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@inbook{1374776,
author = {Dolák, Lukáš and Řezníčková, Ladislava and Dobrovolný, Petr and Štěpánek, Petr and Zahradníček, Pavel},
address = {Brno},
booktitle = {Climate change adaptation pathways from molecules to society},
editor = {David Vačkář, Dalibor Janouš},
keywords = {three-day precipitation totals; regional climate models; return periods; the Czech Republic},
howpublished = {tištěná verze "print"},
language = {eng},
location = {Brno},
isbn = {978-80-87902-17-2},
pages = {27-37},
publisher = {Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences},
title = {Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models},
year = {2017}
}
TY - CHAP
ID - 1374776
AU - Dolák, Lukáš - Řezníčková, Ladislava - Dobrovolný, Petr - Štěpánek, Petr - Zahradníček, Pavel
PY - 2017
TI - Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models
VL - Global Change & Ecosystems, Volume 2
PB - Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences
CY - Brno
SN - 9788087902172
KW - three-day precipitation totals
KW - regional climate models
KW - return periods
KW - the Czech Republic
N2 - It is very likely that the intensity of precipitation over land in the middle latitudes is going to increase by 2100.This chapter deals with the comparison between measured (1981–2010) and simulated (2010–2100) three-day precipitation totals across the area of the Czech Republic. The future precipitation totals were calculated on the basis of five regional climate models (CNRM_ALADIN, EC-EARTH, EC-EARTH_RACMO, MOHC_HADGEM a MPI-ESM-LR) for various recurrence intervals (N=5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 years) and emission scenarios (4.5 and 8.5). The outputs of models were compared for three defined periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060 and 2081–2100) with emphasis on summer (JJA) and annual precipitation. The regional climate models predict in most cases a marked increase in precipitation totals for a determined recurrence interval which is dependent upon an applied emission scenario and analysed period. However, spatial variability maintains similar patterns to those being formed at the present time. The totals of the acquired three-day precipitation model should serve as the basis for the constitution of the next adaptive strategy of the Czech Republic to 2100.
ER -
DOLÁK, Lukáš, Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK a Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK. Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models. In David Vačkář, Dalibor Janouš. \textit{Climate change adaptation pathways from molecules to society}. Brno: Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, 2017, s.~27-37. Global Change \&{} Ecosystems, Volume 2. ISBN~978-80-87902-17-2.
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