Detailed Information on Publication Record
2021
Potential alien ranges of European plants will shrink in the future, but less so for already naturalized than for not yet naturalized species
POUTEAU, Robin, Idoia BIURRUN, Caroline BRUNEL, Milan CHYTRÝ, Wayne DAWSON et. al.Basic information
Original name
Potential alien ranges of European plants will shrink in the future, but less so for already naturalized than for not yet naturalized species
Authors
POUTEAU, Robin, Idoia BIURRUN, Caroline BRUNEL, Milan CHYTRÝ (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution), Wayne DAWSON, Franz ESSL, Trevor FRISTOE, Rense HAVEMAN, Carsten HOBOHM, Florian JANSEN, Holger KREFT, Jonathan LENOIR, Bernd LENZNER, Carsten MEYER, Jesper Erenskjold MOESLUND, Jan PERGL, Petr PYŠEK, Jens-Christian SVENNING, Wilfried THUILLER, Patrick WEIGELT, Thomas WOHLGEMUTH, Qiang YANG and Mark VAN KLEUNEN
Edition
Diversity and Distributions, HOBOKEN, WILEY, 2021, 1366-9516
Other information
Language
English
Type of outcome
Článek v odborném periodiku
Field of Study
10619 Biodiversity conservation
Country of publisher
United States of America
Confidentiality degree
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
References:
Impact factor
Impact factor: 5.714
RIV identification code
RIV/00216224:14310/21:00119463
Organization unit
Faculty of Science
UT WoS
000678816800001
Keywords in English
Alien plant species; biological invasions; climate change; distributional range shift; interacting effect of global changes; land use change; macroecology; migration; non-analogue climate; species distribution model
Tags
Tags
International impact, Reviewed
Změněno: 24/3/2022 10:45, Mgr. Marie Šípková, DiS.
Abstract
V originále
Aims The rapid increase in the number of species that have naturalized beyond their native range is among the most apparent features of the Anthropocene. How alien species will respond to other processes of future global changes is an emerging concern and remains poorly misunderstood. We therefore ask whether naturalized species will respond to climate and land use change differently than those species not yet naturalized anywhere in the world. Location Global. Methods We investigated future changes in the potential alien range of vascular plant species endemic to Europe that are either naturalized (n = 272) or not yet naturalized (1,213) outside of Europe. Potential ranges were estimated based on projections of species distribution models using 20 future climate-change scenarios. We mapped current and future global centres of naturalization risk. We also analysed expected changes in latitudinal, elevational and areal extent of species' potential alien ranges. Results We showed a large potential for more worldwide naturalizations of European plants currently and in the future. The centres of naturalization risk for naturalized and non-naturalized plants largely overlapped, and their location did not change much under projected future climates. Nevertheless, naturalized plants had their potential range shifting poleward over larger distances, whereas the non-naturalized ones had their potential elevational ranges shifting further upslope under the most severe climate change scenarios. As a result, climate and land use changes are predicted to shrink the potential alien range of European plants, but less so for already naturalized than for non-naturalized species. Main conclusions While currently non-naturalized plants originate frequently from mountain ranges or boreal and Mediterranean biomes in Europe, the naturalized ones usually occur at low elevations, close to human centres of activities. As the latter are expected to increase worldwide, this could explain why the potential alien range of already naturalized plants will shrink less.
Links
| GX19-28491X, research and development project |
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