J 2009

A standard paleoclimatological approach to temperature reconstruction in historical climatology: an example from the Czech Republic, A.D. 1718-2007

DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, Hubert VALÁŠEK, Oldřich KOTYZA, Jarmila MACKOVÁ et. al.

Basic information

Original name

A standard paleoclimatological approach to temperature reconstruction in historical climatology: an example from the Czech Republic, A.D. 1718-2007

Name in Czech

Standardní paleoklimatologický přístup k rekonstrukci klimatu v historické klimatologii: příklad z České republiky, 1718-2007

Authors

DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr (203 Czech Republic, guarantor), Rudolf BRÁZDIL (203 Czech Republic), Hubert VALÁŠEK (203 Czech Republic), Oldřich KOTYZA (203 Czech Republic), Jarmila MACKOVÁ (203 Czech Republic) and Monika BĚLÍNOVÁ (203 Czech Republic)

Edition

International Journal of Climatology, 2009, 0899-8418

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences

Country of publisher

Czech Republic

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

References:

Impact factor

Impact factor: 2.347

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14310/09:00036377

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

UT WoS

000269401000011

Keywords (in Czech)

documentary data ; temperature indices; linear regression model; temperature reconstruction; Prague Klementinum; Czech Republic

Keywords in English

documentary data ; temperature indices; linear regression model; temperature reconstruction; Prague Klementinum; Czech Republic

Tags

International impact, Reviewed
Změněno: 7/8/2009 21:38, prof. RNDr. Petr Dobrovolný, CSc.

Abstract

V originále

This paper addresses a standard paleoclimatological approach to reconstructing temperatures in historical climatology. Weighted monthly temperature indices on a scale from - 3 to + 3, derived from documentary evidence for the period 1718-1850 in the Czech Lands, were used to create a series of seasonal (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) and annual temperature indices as simple sums of indices from corresponding months. The period 1771-1850, when such indices overlap with instrumental measurements taken at Prague-Klementinum, was used to calibrate and verify relations between indices and the temperatures measured, using linear regression models (LRM) evaluated by various statistical characteristics. The most accurate LRM performance was obtained for DJF, MAM and annual temperatures, while JJA and SON temperature results proved slightly less reliable. Reconstructed data for 1718-1770 were combined with measured data to create series of seasonal and annual temperatures for the Prague-Klementinum station covering the period 1718-2007. Various problems in temperature reconstruction are further discussed: the completeness and quality of the index series, the expression of extreme temperatures, and the selection of a reference period for calibration. The suggested standard paleoclimatological approach lends more objectivity to both verification of reconstructed temperatures and the expression of uncertainties in reconstruction.

In Czech

This paper addresses a standard paleoclimatological approach to reconstructing temperatures in historical climatology. Weighted monthly temperature indices on a scale from - 3 to + 3, derived from documentary evidence for the period 1718-1850 in the Czech Lands, were used to create a series of seasonal (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) and annual temperature indices as simple sums of indices from corresponding months. The period 1771-1850, when such indices overlap with instrumental measurements taken at Prague-Klementinum, was used to calibrate and verify relations between indices and the temperatures measured, using linear regression models (LRM) evaluated by various statistical characteristics. The most accurate LRM performance was obtained for DJF, MAM and annual temperatures, while JJA and SON temperature results proved slightly less reliable. Reconstructed data for 1718-1770 were combined with measured data to create series of seasonal and annual temperatures for the Prague-Klementinum station covering the period 1718-2007. Various problems in temperature reconstruction are further discussed: the completeness and quality of the index series, the expression of extreme temperatures, and the selection of a reference period for calibration. The suggested standard paleoclimatological approach lends more objectivity to both verification of reconstructed temperatures and the expression of uncertainties in reconstruction.