J 2024

Global hotspots in soil moisture-based drought trends

ŘEHOŘ, Jan, Miroslav TRNKA, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, Milan FISCHER, Jan BALEK et. al.

Basic information

Original name

Global hotspots in soil moisture-based drought trends

Authors

ŘEHOŘ, Jan (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Miroslav TRNKA (203 Czech Republic), Rudolf BRÁZDIL (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Milan FISCHER, Jan BALEK, Gerard VAN DER SCHRIER and Song FENG

Edition

Environmental Research Letters, IOP Publishing Ltd, 2024, 1748-9326

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

10501 Hydrology

Country of publisher

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

References:

URL

Impact factor

Impact factor: 6.700 in 2022

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad0f01

UT WoS

001117820800001

Keywords in English

soil drought; soil moisture; SoilClim model; ERA5-land reanalysis; spatiotemporal variability; climate change

Tags

rivok

Tags

International impact, Reviewed
Změněno: 6/3/2024 12:33, Mgr. Marie Šípková, DiS.

Abstract

V originále

Decreasing soil moisture and increasing frequency and intensity of soil drought episodes are among the frequently discussed consequences of ongoing global climate change. To address this topic, a water balance model SoilClim forced by climate reanalysis ERA5-Land was applied on a global scale to analyze the spatiotemporal variability of changes in soil moisture anomalies. The results revealed that the soil relative available water (AWR) significantly decreased on 31.1% of global non-glaciated land and significantly increased on 5.3% of such global non-glaciated land in 1981–2021. Decreasing AWR trends were detected over all continents and were particularly pronounced in South America, which experienced significant drying on more than half of the continent. The main drought 'hotspots' were identified in equatorial Africa, a large part of South America, the Midwest United States, and in a belt extending from eastern Europe to eastern Asia. A seasonal analysis of region-specific patterns further suggested drying in Europe in summer but an absence of a drying trend in winter. These results were supported by an analysis of the area affected by percentile-based drought on individual continents, revealing statistically significant increasing trends of 5th- and 10th-percentile droughts on all continents except Australia at an annual scale. Nevertheless, summer and autumn drought frequency increases were also detected in Australia. The seasonal trends were the most rapid in South America and Europe (except in winter). The distributions of AWR values, evaluated by Z scores, shifted remarkably toward drier conditions during the 2001–2021 period, particularly in South America and Asia. These results underscore the alarming increase in soil drought on a global scale, highlighting the need for effective drought management strategies.

Links

MUNI/A/1323/2022, interní kód MU
Name: Environmentální a socioekonomické změny v geografickém výzkumu
Investor: Masaryk University, Environmental and socio-economic change in geographical research
Displayed: 31/10/2024 20:00