The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd
Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the
Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population

k 2021

The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population

KARASARIDIS, Anestis

Basic information

Original name

The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population

Authors

KARASARIDIS, Anestis

Edition

14th ISORECEA (The International Study of Religion in Central and Eastern Europe Association) Online Conference / Olomouc, Czech Republic, April 15-17, 2021, 2021

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Presentations at conferences

Field of Study

60304 Religious studies

Country of publisher

Czech Republic

Confidentiality degree

is not subject to a state or trade secret

References:

URL

Organization unit

Faculty of Arts

Keywords (in Czech)

Antoninovský mor; Cypriánův mor; simulace; systémově dynamický model; výpočetní historiografie; epidemiologie; rané křesťanství; demografie Římské říše

Keywords in English

Antonine Plague; Plague of Cyprian; Simulation; System Dynamics Model; Computational Historiography; Epidemiology; Early Christianity; Demography of the Roman Empire

Abstract

In the original language

It has been argued that the Antonine Plague and the Plague of Cyprian had a significant impact on the composition of the population of the Roman Empire during the 2nd and 3rd centuries CE. The impact of those pandemics is deemed so significant that it might have led to the ideal conditions under which Christianity became the dominant religion in the whole Mediterranean. Recent adoption of the methods of mathematical and computational modelling by the humanities allowed to precisely demonstrate some phenomena related to the Antonine Plague and the Plague of Cyprian. However, the potential significance of pandemics in the growth of the early Christian population was not yet tested through such methods. The aim of this paper is to present a project that would systematically evaluate the extent to which those notions are realistic. To achieve this, a set of epidemiological system dynamics models of varying complexity is proposed and discussed, which could utilise the current advances in epidemiology and the demographics of the Roman Empire to present selected scenarios of the pandemics of the 2nd and 3rd centuries CE and their influence on the growth of Christian population.

Cite

KARASARIDIS, Anestis. The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population. In 14th ISORECEA (The International Study of Religion in Central and Eastern Europe Association) Online Conference / Olomouc, Czech Republic, April 15-17, 2021. 2021.

@proceedings{1762956,
   author = {Karasaridis, Anestis},
   booktitle = {14th ISORECEA (The International Study of Religion in Central and Eastern Europe Association) Online Conference / Olomouc, Czech Republic, April 15-17, 2021},
   keywords = {Antonine Plague; Plague of Cyprian; Simulation; System Dynamics Model; Computational Historiography; Epidemiology; Early Christianity; Demography of the Roman Empire},
   language = {eng},
   title = {The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population},
   url = {https://isorecea2020.upol.cz/},
   year = {2021}
}

TY  - CONF
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AU  - Karasaridis, Anestis
PY  - 2021
TI  - The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population
KW  - Antonine Plague
KW  - Plague of Cyprian
KW  - Simulation
KW  - System Dynamics Model
KW  - Computational Historiography
KW  - Epidemiology
KW  - Early Christianity
KW  - Demography of the Roman Empire
UR  - https://isorecea2020.upol.cz/
N2  - It has been argued that the Antonine Plague and the Plague of Cyprian had a significant impact on the composition of the population of the Roman Empire during the 2nd and 3rd centuries CE. The impact of those pandemics is deemed so significant that it might have led to the ideal conditions under which Christianity became the dominant religion in the whole Mediterranean. Recent adoption of the methods of mathematical and computational modelling by the humanities allowed to precisely demonstrate some phenomena related to the Antonine Plague and the Plague of Cyprian. However, the potential significance of pandemics in the growth of the early Christian population was not yet tested through such methods. The aim of this paper is to present a project that would systematically evaluate the extent to which those notions are realistic. To achieve this, a set of epidemiological system dynamics models of varying complexity is proposed and discussed, which could utilise the current advances in epidemiology and the demographics of the Roman Empire to present selected scenarios of the pandemics of the 2nd and 3rd centuries CE and their influence on the growth of Christian population.
ER  -

KARASARIDIS, Anestis. The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population. In \textit{14th ISORECEA (The International Study of Religion in Central and Eastern Europe Association) Online Conference / Olomouc, Czech Republic, April 15-17, 2021}. 2021.

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