A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition
and low fertility in Central Europe

J 2018

A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe

ŠPROCHA, Branislav; Pavol TIŠLIAR a Ľuděk ŠÍDLO

Základní údaje

Originální název

A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe

Autoři

ŠPROCHA, Branislav; Pavol TIŠLIAR a Ľuděk ŠÍDLO

Vydání

Moravian Geographical Reports, AV ČR, Institute of Geonics, Czech Academy of Sciences, 2018, 1210-8812

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Článek v odborném periodiku

Obor

60101 History

Stát vydavatele

Česká republika

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Odkazy

URL

Impakt faktor

Impact factor: 1.870

Označené pro přenos do RIV

Ano

Kód RIV

RIV/00216224:14210/18:00103119

Organizační jednotka

Filozofická fakulta

Klíčová slova anglicky

cohort fertility; postponement transition; low fertility; Central Europe (the Czech Republic; the former GDR; Hungary and Slovakia)

Štítky

rivok

Příznaky

Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno

Změněno: 25. 2. 2019 11:29, Mgr. Igor Hlaváč

Anotace

V originále

Fertility postponement and the concomitant decline in fertility levels are the most prominent trends in the demographic behaviours of the former Eastern Bloc countries in Central Europe. A number of studies have analysed period fertility development but the cohort perspective is often neglected. The postponement transition has evolved over a long time span and affected many cohorts, so the cohort approach is appropriate for studying long-term changes in fertility tempo and quantum. A cohort analysis engenders an analysis in detail of the onset, dynamics and ultimate extent of this process. Using the cohort benchmark model, we have been able to pinpoint differences in postponement and recuperation levels and have combined it with projection scenarios. Thus we have been able to model the hypothetical trajectory of the completed cohort fertility rate. Our analysis highlights differences in the timing of the onset of the postponement transition, its trajectory and extent, as well as in the recuperation of postponed childbearing. These findings suggest differences in completed fertility across the selected four Central European countries are likely to continue and perhaps increase.

Citovat

ŠPROCHA, Branislav; Pavol TIŠLIAR a Ľuděk ŠÍDLO. A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe. Moravian Geographical Reports. AV ČR, Institute of Geonics, Czech Academy of Sciences, 2018, roč. 26, č. 2, s. 109-120. ISSN 1210-8812. Dostupné z: https://doi.org/10.2478/mgr-2018-0009.

@article{1422259,
   author = {Šprocha, Branislav and Tišliar, Pavol and Šídlo, Ľuděk},
   article_number = {2},
   doi = {https://doi.org/10.2478/mgr-2018-0009},
   keywords = {cohort fertility; postponement transition; low fertility; Central Europe (the Czech Republic; the former GDR; Hungary and Slovakia)},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {1210-8812},
   journal = {Moravian Geographical Reports},
   title = {A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe},
   url = {http://www.geonika.cz/EN/research/ENMGRClanky/2018_02_%C5%A0PROCHAetal.pdf},
   volume = {26},
   year = {2018}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 1422259
AU  - Šprocha, Branislav - Tišliar, Pavol - Šídlo, Ľuděk
PY  - 2018
TI  - A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe
JF  - Moravian Geographical Reports
VL  - 26
IS  - 2
SP  - 109-120
EP  - 109-120
PB  - AV ČR, Institute of Geonics, Czech Academy of Sciences
SN  - 12108812
KW  - cohort fertility
KW  - postponement transition
KW  - low fertility
KW  - Central Europe (the Czech Republic
KW  - the former GDR
KW  - Hungary and Slovakia)
UR  - http://www.geonika.cz/EN/research/ENMGRClanky/2018_02_%C5%A0PROCHAetal.pdf
L2  - http://www.geonika.cz/EN/research/ENMGRClanky/2018_02_%C5%A0PROCHAetal.pdf
N2  - Fertility postponement and the concomitant decline in fertility levels are the most prominent trends in the demographic behaviours of the former Eastern Bloc countries in Central Europe. A number of studies have analysed period fertility development but the cohort perspective is often neglected. The postponement transition has evolved over a long time span and affected many cohorts, so the cohort approach is appropriate for studying long-term changes in fertility tempo and quantum. A cohort analysis engenders an analysis in detail of the onset, dynamics and ultimate extent of this process. Using the cohort benchmark model, we have been able to pinpoint differences in postponement and recuperation levels and have combined it with projection scenarios. Thus we have been able to model the hypothetical trajectory of the completed cohort fertility rate. Our analysis highlights differences in the timing of the onset of the postponement transition, its trajectory and extent, as well as in the recuperation of postponed childbearing. These findings suggest differences in completed fertility across the selected four Central European countries are likely to continue and perhaps increase.
ER  -

ŠPROCHA, Branislav; Pavol TIŠLIAR a Ľuděk ŠÍDLO. A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe. \textit{Moravian Geographical Reports}. AV ČR, Institute of Geonics, Czech Academy of Sciences, 2018, roč.~26, č.~2, s.~109-120. ISSN~1210-8812. Dostupné z: https://doi.org/10.2478/mgr-2018-0009.

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