HALL, J., B. ARHEIMER, M. BORGA, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, P. CLAPS, A. KISS, T. R. KJELDSEN, J. KRIAUČIUNIENE, Z. W. KUNDZEWICZ, M. LANG, M. C. LLASAT, N. MACDONALD, N. MCINTYRE, L. MEDIERO, B. MERZ, R. MERZ, P. MOLNAR, A. MONTANARI, C. NEUHOLD, J. PARAJKA, R. A. P. PERDIGĂO, L. PLAVCOVÁ, M. ROGGER, J. L. SALINAS, E. SAUQUET, C. SCHÄR, J. SZOLGAY, A. VIGLIONE a G. BLÖSCHL. Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 2014, roč. 18, č. 7, s. 2735-2772. ISSN 1027-5606. Dostupné z: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014. |
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@article{1194764, author = {Hall, J. and Arheimer, B. and Borga, M. and Brázdil, Rudolf and Claps, P. and Kiss, A. and Kjeldsen, T. R. and Kriaučiuniene, J. and Kundzewicz, Z. W. and Lang, M. and Llasat, M. C. and Macdonald, N. and McIntyre, N. and Mediero, L. and Merz, B. and Merz, R. and Molnar, P. and Montanari, A. and Neuhold, C. and Parajka, J. and Perdigăo, R. A. P. and Plavcová, L. and Rogger, M. and Salinas, J. L. and Sauquet, E. and Schär, C. and Szolgay, J. and Viglione, A. and Blöschl, G.}, article_number = {7}, doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014}, keywords = {Europe; flood change scenarios; flood regime changes; flood trends; modelling}, language = {eng}, issn = {1027-5606}, journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences}, title = {Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment}, volume = {18}, year = {2014} }
TY - JOUR ID - 1194764 AU - Hall, J. - Arheimer, B. - Borga, M. - Brázdil, Rudolf - Claps, P. - Kiss, A. - Kjeldsen, T. R. - Kriaučiuniene, J. - Kundzewicz, Z. W. - Lang, M. - Llasat, M. C. - Macdonald, N. - McIntyre, N. - Mediero, L. - Merz, B. - Merz, R. - Molnar, P. - Montanari, A. - Neuhold, C. - Parajka, J. - Perdigăo, R. A. P. - Plavcová, L. - Rogger, M. - Salinas, J. L. - Sauquet, E. - Schär, C. - Szolgay, J. - Viglione, A. - Blöschl, G. PY - 2014 TI - Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment JF - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences VL - 18 IS - 7 SP - 2735-2772 EP - 2735-2772 SN - 10275606 KW - Europe KW - flood change scenarios KW - flood regime changes KW - flood trends KW - modelling N2 - There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has traditionally been obtained through two alternative research approaches. The first approach is the data-based detection of changes in observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for nonlinear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities associated with flood change scenarios are discussed such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on long duration records and flood-rich and floodpoor periods rather than on short duration flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network. ER -
HALL, J., B. ARHEIMER, M. BORGA, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, P. CLAPS, A. KISS, T. R. KJELDSEN, J. KRIAUČIUNIENE, Z. W. KUNDZEWICZ, M. LANG, M. C. LLASAT, N. MACDONALD, N. MCINTYRE, L. MEDIERO, B. MERZ, R. MERZ, P. MOLNAR, A. MONTANARI, C. NEUHOLD, J. PARAJKA, R. A. P. PERDIG$\backslash$U AO, L. PLAVCOVÁ, M. ROGGER, J. L. SALINAS, E. SAUQUET, C. SCHÄR, J. SZOLGAY, A. VIGLIONE a G. BLÖSCHL. Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment. \textit{Hydrology and Earth System Sciences}. 2014, roč.~18, č.~7, s.~2735-2772. ISSN~1027-5606. Dostupné z: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014.
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