Detailed Information on Publication Record
2018
Projecting potential future shifts in species composition of European urban plant communities
LOSOSOVÁ, Zdeňka, Lubomír TICHÝ, Jan DIVÍŠEK, Natálie ČEPLOVÁ, Jiří DANIHELKA et. al.Basic information
Original name
Projecting potential future shifts in species composition of European urban plant communities
Authors
LOSOSOVÁ, Zdeňka (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution), Lubomír TICHÝ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Jan DIVÍŠEK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Natálie ČEPLOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Jiří DANIHELKA (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Pavel DŘEVOJAN (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Karel FAJMON (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Veronika KALNÍKOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Veronika KALUSOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Pavel NOVÁK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Vladimír ŘEHOŘEK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Tamás WIRTH (348 Hungary) and Milan CHYTRÝ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution)
Edition
Diversity and Distributions, Wiley, 2018, 1366-9516
Other information
Language
English
Type of outcome
Článek v odborném periodiku
Field of Study
10600 1.6 Biological sciences
Country of publisher
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Confidentiality degree
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
References:
Impact factor
Impact factor: 4.092
RIV identification code
RIV/00216224:14310/18:00101053
Organization unit
Faculty of Science
UT WoS
000433571100005
Keywords in English
CCSM4; climate chang; plant functional types; plant invasion; urban ecology; vegetation modelling
Tags
International impact, Reviewed
Změněno: 23/4/2024 11:23, Mgr. Michal Petr
Abstract
V originále
Aim: Urban floras are composed of species of different origin, both native and alien, and with various traits and niches. It is likely that these species will respond to the ongoing climate change in different ways, resulting in future species compositions with no analogues in current European cities. Our goal was to estimate potential shifts in plant species composition in European cities under different scenarios of climate change for the 21st century. - Location: Europe. - Methods: Potential changes in the distribution of 375 species currently growing in 60 large cities in Southern, Central and Western Europe were modelled using generalized linear models and four climate change projections for two future periods (2041-2060 and 2061-2080). These projections were based on two global climate models (CCSM4 and MIROC-ESM) and two Representative Concentration Pathways (2.6 and 8.5). - Results: Results were similar across all climate projections, suggesting that the composition of urban plant communities will change considerably due to future climate change. However, even under the most severe climate change scenario, native and alien species will respond to climate change similarly. Many currently established species will decline and others, especially annuals currently restricted to Southern Europe, will spread to northern cities. In contrast, perennial herbs, woody plants and most species with temperate continental and oceanic distribution ranges will make up a smaller proportion of future European urban plant communities in comparison with the present communities. - Main conclusions: The projected 21st century climate change will lead to considerable changes in the species composition of urban floras. These changes will affect the structure and functioning of urban plant communities.
Links
| GA14-10723S, research and development project |
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| GB14-36079G, research and development project |
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