Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic
conditions according to regional climate models

C 2017

Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models

DOLÁK, Lukáš, Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK, Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK et. al.

Základní údaje

Originální název

Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models

Autoři

DOLÁK, Lukáš (203 Česká republika, garant, domácí), Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ (203 Česká republika, domácí), Petr DOBROVOLNÝ (203 Česká republika, domácí), Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK (203 Česká republika) a Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK (203 Česká republika)

Vydání

Brno, Climate change adaptation pathways from molecules to society, od s. 27-37, 11 s. Global Change & Ecosystems, Volume 2, 2017

Nakladatel

Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Kapitola resp. kapitoly v odborné knize

Obor

10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences

Stát vydavatele

Česká republika

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Forma vydání

tištěná verze "print"

Kód RIV

RIV/00216224:14310/17:00096252

Organizační jednotka

Přírodovědecká fakulta

ISBN

978-80-87902-17-2

Klíčová slova česky

3 denní úhrny srážek; regionální klimatické modely; N-letost; Česká republika

Klíčová slova anglicky

three-day precipitation totals; regional climate models; return periods; the Czech Republic

Štítky

NZ, rivok

Příznaky

Recenzováno

Změněno: 7. 3. 2017 07:57, Mgr. Lukáš Dolák, Ph.D.

Anotace

V originále

It is very likely that the intensity of precipitation over land in the middle latitudes is going to increase by 2100.This chapter deals with the comparison between measured (1981–2010) and simulated (2010–2100) three-day precipitation totals across the area of the Czech Republic. The future precipitation totals were calculated on the basis of five regional climate models (CNRM_ALADIN, EC-EARTH, EC-EARTH_RACMO, MOHC_HADGEM a MPI-ESM-LR) for various recurrence intervals (N=5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 years) and emission scenarios (4.5 and 8.5). The outputs of models were compared for three defined periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060 and 2081–2100) with emphasis on summer (JJA) and annual precipitation. The regional climate models predict in most cases a marked increase in precipitation totals for a determined recurrence interval which is dependent upon an applied emission scenario and analysed period. However, spatial variability maintains similar patterns to those being formed at the present time. The totals of the acquired three-day precipitation model should serve as the basis for the constitution of the next adaptive strategy of the Czech Republic to 2100.

Přiložené soubory

Dolak_et_al_2017_kapitola.pdf

Požádat o autorskou verzi souboru

Citovat

DOLÁK, Lukáš, Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK a Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK. Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models. In David Vačkář, Dalibor Janouš. Climate change adaptation pathways from molecules to society. Brno: Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, 2017, s. 27-37. Global Change & Ecosystems, Volume 2. ISBN 978-80-87902-17-2.

@inbook{1374776,
   author = {Dolák, Lukáš and Řezníčková, Ladislava and Dobrovolný, Petr and Štěpánek, Petr and Zahradníček, Pavel},
   address = {Brno},
   booktitle = {Climate change adaptation pathways from molecules to society},
   editor = {David Vačkář, Dalibor Janouš},
   keywords = {three-day precipitation totals; regional climate models; return periods; the Czech Republic},
   howpublished = {tištěná verze "print"},
   language = {eng},
   location = {Brno},
   isbn = {978-80-87902-17-2},
   pages = {27-37},
   publisher = {Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences},
   title = {Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models},
   year = {2017}
}

TY  - CHAP
ID  - 1374776
AU  - Dolák, Lukáš - Řezníčková, Ladislava - Dobrovolný, Petr - Štěpánek, Petr - Zahradníček, Pavel
PY  - 2017
TI  - Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models
VL  - Global Change & Ecosystems, Volume 2
PB  - Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences
CY  - Brno
SN  - 9788087902172
KW  - three-day precipitation totals
KW  - regional climate models
KW  - return periods
KW  - the Czech Republic
N2  - It is very likely that the intensity of precipitation over land in the middle latitudes is going to increase by 2100.This chapter deals with the comparison between measured (1981–2010) and simulated (2010–2100) three-day precipitation totals across the area of the Czech Republic. The future precipitation totals were calculated on the basis of five regional climate models (CNRM_ALADIN, EC-EARTH, EC-EARTH_RACMO, MOHC_HADGEM a MPI-ESM-LR) for various recurrence intervals (N=5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 years) and emission scenarios (4.5 and 8.5). The outputs of models were compared for three defined periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060 and 2081–2100) with emphasis on summer (JJA) and annual precipitation. The regional climate models predict in most cases a marked increase in precipitation totals for a determined recurrence interval which is dependent upon an applied emission scenario and analysed period. However, spatial variability maintains similar patterns to those being formed at the present time. The totals of the acquired three-day precipitation model should serve as the basis for the constitution of the next adaptive strategy of the Czech Republic to 2100.
ER  -

DOLÁK, Lukáš, Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ, Petr DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK a Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK. Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models. In David Vačkář, Dalibor Janouš. \textit{Climate change adaptation pathways from molecules to society}. Brno: Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, 2017, s.~27-37. Global Change \&{} Ecosystems, Volume 2. ISBN~978-80-87902-17-2.

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