J 2020

Performance Expectations of Professional Sport Teams and In-Season Head Coach Dismissals—Evidence from the English and French Men’s Football First Divisions

ROCABOY, Yvon a Marek PAVLÍK

Základní údaje

Originální název

Performance Expectations of Professional Sport Teams and In-Season Head Coach Dismissals—Evidence from the English and French Men’s Football First Divisions

Autoři

ROCABOY, Yvon (250 Francie) a Marek PAVLÍK (203 Česká republika, domácí)

Vydání

Economies, MDPI, 2020, 2227-7099

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Článek v odborném periodiku

Obor

50201 Economic Theory

Stát vydavatele

Švýcarsko

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Odkazy

Kód RIV

RIV/00216224:14560/20:00116610

Organizační jednotka

Ekonomicko-správní fakulta

UT WoS

000601509100001

Klíčová slova anglicky

coach dismissal; Monte Carlo simulation; team performance; payrolls; expectations

Příznaky

Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno
Změněno: 8. 3. 2024 13:36, Mgr. Pavlína Kurková

Anotace

V originále

The goals of this paper are first to identify why professional football clubs replace their head coach and, second, to investigate the effect of coach dismissal on team performance. To do that, we propose a new method for assessing the performance expectations of professional sport teams using Monte Carlo simulation. We apply our method to the English Premier league and the French Ligue 1 football teams over the 2015–2016 and 2016–2017 seasons. We find that coach dismissal is the result of a drop in the average expected performance compared with the performance expectations at the beginning of the season. We also show that dismissing a coach may enhance performance only if the team under-performed before the dismissal. There is no obstacle to using the same method for professional teams in other sports. The method is easily reproducible and does not require much information in order to be applied.

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