J 2020

Identification of patients with smouldering multiple myeloma at ultra-high risk of progression using serum parameters: the Czech Myeloma Group model

HÁJEK, Roman; Viera SANDECKÁ; Ivan ŠPIČKA; Marc RAAB; Hartmut GOLDSCHMIDT et al.

Základní údaje

Originální název

Identification of patients with smouldering multiple myeloma at ultra-high risk of progression using serum parameters: the Czech Myeloma Group model

Autoři

HÁJEK, Roman; Viera SANDECKÁ; Ivan ŠPIČKA; Marc RAAB; Hartmut GOLDSCHMIDT; Susanne BECK; Jiří MINAŘÍK; Petr PAVLÍČEK; Jakub RADOCHA; Adriana HEINDORFER; Tomáš JELÍNEK; Lukáš STEJSKAL; Lucie BROŽOVÁ; Sabina ŠEVČÍKOVÁ; Jan STRAUB; Tomáš PIKA; Luděk POUR; Vladimír MAISNAR; Anja SECKINGER a Dirk HOSE

Vydání

British journal of haematology, Hoboken, Wiley-Blackwell, 2020, 0007-1048

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Článek v odborném periodiku

Obor

30205 Hematology

Stát vydavatele

Spojené státy

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Odkazy

Impakt faktor

Impact factor: 6.998

Označené pro přenos do RIV

Ano

Kód RIV

RIV/00216224:14110/20:00116111

Organizační jednotka

Lékařská fakulta

EID Scopus

Klíčová slova anglicky

multiple myeloma; prognostic marker; risk factors; overall survival; progression-free survival

Štítky

Příznaky

Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno
Změněno: 3. 8. 2020 13:15, Mgr. Tereza Miškechová

Anotace

V originále

Smouldering multiple myeloma (SMM) presents without MM defining symptoms. We aimed to identify patients with SMM with an 80% risk of progression within 2 years using only serum parameters. In total, 527 patients with SMM were included and divided into a training group (287 patients from the Czech Myeloma Group [CMG]) and an independent validation group (240 patients from Heidelberg). The median follow-up was 2 center dot 4 and 2 center dot 5 years, respectively. Progression to MM occurred in 51 center dot 9% of the CMG and 38 center dot 8% of the Heidelberg patients, respectively. The median risk of progression was 11 center dot 0% (CMG) and 9 center dot 7% (Heidelberg) per year, during the 5 years after diagnosis. A serum involved/uninvolved free light-chain ratio of >30, immunoparesis, and serum monoclonal (M) protein of >= 2 center dot 3 g/dl emerged as powerful predictors of 2-year progression rate with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2 center dot 49 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1 center dot 49-4 center dot 17), HR of 2 center dot 01 (95% CI 1 center dot 36-2 center dot 96) and HR of 2 center dot 00 (95% CI 1 center dot 44-2 center dot 79) (P < 0 center dot 001) in univariate Cox regression analysis, respectively. Based on this, the CMG model identified patients with SMM with a 2-year risk of progression of 78 center dot 7% (95% CI 53 center dot 1-95 center dot 7; HR 6 center dot 8;P < 0 center dot 001, CMG) and 81 center dot 3% (95% CI 47 center dot 1-98 center dot 8; HR 38 center dot 63;P < 0 center dot 001, Heidelberg). Serum parameters in the CMG model allow identification of patients with SMM with an 80% risk of progression to symptomatic MM within 2 years.