Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990-2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
FERREIRA, Manuela L, de Luca KATIE, Lydia M HAILE, Jaimie STEINMETZ, Garland CULBRETH et. al.
Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990-2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Authors
FERREIRA, Manuela L, de Luca KATIE, Lydia M HAILE, Jaimie STEINMETZ, Garland CULBRETH, Marita CROSS, Jacek A KOPEC, Paulo H FERREIRA, Fiona M BLYTH, Rachelle BUCHBINDER, Jan HARTVIGSEN, Ai-Min WU, Saeid SAFIRI, Anthony WOOLF, Gary S COLLINS, Kanyin Liane ONG, Stein Emil VOLLSET, Amanda E SMITH, Jessica A CRUZ, Kai Glenn FUKUTAKI, Semagn Mekonnen ABATE, Mitra ABBASIFARD, Mohsen ABBASI-KANGEVARI, Zeinab ABBASI-KANGEVARI, Ahmed ABDELALIM, Aidin ABEDI, Hassan ABIDI, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah ADNANI, Ali AHMADI, Rufus Olusola AKINYEMI, Abayneh Tadesse ALAMER, Adugnaw Zeleke ALEM, Yousef ALIMOHAMADI, Mansour Abdullah ALSHEHRI, Mohammed Mansour ALSHEHRI, Hosam ALZAHRANI, Saeed AMINI, Sohrab AMIRI, Hubert AMU, Catalina Liliana ANDREI, Tudorel ANDREI, Benny ANTONY, Jalal ARABLOO, Judie ARULAPPAN, Ashokan ARUMUGAM, Tahira ASHRAF, Seyyed Shamsadin ATHARI, Nefsu AWOKE, Sina AZADNAJAFABAD, Till Winfried BAERNIGHAUSEN, Lope H BARRERO, Amadou BARROW, Akbar BARZEGAR, Lindsay M BEARNE, Isabela M BENSENOR, Alemshet Yirga BERHIE, Bharti Bhandari BHANDARI, Vijayalakshmi S BHOJARAJA, Ali BIJANI, Belay Boda Abule BODICHA, Srinivasa Rao BOLLA, Javier BRAZO-SAYAVERA, Andrew M BRIGGS, Chao CAO, Periklis CHARALAMPOUS, Vijay Kumar CHATTU, Flavia M CICUTTINI, Benjamin CLARSEN, Sarah CUSCHIERI, Omid DADRAS, Xiaochen DAI, Lalit DANDONA, Rakhi DANDONA, Azizallah DEHGHAN, Takele Gezahegn G DEMIE, Edgar DENOVA-GUTIERREZ, Syed Masudur Rahman DEWAN, Samath Dhamminda DHARMARATNE, Mandira Lamichhane DHIMAL, Meghnath DHIMAL, Daniel DIAZ, Mojtaba DIDEHDAR, Lankamo Ena DIGESA, Mengistie DIRESS, Hoa Thi DO, Linh Phuong DOAN, Michael EKHOLUENETALE, Muhammed ELHADI, Sharareh ESKANDARIEH, Shahriar FAGHANI, Jawad FARES, Ali FATEHIZADEH, Getahun FETENSA, Irina FILIP, Florian FISCHER, Richard Charles FRANKLIN, Balasankar GANESAN, Belete Negese Belete GEMEDA, Motuma Erena GETACHEW, Ahmad GHASHGHAEE, Tiffany K GILL, Mahaveer GOLECHHA, Pouya GOLEIJ, Bhawna GUPTA, Nima HAFEZI-NEJAD, Arvin HAJ-MIRZAIAN, Pawan Kumar HAMAL, Asif HANIF, Netanja I HARLIANTO, Hamidreza HASANI, Simon I HAY, Jeffrey J HEBERT, Golnaz HEIDARI, Mohammad HEIDARI, Reza HEIDARI-SOURESHJANI, Mbuzeleni Mbuzeleni HLONGWA, Mohammad-Salar HOSSEINI, Alexander Kevin HSIAO, Ivo IAVICOLI, Segun Emmanuel IBITOYE, Irena M ILIC, Milena ILIC, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful ISLAM, Manthan Dilipkumar JANODIA, Ravi Prakash JHA, Har Ashish JINDAL, Jost B JONAS, Gebisa Guyasa KABITO, Himal KANDEL, Rimple Jeet KAUR, Vikash Ranjan KESHRI, Yousef Saleh KHADER, Ejaz Ahmad KHAN, Md Jobair KHAN, AB Khan MOIEN, Hamid Reza Khayat KASHANI, Jagdish KHUBCHANDANI, Yun Jin KIM, Adnan KISA, Jitka KLUGAROVÁ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Ali-Asghar KOLAHI, Hamid Reza KOOHESTANI, Ai KOYANAGI, G Anil KUMAR, Narinder KUMAR, Tea LALLUKKA, Savita LASRADO, Wei-Chen LEE, Yo Han LEE, Ata MAHMOODPOOR, Jeadran N MALAGON-ROJAS, Mohammad-Reza MALEKPOUR, Reza MALEKZADEH, Narges MALIH, Man Mohan MEHNDIRATTA, Entezar Mehrabi NASAB, Ritesh G MENEZES, Alexios-Fotios A MENTIS, Mohamed Kamal MESREGAH, Ted R MILLER, Mohammad MIRZA-AGHAZADEH-ATTARI, Maryam MOBARAKABADI, Yousef MOHAMMAD, Esmaeil MOHAMMADI, Shafiu MOHAMMED, Ali H MOKDAD, Sara MOMTAZMANESH, Lorenzo MONASTA, Mohammad Ali MONI, Ebrahim MOSTAFAVI, Christopher J L MURRAY, Tapas Sadasivan NAIR, Javad NAZARI, Seyed Aria NEJADGHADERI, Subas NEUPANE, Sandhya Neupane KANDEL, Cuong Tat NGUYEN, Ali NOWROOZI, Hassan OKATI-ALIABAD, Emad OMER, Abderrahim OULHAJ, Mayowa OWOLABI, Songhomitra PANDA-JONAS, Anamika PANDEY, Eun-Kee PARK, Shrikant PAWAR, Paolo PEDERSINI, Jeevan PEREIRA, Mario F P PERES, Ionela-Roxana PETCU, Mohammadreza POURAHMADI, Amir RADFAR, Shahram RAHIMI-DEHGOLAN, Vafa RAHIMI-MOVAGHAR, Mosiur RAHMAN, Amir Masoud RAHMANI, Nazanin RAJAI, Chythra R RAO, Vahid RASHEDI, Mohammad-Mahdi RASHIDI, Zubair Ahmed RATAN, David Laith RAWAF, Salman RAWAF, Andre M N RENZAHO, Negar REZAEI, Zahed REZAEI, Leonardo ROEVER, Guilherme de Andrade RUELA, Basema SADDIK, Amirhossein SAHEBKAR, Sana SALEHI, Francesco SANMARCHI, Sadaf G SEPANLOU, Saeed SHAHABI, Shayan SHAHROKHI, Elaheh SHAKER, Mohammadbagher SHAMSI, Mohammed SHANNAWAZ, Saurab SHARMA, Maryam SHAYGAN, Rahim Ali SHEIKHI, Jeevan K SHETTY, Rahman SHIRI, Siddharudha SHIVALLI, Parnian SHOBEIRI, Migbar Mekonnen SIBHAT, Ambrish SINGH, Jasvinder A SINGH, Helen SLATER, Marco SOLMI, Ranjani SOMAYAJI, Ker-Kan TAN, Rekha THAPAR, Seyed Abolfazl TOHIDAST, Sahel Valadan TAHBAZ, Rohollah VALIZADEH, Tommi Juhani VASANKARI, Narayanaswamy VENKETASUBRAMANIAN, Vasily VLASSOV, Vo BAY, Yuan-Pang WANG, Taweewat WIANGKHAM, Lalit YADAV, Ali YADOLLAHPOUR, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh JABBARI, Lin YANG, Fereshteh YAZDANPANAH, Naohiro YONEMOTO, Mustafa Z YOUNIS, Iman ZARE, Armin ZARRINTAN, Mohammad ZOLADL, Theo VOS and Lyn M MARCH
Background Low back pain is highly prevalent and the main cause of years lived with disability (YLDs). We present the most up-to-date global, regional, and national data on prevalence and YLDs for low back pain from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021. Methods Population-based studies from 1980 to 2019 identified in a systematic review, international surveys, US medical claims data, and dataset contributions by collaborators were used to estimate the prevalence and YLDs for low back pain from 1990 to 2020, for 204 countries and territories. Low back pain was defined as pain between the 12th ribs and the gluteal folds that lasted a day or more; input data using alternative definitions were adjusted in a network meta-regression analysis. Nested Bayesian meta-regression models were used to estimate prevalence and YLDs by age, sex, year, and location. Prevalence was projected to 2050 by running a regression on prevalence rates using Socio-demographic Index as a predictor, then multiplying them by projected population estimates. Findings In 2020, low back pain affected 619 million (95% uncertainty interval 554-694) people globally, with a projection of 843 million (759-933) prevalent cases by 2050. In 2020, the global age-standardised rate of YLDs was 832 per 100 000 (578-1070). Between 1990 and 2020, age-standardised rates of prevalence and YLDs decreased by 10 center dot 4% (10 center dot 9-10 center dot 0) and 10 center dot 5% (11 center dot 1-10 center dot 0), respectively. A total of 38 center dot 8% (28 center dot 7-47 center dot 0) of YLDs were attributed to occupational factors, smoking, and high BMI. Interpretation Low back pain remains the leading cause of YLDs globally, and in 2020, there were more than half a billion prevalent cases of low back pain worldwide. While age-standardised rates have decreased modestly over the past three decades, it is projected that globally in 2050, more than 800 million people will have low back pain. Challenges persist in obtaining primary country-level data on low back pain, and there is an urgent need for more high-quality, primary, country-level data on both prevalence and severity distributions to improve accuracy and monitor change. Funding Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Copyright (c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license.
FERREIRA, Manuela L, de Luca KATIE, Lydia M HAILE, Jaimie STEINMETZ, Garland CULBRETH, Marita CROSS, Jacek A KOPEC, Paulo H FERREIRA, Fiona M BLYTH, Rachelle BUCHBINDER, Jan HARTVIGSEN, Ai-Min WU, Saeid SAFIRI, Anthony WOOLF, Gary S COLLINS, Kanyin Liane ONG, Stein Emil VOLLSET, Amanda E SMITH, Jessica A CRUZ, Kai Glenn FUKUTAKI, Semagn Mekonnen ABATE, Mitra ABBASIFARD, Mohsen ABBASI-KANGEVARI, Zeinab ABBASI-KANGEVARI, Ahmed ABDELALIM, Aidin ABEDI, Hassan ABIDI, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah ADNANI, Ali AHMADI, Rufus Olusola AKINYEMI, Abayneh Tadesse ALAMER, Adugnaw Zeleke ALEM, Yousef ALIMOHAMADI, Mansour Abdullah ALSHEHRI, Mohammed Mansour ALSHEHRI, Hosam ALZAHRANI, Saeed AMINI, Sohrab AMIRI, Hubert AMU, Catalina Liliana ANDREI, Tudorel ANDREI, Benny ANTONY, Jalal ARABLOO, Judie ARULAPPAN, Ashokan ARUMUGAM, Tahira ASHRAF, Seyyed Shamsadin ATHARI, Nefsu AWOKE, Sina AZADNAJAFABAD, Till Winfried BAERNIGHAUSEN, Lope H BARRERO, Amadou BARROW, Akbar BARZEGAR, Lindsay M BEARNE, Isabela M BENSENOR, Alemshet Yirga BERHIE, Bharti Bhandari BHANDARI, Vijayalakshmi S BHOJARAJA, Ali BIJANI, Belay Boda Abule BODICHA, Srinivasa Rao BOLLA, Javier BRAZO-SAYAVERA, Andrew M BRIGGS, Chao CAO, Periklis CHARALAMPOUS, Vijay Kumar CHATTU, Flavia M CICUTTINI, Benjamin CLARSEN, Sarah CUSCHIERI, Omid DADRAS, Xiaochen DAI, Lalit DANDONA, Rakhi DANDONA, Azizallah DEHGHAN, Takele Gezahegn G DEMIE, Edgar DENOVA-GUTIERREZ, Syed Masudur Rahman DEWAN, Samath Dhamminda DHARMARATNE, Mandira Lamichhane DHIMAL, Meghnath DHIMAL, Daniel DIAZ, Mojtaba DIDEHDAR, Lankamo Ena DIGESA, Mengistie DIRESS, Hoa Thi DO, Linh Phuong DOAN, Michael EKHOLUENETALE, Muhammed ELHADI, Sharareh ESKANDARIEH, Shahriar FAGHANI, Jawad FARES, Ali FATEHIZADEH, Getahun FETENSA, Irina FILIP, Florian FISCHER, Richard Charles FRANKLIN, Balasankar GANESAN, Belete Negese Belete GEMEDA, Motuma Erena GETACHEW, Ahmad GHASHGHAEE, Tiffany K GILL, Mahaveer GOLECHHA, Pouya GOLEIJ, Bhawna GUPTA, Nima HAFEZI-NEJAD, Arvin HAJ-MIRZAIAN, Pawan Kumar HAMAL, Asif HANIF, Netanja I HARLIANTO, Hamidreza HASANI, Simon I HAY, Jeffrey J HEBERT, Golnaz HEIDARI, Mohammad HEIDARI, Reza HEIDARI-SOURESHJANI, Mbuzeleni Mbuzeleni HLONGWA, Mohammad-Salar HOSSEINI, Alexander Kevin HSIAO, Ivo IAVICOLI, Segun Emmanuel IBITOYE, Irena M ILIC, Milena ILIC, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful ISLAM, Manthan Dilipkumar JANODIA, Ravi Prakash JHA, Har Ashish JINDAL, Jost B JONAS, Gebisa Guyasa KABITO, Himal KANDEL, Rimple Jeet KAUR, Vikash Ranjan KESHRI, Yousef Saleh KHADER, Ejaz Ahmad KHAN, Md Jobair KHAN, AB Khan MOIEN, Hamid Reza Khayat KASHANI, Jagdish KHUBCHANDANI, Yun Jin KIM, Adnan KISA, Jitka KLUGAROVÁ, Ali-Asghar KOLAHI, Hamid Reza KOOHESTANI, Ai KOYANAGI, G Anil KUMAR, Narinder KUMAR, Tea LALLUKKA, Savita LASRADO, Wei-Chen LEE, Yo Han LEE, Ata MAHMOODPOOR, Jeadran N MALAGON-ROJAS, Mohammad-Reza MALEKPOUR, Reza MALEKZADEH, Narges MALIH, Man Mohan MEHNDIRATTA, Entezar Mehrabi NASAB, Ritesh G MENEZES, Alexios-Fotios A MENTIS, Mohamed Kamal MESREGAH, Ted R MILLER, Mohammad MIRZA-AGHAZADEH-ATTARI, Maryam MOBARAKABADI, Yousef MOHAMMAD, Esmaeil MOHAMMADI, Shafiu MOHAMMED, Ali H MOKDAD, Sara MOMTAZMANESH, Lorenzo MONASTA, Mohammad Ali MONI, Ebrahim MOSTAFAVI, Christopher J L MURRAY, Tapas Sadasivan NAIR, Javad NAZARI, Seyed Aria NEJADGHADERI, Subas NEUPANE, Sandhya Neupane KANDEL, Cuong Tat NGUYEN, Ali NOWROOZI, Hassan OKATI-ALIABAD, Emad OMER, Abderrahim OULHAJ, Mayowa OWOLABI, Songhomitra PANDA-JONAS, Anamika PANDEY, Eun-Kee PARK, Shrikant PAWAR, Paolo PEDERSINI, Jeevan PEREIRA, Mario F P PERES, Ionela-Roxana PETCU, Mohammadreza POURAHMADI, Amir RADFAR, Shahram RAHIMI-DEHGOLAN, Vafa RAHIMI-MOVAGHAR, Mosiur RAHMAN, Amir Masoud RAHMANI, Nazanin RAJAI, Chythra R RAO, Vahid RASHEDI, Mohammad-Mahdi RASHIDI, Zubair Ahmed RATAN, David Laith RAWAF, Salman RAWAF, Andre M N RENZAHO, Negar REZAEI, Zahed REZAEI, Leonardo ROEVER, Guilherme de Andrade RUELA, Basema SADDIK, Amirhossein SAHEBKAR, Sana SALEHI, Francesco SANMARCHI, Sadaf G SEPANLOU, Saeed SHAHABI, Shayan SHAHROKHI, Elaheh SHAKER, Mohammadbagher SHAMSI, Mohammed SHANNAWAZ, Saurab SHARMA, Maryam SHAYGAN, Rahim Ali SHEIKHI, Jeevan K SHETTY, Rahman SHIRI, Siddharudha SHIVALLI, Parnian SHOBEIRI, Migbar Mekonnen SIBHAT, Ambrish SINGH, Jasvinder A SINGH, Helen SLATER, Marco SOLMI, Ranjani SOMAYAJI, Ker-Kan TAN, Rekha THAPAR, Seyed Abolfazl TOHIDAST, Sahel Valadan TAHBAZ, Rohollah VALIZADEH, Tommi Juhani VASANKARI, Narayanaswamy VENKETASUBRAMANIAN, Vasily VLASSOV, Vo BAY, Yuan-Pang WANG, Taweewat WIANGKHAM, Lalit YADAV, Ali YADOLLAHPOUR, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh JABBARI, Lin YANG, Fereshteh YAZDANPANAH, Naohiro YONEMOTO, Mustafa Z YOUNIS, Iman ZARE, Armin ZARRINTAN, Mohammad ZOLADL, Theo VOS and Lyn M MARCH. Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990-2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. LANCET RHEUMATOLOGY. AMSTERDAM: ELSEVIER, 2023, vol. 5, No 6, p. "E316"-"E329", 14 pp. ISSN 2665-9913. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2665-9913(23)00098-X.
@article{2379879, author = {Ferreira, Manuela L and Katie, de Luca and Haile, Lydia M and Steinmetz, Jaimie and Culbreth, Garland and Cross, Marita and Kopec, Jacek A and Ferreira, Paulo H and Blyth, Fiona M and Buchbinder, Rachelle and Hartvigsen, Jan and Wu, AiandMin and Safiri, Saeid and Woolf, Anthony and Collins, Gary S and Ong, Kanyin Liane and Vollset, Stein Emil and Smith, Amanda E and Cruz, Jessica A and Fukutaki, Kai Glenn and Abate, Semagn Mekonnen and Abbasifard, Mitra and AbbasiandKangevari, Mohsen and AbbasiandKangevari, Zeinab and Abdelalim, Ahmed and Abedi, Aidin and Abidi, Hassan and Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah and Ahmadi, Ali and Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola and Alamer, Abayneh Tadesse and Alem, Adugnaw Zeleke and Alimohamadi, Yousef and Alshehri, Mansour Abdullah and Alshehri, Mohammed Mansour and Alzahrani, Hosam and Amini, Saeed and Amiri, Sohrab and Amu, Hubert and Andrei, Catalina Liliana and Andrei, Tudorel and Antony, Benny and Arabloo, Jalal and Arulappan, Judie and Arumugam, Ashokan and Ashraf, Tahira and Athari, Seyyed Shamsadin and Awoke, Nefsu and Azadnajafabad, Sina and Baernighausen, Till Winfried and Barrero, Lope H and Barrow, Amadou and Barzegar, Akbar and Bearne, Lindsay M and Bensenor, Isabela M and Berhie, Alemshet Yirga and Bhandari, Bharti Bhandari and Bhojaraja, Vijayalakshmi S and Bijani, Ali and Bodicha, Belay Boda Abule and Bolla, Srinivasa Rao and BrazoandSayavera, Javier and Briggs, Andrew M and Cao, Chao and Charalampous, Periklis and Chattu, Vijay Kumar and Cicuttini, Flavia M and Clarsen, Benjamin and Cuschieri, Sarah and Dadras, Omid and Dai, Xiaochen and Dandona, Lalit and Dandona, Rakhi and Dehghan, Azizallah and Demie, Takele Gezahegn G and DenovaandGutierrez, Edgar and Dewan, Syed Masudur Rahman and Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda and Dhimal, Mandira Lamichhane and Dhimal, Meghnath and Diaz, Daniel and Didehdar, Mojtaba and Digesa, Lankamo Ena and Diress, Mengistie and Do, Hoa Thi and Doan, Linh Phuong and Ekholuenetale, Michael and Elhadi, Muhammed and Eskandarieh, Sharareh and Faghani, Shahriar and Fares, Jawad and Fatehizadeh, Ali and Fetensa, Getahun and Filip, Irina and Fischer, Florian and Franklin, Richard Charles and Ganesan, Balasankar and Gemeda, Belete Negese Belete and Getachew, Motuma Erena and Ghashghaee, Ahmad and Gill, Tiffany K and Golechha, Mahaveer and Goleij, Pouya and Gupta, Bhawna and HafeziandNejad, Nima and HajandMirzaian, Arvin and Hamal, Pawan Kumar and Hanif, Asif and Harlianto, Netanja I and Hasani, Hamidreza and Hay, Simon I and Hebert, Jeffrey J and Heidari, Golnaz and Heidari, Mohammad and HeidariandSoureshjani, Reza and Hlongwa, Mbuzeleni Mbuzeleni and Hosseini, MohammadandSalar and Hsiao, Alexander Kevin and Iavicoli, Ivo and Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel and Ilic, Irena M and Ilic, Milena and Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful and Janodia, Manthan Dilipkumar and Jha, Ravi Prakash and Jindal, Har Ashish and Jonas, Jost B and Kabito, Gebisa Guyasa and Kandel, Himal and Kaur, Rimple Jeet and Keshri, Vikash Ranjan and Khader, Yousef Saleh and Khan, Ejaz Ahmad and Khan, Md Jobair and Moien, AB Khan and Kashani, Hamid Reza Khayat and Khubchandani, Jagdish and Kim, Yun Jin and Kisa, Adnan and Klugarová, Jitka and Kolahi, AliandAsghar and Koohestani, Hamid Reza and Koyanagi, Ai and Kumar, G Anil and Kumar, Narinder and Lallukka, Tea and Lasrado, Savita and Lee, WeiandChen and Lee, Yo Han and Mahmoodpoor, Ata and MalagonandRojas, Jeadran N and Malekpour, MohammadandReza and Malekzadeh, Reza and Malih, Narges and Mehndiratta, Man Mohan and Nasab, Entezar Mehrabi and Menezes, Ritesh G and Mentis, AlexiosandFotios A and Mesregah, Mohamed Kamal and Miller, Ted R and MirzaandAghazadehandAttari, Mohammad and Mobarakabadi, Maryam and Mohammad, Yousef and Mohammadi, Esmaeil and Mohammed, Shafiu and Mokdad, Ali H and Momtazmanesh, Sara and Monasta, Lorenzo and Moni, Mohammad Ali et al.}, article_location = {AMSTERDAM}, article_number = {6}, doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2665-9913(23)00098-X}, keywords = {low back pain}, language = {eng}, issn = {2665-9913}, journal = {LANCET RHEUMATOLOGY}, title = {Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990-2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021}, url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266599132300098X?via%3Dihub}, volume = {5}, year = {2023} }
TY - JOUR ID - 2379879 AU - Ferreira, Manuela L - Katie, de Luca - Haile, Lydia M - Steinmetz, Jaimie - Culbreth, Garland - Cross, Marita - Kopec, Jacek A - Ferreira, Paulo H - Blyth, Fiona M - Buchbinder, Rachelle - Hartvigsen, Jan - Wu, Ai-Min - Safiri, Saeid - Woolf, Anthony - Collins, Gary S - Ong, Kanyin Liane - Vollset, Stein Emil - Smith, Amanda E - Cruz, Jessica A - Fukutaki, Kai Glenn - Abate, Semagn Mekonnen - Abbasifard, Mitra - Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen - Abbasi-Kangevari, Zeinab - Abdelalim, Ahmed - Abedi, Aidin - Abidi, Hassan - Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah - Ahmadi, Ali - Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola - Alamer, Abayneh Tadesse - Alem, Adugnaw Zeleke - Alimohamadi, Yousef - Alshehri, Mansour Abdullah - Alshehri, Mohammed Mansour - Alzahrani, Hosam - Amini, Saeed - Amiri, Sohrab - Amu, Hubert - Andrei, Catalina Liliana - Andrei, Tudorel - Antony, Benny - Arabloo, Jalal - Arulappan, Judie - Arumugam, Ashokan - Ashraf, Tahira - Athari, Seyyed Shamsadin - Awoke, Nefsu - Azadnajafabad, Sina - Baernighausen, Till Winfried - Barrero, Lope H - Barrow, Amadou - Barzegar, Akbar - Bearne, Lindsay M - Bensenor, Isabela M - Berhie, Alemshet Yirga - Bhandari, Bharti Bhandari - Bhojaraja, Vijayalakshmi S - Bijani, Ali - Bodicha, Belay Boda Abule - Bolla, Srinivasa Rao - Brazo-Sayavera, Javier - Briggs, Andrew M - Cao, Chao - Charalampous, Periklis - Chattu, Vijay Kumar - Cicuttini, Flavia M - Clarsen, Benjamin - Cuschieri, Sarah - Dadras, Omid - Dai, Xiaochen - Dandona, Lalit - Dandona, Rakhi - Dehghan, Azizallah - Demie, Takele Gezahegn G - Denova-Gutierrez, Edgar - Dewan, Syed Masudur Rahman - Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda - Dhimal, Mandira Lamichhane - Dhimal, Meghnath - Diaz, Daniel - Didehdar, Mojtaba - Digesa, Lankamo Ena - Diress, Mengistie - Do, Hoa Thi - Doan, Linh Phuong - Ekholuenetale, Michael - Elhadi, Muhammed - Eskandarieh, Sharareh - Faghani, Shahriar - Fares, Jawad - Fatehizadeh, Ali - Fetensa, Getahun - Filip, Irina - Fischer, Florian - Franklin, Richard Charles - Ganesan, Balasankar - Gemeda, Belete Negese Belete - Getachew, Motuma Erena - Ghashghaee, Ahmad - Gill, Tiffany K - Golechha, Mahaveer - Goleij, Pouya - Gupta, Bhawna - Hafezi-Nejad, Nima - Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin - Hamal, Pawan Kumar - Hanif, Asif - Harlianto, Netanja I - Hasani, Hamidreza - Hay, Simon I - Hebert, Jeffrey J - Heidari, Golnaz - Heidari, Mohammad - Heidari-Soureshjani, Reza - Hlongwa, Mbuzeleni Mbuzeleni - Hosseini, Mohammad-Salar - Hsiao, Alexander Kevin - Iavicoli, Ivo - Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel - Ilic, Irena M - Ilic, Milena - Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful - Janodia, Manthan Dilipkumar - Jha, Ravi Prakash - Jindal, Har Ashish - Jonas, Jost B - Kabito, Gebisa Guyasa - Kandel, Himal - Kaur, Rimple Jeet - Keshri, Vikash Ranjan - Khader, Yousef Saleh - Khan, Ejaz Ahmad - Khan, Md Jobair - Moien, AB Khan - Kashani, Hamid Reza Khayat - Khubchandani, Jagdish - Kim, Yun Jin - Kisa, Adnan - Klugarová, Jitka - Kolahi, Ali-Asghar - Koohestani, Hamid Reza - Koyanagi, Ai - Kumar, G Anil - Kumar, Narinder - Lallukka, Tea - Lasrado, Savita - Lee, Wei-Chen - Lee, Yo Han - Mahmoodpoor, Ata - Malagon-Rojas, Jeadran N - Malekpour, Mohammad-Reza - Malekzadeh, Reza - Malih, Narges - Mehndiratta, Man Mohan - Nasab, Entezar Mehrabi - Menezes, Ritesh G - Mentis, Alexios-Fotios A - Mesregah, Mohamed Kamal - Miller, Ted R - Mirza-Aghazadeh-Attari, Mohammad - Mobarakabadi, Maryam - Mohammad, Yousef - Mohammadi, Esmaeil - Mohammed, Shafiu - Mokdad, Ali H - Momtazmanesh, Sara - Monasta, Lorenzo - Moni, Mohammad Ali et al. PY - 2023 TI - Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990-2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 JF - LANCET RHEUMATOLOGY VL - 5 IS - 6 SP - "E316"-"E329" EP - "E316"-"E329" PB - ELSEVIER SN - 26659913 KW - low back pain UR - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266599132300098X?via%3Dihub N2 - Background Low back pain is highly prevalent and the main cause of years lived with disability (YLDs). We present the most up-to-date global, regional, and national data on prevalence and YLDs for low back pain from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021. Methods Population-based studies from 1980 to 2019 identified in a systematic review, international surveys, US medical claims data, and dataset contributions by collaborators were used to estimate the prevalence and YLDs for low back pain from 1990 to 2020, for 204 countries and territories. Low back pain was defined as pain between the 12th ribs and the gluteal folds that lasted a day or more; input data using alternative definitions were adjusted in a network meta-regression analysis. Nested Bayesian meta-regression models were used to estimate prevalence and YLDs by age, sex, year, and location. Prevalence was projected to 2050 by running a regression on prevalence rates using Socio-demographic Index as a predictor, then multiplying them by projected population estimates. Findings In 2020, low back pain affected 619 million (95% uncertainty interval 554-694) people globally, with a projection of 843 million (759-933) prevalent cases by 2050. In 2020, the global age-standardised rate of YLDs was 832 per 100 000 (578-1070). Between 1990 and 2020, age-standardised rates of prevalence and YLDs decreased by 10 center dot 4% (10 center dot 9-10 center dot 0) and 10 center dot 5% (11 center dot 1-10 center dot 0), respectively. A total of 38 center dot 8% (28 center dot 7-47 center dot 0) of YLDs were attributed to occupational factors, smoking, and high BMI. Interpretation Low back pain remains the leading cause of YLDs globally, and in 2020, there were more than half a billion prevalent cases of low back pain worldwide. While age-standardised rates have decreased modestly over the past three decades, it is projected that globally in 2050, more than 800 million people will have low back pain. Challenges persist in obtaining primary country-level data on low back pain, and there is an urgent need for more high-quality, primary, country-level data on both prevalence and severity distributions to improve accuracy and monitor change. Funding Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Copyright (c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. ER -
FERREIRA, Manuela L, de Luca KATIE, Lydia M HAILE, Jaimie STEINMETZ, Garland CULBRETH, Marita CROSS, Jacek A KOPEC, Paulo H FERREIRA, Fiona M BLYTH, Rachelle BUCHBINDER, Jan HARTVIGSEN, Ai-Min WU, Saeid SAFIRI, Anthony WOOLF, Gary S COLLINS, Kanyin Liane ONG, Stein Emil VOLLSET, Amanda E SMITH, Jessica A CRUZ, Kai Glenn FUKUTAKI, Semagn Mekonnen ABATE, Mitra ABBASIFARD, Mohsen ABBASI-KANGEVARI, Zeinab ABBASI-KANGEVARI, Ahmed ABDELALIM, Aidin ABEDI, Hassan ABIDI, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah ADNANI, Ali AHMADI, Rufus Olusola AKINYEMI, Abayneh Tadesse ALAMER, Adugnaw Zeleke ALEM, Yousef ALIMOHAMADI, Mansour Abdullah ALSHEHRI, Mohammed Mansour ALSHEHRI, Hosam ALZAHRANI, Saeed AMINI, Sohrab AMIRI, Hubert AMU, Catalina Liliana ANDREI, Tudorel ANDREI, Benny ANTONY, Jalal ARABLOO, Judie ARULAPPAN, Ashokan ARUMUGAM, Tahira ASHRAF, Seyyed Shamsadin ATHARI, Nefsu AWOKE, Sina AZADNAJAFABAD, Till Winfried BAERNIGHAUSEN, Lope H BARRERO, Amadou BARROW, Akbar BARZEGAR, Lindsay M BEARNE, Isabela M BENSENOR, Alemshet Yirga BERHIE, Bharti Bhandari BHANDARI, Vijayalakshmi S BHOJARAJA, Ali BIJANI, Belay Boda Abule BODICHA, Srinivasa Rao BOLLA, Javier BRAZO-SAYAVERA, Andrew M BRIGGS, Chao CAO, Periklis CHARALAMPOUS, Vijay Kumar CHATTU, Flavia M CICUTTINI, Benjamin CLARSEN, Sarah CUSCHIERI, Omid DADRAS, Xiaochen DAI, Lalit DANDONA, Rakhi DANDONA, Azizallah DEHGHAN, Takele Gezahegn G DEMIE, Edgar DENOVA-GUTIERREZ, Syed Masudur Rahman DEWAN, Samath Dhamminda DHARMARATNE, Mandira Lamichhane DHIMAL, Meghnath DHIMAL, Daniel DIAZ, Mojtaba DIDEHDAR, Lankamo Ena DIGESA, Mengistie DIRESS, Hoa Thi DO, Linh Phuong DOAN, Michael EKHOLUENETALE, Muhammed ELHADI, Sharareh ESKANDARIEH, Shahriar FAGHANI, Jawad FARES, Ali FATEHIZADEH, Getahun FETENSA, Irina FILIP, Florian FISCHER, Richard Charles FRANKLIN, Balasankar GANESAN, Belete Negese Belete GEMEDA, Motuma Erena GETACHEW, Ahmad GHASHGHAEE, Tiffany K GILL, Mahaveer GOLECHHA, Pouya GOLEIJ, Bhawna GUPTA, Nima HAFEZI-NEJAD, Arvin HAJ-MIRZAIAN, Pawan Kumar HAMAL, Asif HANIF, Netanja I HARLIANTO, Hamidreza HASANI, Simon I HAY, Jeffrey J HEBERT, Golnaz HEIDARI, Mohammad HEIDARI, Reza HEIDARI-SOURESHJANI, Mbuzeleni Mbuzeleni HLONGWA, Mohammad-Salar HOSSEINI, Alexander Kevin HSIAO, Ivo IAVICOLI, Segun Emmanuel IBITOYE, Irena M ILIC, Milena ILIC, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful ISLAM, Manthan Dilipkumar JANODIA, Ravi Prakash JHA, Har Ashish JINDAL, Jost B JONAS, Gebisa Guyasa KABITO, Himal KANDEL, Rimple Jeet KAUR, Vikash Ranjan KESHRI, Yousef Saleh KHADER, Ejaz Ahmad KHAN, Md Jobair KHAN, AB Khan MOIEN, Hamid Reza Khayat KASHANI, Jagdish KHUBCHANDANI, Yun Jin KIM, Adnan KISA, Jitka KLUGAROVÁ, Ali-Asghar KOLAHI, Hamid Reza KOOHESTANI, Ai KOYANAGI, G Anil KUMAR, Narinder KUMAR, Tea LALLUKKA, Savita LASRADO, Wei-Chen LEE, Yo Han LEE, Ata MAHMOODPOOR, Jeadran N MALAGON-ROJAS, Mohammad-Reza MALEKPOUR, Reza MALEKZADEH, Narges MALIH, Man Mohan MEHNDIRATTA, Entezar Mehrabi NASAB, Ritesh G MENEZES, Alexios-Fotios A MENTIS, Mohamed Kamal MESREGAH, Ted R MILLER, Mohammad MIRZA-AGHAZADEH-ATTARI, Maryam MOBARAKABADI, Yousef MOHAMMAD, Esmaeil MOHAMMADI, Shafiu MOHAMMED, Ali H MOKDAD, Sara MOMTAZMANESH, Lorenzo MONASTA, Mohammad Ali MONI, Ebrahim MOSTAFAVI, Christopher J L MURRAY, Tapas Sadasivan NAIR, Javad NAZARI, Seyed Aria NEJADGHADERI, Subas NEUPANE, Sandhya Neupane KANDEL, Cuong Tat NGUYEN, Ali NOWROOZI, Hassan OKATI-ALIABAD, Emad OMER, Abderrahim OULHAJ, Mayowa OWOLABI, Songhomitra PANDA-JONAS, Anamika PANDEY, Eun-Kee PARK, Shrikant PAWAR, Paolo PEDERSINI, Jeevan PEREIRA, Mario F P PERES, Ionela-Roxana PETCU, Mohammadreza POURAHMADI, Amir RADFAR, Shahram RAHIMI-DEHGOLAN, Vafa RAHIMI-MOVAGHAR, Mosiur RAHMAN, Amir Masoud RAHMANI, Nazanin RAJAI, Chythra R RAO, Vahid RASHEDI, Mohammad-Mahdi RASHIDI, Zubair Ahmed RATAN, David Laith RAWAF, Salman RAWAF, Andre M N RENZAHO, Negar REZAEI, Zahed REZAEI, Leonardo ROEVER, Guilherme de Andrade RUELA, Basema SADDIK, Amirhossein SAHEBKAR, Sana SALEHI, Francesco SANMARCHI, Sadaf G SEPANLOU, Saeed SHAHABI, Shayan SHAHROKHI, Elaheh SHAKER, Mohammadbagher SHAMSI, Mohammed SHANNAWAZ, Saurab SHARMA, Maryam SHAYGAN, Rahim Ali SHEIKHI, Jeevan K SHETTY, Rahman SHIRI, Siddharudha SHIVALLI, Parnian SHOBEIRI, Migbar Mekonnen SIBHAT, Ambrish SINGH, Jasvinder A SINGH, Helen SLATER, Marco SOLMI, Ranjani SOMAYAJI, Ker-Kan TAN, Rekha THAPAR, Seyed Abolfazl TOHIDAST, Sahel Valadan TAHBAZ, Rohollah VALIZADEH, Tommi Juhani VASANKARI, Narayanaswamy VENKETASUBRAMANIAN, Vasily VLASSOV, Vo BAY, Yuan-Pang WANG, Taweewat WIANGKHAM, Lalit YADAV, Ali YADOLLAHPOUR, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh JABBARI, Lin YANG, Fereshteh YAZDANPANAH, Naohiro YONEMOTO, Mustafa Z YOUNIS, Iman ZARE, Armin ZARRINTAN, Mohammad ZOLADL, Theo VOS and Lyn M MARCH. Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990-2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. \textit{LANCET RHEUMATOLOGY}. AMSTERDAM: ELSEVIER, 2023, vol.~5, No~6, p.~''E316''-''E329'', 14 pp. ISSN~2665-9913. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2665-9913(23)00098-X.