TURCSÁNYI, Richard. The Chessboard of South China Sea: Game Modeling of the Dispute Dynamics. In Marian Majer, Róbert Ondrejcsák. Panorama of Global Security Environment 2013. Bratislava: Centre for European and North Atlantic Affairs, 2013. s. 495-506, 12 s. ISBN 978-80-971124-5-5.
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Základní údaje
Originální název The Chessboard of South China Sea: Game Modeling of the Dispute Dynamics
Autoři TURCSÁNYI, Richard (703 Slovensko, garant, domácí).
Vydání Bratislava, Panorama of Global Security Environment 2013, od s. 495-506, 12 s. 2013.
Nakladatel Centre for European and North Atlantic Affairs
Další údaje
Originální jazyk angličtina
Typ výsledku Kapitola resp. kapitoly v odborné knize
Obor 50601 Political science
Stát vydavatele Slovensko
Utajení není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
Forma vydání tištěná verze "print"
Kód RIV RIV/00216224:14230/13:00081994
Organizační jednotka Fakulta sociálních studií
ISBN 978-80-971124-5-5
Klíčová slova anglicky South China Sea; territorial dispute; international relations in East Asia
Změnil Změnila: Ing. Alena Raisová, učo 36962. Změněno: 11. 4. 2016 10:58.
Anotace
South China Sea with its vast geopolitical importance continues to be also one of the world’s most problematic regions with a very unpredictable future in terms of security conditions and realities on the ground. The proposed paper will try to shed some light into the current situation by grasping the logic of interaction between the involved parties. It will focus on actions of individual states involved in the dispute, which will be treated as parts of a complex game situation, in which the states’ actions are reacting to each other. The two types of actions will be considered - ‘events establishing new trends’ and ‘incidents’; and these will be taking place on the backdrop of ‘long term tendencies’ which continue to push forward the overall distribution of power sources. The logic of moves by China, Vietnam, Philippines, and the US will be analyzed, including the available options and possible reactions to other states’ moves. It will be concluded that if the current dynamics continues to prevail, China will be step-by-step improving its standing due to favorable tendency of power distribution and established trends, heightened by the lack of capabilities and potentially high risks on the side of the opponent states; and lack of true commitment and potentially too big a burden for the US. The individual steps of the opponent countries may have only the effect of accelerating the process while at the same time creating more tensions.
Návaznosti
MUNI/A/0754/2012, interní kód MUNázev: Aktuální otázky evropské a mezinárodní politiky
Investor: Masarykova univerzita, Grantová agentura MU, DO R. 2020_Kategorie A - Specifický výzkum - Studentské výzkumné projekty
VytisknoutZobrazeno: 4. 12. 2020 22:35