2018
Discord at Home, Discord in the World : Is Turkey, NATO’s Eastern Frontier, Sustainably Stable and Peaceful?
BÍZIK, VladimírZákladní údaje
Originální název
Discord at Home, Discord in the World : Is Turkey, NATO’s Eastern Frontier, Sustainably Stable and Peaceful?
Název česky
Spory vnitřní, spory ve světě : Je stabilita a mír v Turecku jako východní hraninice NATO udržitelná?
Autoři
BÍZIK, Vladimír (703 Slovensko, garant, domácí)
Vydání
4. Mezinárodní konference Defence and Strategy 2018, 2018
Další údaje
Jazyk
angličtina
Typ výsledku
Prezentace na konferencích
Obor
50601 Political science
Stát vydavatele
Česká republika
Utajení
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
Kód RIV
RIV/00216224:14230/18:00106897
Organizační jednotka
Fakulta sociálních studií
Klíčová slova česky
Turecko; stabilita; společenský řád; kosmopolitismus; racionalita; konflikt; militarizace; civilně-vojenské vztahy; krize demokracie
Klíčová slova anglicky
Turkey; Stability; Social Order; Cosmopolitanism; Rationality; Conflict; Militarization; Civil-Military Relations; Democratic Backsliding
Štítky
Změněno: 10. 12. 2018 15:01, Mgr. Blanka Farkašová
Anotace
V originále
The aim of this presentation is to determine if it is likely for Turkey to remain a stable country that will avoid serious internal conflicts and violent conflicts abroad. The keynote examines long-term cultural and civilizational variables of cosmopolitanism and rationality. It examines indicators that are more immediately associated with escalation of internal conflict: violent criminality, youth unemployment rate income inequality, corruption perception, and political terror. In the end it examines the level of militarization and the evolution and current state of civil-military relations. It concludes that most of the indicators do not bode well for the stability and democratic consolidation of Turkey. The reason Turkey has not succumbed to violence and social instability is likely due to its high level of political repression. The author concludes that given the characteristics of the Turkish society, two basic scenarios for future development are feasible: Turkey can either become much less stable and a victim to social discord with a chance of dangerous escalation; or it will cement its authoritarianism and manage social order by draconian policing, disproportionate “counter-terrorism” laws and a disregard for the rule of law. Neither of these scenarios is favorable for its NATO allies, who must engage Turkey and work within the framework of existing alliances and international organizations to mitigate the risks of Turkey either becoming a rogue player or a state embroiled in a civil conflict.
Návaznosti
| VI20172020094, projekt VaV |
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