Security Analysis
6. Equity Valuation - Dividend Discount Models
1. Discounted Dividend Valuation (DDM)
- Basic concept of valuing stocks using discounted dividend models.
- Application of the Gordon Growth model and other valuation models.
2. Valuing Common Stock Using a Multi-Period DDM
- Calculation of dividends over multiple periods.
- Example calculations.
3. Gordon Growth Model
- Description of the model and an example of valuing common stock.
- Input parameters: dividend growth, required return, beta.
4. Valuing Preferred Stock
- Example of valuing preferred stock with zero dividend growth.
5. Implied Growth Rate Calculation
- Calculation of the implied growth rate based on current stock price and dividend yield.
6. Calculating the Required Return Using the Gordon Growth Model
- Formula for calculating the required return for stocks.
7. Justified P/E Ratio
- Estimated and actual P/E (Price-to-Earnings) ratio based on dividend growth and required return.
- Example of calculating justified leading and trailing P/E.
8. Advantages and Limitations of the Gordon Growth Model
- Strengths: simplicity and applicability to stable firms.
- Limitations: sensitivity to the difference between required return and growth, limited applicability to unstable firms.
9. Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model
- Model for companies with variable dividend growth.
- Example calculation with a transition from rapid growth to stable growth.
10. H-Model
- An alternative approach for companies with gradually declining dividend growth.
- Example calculation using the H-model.
11. Three-Stage Model
- Model for companies going through three stages of growth: rapid growth, declining growth, and stable growth.
- Example calculation.
12. Sustainable Growth Rate
- Sustainable growth: formula based on earnings retention and ROE (Return on Equity).
- DuPont analysis of profitability and its components (profit margin, asset turnover, equity multiplier).
Materials for the week 6
This week, we continue working on the issues related to dividend discount valuation.
Lecture:
Seminar assigment
DDM Model