2020
Volebná účasť na Slovensku v roku 2020 z pohľadu geografie - zmena alebo stabilita?
KEVICKÝ, DominikZákladní údaje
Originální název
Volebná účasť na Slovensku v roku 2020 z pohľadu geografie - zmena alebo stabilita?
Název česky
Volebná účasť na Slovensku v roku 2020 z pohľadu geografie - zmena alebo stabilita?
Název anglicky
Voter turnout in Slovakia in 2020 from geographic view - change or stability?
Autoři
KEVICKÝ, Dominik (703 Slovensko, garant, domácí)
Vydání
Acta Geographica Universitatis Comenianae, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Comenius University in Bratislava, 2020, 1338-6034
Další údaje
Jazyk
slovenština
Typ výsledku
Článek v odborném periodiku
Obor
50700 5.7 Social and economic geography
Stát vydavatele
Slovensko
Utajení
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
Odkazy
Kód RIV
RIV/00216224:14310/20:00117961
Organizační jednotka
Přírodovědecká fakulta
Klíčová slova česky
volební účast; volební geografie; Slovensko; parlamentní volby; prostorová autokorelace; regresní analýza
Klíčová slova anglicky
voter turnout; electoral geography; Slovakia; parliamentary elections; spatial autocorrelation; regression analysis
Příznaky
Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno
Změněno: 17. 3. 2021 08:38, RNDr. Dominik Kevický, Ph.D.
V originále
The parliamentary elections in Slovakia in 2020 were ground-breaking. For the first time since 2002, turnout was higher than 60 per cent. However, the question is whether the increase in turnout also caused a change in its spatial distribution or whether it is only a continuous development of turnout based on trends already observed in previous elections. The distribution of turnout in municipalities in 2012, 2016 and 2020 elections were analysed to answer this question. First, the spatial distribution of turnout was examined by the method of spatial autocorrelation, specifically was used local indicator of spatial association. Analysis of factors, which influenced turnout, was based on multiple regression analysis and the additional statistical analysis was used for examining the relationship between turnout and municipality size. Results of local indicator of spatial association have shown that clusters of municipalities with high voter turnout were on northwestern Slovakia. Clusters of municipalities with low voter turnout were nearby borders with Hungary and Ukraine. The results of regression models have shown that the proportion of university graduates, the net migration rate, or the proportion of Roman Catholics in the municipality had a positive contribution on turnout in all analysed elections. And the share of Roma and Hungarian population in municipalities has been negatively influencing the voter turnout. The last analysis examined the relationship between voter turnout and the size of the municipality. Results have shown that the highest average voter turnout was in the smallest municipalities and the largest cities. For the first time was average turnout in the largest cities higher than in the smallest municipalities in parliamentary elections in 2020. Based on these findings it can be said that the parliamentary elections in 2020 were, in terms of the spatial distribution of voter turnout, a continuation of the established trends from the previous parliamentary elections.
Česky
Parlamentné voľby na Slovensku v roku 2020 boli prelomové. Po prvý krát od roku 2020 bola volebná účasť vyššia ako 60 percent. Otázkou však zostáva, či vyššia volebná účasť spôsobila i zmenu v jej priestorovom rozložení, alebo ide iba o pokračovanie trendov z predchádzajúcich volieb. Aby sa zodpovedala táto otázka, bolo analyzované rozloženie volebnej podpory na úrovni obcí v rokoch 2012, 2016 a 2020. Najskôr bolo analyzované rozloženie volebnej účasti pomocou metód priestorovej autokorelácie. Konkrétne sa použil lokálny indikátor priestorovej autokorelácie. Pomocou mnohonasobnej linearnej regresie sa určili faktory, ktoré ovplyvňujú volebnú účasť a tiež bol skúmaný vzťah medzi veľkosťou obce a volebnou účasťou. Výsledky lokálneho indikátora priestorovej autokorelácie ukázali, že zhluky obci s vysokou volebnou účasťou boli na severozápadnom Slovensku. Naproti tomu obce s nízkou volebnou účasťou sa zhlukovali prevažne na hraniciach s Maďarskom a Ukrajinou. Výsledky regresných modelov ukázali, že volebná účasť bola vyššia v obciach s vyšším podielom vysokoškolským vzdelaním, kladným migračným saldom alebo podielom rímskokatolických veriacich. Naproti tomu obce s vyšším podielom ľudí s maďarskou alebo rómskou národnosťou mali nižšiu volebnú účasť. Nakoniec sa analyzoval aký bol vzťah medzi veľkosťou obce a volebnou účasťou. Ukázalo sa, že najvyššia volebná účasť bola v najmenších obciach a v najväčších mestách. Avšak po prvý krat bolo vo voľbách v roku 2020 vyššia volebná účasť v najväčších mestách, než v najmenších obciach. Na základe týchto zistení sa dá povedať, že parlamentné voľby v roku 2020 boli na základe priestorového rozloženia volebnej účasti pokračovním trendov, ktoré boli zaznamenané už v predchádzajúcich parlamentných voľbách.
Anglicky
The parliamentary elections in Slovakia in 2020 were ground-breaking. For the first time since 2002, turnout was higher than 60 per cent. However, the question is whether the increase in turnout also caused a change in its spatial distribution or whether it is only a continuous development of turnout based on trends already observed in previous elections. The distribution of turnout in municipalities in 2012, 2016 and 2020 elections were analysed to answer this question. First, the spatial distribution of turnout was examined by the method of spatial autocorrelation, specifically was used local indicator of spatial association. Analysis of factors, which influenced turnout, was based on multiple regression analysis and the additional statistical analysis was used for examining the relationship between turnout and municipality size. Results of local indicator of spatial association have shown that clusters of municipalities with high voter turnout were on northwestern Slovakia. Clusters of municipalities with low voter turnout were nearby borders with Hungary and Ukraine. The results of regression models have shown that the proportion of university graduates, the net migration rate, or the proportion of Roman Catholics in the municipality had a positive contribution on turnout in all analysed elections. And the share of Roma and Hungarian population in municipalities has been negatively influencing the voter turnout. The last analysis examined the relationship between voter turnout and the size of the municipality. Results have shown that the highest average voter turnout was in the smallest municipalities and the largest cities. For the first time was average turnout in the largest cities higher than in the smallest municipalities in parliamentary elections in 2020. Based on these findings it can be said that the parliamentary elections in 2020 were, in terms of the spatial distribution of voter turnout, a continuation of the established trends from the previous parliamentary elections.
Návaznosti
| MUNI/A/1356/2019, interní kód MU |
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