Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility
Intentions

k 2025

Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions

KMENTOVÁ, Darina a Martin KREIDL

Základní údaje

Originální název

Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions

Autoři

KMENTOVÁ, Darina a Martin KREIDL

Vydání

8th GGP User Conference, Tallinn, Estonia, 2025

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Prezentace na konferencích

Obor

50401 Sociology

Stát vydavatele

Estonsko

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Odkazy

URL

Označené pro přenos do RIV

Ano

Kód RIV

RIV/00216224:14230/25:00142359

Organizační jednotka

Fakulta sociálních studií

Klíčová slova anglicky

Generations and Gender Programme; Generations and Gender Survey; Contemporary Czech Family; fertility intentions; polycrisis; education; income

Štítky

rivok

Změněno: 23. 3. 2026 11:27, Mgr. Blanka Farkašová

Anotace

V originále

This paper uses survey data from the Czech Generations and Gender Survey to explore the relationships between individuals’ socioeconomic conditions and their short-term fertility intentions. Between 2020 and 2024, the total fertility rate in the Czech Republic declined, accompanied by a notable decrease in the annual number of births. Recent research on fertility intentions highlights the impact of individuals’ current socioeconomic status and perceptions of uncertainty, revealing how unfavorable conditions, polycrisis, and uncertain expectations can be linked to declining fertility plans. We analyze survey data from the first wave of Czech GGS-II (2020–2022), focusing on women aged 18–39. We compare the predicted probabilities of women intending or not intending to have a child in the next three years, based on the results from an ordinal logistic regression. The results reveal a general decline in short-term intentions between 2020 and 2022. Additionally, we conclude that socioeconomic conditions influenced short-term intentions in the Czech Republic between 2020 and 2022, during a period defined by multiple crises.

Návaznosti

CZ.02.01.01/00/23_025/0008710, interní kód MU
(Kód CEP: EH23_025/0008710)

Název: Na všechno sami: příležitosti a rizika individualizace společnosti (PRINS)

Investor: Ministerstvo školství, mládeže a tělovýchovy ČR, Na všechno sami: příležitosti a rizika individualizace společnosti (PRINS), Priorita 1 - Výzkum a vývoj

EH23_025/0008710, projekt VaV

Název: Na všechno sami: příležitosti a rizika individualizace společnosti

90274, velká výzkumná infrastruktura

Název: GGP-CZ

Přiložené soubory

Socioeconomic_Conditions_as_Predictors_of_ShortTerm_Fertility_Intentions.pptx

Citovat

KMENTOVÁ, Darina a Martin KREIDL. Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions. In 8th GGP User Conference, Tallinn, Estonia. 2025.

@proceedings{2528150,
   author = {Kmentová, Darina and Kreidl, Martin},
   booktitle = {8th GGP User Conference, Tallinn, Estonia},
   keywords = {Generations and Gender Programme; Generations and Gender Survey; Contemporary Czech Family; fertility intentions; polycrisis; education; income},
   language = {eng},
   title = {Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions},
   url = {https://www.ggp-i.org/engage/our-activities/ggp-user-conference/8th-ggp-user-conference/},
   year = {2025}
}

TY  - CONF
ID  - 2528150
AU  - Kmentová, Darina - Kreidl, Martin
PY  - 2025
TI  - Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions
KW  - Generations and Gender Programme
KW  - Generations and Gender Survey
KW  - Contemporary Czech Family
KW  - fertility intentions
KW  - polycrisis
KW  - education
KW  - income
UR  - https://www.ggp-i.org/engage/our-activities/ggp-user-conference/8th-ggp-user-conference/
N2  - This paper uses survey data from the Czech Generations and Gender Survey to explore the relationships between individuals’ socioeconomic conditions and their short-term fertility intentions. Between 2020 and 2024, the total fertility rate in the Czech Republic declined, accompanied by a notable decrease in the annual number of births. Recent research on fertility intentions highlights the impact of individuals’ current socioeconomic status and perceptions of uncertainty, revealing how unfavorable conditions, polycrisis, and uncertain expectations can be linked to declining fertility plans. We analyze survey data from the first wave of Czech GGS-II (2020–2022), focusing on women aged 18–39. We compare the predicted probabilities of women intending or not intending to have a child in the next three years, based on the results from an ordinal logistic regression. The results reveal a general decline in short-term intentions between 2020 and 2022. Additionally, we conclude that socioeconomic conditions influenced short-term intentions in the Czech Republic between 2020 and 2022, during a period defined by multiple crises.
ER  -

KMENTOVÁ, Darina a Martin KREIDL. Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions. In \textit{8th GGP User Conference, Tallinn, Estonia}. 2025.

Přehled o publikaci