PAVLÍK, Tomáš, Ondřej MÁJEK, Jan MUŽÍK, Jana KOPTÍKOVÁ, Lubomír SLAVÍČEK, Jindřich FÍNEK, David FELTL, Rostislav VYZULA and Ladislav DUŠEK. Estimating the number of colorectal cancer patients treated with anti-tumour therapy in 2015: the analysis of the Czech National Cancer Registry. BMC Public Health. 2012, vol. 12, "art. 117", p. "nestrankovano", 10 pp. ISSN 1471-2458. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-117.
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Basic information
Original name Estimating the number of colorectal cancer patients treated with anti-tumour therapy in 2015: the analysis of the Czech National Cancer Registry
Authors PAVLÍK, Tomáš (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution), Ondřej MÁJEK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Jan MUŽÍK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Jana KOPTÍKOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Lubomír SLAVÍČEK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Jindřich FÍNEK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), David FELTL (203 Czech Republic), Rostislav VYZULA (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution) and Ladislav DUŠEK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution).
Edition BMC Public Health, 2012, 1471-2458.
Other information
Original language English
Type of outcome Article in a journal
Field of Study 30200 3.2 Clinical medicine
Country of publisher United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Confidentiality degree is not subject to a state or trade secret
WWW URL
Impact factor Impact factor: 2.076
RIV identification code RIV/00216224:14110/12:00057270
Organization unit Faculty of Medicine
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-117
UT WoS 000302376800001
Keywords in English PREOPERATIVE RADIOTHERAPY; PREVALENCE; POPULATION; CARE; PATTERNS; FRANCE; STAGE; PROJECTIONS; PREDICTION; RECURRENCE
Tags International impact
Changed by Changed by: Mgr. Michal Petr, učo 65024. Changed: 18/6/2012 09:26.
Abstract
Colorectal cancer (CRC) represents a serious health care problem in the Czech Republic, introducing a need for a prospective modelling of the incidence and prevalence rates. The prevalence of patients requiring anti-tumour therapy is also of great importance, as it is directly associated with planning of health care resources. Methods This work proposes a population-based model for the estimation of stage-specific prevalence of CRC patients who will require active anti-tumour therapy in a given year. Its applicability is documented on records of the Czech National Cancer Registry (CNCR), which is used to estimate the number of patients potentially treated with anti-tumour therapy in the Czech Republic in 2015. Results Several scenarios are adopted to cover the plausible development of the incidence and survival rates, and the probability of an anti-tumour therapy initiation. Based on the scenarios, the model predicts an increase in CRC prevalence from 13% to 30% in comparison with the situation in 2008. Moreover, the model predicts that 10,074 to 11,440 CRC patients will be indicated for anti-tumour therapy in the Czech Republic in 2015. Considering all patients with terminal cancer recurrence and all patients primarily diagnosed in stage IV, it is predicted that 3,485 to 4,469 CRC patients will be treated for the metastatic disease in 2015, which accounts for more than one third (34-40%) of all CRC patients treated this year. Conclusions A new model for the estimation of the number of CRC patients requiring active anti-tumour therapy is proposed in this paper. The model respects the clinical stage as the primary stratification factor and utilizes solely the population-based cancer registry data. Thus, no specific hospital data records are needed in the proposed approach. Regarding the short-term prediction of the CRC burden in the Czech Republic, the model confirms a continuous increase in the burden that must be accounted for in the future planning of health care in the Czech Republic.
Links
GD102/09/H083, research and development projectName: Informační technologie v biomedicínském inženýrství
Investor: Czech Science Foundation
NS10650, research and development projectName: Výzkum metod standardizace zdravotní péče zaměřený na vývoj národní sady standardů zdravotních služeb
Investor: Ministry of Health of the CR
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