Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000
Years?

J 2024

Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000 Years?

ESPER, Jan, Philipp SCHULZ and Ulf BÜNTGEN

Basic information

Original name

Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000 Years?

Authors

ESPER, Jan (guarantor), Philipp SCHULZ and Ulf BÜNTGEN (276 Germany, belonging to the institution)

Edition

Atmosphere, MDPI, 2024, 2073-4433

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

10511 Environmental sciences

Country of publisher

Switzerland

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

References:

URL

Impact factor

Impact factor: 2.900 in 2022

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos15040405

UT WoS

001211355200001

Keywords in English

proxy data; climate archive; global surface temperature; climate change; Holocene

Abstract

V originále

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that the latest decade was warmer than any multi-century period over the past 125,000 years. This statement rests on a comparison of modern instrumental measurements against the course of past temperatures reconstructed from natural proxy archives, such as lake and marine sediments, and peat bogs. Here, we evaluate this comparison with a focus on the hundreds of proxy records developed by paleoclimatologists across the globe to reconstruct climate variability over the Holocene (12,000 years) and preceded by the Last Glacial Period (125,000 years). Although the existing proxy data provide a unique opportunity to reconstruct low-frequency climate variability on centennial timescales, they lack temporal resolution and dating precision for contextualizing the most recent temperature extremes. While the IPCC’s conclusion on the uniqueness of latest-decade warming is thus not supported by comparison with these smoothed paleotemperatures, it is still likely correct as ice core-derived forcing timeseries show that greenhouse gases were not elevated during any pre-instrumental period of the Holocene.

Citovat

ESPER, Jan, Philipp SCHULZ and Ulf BÜNTGEN. Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000 Years? Atmosphere. MDPI, 2024, vol. 15, No 4, p. 1-8. ISSN 2073-4433. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos15040405.

@article{2402877,
   author = {Esper, Jan and Schulz, Philipp and Büntgen, Ulf},
   article_number = {4},
   doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos15040405},
   keywords = {proxy data; climate archive; global surface temperature; climate change; Holocene},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {2073-4433},
   journal = {Atmosphere},
   title = {Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000 Years?},
   url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/15/4/405},
   volume = {15},
   year = {2024}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 2402877
AU  - Esper, Jan - Schulz, Philipp - Büntgen, Ulf
PY  - 2024
TI  - Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000 Years?
JF  - Atmosphere
VL  - 15
IS  - 4
SP  - 1-8
EP  - 1-8
PB  - MDPI
SN  - 20734433
KW  - proxy data
KW  - climate archive
KW  - global surface temperature
KW  - climate change
KW  - Holocene
UR  - https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/15/4/405
N2  - The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that the latest decade was warmer than any multi-century period over the past 125,000 years. This statement rests on a comparison of modern instrumental measurements against the course of past temperatures reconstructed from natural proxy archives, such as lake and marine sediments, and peat bogs. Here, we evaluate this comparison with a focus on the hundreds of proxy records developed by paleoclimatologists across the globe to reconstruct climate variability over the Holocene (12,000 years) and preceded by the Last Glacial Period (125,000 years). Although the existing proxy data provide a unique opportunity to reconstruct low-frequency climate variability on centennial timescales, they lack temporal resolution and dating precision for contextualizing the most recent temperature extremes. While the IPCC’s conclusion on the uniqueness of latest-decade warming is thus not supported by comparison with these smoothed paleotemperatures, it is still likely correct as ice core-derived forcing timeseries show that greenhouse gases were not elevated during any pre-instrumental period of the Holocene.
ER  -

ESPER, Jan, Philipp SCHULZ and Ulf BÜNTGEN. Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000 Years? \textit{Atmosphere}. MDPI, 2024, vol.~15, No~4, p.~1-8. ISSN~2073-4433. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos15040405.

Detailed Information on Publication Record