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@inproceedings{1442045, author = {Svoboda, Miroslav and Plíhal, Tomáš and Sedláček, Pavel}, address = {Brno}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 15th International Scientific Conference European Financial Systems 2018}, edition = {1.}, editor = {Josef Nešleha, Filip Hampl, Miroslav Svoboda}, keywords = {Technical Analysis; Investment Decisions; Foreign Exchange Markets; Currency Markets; Random Strategy; Backtesting}, howpublished = {tištěná verze "print"}, language = {eng}, location = {Brno}, isbn = {978-80-210-8980-8}, pages = {743-748}, publisher = {Masaryk University}, title = {Random Strategy Versus Technical Analysis Strategy: The Case of GBP/USD Intraday Trading}, year = {2018} }
TY - JOUR ID - 1442045 AU - Svoboda, Miroslav - Plíhal, Tomáš - Sedláček, Pavel PY - 2018 TI - Random Strategy Versus Technical Analysis Strategy: The Case of GBP/USD Intraday Trading PB - Masaryk University CY - Brno SN - 9788021089808 KW - Technical Analysis KW - Investment Decisions KW - Foreign Exchange Markets KW - Currency Markets KW - Random Strategy KW - Backtesting N2 - Abstract: This paper provides a comparison between the strategy based on technical analysis and the strategy based on random trading on a highly liquid GBP/USD foreign exchange market. We analyze six months of data, and in every intraday trading session, only a single position will be opened. Technical analysis strategy uses essential indicator relative strength index (RSI). Every trading position will have the risk-reward ratio (RRR) 3 to 1. In addition, another trading positions on the GBP/USD currency pair will be opened at the same time each day, without technical analysis. The time of entry into position will be indicated by past high liquidity on a given currency pair at a given time with a similar risk-reward-ratio (RRR) 3 to 1. We want to answer the question whether it is preferable to use the technical analysis indicators or to open a trading position randomly in intraday trading. In other words, this article aims to compare the strategy of technical analysis and the random strategy in intraday trading concerning the profitability of these trades. On the basis of our preliminary results, we expect that the random strategy will show us higher profitability or lower loss ability than the strategies based on the technical analysis indicators in the observed period. ER -
SVOBODA, Miroslav, Tomáš PLÍHAL a Pavel SEDLÁČEK. Random Strategy Versus Technical Analysis Strategy: The Case of GBP/USD Intraday Trading. In Josef Nešleha, Filip Hampl, Miroslav Svoboda. \textit{Proceedings of the 15th International Scientific Conference European Financial Systems 2018}. 1. vyd. Brno: Masaryk University, 2018, s.~743-748. ISBN~978-80-210-8980-8.
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