western and central Europe). In most parts of Europe, previous flood-rich periods occurred during cooler-than-usual phases, but the current flood-rich period has been much warmer. Flood seasonality is also more pronounced in the recent period. For example, during previous flood and interflood periods, 41 per cent and 42 per cent of central European floods occurred in summer, respectively, compared with 55 per cent of floods in the recent period. The exceptional nature of the present-day flood-rich period calls for process-based tools for flood-risk assessment that capture the physical mechanisms involved, and management strategies that can incorporate the recent changes in risk.
ER -
BLÖSCHL, Günter, Andrea KISS, Alberto VIGLIONE, Mariano BARRIENDOS, Oliver BÖHM, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, Denis COEUR, Gaston DEMARÉE, Maria Carmen LLASAT, Neil MACDONALD, Dag RETSÖ, Lars ROALD, Petra SCHMOCKER-FACKEL, Inês AMORIM, Monika BĚLÍNOVÁ, Gerardo BENITO, Chiara BERTOLIN, Dario CAMUFFO, Daniel CORNEL, Radosław DOKTOR, Libor ELLEDER, Silvia ENZI, João Carlos GARCIA, Rüdiger GLASER, Julia HALL, Klaus HASLINGER, Michael HOFSTÄTTER, Jürgen KOMMA, Danuta LIMANÓWKA, David LUN, Andrei PANIN, Juraj PARAJKA, Hrvoje PETRI$\backslash$'C, Fernando S. RODRIGO, Christian ROHR, Johannes SCHÖNBEIN, Lothar SCHULTE, Luís Pedro SILVA, Willem H. J. TOONEN, Peter VALENT, Jürgen WASER a Oliver WETTER. Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years. \textit{Nature}. London: Nature Publishing Group, roč.~583, č.~7817, s.~560-566. ISSN~0028-0836. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2478-3. 2020.
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