Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and
2012

J 2015

Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012

TRNKA, Miroslav, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, M. MOŽNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ et. al.

Základní údaje

Originální název

Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012

Autoři

TRNKA, Miroslav (203 Česká republika, garant), Rudolf BRÁZDIL (203 Česká republika, domácí), M. MOŽNÝ (203 Česká republika), Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK (203 Česká republika), Petr DOBROVOLNÝ (203 Česká republika, domácí), Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK (203 Česká republika), J. BALEK (203 Česká republika), D. SEMERÁDOVÁ (203 Česká republika), M. DUBROVSKÝ (203 Česká republika), P. HLAVINKA (203 Česká republika), Josef EITZINGER (40 Rakousko), B. WARDLOW (840 Spojené státy), M. SVOBODA (840 Spojené státy), M. HAYES (840 Spojené státy) a Zdeněk ŽALUD (203 Česká republika)

Vydání

International Journal of Climatology, HOBOKEN, Wiley, 2015, 0899-8418

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Článek v odborném periodiku

Obor

10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences

Stát vydavatele

Spojené státy

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Impakt faktor

Impact factor: 3.609

Kód RIV

RIV/00216224:14310/15:00081688

Organizační jednotka

Přírodovědecká fakulta

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4242

UT WoS

000363682500002

Klíčová slova anglicky

soil moisture; drought assessment; drought climatology; water balance; climate dice; observed climate change; Czech Republic

Štítky

AKR, rivok

Příznaky

Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno

Změněno: 8. 4. 2016 14:41, Ing. Andrea Mikešková

Anotace

V originále

Central Europe is generally not considered a drought-prone region compared with, for example, the Mediterranean. However, Central Europe, including the Czech Republic, recently experienced a series of drought events with substantial impacts, especially on crop production. Because agriculture systems, and vegetation in general, have adapted to evenly distributed precipitation, the region is susceptible to even short-term droughts. The recent drought events may be the result of multi-decadal climate variability or a more general trend, with some studies showing a link to a more frequent occurrence of atmospheric circulation patterns that are conducive to drought. This study introduces an innovation to the standard methodological approaches in evaluating drought climatology by analysing soil moisture conditions over more than 50 years. This approach relies on state-of-the-art observed weather data and state-of-the-art soil moisture model data, and focuses on the dynamic simulation of soil moisture content with high temporal (daily) and spatial (500 m) resolution in a diverse landscape. Statistically significant trends of decreasing soil moisture content were found, notably during May and June between 1961 and 2012. In contrast, trends towards higher soil moisture content were noted during the October-March time period. When the periods of 2001-2012 and 1961-1980 were compared, the probability of drought between April and June was found to increase by 50%. This indicates a loading of the climate dice' towards drier conditions. The probability of extreme drought events has also been found to increase. These results support concerns about the potentially increased severity of drought events in Central Europe under projected climate change.

Návaznosti

CZ.1.07/2.3.00/20.0248, interní kód MU

Název: Vytvoření interdisciplinárního vědeckého týmu se zaměřením na výzkum sucha

Investor: Ministerstvo školství, mládeže a tělovýchovy ČR, Vytvoření interdisciplinárního vědeckého týmu se zaměřením na výzkum sucha, 2.3 Lidské zdroje ve výzkumu a vývoji

GAP209/11/0956, projekt VaV

Název: Globální a regionální modelové simulace klimatu ve střední Evropě v 18.-20. století v porovnání s pozorovaným a rekonstruovaným klimatem

Investor: Grantová agentura ČR, Globální a regionální modelové simulace klimatu ve střední Evropě v 18.-20. století v porovnání s pozorovaným a rekonstruovaným klimatem

GA13-04291S, projekt VaV

Název: Rekonstrukce hydro-klimatických podmínek jara a léta posledního milénia v České republice na základě dubové standardní chronologie

Investor: Grantová agentura ČR, Rekonstrukce hydro-klimatických podmínek jara a léta posledního milénia v České republice na základě šířky letokruhů dubu

Citovat

TRNKA, Miroslav, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, M. MOŽNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK, J. BALEK, D. SEMERÁDOVÁ, M. DUBROVSKÝ, P. HLAVINKA, Josef EITZINGER, B. WARDLOW, M. SVOBODA, M. HAYES a Zdeněk ŽALUD. Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012. International Journal of Climatology. HOBOKEN: Wiley, 2015, roč. 35, č. 13, s. 3733-3747. ISSN 0899-8418. Dostupné z: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4242.

@article{1341258,
   author = {Trnka, Miroslav and Brázdil, Rudolf and Možný, M. and Štěpánek, Petr and Dobrovolný, Petr and Zahradníček, Pavel and Balek, J. and Semerádová, D. and Dubrovský, M. and Hlavinka, P. and Eitzinger, Josef and Wardlow, B. and Svoboda, M. and Hayes, M. and Žalud, Zdeněk},
   article_location = {HOBOKEN},
   article_number = {13},
   doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4242},
   keywords = {soil moisture; drought assessment; drought climatology; water balance; climate dice; observed climate change; Czech Republic},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {0899-8418},
   journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
   title = {Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012},
   volume = {35},
   year = {2015}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 1341258
AU  - Trnka, Miroslav - Brázdil, Rudolf - Možný, M. - Štěpánek, Petr - Dobrovolný, Petr - Zahradníček, Pavel - Balek, J. - Semerádová, D. - Dubrovský, M. - Hlavinka, P. - Eitzinger, Josef - Wardlow, B. - Svoboda, M. - Hayes, M. - Žalud, Zdeněk
PY  - 2015
TI  - Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012
JF  - International Journal of Climatology
VL  - 35
IS  - 13
SP  - 3733-3747
EP  - 3733-3747
PB  - Wiley
SN  - 08998418
KW  - soil moisture
KW  - drought assessment
KW  - drought climatology
KW  - water balance
KW  - climate dice
KW  - observed climate change
KW  - Czech Republic
N2  - Central Europe is generally not considered a drought-prone region compared with, for example, the Mediterranean. However, Central Europe, including the Czech Republic, recently experienced a series of drought events with substantial impacts, especially on crop production. Because agriculture systems, and vegetation in general, have adapted to evenly distributed precipitation, the region is susceptible to even short-term droughts. The recent drought events may be the result of multi-decadal climate variability or a more general trend, with some studies showing a link to a more frequent occurrence of atmospheric circulation patterns that are conducive to drought. This study introduces an innovation to the standard methodological approaches in evaluating drought climatology by analysing soil moisture conditions over more than 50 years. This approach relies on state-of-the-art observed weather data and state-of-the-art soil moisture model data, and focuses on the dynamic simulation of soil moisture content with high temporal (daily) and spatial (500 m) resolution in a diverse landscape. Statistically significant trends of decreasing soil moisture content were found, notably during May and June between 1961 and 2012. In contrast, trends towards higher soil moisture content were noted during the October-March time period. When the periods of 2001-2012 and 1961-1980 were compared, the probability of drought between April and June was found to increase by 50%. This indicates a loading of the climate dice' towards drier conditions. The probability of extreme drought events has also been found to increase. These results support concerns about the potentially increased severity of drought events in Central Europe under projected climate change.
ER  -

TRNKA, Miroslav, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, M. MOŽNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK, J. BALEK, D. SEMERÁDOVÁ, M. DUBROVSKÝ, P. HLAVINKA, Josef EITZINGER, B. WARDLOW, M. SVOBODA, M. HAYES a Zdeněk ŽALUD. Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012. \textit{International Journal of Climatology}. HOBOKEN: Wiley, 2015, roč.~35, č.~13, s.~3733-3747. ISSN~0899-8418. Dostupné z: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4242.

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