k 2021

The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population

KARASARIDIS, Anestis

Základní údaje

Originální název

The Dynamics of the Growth of Christianity in the 2nd and 3rd Centuries CE : Designing a System Dynamics Model of the Influence of Pandemics on Early Christian Population

Vydání

14th ISORECEA (The International Study of Religion in Central and Eastern Europe Association) Online Conference / Olomouc, Czech Republic, April 15-17, 2021, 2021

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Prezentace na konferencích

Obor

60304 Religious studies

Stát vydavatele

Česká republika

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Odkazy

Organizační jednotka

Filozofická fakulta

Klíčová slova česky

Antoninovský mor; Cypriánův mor; simulace; systémově dynamický model; výpočetní historiografie; epidemiologie; rané křesťanství; demografie Římské říše

Klíčová slova anglicky

Antonine Plague; Plague of Cyprian; Simulation; System Dynamics Model; Computational Historiography; Epidemiology; Early Christianity; Demography of the Roman Empire

Příznaky

Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno
Změněno: 16. 2. 2022 17:06, Mgr. Ivona Vrzalová

Anotace

V originále

It has been argued that the Antonine Plague and the Plague of Cyprian had a significant impact on the composition of the population of the Roman Empire during the 2nd and 3rd centuries CE. The impact of those pandemics is deemed so significant that it might have led to the ideal conditions under which Christianity became the dominant religion in the whole Mediterranean. Recent adoption of the methods of mathematical and computational modelling by the humanities allowed to precisely demonstrate some phenomena related to the Antonine Plague and the Plague of Cyprian. However, the potential significance of pandemics in the growth of the early Christian population was not yet tested through such methods. The aim of this paper is to present a project that would systematically evaluate the extent to which those notions are realistic. To achieve this, a set of epidemiological system dynamics models of varying complexity is proposed and discussed, which could utilise the current advances in epidemiology and the demographics of the Roman Empire to present selected scenarios of the pandemics of the 2nd and 3rd centuries CE and their influence on the growth of Christian population.