Long-term changes in drought indices in eastern and central
Europe

J 2022

Long-term changes in drought indices in eastern and central Europe

JAAGUS, Jaak; Anto AASA; Svetlana ANISKEVICH; Boris BOINCEAN; Roxana BOJARIU et. al.

Basic information

Original name

Long-term changes in drought indices in eastern and central Europe

Authors

JAAGUS, Jaak (233 Estonia); Anto AASA (233 Estonia); Svetlana ANISKEVICH (428 Latvia); Boris BOINCEAN (498 Republic of Moldova); Roxana BOJARIU (642 Romania); Agrita BRIEDE (428 Latvia); Irina DANILOVICH (112 Belarus); Fernando Dominguez CASTRO (724 Spain); Alexandru DUMITRESCU (642 Romania); Martin LABUDA (703 Slovakia); Lívia LABUDOVÁ (703 Slovakia); Krista LÕHMUS (233 Estonia); Viktar MELNIK (112 Belarus); Kiira MÕISJA (233 Estonia); Rita PONGRACZ (348 Hungary); Vera POTOPOVÁ (203 Czech Republic); Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution); Egidijus RIMKUS (440 Lithuania); Inna SEMENOVA (804 Ukraine); Edvinas STONEVIČIUS (440 Lithuania); Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK (203 Czech Republic); Miroslav TRNKA (203 Czech Republic); Sergio M VICENTE-SERRANO (724 Spain); Joanna WIBIG (616 Poland) and Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK (203 Czech Republic)

Edition

International Journal of Climatology, Wiley, 2022, 0899-8418

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Article in a journal

Field of Study

10509 Meteorology and atmospheric sciences

Country of publisher

United States of America

Confidentiality degree

is not subject to a state or trade secret

References:

URL

Impact factor

Impact factor: 3.900

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14310/22:00124951

Organization unit

Faculty of Science

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7241

UT WoS

000665698900001

EID Scopus

2-s2.0-85108430611

Keywords in English

atmospheric evaporative demand; central and eastern Europe; drought; SPEI; SPI; trend analysis

Abstract

In the original language

This study analyses long-term changes in drought indices (Standardised Precipitation Index—SPI, Standardised Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index—SPEI) at 1 and 3 months scales at 182 stations in 11 central and eastern European countries during 1949–2018. For comparative purposes, the necessary atmospheric evaporative demand (AED) to obtain SPEI was calculated using two methods, Hargreaves-Samani (SPEIH) and Penman-Monteith (SPEIP). The results show some relevant changes and tendencies in the drought indices. Statistically significant increase in SPI and SPEI during the cold season (November–March), reflecting precipitation increase, was found in the northern part of the study region, in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, northern Belarus and northern Poland. In the rest of study domain, a weak and mostly insignificant decrease prevailed in winter. Summer season (June–August) is characterized by changes in the opposite sign. An increase was observed in the north, while a clear decrease in SPEI, reflecting a drying trend, was typical for the southern regions: the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Moldova and southern Poland. A general drying tendency revealed also in April, which was statistically significant over a wide area in the Czech Republic and Poland. Increasing trends in SPI and SPEI for September and October were detected in Romania, Moldova and Hungary. The use of SPEI instead of SPI generally enhances drying trends.

Cite

JAAGUS, Jaak; Anto AASA; Svetlana ANISKEVICH; Boris BOINCEAN; Roxana BOJARIU; Agrita BRIEDE; Irina DANILOVICH; Fernando Dominguez CASTRO; Alexandru DUMITRESCU; Martin LABUDA; Lívia LABUDOVÁ; Krista LÕHMUS; Viktar MELNIK; Kiira MÕISJA; Rita PONGRACZ; Vera POTOPOVÁ; Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ; Egidijus RIMKUS; Inna SEMENOVA; Edvinas STONEVIČIUS; Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK; Miroslav TRNKA; Sergio M VICENTE-SERRANO; Joanna WIBIG and Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK. Long-term changes in drought indices in eastern and central Europe. International Journal of Climatology. Wiley, 2022, vol. 42, No 1, p. 225-249. ISSN 0899-8418. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7241.

@article{1783798,
   author = {Jaagus, Jaak and Aasa, Anto and Aniskevich, Svetlana and Boincean, Boris and Bojariu, Roxana and Briede, Agrita and Danilovich, Irina and Castro, Fernando Dominguez and Dumitrescu, Alexandru and Labuda, Martin and Labudová, Lívia and Lõhmus, Krista and Melnik, Viktar and Mõisja, Kiira and Pongracz, Rita and Potopová, Vera and Řezníčková, Ladislava and Rimkus, Egidijus and Semenova, Inna and Stonevičius, Edvinas and Štěpánek, Petr and Trnka, Miroslav and VicenteandSerrano, Sergio M and Wibig, Joanna and Zahradníček, Pavel},
   article_number = {1},
   doi = {https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7241},
   keywords = {atmospheric evaporative demand; central and eastern Europe; drought; SPEI; SPI; trend analysis},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {0899-8418},
   journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
   title = {Long-term changes in drought indices in eastern and central Europe},
   url = {https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7241},
   volume = {42},
   year = {2022}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 1783798
AU  - Jaagus, Jaak - Aasa, Anto - Aniskevich, Svetlana - Boincean, Boris - Bojariu, Roxana - Briede, Agrita - Danilovich, Irina - Castro, Fernando Dominguez - Dumitrescu, Alexandru - Labuda, Martin - Labudová, Lívia - Lõhmus, Krista - Melnik, Viktar - Mõisja, Kiira - Pongracz, Rita - Potopová, Vera - Řezníčková, Ladislava - Rimkus, Egidijus - Semenova, Inna - Stonevičius, Edvinas - Štěpánek, Petr - Trnka, Miroslav - Vicente-Serrano, Sergio M - Wibig, Joanna - Zahradníček, Pavel
PY  - 2022
TI  - Long-term changes in drought indices in eastern and central Europe
JF  - International Journal of Climatology
VL  - 42
IS  - 1
SP  - 225-249
EP  - 225-249
PB  - Wiley
SN  - 08998418
KW  - atmospheric evaporative demand
KW  - central and eastern Europe
KW  - drought
KW  - SPEI
KW  - SPI
KW  - trend analysis
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7241
N2  - This study analyses long-term changes in drought indices (Standardised Precipitation Index—SPI, Standardised Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index—SPEI) at 1 and 3 months scales at 182 stations in 11 central and eastern European countries during 1949–2018. For comparative purposes, the necessary atmospheric evaporative demand (AED) to obtain SPEI was calculated using two methods, Hargreaves-Samani (SPEIH) and Penman-Monteith (SPEIP). The results show some relevant changes and tendencies in the drought indices. Statistically significant increase in SPI and SPEI during the cold season (November–March), reflecting precipitation increase, was found in the northern part of the study region, in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, northern Belarus and northern Poland. In the rest of study domain, a weak and mostly insignificant decrease prevailed in winter. Summer season (June–August) is characterized by changes in the opposite sign. An increase was observed in the north, while a clear decrease in SPEI, reflecting a drying trend, was typical for the southern regions: the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Moldova and southern Poland. A general drying tendency revealed also in April, which was statistically significant over a wide area in the Czech Republic and Poland. Increasing trends in SPI and SPEI for September and October were detected in Romania, Moldova and Hungary. The use of SPEI instead of SPI generally enhances drying trends.
ER  -

JAAGUS, Jaak; Anto AASA; Svetlana ANISKEVICH; Boris BOINCEAN; Roxana BOJARIU; Agrita BRIEDE; Irina DANILOVICH; Fernando Dominguez CASTRO; Alexandru DUMITRESCU; Martin LABUDA; Lívia LABUDOVÁ; Krista LÕHMUS; Viktar MELNIK; Kiira MÕISJA; Rita PONGRACZ; Vera POTOPOVÁ; Ladislava ŘEZNÍČKOVÁ; Egidijus RIMKUS; Inna SEMENOVA; Edvinas STONEVIČIUS; Petr ŠTĚPÁNEK; Miroslav TRNKA; Sergio M VICENTE-SERRANO; Joanna WIBIG and Pavel ZAHRADNÍČEK. Long-term changes in drought indices in eastern and central Europe. \textit{International Journal of Climatology}. Wiley, 2022, vol.~42, No~1, p.~225-249. ISSN~0899-8418. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7241.

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