Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a
state-of-the-art assessment

J 2014

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment

HALL, J.; B. ARHEIMER; M. BORGA; Rudolf BRÁZDIL; P. CLAPS et. al.

Základní údaje

Originální název

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment

Autoři

HALL, J. (40 Rakousko); B. ARHEIMER (752 Švédsko); M. BORGA (380 Itálie); Rudolf BRÁZDIL (203 Česká republika, garant, domácí); P. CLAPS (380 Itálie); A. KISS (40 Rakousko); T. R. KJELDSEN (826 Velká Británie a Severní Irsko); J. KRIAUČIUNIENE (440 Litva); Z. W. KUNDZEWICZ (616 Polsko); M. LANG (250 Francie); M. C. LLASAT (724 Španělsko); N. MACDONALD (826 Velká Británie a Severní Irsko); N. MCINTYRE (826 Velká Británie a Severní Irsko); L. MEDIERO (826 Velká Británie a Severní Irsko); B. MERZ (276 Německo); R. MERZ (276 Německo); P. MOLNAR (756 Švýcarsko); A. MONTANARI (380 Itálie); C. NEUHOLD (40 Rakousko); J. PARAJKA (40 Rakousko); R. A. P. PERDIGĂO (40 Rakousko); L. PLAVCOVÁ (40 Rakousko); M. ROGGER (40 Rakousko); J. L. SALINAS (40 Rakousko); E. SAUQUET (250 Francie); C. SCHÄR (756 Švýcarsko); J. SZOLGAY (703 Slovensko); A. VIGLIONE (40 Rakousko) a G. BLÖSCHL (40 Rakousko)

Vydání

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2014, 1027-5606

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Článek v odborném periodiku

Obor

10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences

Stát vydavatele

Německo

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Impakt faktor

Impact factor: 3.535

Kód RIV

RIV/00216224:14310/14:00073780

Organizační jednotka

Přírodovědecká fakulta

DOI

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014

UT WoS

000339896400019

EID Scopus

2-s2.0-84905466575

Klíčová slova anglicky

Europe; flood change scenarios; flood regime changes; flood trends; modelling

Štítky

AKR, rivok

Změněno: 11. 4. 2015 20:26, Ing. Andrea Mikešková

Anotace

V originále

There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has traditionally been obtained through two alternative research approaches. The first approach is the data-based detection of changes in observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for nonlinear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities associated with flood change scenarios are discussed such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on long duration records and flood-rich and floodpoor periods rather than on short duration flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.

Návaznosti

GAP209/11/0956, projekt VaV

Název: Globální a regionální modelové simulace klimatu ve střední Evropě v 18.-20. století v porovnání s pozorovaným a rekonstruovaným klimatem

Investor: Grantová agentura ČR, Globální a regionální modelové simulace klimatu ve střední Evropě v 18.-20. století v porovnání s pozorovaným a rekonstruovaným klimatem

Citovat

HALL, J.; B. ARHEIMER; M. BORGA; Rudolf BRÁZDIL; P. CLAPS; A. KISS; T. R. KJELDSEN; J. KRIAUČIUNIENE; Z. W. KUNDZEWICZ; M. LANG; M. C. LLASAT; N. MACDONALD; N. MCINTYRE; L. MEDIERO; B. MERZ; R. MERZ; P. MOLNAR; A. MONTANARI; C. NEUHOLD; J. PARAJKA; R. A. P. PERDIGĂO; L. PLAVCOVÁ; M. ROGGER; J. L. SALINAS; E. SAUQUET; C. SCHÄR; J. SZOLGAY; A. VIGLIONE a G. BLÖSCHL. Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 2014, roč. 18, č. 7, s. 2735-2772. ISSN 1027-5606. Dostupné z: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014.

@article{1194764,
   author = {Hall, J. and Arheimer, B. and Borga, M. and Brázdil, Rudolf and Claps, P. and Kiss, A. and Kjeldsen, T. R. and Kriaučiuniene, J. and Kundzewicz, Z. W. and Lang, M. and Llasat, M. C. and Macdonald, N. and McIntyre, N. and Mediero, L. and Merz, B. and Merz, R. and Molnar, P. and Montanari, A. and Neuhold, C. and Parajka, J. and Perdigăo, R. A. P. and Plavcová, L. and Rogger, M. and Salinas, J. L. and Sauquet, E. and Schär, C. and Szolgay, J. and Viglione, A. and Blöschl, G.},
   article_number = {7},
   doi = {https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014},
   keywords = {Europe; flood change scenarios; flood regime changes; flood trends; modelling},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {1027-5606},
   journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
   title = {Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment},
   volume = {18},
   year = {2014}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 1194764
AU  - Hall, J. - Arheimer, B. - Borga, M. - Brázdil, Rudolf - Claps, P. - Kiss, A. - Kjeldsen, T. R. - Kriaučiuniene, J. - Kundzewicz, Z. W. - Lang, M. - Llasat, M. C. - Macdonald, N. - McIntyre, N. - Mediero, L. - Merz, B. - Merz, R. - Molnar, P. - Montanari, A. - Neuhold, C. - Parajka, J. - Perdigăo, R. A. P. - Plavcová, L. - Rogger, M. - Salinas, J. L. - Sauquet, E. - Schär, C. - Szolgay, J. - Viglione, A. - Blöschl, G.
PY  - 2014
TI  - Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment
JF  - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
VL  - 18
IS  - 7
SP  - 2735-2772
EP  - 2735-2772
SN  - 10275606
KW  - Europe
KW  - flood change scenarios
KW  - flood regime changes
KW  - flood trends
KW  - modelling
N2  - There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has traditionally been obtained through two alternative research approaches. The first approach is the data-based detection of changes in observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for nonlinear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities associated with flood change scenarios are discussed such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on long duration records and flood-rich and floodpoor periods rather than on short duration flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.
ER  -

HALL, J.; B. ARHEIMER; M. BORGA; Rudolf BRÁZDIL; P. CLAPS; A. KISS; T. R. KJELDSEN; J. KRIAUČIUNIENE; Z. W. KUNDZEWICZ; M. LANG; M. C. LLASAT; N. MACDONALD; N. MCINTYRE; L. MEDIERO; B. MERZ; R. MERZ; P. MOLNAR; A. MONTANARI; C. NEUHOLD; J. PARAJKA; R. A. P. PERDIG$\backslash$U AO; L. PLAVCOVÁ; M. ROGGER; J. L. SALINAS; E. SAUQUET; C. SCHÄR; J. SZOLGAY; A. VIGLIONE a G. BLÖSCHL. Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment. \textit{Hydrology and Earth System Sciences}. 2014, roč.~18, č.~7, s.~2735-2772. ISSN~1027-5606. Dostupné z: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014.

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