A Probabilistic Simulation Framework to Assess the Impacts of
Ridesharing and Congestion Charging in New York City

J 2023

A Probabilistic Simulation Framework to Assess the Impacts of Ridesharing and Congestion Charging in New York City

KHULBE, Devashish, Chaogui KANG, Satish UKKUSURI and Stanislav SOBOLEVSKY

Basic information

Original name

A Probabilistic Simulation Framework to Assess the Impacts of Ridesharing and Congestion Charging in New York City

Authors

KHULBE, Devashish (356 India, belonging to the institution), Chaogui KANG, Satish UKKUSURI and Stanislav SOBOLEVSKY (112 Belarus, belonging to the institution)

Edition

Data Science for Transportation, Springer, 2023, 2948-135X

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

10103 Statistics and probability

Country of publisher

Singapore

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

References:

URL

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14310/23:00133758

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42421-023-00066-x

Keywords in English

Commute behavior; Transportation planning; Mode choice; Mode shift; Ridesharing; Congestion surcharge

Abstract

V originále

Understanding the holistic city-wide impact of planned transportation solutions and interventions is critical for decision making, but challenged by the complexity of the urban systems, as well as the quality of the available urban data. The cornerstone for such impact assessments is estimating the transportation mode-shift resulting from the intervention. Although transportation planning has well-established models for the mode-choice assessment such as a nested multinomial logit model, an individual choice simulation could be better suited for addressing the mode-shift allowing us to consistently account for individual preferences. Moreover, the available ground-truth data on the actual transportation choices is often incomplete or inconsistent. The present paper addresses those challenges by offering an individual mode-choice and mode-shift simulation model and the Bayesian inference framework, and demonstrates how impact assessments can be performed in the events of incomplete mobility data. It accounts for uncertainties in the data as well as the model estimate and translates them into uncertainties of the resulting mode-shift and the impacts. The framework is evaluated on the two intervention cases: introducing ride-sharing for-hire-vehicles in NYC as well the recent introduction of the Manhattan Congestion surcharge. It can be used to assess mode-shift and quantify the resulting economic, social and environmental implications for any urban transportation solutions and policies considered by decision-makers or transportation companies.

Links

EF16_019/0000822, research and development project

Name: Centrum excelence pro kyberkriminalitu, kyberbezpečnost a ochranu kritických informačních infrastruktur

MUNI/J/0008/2021, interní kód MU

Name: Digital City

Investor: Masaryk University, MASH JUNIOR - MUNI Award In Science and Humanities JUNIOR

Citovat

KHULBE, Devashish, Chaogui KANG, Satish UKKUSURI and Stanislav SOBOLEVSKY. A Probabilistic Simulation Framework to Assess the Impacts of Ridesharing and Congestion Charging in New York City. Data Science for Transportation. Springer, 2023, vol. 5, No 2, p. 1-17. ISSN 2948-135X. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42421-023-00066-x.

@article{2383378,
   author = {Khulbe, Devashish and Kang, Chaogui and Ukkusuri, Satish and Sobolevsky, Stanislav},
   article_number = {2},
   doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42421-023-00066-x},
   keywords = {Commute behavior; Transportation planning; Mode choice; Mode shift; Ridesharing; Congestion surcharge},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {2948-135X},
   journal = {Data Science for Transportation},
   title = {A Probabilistic Simulation Framework to Assess the Impacts of Ridesharing and Congestion Charging in New York City},
   url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s42421-023-00066-x},
   volume = {5},
   year = {2023}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 2383378
AU  - Khulbe, Devashish - Kang, Chaogui - Ukkusuri, Satish - Sobolevsky, Stanislav
PY  - 2023
TI  - A Probabilistic Simulation Framework to Assess the Impacts of Ridesharing and Congestion Charging in New York City
JF  - Data Science for Transportation
VL  - 5
IS  - 2
SP  - 1-17
EP  - 1-17
PB  - Springer
SN  - 2948135X
KW  - Commute behavior
KW  - Transportation planning
KW  - Mode choice
KW  - Mode shift
KW  - Ridesharing
KW  - Congestion surcharge
UR  - https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s42421-023-00066-x
N2  - Understanding the holistic city-wide impact of planned transportation solutions and interventions is critical for decision making, but challenged by the complexity of the urban systems, as well as the quality of the available urban data. The cornerstone for such impact assessments is estimating the transportation mode-shift resulting from the intervention. Although transportation planning has well-established models for the mode-choice assessment such as a nested multinomial logit model, an individual choice simulation could be better suited for addressing the mode-shift allowing us to consistently account for individual preferences. Moreover, the available ground-truth data on the actual transportation choices is often incomplete or inconsistent. The present paper addresses those challenges by offering an individual mode-choice and mode-shift simulation model and the Bayesian inference framework, and demonstrates how impact assessments can be performed in the events of incomplete mobility data. It accounts for uncertainties in the data as well as the model estimate and translates them into uncertainties of the resulting mode-shift and the impacts. The framework is evaluated on the two intervention cases: introducing ride-sharing for-hire-vehicles in NYC as well the recent introduction of the Manhattan Congestion surcharge. It can be used to assess mode-shift and quantify the resulting economic, social and environmental implications for any urban transportation solutions and policies considered by decision-makers or transportation companies.
ER  -

KHULBE, Devashish, Chaogui KANG, Satish UKKUSURI and Stanislav SOBOLEVSKY. A Probabilistic Simulation Framework to Assess the Impacts of Ridesharing and Congestion Charging in New York City. \textit{Data Science for Transportation}. Springer, 2023, vol.~5, No~2, p.~1-17. ISSN~2948-135X. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42421-023-00066-x.

Detailed Information on Publication Record